Drew Phelps
| Staff Writer
The Arkansas Razorbacks (15-15, 6-11 SEC) and No. 17 Alabama Crimson Tide (20-10, 12-5) wrap up their regular seasons Saturday. Tip-off from Coleman Coliseum is set for noon ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Arkansas vs. Alabama odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Razorbacks are coming off a 94-83 Senior Night win against the LSU Tigers Wednesday. They covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites, and the game went over the 154.5 total. G Khalif Battle put on a show in front of the home fans in his last night at Bud Walton, finishing with 29 points, 4 boards, 3 blocks, 2 assists and a steal. Arkansas as a team blocked 10 of LSU’s shots in the victory.
The Razorbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 SEC road games.
Alabama, which is No. 17 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is coming off of an embarrassing 105-87 loss at the Florida Gators Tuesday. It failed to cover the spread as a 2.5-point underdog, and the Over (176) hit. The Crimson Tide got 33 points from G Mark Sears on 4-of-6 shooting from long range, but it wasn’t enough. Alabama’s 13 turnovers, which became 17 Gator points, were its downfall in the end.
The Crimson Tide have won 7 of their last 8 SEC home games.
Alabama is 3-0 straight up and 1-2 ATS in the last 3 meetings. The most recent meeting was an Arkansas cover as a 7.5-point underdog in an 86-83 Crimson Tide win in Tuscaloosa Feb. 25, 2023, as the Over (154) hit.
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Arkansas at Alabama odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Arkansas +890 (bet $100 to win $890) | Alabama -1700 (bet $1,700 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +15.5 (-110) | Alabama -15.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
Arkansas at Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 94, Arkansas 81
Moneyline
PASS.
You should obviously avoid betting Alabama (-1700), as those odds are ridiculously high. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET ARKANSAS +15.5 (-110).
I’m going to ride the hot hand with the Razorbacks. They have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games and are on a 3-game ATS winning streak on the road.
Alabama has failed to cover in 4 of its last 5, including back-to-back non-covers at home.
While the Crimson Tide have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matchups against Arkansas, the Razorbacks have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
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Over/Under
AVOID.
If you want to bet this, be my guest, but this number is just too darn high for me. All the trends tell me to bet the Over, but I can’t do it.
The Over has hit in 8 of Alabama’s last 10 games and 9 of the last 10 for Arkansas. Neither of these teams particularly takes pride in its defense; they both just try to outscore opponents. It will likely be a shootout.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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