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Can Tesla Data Help Us Understand Car Crashes?

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Can Tesla Data Help Us Understand Car Crashes?


Shortly earlier than 2 p.m. on a transparent July day in 2020, as Tracy Forth was driving close to Tampa, Fla., her white Tesla Mannequin S was hit from behind by one other automotive within the left lane of Interstate 275.


It was the sort of accident that happens 1000’s of instances a day on American highways. When the autos collided, Ms. Forth’s automotive slid into the median as the opposite one, a blue Acura sport utility automobile, spun throughout the freeway and onto the far shoulder.


After the collision, Ms. Forth advised law enforcement officials that Autopilot — a Tesla driver-assistance system that may steer, brake and speed up vehicles — had instantly activated her brakes for no obvious motive. She was unable to regain management, in response to the police report, earlier than the Acura crashed into the again of her automotive.


However her description isn’t the one file of the accident. Tesla logged practically each specific, all the way down to the angle of the steering wheel within the milliseconds earlier than affect. Captured by cameras and different sensors put in on the automotive, this knowledge offers a startlingly detailed account of what occurred, together with video from the entrance and the rear of Ms. Forth’s automotive.

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It exhibits that 10 seconds earlier than the accident, Autopilot was in management because the Tesla traveled down the freeway at 77 miles per hour. Then she prompted Autopilot to alter lanes.


The information collected by Ms. Forth’s Mannequin S was no fluke. Tesla and different automakers more and more seize such data to function and enhance their driving applied sciences.


The automakers not often share this knowledge with the general public. That has clouded the understanding of the dangers and rewards of driver-assistance methods, which have been concerned in a whole bunch of crashes over the previous yr.


However specialists say this knowledge might basically change the best way regulators, police departments, insurance coverage firms and different organizations examine something that occurs on the highway, making such investigations extra correct and less expensive.


It might additionally enhance the best way vehicles are regulated, giving authorities officers a clearer concept of what ought to and shouldn’t be allowed. Fatalities on the nation’s highways and streets have been climbing in recent times, reaching a 20-year excessive within the first three months of this yr, and regulators are looking for methods to reverse the pattern.

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“This may help separate crashes associated to expertise from crashes associated to driver error,” stated Bryan Reimer, a analysis scientist on the Massachusetts Institute of Expertise who focuses on driver-assistance methods and automatic autos.


This knowledge is considerably extra in depth and particular than the data collected by occasion knowledge recorders, also called “black bins,” which have lengthy been put in on cars. These units accumulate knowledge within the few seconds earlier than, throughout and after a crash.


Tesla’s knowledge, in contrast, is a continuing stream of data that features video of the automotive’s environment and statistics — typically referred to as automobile efficiency knowledge or telematics — that additional describes its conduct from millisecond to millisecond.


This offers a complete take a look at the automobile accumulating the information in addition to perception into the conduct of different vehicles and objects on the highway.

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Video alone offers perception into crashes that was not often obtainable prior to now. In April, a motorcyclist was killed after colliding with a Tesla in Jacksonville, Fla. Initially, the Tesla’s proprietor, Chuck Cook dinner, advised the police that he had no concept what had occurred. The motorbike struck the rear of his automotive, out of his visual view. However video captured by his Tesla confirmed that crash occurred as a result of the motorbike had misplaced a wheel. The offender was a unfastened lug nut.


When detailed statistics are paired with such video, the impact will be much more highly effective.


Matthew Wansley, a professor on the Cardozo Faculty of Regulation in New York who focuses on rising automotive applied sciences, noticed this energy throughout a stint at a self-driving automotive firm within the late 2010s. Knowledge gathered from cameras and different sensors, he stated, offered extraordinary perception into the causes of crashes and different site visitors incidents.


“We not solely knew what our automobile was doing at any given second, proper all the way down to fractions of a second, we knew what different autos, pedestrians and cyclists have been doing,” he stated. “Neglect eyewitness testimony.”


In a brand new educational paper, he argues that each one carmakers needs to be required to gather this type of knowledge and overtly share it with regulators each time a crash — any crash — happens. With this knowledge in hand, he believes, the Nationwide Freeway Visitors Security Administration can enhance highway security in ways in which have been beforehand not possible.

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The company, the nation’s prime auto security regulator, is already accumulating small quantities of this knowledge from Tesla because it investigates a collection of crashes involving Autopilot. Such knowledge “strengthens our investigation findings and might typically be useful in understanding crashes,” the company stated in a press release.


Others say this knowledge can have a fair bigger impact. Ms. Forth’s lawyer, Mike Nelson, is constructing a enterprise round it.


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Mike Nelson in his Tesla.




Hannah Yoon for The New York Occasions


Backed by knowledge from her Tesla, Ms. Forth finally determined to sue the motive force and the proprietor of the automotive that hit her, claiming that the automotive tried to go hers at an unsafe pace. (A lawyer representing the opposite automotive’s proprietor declined to remark.) However Mr. Nelson says such knowledge has extra necessary makes use of.

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His lately based start-up, QuantivRisk, goals to gather driving knowledge from Tesla and different carmakers earlier than analyzing it and promoting the outcomes to police departments, insurance coverage firms, regulation workplaces and analysis labs. “We anticipate to be promoting to everyone,” stated Mr. Nelson, a Tesla driver himself. “It is a method of gaining a greater understanding of the expertise and bettering security.”


Mr. Nelson has obtained knowledge associated to about 100 crashes involving Tesla autos, however increasing to a lot bigger numbers may very well be troublesome. Due to Tesla’s insurance policies, he can collect the information solely with the approval of every particular person automotive proprietor.


Tesla’s chief govt, Elon Musk, and a Tesla lawyer didn’t reply to requests for remark for this text. However Mr. Nelson says he thinks Tesla and different carmakers will finally comply with share such knowledge extra broadly. It might expose when their vehicles malfunction, he says, however it would additionally present when the vehicles behave as marketed — and when drivers or different autos are at fault.


“The information related to driving needs to be extra open to people who want to know how accidents occur,” Mr. Nelson stated.


Mr. Wansley and different specialists say that overtly sharing knowledge on this method might require a brand new authorized framework. In the intervening time, it’s not all the time clear whom the information belongs to — the carmaker or the automotive proprietor. And if the carmakers begin sharing the information with out the approval of automotive homeowners, this might elevate privateness issues.

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“For safety-related knowledge, the case for overtly sharing this knowledge is fairly sturdy,” Mr. Wansley stated. “However there shall be a privateness price.”


Mr. Reimer, of M.I.T., additionally cautions that this knowledge isn’t infallible. Although it’s extremely detailed, it may be incomplete or open to interpretation.


With the crash in Tampa, for example, Tesla offered Mr. Nelson with knowledge for under a brief window of time. And it’s unclear why Autopilot instantly hit the brakes, although the truck on the aspect of the highway appears to be the trigger.


However Mr. Reimer and others additionally say the video and different digital knowledge collected by firms like Tesla may very well be an amazing asset.


“When you’ve gotten goal knowledge,” he stated, “opinions don’t matter.”

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Questions swirl over the future of TikTok. Who could own it? How will the platform operate?

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Questions swirl over the future of TikTok. Who could own it? How will the platform operate?

TikTok on Wednesday faced a formidable threat to its business, with a new law signed by President Biden that could dramatically change the way the popular video app operates.

TikTok, which is owned by Chinese company ByteDance, has faced scrutiny from U.S. government officials over how it handles the data of its users here as well as its ties to China. The new law would require ByteDance, a tech company founded in China in 2012, to sell TikTok or the app will be banned in the U.S.

In a statement, TikTok said it has invested billions of dollars to protect the data of its U.S. users and that a ban would “devastate seven million business and silence 170 million Americans.”

The social media app, which has a large presence in Culver City, is a key platform for influencers, musicians and Hollywood talent.

“This unconstitutional law is a TikTok ban, and we will challenge it in court,” TikTok said in a statement. “We believe the facts and the law are clearly on our side, and we will ultimately prevail.”

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Now that Congress has voted to ban TikTok, how soon could a sale occur?

The law requires ByteDance to sell TikTok’s U.S. operations in 180 days or face a ban . If the Biden administration grants an extension, ByteDance could have a year to sell .

This isn’t the first time the app has faced such a threat. The company confronted a similar fate four years ago when the Trump administration banned it in the U.S.

TikTok sued the federal government, arguing that a ban would violate free speech. Ultimately, the order was blocked by two federal courts, which ruled the administration had exceeded its authority.

“It’s obviously a disappointing moment, but it does not need to be a defining one,” TikTok Chief Executive Shou Zi Chew said in a video posted on X on Wednesday. “It’s actually ironic because the freedom of expression on TikTok reflects the same American values that make the United States a beacon of freedom.”

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Any sale of TikTok would also need the approval of the Chinese government.

How valuable is TikTok and who might buy it?

The most valuable aspect of TikTok is its algorithm, which surfaces videos that aim to consistently attract the attention of its users in the U.S.

“TikTok’s ability to serve up relevant and entertaining content to its users is unparalleled in the social media world,” Jasmine Enberg, a principal analyst with insights provider Emarketer, said in a statement.

Enberg noted that U.S. users spend 54 minutes on TikTok each day, compared with 35 minutes a day on Instagram’s app.

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If ByteDance sells TikTok with its algorithm — which is unlikely — the platform would be worth $100 billion. Without the algorithm, TikTok would have a valuation of $30 billion to $40 billion, said Daniel Ives, a managing director with Wedbush Securities.

The most likely bidders? Computer software giants Microsoft and Oracle, analysts said.

“This would be a major strategic asset that would enable these tech stalwarts to have a massive consumer platform,” Ives said. “Data is gold, and TikTok would be like finding a gold mine for a tech stalwart.”

Microsoft declined to comment. Oracle did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Microsoft in August 2020 had explored taking control of TikTok in the U.S., Canada, New Zealand and Australia, which would have helped the company expand its presence in social media. But in September 2020 Microsoft said that ByteDance had rejected its offer.

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Instead, then-President Trump outlined a framework of a deal in 2020 that involved Oracle and Walmart, in which Oracle would host TikTok’s U.S. user data and TikTok would have a commercial partnership with Walmart. That transaction never materialized.

Other investors have also shown interest. Former Treasury Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin, who heads Liberty Strategic Capital, in March said he is assembling an investor group to bid for TikTok, telling CNBC, “This should be owned by U.S. businesses.”

TikTok will attract interest from other private equity players as well, Ives said.

What about Triller?

Triller, an L.A.-based social media company that attracted a lot of influencers to its app in 2020, had previously attempted to acquire TikTok with Centricus Asset Management.

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But that deal was never consummated and Triller experienced its own legal issues. Earlier this month, Hong Kong financial services company AGBA Group Holding Ltd. said it planned to acquire Triller in a reverse merger.

“Triller is reviewing all options at this time to secure its position as the leading social video platform in the U.S.,” Triller Chief Executive Bobby Sarnevesht said in a statement.

Could Google or Meta acquire TikTok?

That’s unlikely. Google, which owns YouTube, and Meta, which owns Instagram and Facebook, are already big leaders in the digital advertising and social media space and could face significant antitrust concerns if they were to attempt to buy TikTok.

Both tech giants also already have their own competing products to TikTok and stand to benefit if the video app were to go away, or if influencers were to encourage their massive audiences to follow them on other platforms.

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“The clock is already ticking, and any potential buyer must have deep pockets and a strong stomach,” Enberg of EMarketer said. “While many would want to get their hands on TikTok’s coveted algorithm, most of those who could afford to buy the app wouldn’t be able to clear antitrust hurdles.”

So what would a ban mean for the creator economy in L.A.?

Los Angeles is ground zero for TikTok content creation in the U.S., with huge numbers of full-time creators calling the city home and droves of influencers regularly flying in from around the world to film videos and attend industry events.

Communities and mini economies have formed around TikTok influencers, who employ talent managers, agents, stylists and personal assistants, and start their own businesses related to their fandom.

Many creators have become overnight sensations and near-instant millionaires, banding together to rent mega-mansions and spending lavishly on cars, clothes and products — and encouraging their huge follower bases to do the same.

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They have enormous influence on trends and purchasing decisions. Take, for example, Erewhon: After TikTokkers made its Strawberry Glaze Skin Smoothie a thing, thousands of consumers poured into the luxury grocery chain’s stores to buy the $19 pink drink.

“The amount of money creators are spending on travel, on products, on creating brands — there’s just so much that’s tied to this app,” said Michelle York, 40, a lifestyle and beauty creator from Moorpark, Calif.

With 203,000 followers on TikTok, she quit her job as an executive at an insurance and technology firm last month after discovering that she was earning more money from the app. If TikTok is banned, “the blowback I think will be astronomical,” York said. “And also the financial losses.”

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The first big-rig hydrogen fuel station in the U.S. opens in California

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The first big-rig hydrogen fuel station in the U.S. opens in California

The first commercial hydrogen fuel station for big-rig trucks in the U.S. is up and running at the Port of Oakland, a baby step toward what hydrogen proponents see as a clean new future for long-haul trucking.

The small station, now serving 30 hydrogen fuel-cell trucks, could mark the start of a nationwide network for fuel-cell truck refueling. It could also flop.

Aggressive and impactful reporting on climate change, the environment, health and science.

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The challenges are immense. Hydrogen fuel is expensive — as much as four times more expensive than gasoline or diesel fuel. The fuel cells, which drive electric motors to drive the truck, are enormously expensive as well.

Making hydrogen itself is now a dirty, greenhouse-gas-generating process, although green hydrogen production is an emerging option, and even more expensive. Hydrogen proponents are banking on the idea that scaling up production will bring prices down

New diesel truck sales will be outlawed in California by 2036. Only zero-tailpipe-emission new trucks will be allowed. Already, zero-emission requirements are in place for trucks that enter ocean ports. And only two technologies are available to achieve that goal: battery electric trucks and hydrogen fuel-cell trucks. “We believe a good portion of those will be hydrogen vehicles,” said Matt Miyasato, chief of public policy for hydrogen fuel distributor FirstElement Fuel.

FirstElement, through its True Zero brand fueling stations, is the largest hydrogen vehicle fuel distributor in the U.S. Miyasato spoke Tuesday at a ceremony to mark the station’s opening, attended by state officials including Liane Randolph, chair of the California Air Resources Board; and Tyson Eckerle, clean transportation advisor for Gov. Gavin Newsom’s business development office, Go-Biz. Primary funding for the Oakland station is provided by state money channeled through the Air Resources Board and the California Energy Commission.

A pump at a fueling station.

A hydrogen pump at FirstElement’s True Zero hydrogen fueling station at the Port of Oakland.

(Russ Mitchell / Los Angeles Times)

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Hydrogen fuel holds great promise for cleaner air. It is not a fossil fuel. A fuel cell is a kind of battery that takes in hydrogen and emits only water vapor.

However, producing hydrogen itself can be very dirty. Most hydrogen produced today requires methane, which is a fossil fuel and a strong greenhouse gas contributor. The industry is working on production alternatives, including carbon capture and storage from the burning of methane, or quitting methane altogether to make green hydrogen, using an electrolyzer to split water’s hydrogen and oxygen. Both alternatives are prohibitively expensive without government subsidies.

The federal government is handing out $8 billion to jump-start what it calls the “hydrogen economy” by creating so-called hydrogen hubs. One of them will be set in California, which is expected to take in $1.2 billion for the project.

Eckerle said the hub funding will allow construction of 60 more hydrogen truck stations in California, enough to serve 5,000 trucks and 1,000 buses.

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The vehicles themselves are expensive too. Both battery electric and hydrogen fuel-cell trucks can cost three times as much or more than a $120,000 diesel truck. Those buying the trucks can qualify for state and federal subsidies to make up most of the upfront costs.

Battery electric is gaining a strong foothold in the medium-sized delivery truck market, but hydrogen could have a leg up for long-haul trucking. While a fuel cell is comparable in size to a diesel engine, a battery big enough for long-haul trucks adds weight and size and cuts down on the total freight load the truck can deliver. And while an battery electric truck can take hours to recharge, the refill time for hydrogen is more comparable to filling up with diesel fuel.

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Why Disney is doubling down on theme parks with a $60-billion plan

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Why Disney is doubling down on theme parks with a $60-billion plan

Over the decades since Walt Disney opened his first theme park in 1955, the company’s tourism business has ballooned to an enterprise worth tens of billions in yearly sales, with sprawling locations in Anaheim, Orlando, Paris, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Tokyo.

Today, the Burbank entertainment giant is doubling down once again. Disney plans to invest $60 billion over 10 years into its so-called experiences division, which includes the theme parks, resorts and cruise line, as well as merchandise.

In Anaheim, the city council recently approved an expansion plan at Disneyland Resort, which could lead to at least $1.9 billion of development and involve new attractions alongside hotel, retail and restaurant space.

Why the massive investment? At a time when Disney faces revenue challenges due to cord cutting, streaming wars and a slower film box office, its theme parks are a bright — and reliable — spot for its business. Moreover, they play a major part in the company’s strategy — using well-loved movies to inspire rides and vice versa (think “Pirates of the Caribbean”), feeding an ongoing virtuous cycle.

“When you consider other elements of Disney’s business, those theme parks, they’ve shown themselves to be proven winners,” said Carissa Baker, assistant professor of theme park and attraction management at the University of Central Florida’s Rosen College of Hospitality Management. “There’s no doubt that they have stayed very competitive in the film space and the TV space, but they’ve always led the theme park sector.”

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During the most recent fiscal year, the company’s experiences division — which is heavily anchored by the parks — brought in about 70% of Disney’s operating income, according to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. By contrast, Disney’s sports sector, including ESPN, contributed 19% of operating income. The entertainment division, consisting of the company’s TV channels, streaming services and movie studios, brought up the rear at 11%.

Those numbers represent a stark contrast from even 10 years ago, when the company was heavily reliant on its TV networks, which brought in 56% of Disney’s operating income (that segment included ESPN at the time). The parks and resorts division drew just 20%.

The tide began to turn in 2019, as the global theme park industry saw record-breaking attendance, just in time for the pandemic to hit the next year.

With the parks closed, Disney reported an operating loss of $81 million in 2020. Disneyland and Disney’s California Adventure, in particular, were shut for 15 months, due to tight restrictions in the Golden State. Since then, pent-up demand from visitors has propelled theme park revenue in a way that hasn’t been replicated in movie theaters.

“The industry was really growing quickly before COVID-19, and that obviously put a crimp on everything,” said Martin Lewison, associate professor of business management at Farmingdale State College in New York. “But it appears as long as the economy remains healthy, the industry is back on track for that growth.”

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Theme parks are typically one of the fastest parts of the travel and hospitality industry to recover after economic downturns, said Dennis Speigel, founder and chief executive of consulting firm International Theme Park Services. Part of that is because it’s hard to duplicate the theme park experience at home.

“Disney sets the bar for our entire global theme park industry,” Speigel said. “The guests, the visitors, they love the way Disney immerses you in their storytelling.”

The Disneyland Resort expansion plan, known as DisneylandForward, will help the 490-acre park stay fresh for visitors. The plan calls for changes to the park’s zoning, allowing the company more freedom to mix attractions, theme parks, shopping, dining and parking. While the plan doesn’t specify exactly which attractions will be added to the resort, company officials have floated ideas including immersive Frozen, Tron and Avatar experiences.

Over the years, Disneyland has cycled out many rides and exhibits to make way for new ones — for example, of the original 33 attractions that debuted with the park, only about a dozen still exist (One that didn’t make it? The Monsanto Hall of Chemistry).

Though Disneyland and Disney’s California Adventure have recently seen additions such as Star Wars: Galaxy’s Edge, Avengers Campus and the renovated Pixar Place Hotel, giving guests new reasons to come back again and again are the key to increased growth. This summer, the Magic Kingdom will open Tiana’s Bayou Adventure, replacing the controversial “Song of the South”-inspired Splash Mountain attraction.

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“In the theme parks business, you tend to make more money the more you invest,” said Lewison of Farmingdale State College. “People love riding Haunted Mansion 50 times, but the truth is that even that gets old. So new rides, new lands, new parks — these things draw in attendance, they create pricing power and they add capacity.”

And Disney’s rivals in the theme parks business show no signs of slowing down, meaning Disney can’t just rely on its existing hits. Universal Studios Hollywood recently added Super Nintendo World to its park, SeaWorld is touting new attractions and shows for its 60th anniversary this year, and even immersive art installation company Meow Wolf is expanding throughout the U.S.

The competition is becoming so fierce that Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger faced a pointed question during last month’s shareholder meeting about Walt Disney World’s readiness to vie with a new Universal park set to open in Orlando in 2025. He pushed back on the query, saying the idea that Disney World didn’t prepare enough attractions to compete for guests that year “just couldn’t be further from the truth.”

“We’ve been aware of Universal’s plans for a new park for more than a decade,” he said. “We have a sophisticated approach to analyzing the needs of all of our businesses and strategically deploying capital.”

The importance of the parks to Disney’s bottom line is also showing up in the entertainment giant’s search for Iger’s successor. (Iger is expected to retire in 2026.) Josh D’Amaro, the chair of Disney Experiences, which includes the parks, is considered one of four front-runners for the job. Notably, it was Bob Chapek, formerly of the parks division, who initially succeeded Iger, though he was later ousted from the role.

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