Sports
Roki Sasaki’s contract situation, signing process and suitors, explained
The first bombshell of Major League Baseball’s offseason landed Saturday when the Chiba Lotte Marines announced 23-year-old pitching phenom Roki Sasaki will be able to sign with an MLB club this winter.
“I will do my best to climb up from a minor-league contract and become the best player in the world,” Sasaki said in a statement translated by Yakyu Cosmopolitan, “so I have no regrets about my one and only baseball career and can live up to the expectations of everyone who has supported me so far.”
Here’s all you need to know about Sasaki, his contract situation and his electrifying stuff.
Is ‘best player in the world’ really in the range of outcomes?
So long as his countryman Shohei Ohtani is active, Sasaki will have a hard time claiming that title. But there’s no question he has one of the best right arms in baseball. Major-league evaluators have scouted Sasaki since he was a teen in Ofunato, Japan, possessing a triple-digit fastball, a vanishing splitter and an incredible nickname: the Monster of the Reiwa Era.
In 2022, Sasaki threw a 19-strikeout perfect game for Chiba Lotte in which he registered 13 consecutive strikeouts. In his next start, Sasaki tossed eight perfect innings with 14 strikeouts before being pulled.
Once Sasaki began blowing the doors off Randy Arozarena and Alex Verdugo in the 2023 World Baseball Classic, much of the wider baseball world started counting down to his eventual arrival stateside.
Sasaki, who stands a lanky 6 feet 2, is not yet a finished product. “But there’s not many people in the world who are more talented,” an MLB club official said. Sasaki had a 2.10 ERA over four seasons in Nippon Professional Baseball, the top baseball league in Japan. This year, injuries and declines in velocity, stuff and strikeout rate raised questions, but Sasaki remains immensely desirable. Not only because of his youth (only six months older than Paul Skenes) and arm talent (“He reminds me of Jacob deGrom,” an industry source said.) but also because he’s the only top-five free agent all 30 MLB teams can afford to sign.
How much will signing Sasaki cost?
Shockingly little, in modern-day baseball figures.
Most Japanese stars who jump to the majors do so after turning 25, when they still must go through a posting system — in which their NPB club receives a release fee from the signing MLB club — but can sign a big-money major-league deal. Yoshinobu Yamamoto did this last offseason, signing with the Los Angeles Dodgers for $325 million over 12 years while the Dodgers paid his former club, the Orix Buffaloes, about $50 million.
Sasaki’s situation is far more like Ohtani’s than Yamamoto’s.
A player leaving NPB before 25 is considered an international amateur free agent and permitted only to sign a minor-league deal with a bonus paid from the team’s international bonus pool. (For 2025, those pools range from $5.1 million to $7.6 million.) Ohtani was 23 when he signed with the Los Angeles Angels for $2.3 million. The Angels received six years of contractual control for Ohtani — three years of minimum salary, three years of arbitration — before he reached free agency. Had Ohtani played two more years in Japan, his initial MLB contract would have been much more like Yamamoto’s. The same is true for Sasaki.
Why wouldn’t Sasaki wait until he can sign a megadeal?
The simplest answer is he’s ready to prove himself against big leaguers.
When The Washington Post’s Chelsea Janes visited Japan earlier this year, Chiba Lotte outfielder and former Pittsburgh Pirates top prospect Gregory Polanco said of Sasaki, “He asks me about (the big leagues) every day. I go in there, and he’s joking around: ‘I’m going to this (MLB) team, I’m going to that (MLB) team!’ He’s so ready to go.”
Sasaki might also anticipate the endorsements he’ll get playing in the majors will make up for his effectively delaying his first true MLB free agency until the 2030-31 offseason, when he’ll be newly 29.
Sasaki reportedly asked Chiba Lotte to post him last year, after he had a 1.78 ERA in 91 innings. The club chose to hold on to him for another season. Now, they are willing to make him available to MLB clubs. Chiba Lotte leaves tens of millions of dollars on the table by letting Sasaki depart now rather than in 2026. When Ohtani signed in 2017, NPB clubs could set their release fee as high as $20 million — the number the Angels paid the Nippon-Ham Fighters. But the release fee is now determined as a percentage of the guaranteed value of the contract; for minor-league contracts, the signing team will pay the NPB club just 25 percent of the signing bonus.
Why is Chiba Lotte letting Sasaki go now when the release fee is so small?
It does not make financial sense. The way Chiba Lotte officials explained it Saturday, it was a matter of respecting Sasaki’s wishes to pitch in the majors.
Club executive Naoki Matsumoto told reporters, including baseball writer Jim Allen, that the financial implications were not part of their conversations with Sasaki: “He’s a representative of Japan and Lotte, so I want him to do his best on the world stage.”
As Allen wrote Thursday in a detailed explanation of Sasaki’s unprecedented situation, some believe Sasaki, the No. 1 selection in the NPB’s 2019 draft, struck an agreement with Chiba Lotte upon signing that the club would post him at his discretion. There is no public proof of such an accord, and Matsumoto denied the existence of one Saturday.
Which teams are expected to be front-runners?
There’s already a lot of hand-wringing about the Dodgers, the reigning World Series champs, landing Sasaki a year after signing Ohtani and Yamamoto. The Dodgers have tracked Sasaki for years, and they will try to be first in line when his recruitment opens. But the truth is, because every team’s financial offer will essentially be equal, there’s no way to compile a list of favorites without first knowing Sasaki’s preferences.
Maybe he’d rather not be in Ohtani and Yamamoto’s wake.
Maybe he wants to pitch with his pal Yu Darvish in San Diego.
Maybe he wants to be an ace in a small pond. Maybe he wants to be on the East Coast or South Beach or Sacramento. Maybe he saw “Rookie of the Year” and always dreamed of pitching for the Chicago Cubs.
League sources told The Athletic’s Will Sammon that among Sasaki’s priorities are stability, lifestyle, comfort and a team’s track record with player development. (That last one should send the Tampa Bay Rays front office into a frenzy.) Sammon named several candidates for Sasaki’s services — the Dodgers, San Diego Padres, New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox, New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies, Cubs — and more will surely surface soon. We’ll learn more once Sasaki’s camp starts meeting with some MLB teams — and not others.
Sasaki’s representation is expected to include Joel Wolfe of the Wasserman agency, which counts Yamamoto, Darvish, Kodai Senga and Seiya Suzuki among its clients. Those four signed all over the map: Darvish with the Texas Rangers, Senga with the Mets, Suzuki with the Cubs, Yamamoto with the Dodgers. In all of those free agencies, clubs could buy better odds by simply offering the biggest contract. Sasaki’s bonus is capped. (Teams are not permitted to discuss long-term extensions while negotiating with a posted player, per MLB.com.) This is the rare free agency on a level playing field, as far as resources go. It comes down to where Sasaki wants to be.
Make your best pitch.
When will Sasaki sign?
The deadline for NPB players to be posted is Dec. 15. After that, there’s a 45-day window in which the player can negotiate with all 30 MLB clubs.
MLB’s international signing period also closes Dec. 15, with a new one opening Jan. 15. MLB teams have already blown through most of their international signing pool for this year. (The Dodgers have the most international bonus pool money available, with $2.5 million, according to MLB.com, followed by the Baltimore Orioles’ $2.1 million.) If Sasaki signs after Jan. 15, though, those pools will be replenished — even if much of the money already is earmarked for specific international prospects.
Bottom line: If Sasaki is posted in December and signs after Jan. 15, he — and Chiba Lotte — will make more money and ensure all 30 teams have bonus pool capacity to offer him. But it still won’t be more than a few million dollars, well short of a top draft pick’s signing bonus.
What can we expect from Sasaki in 2025?
Though it’s perfectly plausible Sasaki will pitch like an ace from his first start in April, he’ll likely have some workload restrictions — such as lower pitch counts or extra rest — as an MLB rookie.
Chiba Lotte was careful with Sasaki’s golden right arm. He did not pitch in 2020, and over the next four seasons, he exceeded 100 innings just twice as injuries limited his availability. Sasaki topped out at 129 1/3 innings in 2022, the year his 173 strikeouts ranked second to Yamamoto’s (205 in 193 innings).
If Sasaki remains healthy, 150 innings are a reasonable estimate for 2025.
GO DEEPER
Roki Sasaki has top-shelf stuff. How would it translate to Major League Baseball?
(Photo: Eric Espada / Getty Images)
Sports
Who is Alyssa Thomas? WNBA star suspended for punching Caitlin Clark in the throat
Caitlin Clark hit in throat during WNBA loose-ball scramble, sparking backlash and game suspension
WNBA superstar Caitlin Clark was hit in the throat during a loose-ball scramble, sparking outrage and a one-game suspension for Alyssa Thomas. Fox News’ Garrett Tenney reports on the ‘absolutely unacceptable’ incident and the coach’s reaction. Political analyst Gianno Caldwell discusses Clark’s immense impact on WNBA viewership, including a $2.2 billion deal, and the role of gender and race in the controversy.
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Phoenix Mercury All-Star Alyssa Thomas is the latest villain to Caitlin Clark fans after punching Clark in the throat during a game on Wednesday night.
The referees missed the punch in real time, but fans and the league office did not.
A viral clip of the punch in slow motion spread across social media, pouring gasoline on the ongoing culture war surrounding Clark’s physical treatment by opposing players, which has been a controversial issue dating back to Clark’s rookie season in 2024.
And Less than 24 hours after the incident, the WNBA slapped Thomas with a one-game suspension for what was deemed a “reckless” and “non-basketball act.”
Who is the woman behind the punch?
If Thomas wasn’t in the WNBA, she says she would go pro in combat sports
In a 2019 interview with Nike PLAYlist, Thomas answered what sport she would have gone pro in if she didn’t go pro in basketball.
“Either boxing or MMA,” Thomas said.
If Thomas never went pro in any sport, she said she would have gotten into dentistry.
“Since I was a kid, I loved going to the dentist. I just was fascinated with teeth and still am. I’m passionate about that whole process of cleaning,” according to a profile on WNBA.com.
The first time Thomas stepped on a basketball court, she threw a ‘hissy fit’
Thomas was signed up to try basketball for the first time at the age of five by her mother, Tina, per the WNBA.
Thomas said she “Threw myself all down the stairs, down the hallway,” while her mom said “She just threw an absolute hissy fit.”
WNBA SUSPENDS ALYSSA THOMAS FOR ‘RECKLESSLY’ HITTING CAITLIN CLARK IN THROAT DURING SCRAMBLE
Her parents didn’t let her win a popular board game
Thomas’ parents never took it easy on her when they played “Candyland” as she was growing up.
“We weren’t the parents that were just going to let you win,” Tina said, per the WNBA.
“In life, you have to fight, and how are you going to fight if you don’t teach your kids to fight? So if she fell over, ‘get up, you’re alright,’ and if she didn’t get up, you knew something was wrong.”
It was a parenting tactic also used by the father of New York Yankees legend Derek Jeter, who famously never let Jeter win in board games or card games when he was growing up, to instill harsh competitiveness at an early age.
Thomas added that her mom was especially hard on her and helped develop her toughness.
“By no means was it easy, and it’s still not easy,” Thomas said.
Thomas plays more physically because shoulder issues hinder her shooting ability
Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas scrambles to get up over Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark during a game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on June 24, 2026. The Phoenix Mercury defeated the Indiana Fever 111-109. (USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect)
Thomas currently plays basketball with torn labrums in both of her shoulders.
The injuries are so severe that she completely lacks the structural integrity to lift her arms and shoot a traditional, fluid jump shot. Instead, she is forced to use a rigid, one-handed pushing motion from her chest just to get the ball to the rim.
Because she cannot rely on outside shooting, Thomas adapted by leaning entirely into her physical frame. She drives directly into the teeth of opposing defenses, absorbing heavy contact in the paint to score closer to the basket.
Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark shown after falling in the lane while Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas watches the ball at Gainbridge Fieldhouse Indianapolis, Indiana on June 24, 2026. (Grace Smith/IndyStar / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)
That brutal, driving style requires her to initiate intense physical collisions on nearly every single possession.
Despite the mechanical limitations and constant pain, the tactical shift worked. She transformed herself into a six-time All-Star, three-time First-Team All-WNBA, an Olympic gold medalist and the undisputed triple-double queen of the WNBA.
Thomas has been the center of immense criticism this week
The throat punch on Clark ignited a fierce wave of backlash.
Indiana Fever Head Coach Stephanie White led the charge, completely unloading on Thomas and the league’s officials during her postgame press conference.
“We have a generational talent and a WNBA superstar who had two cheap shots right there that weren’t called,” White said, pointing directly at Thomas’s actions. “Absolutely unacceptable.”
White argued that Thomas regularly crosses the line from playing physical defense into inflicting dangerous, non-basketball contact.
“It’s absolutely egregious and utterly disrespectful,” White continued to fume to reporters. “The fist in the throat is crazy. It’s crazy. It’s dangerous.”
On Thursday, Fever President Kelly Krauskopf released a statement praising the decision to suspend Thomas.
“Player safety should be paramount in our league. We appreciate the WNBA’s review of last night’s incident and the action taken. Right now our focus is on Caitlin and our entire team as we prepare for Saturday,” Krauskopf wrote.
Former Minnesota Vikings captain and prominent conservative activist Jack Brewer said the punch would be considered a “hate crime” if the roles were reversed.
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“This would be considered a hate crime if it were the other way around,” Brewer told Fox News Digital.
Other critics have expressed their own outrage on social media.
Sports
Parents of ex-NFL player Doug Martin allege excessive force by Oakland police in wrongful death suit
The parents of Doug Martin filed a wrongful death lawsuit alleging that police officers used excessive force in trying to subdue the former NFL running back while he was “experiencing a mental health crisis” last October.
The lawsuit, filed Tuesday in the Northern District of California, also claims that paramedics contributed to Martin’s death by failing to “provide timely medical care.” The city of Oakland, several police officers and emergency medical service provider Falck USA/Northern California were named as defendants.
Martin died Oct. 18 in a hospital following his arrest by officers responding to reports of a break-in at a residence. He was 36. His death remains under investigation by Oakland police.
According to the Alameda County coroner’s office, Martin’s autopsy reports still are being finalized. Martin family attorney John Burris told the Athletic that an independent pathologist told the family that Martin potentially died from restraint asphyxia.
“Plaintiffs allege, on information and belief, that Decedent Martin died from restraint asphyxia caused by Oakland police officers and the FALCK NORCAL paramedics’ failure to provide timely medical care,” the lawsuit states.
The Oakland Police Department and Falck Norcal did not immediately respond to messages from The Times.
According to the complaint, Martin was “experiencing a mental health crisis” when his mother called for paramedics. He then fled and hid in a neighbor’s basement, where officers found him.
“After a brief struggle, defendant police officers physically restrained him,” the complaint states. “During the restraint, decedent Martin was placed face down while one or more officers pressed on his back. After a period of time, defendant Officers turned him onto his side.
“When they did so decedent Martin was unresponsive seemingly unconscious; However, the defendant officers initially believed he was sleeping or pretending to be sleep. When decedent Martin remained unresponsive, an officer requested medical assistance.
“Plaintiffs are informed and believe that decedent Martin did not receive immediate medical attention. Falck paramedics arrived over 15 minutes after the call for service and, and when they arrived, did not promptly provide medical care.”
A Stockton native, Martin was a first-round pick by Tampa Bay in the 2012 draft. He played six seasons for the Buccaneers, making the Pro Bowl in 2012 and 2015, before spending his final season with the Oakland Raiders in 2018. In his career, Martin rushed for 5,356 yards and 30 touchdowns.
Sports
2026 World Cup Odds: Which Nations are Favored to Reach Semifinals?
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With 48 teams competing and a grueling path through the knockout stage, reaching the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup will be an accomplishment in itself.
Only four nations will survive the tournament’s first 100 matches and earn a spot in the final four, putting themselves within two victories of lifting the most coveted trophy in sports.
Let’s take a look at the latest odds to reach the semifinals at FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 26.
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To Reach Semifinals
Argentina: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
France: +110 (bet $10 to win $21 total)
Spain: +120 (bet $10 to win $22 total)
England: +165 (bet $10 to win $26.50 total)
Portugal: +210 (bet $10 to win $31 total)
Brazil: +270 (bet $10 to win $37 total)
Netherlands: +300 (bet $10 to win $40 total)
Germany: +330 (bet $10 to win $43 total)
USA: +380 (bet $10 to win $48 total)
Norway: +550 (bet $10 to win $65 total)
Colombia: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)
Belgium: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Morocco: +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Switzerland: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)
Mexico: +850 (bet $10 to win $95 total)
Japan: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Croatia: +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)
Ecuador: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Canada: +1700 (bet $10 to win $180 total)
Austria: +1900 (bet $10 to win $200 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:
The Top 10: Argentina, France, Spain, England, Portugal, Brazil, the Netherlands and Germany — all considered powerhouse countries — stand at the top of the board, with each nation listed at +330 or better to reach the semifinals. But right after that group? The USA and Norway. The Americans have never made it to the semifinals of the World Cup, and this is Norway’s first appearance in the tournament since 1998.
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