World
Tunisia’s political experiment threatens economic collapse
NICE, France (AP) — Tunisia’s more and more authoritarian president seems decided to upend the nation’s political system. The technique isn’t solely threatening a democracy as soon as seen as a mannequin for the Arab world, consultants say it’s also sending the financial system towards a tailspin.
The Worldwide Financial Fund has frozen an settlement meant to assist the federal government get loans to pay public sector salaries and fill funds gaps aggravated by the COVID-19 pandemic and the fallout from Russia’s battle in Ukraine.
Overseas buyers are pulling out of Tunisia, and scores businesses are on alert. Inflation and joblessness are on the rise, and lots of Tunisians, as soon as pleased with their nation’s relative prosperity, now battle to make ends meet.
An election debacle per week in the past has made issues worse: Simply 11% of voters took half in a first-round vote for a brand new parliament meant to exchange a legislature disbanded final 12 months by President Kais Saied. Opposition figures, together with from the favored Islamist motion Ennahdha, are demanding that he step down, and unions are threatening a common strike.
Saied himself designed the elections to exchange and reshape the parliament, as a part of broad reforms that bolster his powers and that he says will remedy Tunisia’s a number of crises. However voter disillusionment with the ruling class amid dire financial troubles contributed to a near-boycott of the election.
Tunisia’s Western allies, like america and France, have expressed concern and urged the president to forge an inclusive political dialogue that may profit the sluggish financial system. Tunisia was the birthplace of Arab Spring democratic uprisings 12 years in the past.
Saied rejected criticism over the low voter turnout, saying what actually issues is the second spherical of voting Jan. 19. He says his reforms are wanted to rid the nation of the corrupt political class and Tunisia’s overseas enemies. He lashed out at his political foes within the Ennahdha celebration, which had the biggest variety of lawmakers within the earlier parliament, and ordered the arrest this week of its vice-president and former Prime Minister Ali Larayedeh on terrorism-related prices.
“Saied appears impervious to criticism and intent on bulldozing his strategy to a brand new political system irrespective of how few Tunisians are engaged within the course of,” mentioned Monica Marks, a Tunisia skilled and professor of Center East politics on the New York College in Abu Dhabi.
“No Tunisian requested Saied to reinvent the wheel of Tunisian politics, to put in writing a brand new structure and revamp the election legislation,” Marks mentioned. “What Tunisians have been asking for is a extra respectful authorities that meets their bread-and-butter wants and provides them financial dignity.”
Saied’s guarantees to stabilize the financial system helped guarantee his landslide victory within the 2019 presidential election.
However he has but to current an financial restoration plan or technique for his deeply indebted authorities to safe funds to pay for meals and power subsidies. The president has sidelined economists in state establishments, stalling the nation’s funds and souring the setting for overseas buyers.
Tunisians have been hit with hovering meals costs and shortages of gas and fundamental staples like sugar, vegetable oil and rice in latest months. Inflation has reached 9.1%, the best in three many years, in response to the Nationwide Institute of Statistics, and unemployment is at 18% %, in response to the World Financial institution.
“President Saied naively appears to suppose that if solely he can full his political roadmap, the financial system will repair itself,” mentioned Geoff Porter, a New York Metropolis-based North Africa danger evaluation analyst, in a latest transient.
Tunisia reached a preliminary settlement with the IMF on a $1.9 billion mortgage in October. It will allow the closely indebted Tunisian authorities to entry loans from different donors over a four-year interval in return for sweeping financial reforms that embody shrinking the general public administration sector — one of many world’s largest — and a gradual lifting of subsidies.
The settlement was topic to the IMF government board’s approval, scheduled for Dec. 19. The state information company TAP reported that “the federal government and the IMF have agreed to postpone” the ultimate resolution on the mortgage to present Tunisian officers “extra time to current a brand new reform plan for the nation’s sluggish financial system.”
Tunisia desperately wants entry to the particular drawing rights to be able to keep away from defaulting on exterior debt and to stabilize the financial system, Porter mentioned. He added: “With out the IMF funds, Tunisia’s financial freefall will speed up.”
Overseas buyers working in Tunisia are fearful.
Pharmaceutical producers Novartis, Bayer and GlaxoSmithKline are leaving the nation as a result of they aren’t getting paid by the insufficiently funded state pharmaceutical distributor.
Royal Dutch Shell, which operates two gasoline fields that accounted for 40% of Tunisia’s home manufacturing, introduced in November it’ll exit Tunisia by 12 months’s finish. Regardless of hype over the nation’s hydrogen sector, nothing has been completed to draw buyers because the nation’s regulatory establishments are paralyzed by Saied’s political strikes, Porter mentioned.
The president has additionally misplaced the tentative help of the nation’s highly effective commerce union, the UGTT, for the IMF-prescribed reform plan in change for a bailout.
UGTT chief Noureddine Taboubi agreed with the federal government in August to debate a brand new “social contract” to assist Tunisians in monetary misery, the state TAP information company reported. However Taboubi, whose influential union represents 67% of Tunisia’s work power, primarily employed within the public sector, just lately pulled again on his dedication. He renewed his opposition to the IMF’s most important calls for to obtain a mortgage program: a public sector wage freeze and restructuring of state-owned enterprises.
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Bouazza ben Bouazza contributed from Tunis, Tunisia.
World
German FM questions if DHL plane crash was 'hybrid incident'
A cargo plane crashed into a house on its approach to Lithuania’s Vilnius Airport on Monday morning, killing one crew member and injuring others.
Authorities search for answers as they continue their investigation after a Boeing 737 cargo plane crashed into a house near Vilnius Airport in Lithuania on Monday morning.
The DHL cargo plane operated by Swiftair, departing from Leipzig in Germany, crashed while approaching the airport in Lithuania’s capital. A Spanish crew member was killed, and three other people on board were rushed to the hospital, one of them is in critical condition. No one on the ground was reportedly injured.
Speaking on the sidelines of the G7 Foreign Ministers’ meeting in Italy, Germany’s Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock raised the question of whether the plane crash was a hybrid attack.
“We have to say at this point that we and our Lithuanian partners must now seriously ask ourselves whether this was an accident or, after last week, another hybrid incident. That shows what volatile times we are living in in the middle of Europe,” she said.
Lithuanian officials said one line of inquiry would examine Russian involvement but stressed that no evidence exists yet.
Last month, Western security officials warned that Russian military intelligence may be carrying out sabotage acts against nations in retaliation for their support to Ukraine.
Darius Jauniškis, the chief of Lithuania’s Intelligence, mirrored these concerns and said terrorism cannot be ruled out: “The State Security Department, together with the Department of Operational Services, have warned that these things are possible in the future. We see Russia becoming more aggressive.”
He added that however for now, “we really cannot make any attributions or point fingers at anyone, because there is no information about it.”
Lithuanian Defence Minister Laurynas Kasčiūnas said, “According to the information I have at the moment, I can say that there are no confirming facts that this was some kind of sabotage or terrorist incident. But the investigation will answer all the questions.”
The General Commissioner of the Lithuanian Police, Arūnas Paulauskas, chose not to speculate and said the cause of the crash might be the result of a technical failure or a human error. “But we are not aviation experts here to discuss this matter in such detail,” he added.
Paulauskas confirmed that investigators have visited the hospital, and will talk with the aircraft’s police and other aviation officials when they get the chance.
“As far as I know, the investigators have gone to the hospital. If there is an opportunity to communicate with the aircraft’s pilots to determine the initial causes, as well as with officials responsible for civil aviation.”
Experts say communication with Air Traffic Controller seemed ‘normal’
Several aviation experts who spoke to local media said they noticed nothing out of the ordinary when they listened to the communication between the crew and the Air Traffic Controller (ATC) that was shared online.
Aviation expert Vidas Kaupelis said it seemed there was “routine communication between the air traffic controller and the pilot”.
“They didn’t declare any emergency situation, they didn’t speak of any technical failures or fires,” the expert added.
The Chief of the Aircraft Accident and Incident Investigation under Ministry of Justice, Laurynas Naujokaitis, said German and Spanish investigators are due to arrive in Lithuania to assist local authorities with the probe.
“Currently we have an answer that a German safety probe institution is sending four investigators, Spain safety probe institution is sending two,” he said. “We are still gathering information regarding technical maintenance, meteorological, navigation and qualification information.”
World
Charles Oakley, MSG Still Sparring as Judge Weighs Dolan Testimony
A federal judge in New York last Thursday issued a mixed set of rulings in retired New York Knicks star Charles Oakley’s long-lasting litigation against Madison Square Garden Networks over Oakley’s removal from his seat at a Knicks game in February 2017. The rulings indicate that unless the parties reach a settlement, a dispute that began shortly after Donald Trump became the 45th president could last well into Trump’s term as the 47th president.
U.S. District Judge Richard J. Sullivan sided with MSG on its demand that MSG chairman James Dolan face deposition only after MSG personnel are deposed. Sullivan agreed with MSG that having Dolan go last would help to “narrow the scope” of Dolan’s deposition. The judge reasoned that MSG employees “who were directly involved in Oakley’s removal and thus have the knowledge most relevant to determining whether unreasonable force was used against Oakley” should go first.
The fact that MSG employees haven’t yet been deposed is partly a reflection of the litigation’s turbulent path. The case has been dismissed twice at the trial level but reinstated twice by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, meaning it’s now in round three at the Southern District of New York. There are also disputed questions about key testimony and evidence that could further bog down the case. In the current version of the litigation, Oakley’s civil case is related to assault and battery claims stemming from his removal.
While Sullivan agreed Dolan would face deposition after MSG personnel, he sided against MSG’s request that Dolan not face deposition at all.
The judge explained that Oakley’s assault and battery claims “ultimately boil down to two considerations.” The first is the amount of force MSG staff used to remove Oakley from the Garden and, second, whether that force “was objectively reasonable under the circumstances.”
Oakley believes Dolan instructed staff to remove him. Sullivan reasoned that Dolan’s potential testimony is relevant in that he would have to answer under oath about whether he instructed—by words and/or “hand gestures”—the security guards to push Oakley and use excessive force. If Dolan gave an instruction to use force, his testimony, Sullivan wrote, “would support the reasonable inference that the guards followed Dolan’s instructions and would therefore make it more probable that the guards did in fact push him.”
Sullivan further observed that Dolan’s testimony is relevant to a key factual question: Whether the security guards “only resorted to force after Oakley physically escalated the situation.” Oakley’s case would be hampered by a finding that he instigated the altercation, since, Sullivan explained, “it might have been reasonable for the security guards to use greater force if Oakley was behaving aggressively.”
The judge was similarly unpersuaded that Dolan ought to be exempt from deposition on account of the apex-witness doctrine. As Sportico detailed in September when Sullivan rejected MSG’s earlier attempt to invoke this doctrine, high-ranking executives are sometimes exempt from depositions since they lack personal knowledge of key facts. In his latest ruling, Sullivan said Dolan “is not the prototypical apex witness who sits in the knowledge or involvement in the underlying conduct.”
Instead, Dolan literally “had a courtside seat to the action” and is accused of being involved in the incident. “The apex doctrine is plainly inapplicable here,” Sullivan insisted.
Sullivan also disagreed with MSG that Oakley is merely trying to depose Dolan to harass him. MSG cites text messages sent to Oakley from people urging the former player to go after Dolan, with one text saying Oakley should “sue the [expletive] out of Dolan.” Another text encouraged Oakley to use the discovery process to inflict a “public relations, social media, [and] social responsibility toll.” With negative attention stemming from the case, MSG might be more inclined to cut a deal. Sullivan didn’t find this evidence indicative of an intent by Oakley to harass, as there’s no evidence Oakley responded or otherwise endorsed the texts.
“We are pleased that the Court denied James Dolan’s latest attempt to avoid being deposed in this case,” Wigdor Law partner Valdi Licul, who is one of Oakley’s attorneys, told Sportico in a statement.
In September, the two sides told Sullivan their “present best estimate” was that a trial would take a couple of weeks. The judge at the time indicated there would be a post-discovery conference on March 4, 2025, though the parties’ recent disagreement about discovery suggests the case has a long way to go.
(In the next-to-last paragraph, Wigdor Law amended its original statement, replacing “to be excused from deposition in this case” to read “to avoid being deposed in this case.”)
World
Top NATO military official urges businesses to be prepared for ‘wartime scenario’
A top military official with NATO warned businesses on Monday to be ready for a wartime scenario, which could entail adjusting production and distribution lines to be less vulnerable to blackmail from Russia and China.
Dutch Admiral Rob Bauer, the chairperson of NATO’s military committee, told attendees at an event of the European Policy Center think tank in Brussels that all available instruments could be used during a time of war, according to a report from Reuters.
“If we can make sure that all crucial services and goods can be delivered no matter what, then that is a key part of our deterrence,” Bauer said.
He also said NATO is seeing a growing number of sabotage acts while Europe has seen the same when it comes to its energy supply.
UKRAINE TO ANALYZE FRAGMENTS OF MISSILE FIRED BY RUSSIA CAPABLE OF CARRYING NUCLEAR WARHEADS
“We thought we had a deal with Gazprom, but we actually had a deal with Mr. Putin. And the same goes for Chinese-owned infrastructure and goods. We actually have a deal with [Chinese President] Xi [Jinping],” Bauer told the group.
The west, Bauer explained, depends on supplies from China, as 60% of all rare earth materials are produced, and 90% of those are processed there.
Also coming from China are chemical ingredients for sedatives, antibiotics, anti-inflammatories and low blood pressure medications, he further explained.
‘NEW’ RUSSIAN MISSILE USED AGAINST UKRAINE NOT HYPERSONIC, DEFENSE OFFICIALS SAY
“We are naive if we think the Communist Party will never use that power,” Bauer said. “Business leaders in Europe and America need to realize that the commercial decisions they make have strategic consequences for the security of their nation.”
“Businesses need to be prepared for a wartime scenario and adjust their production and distribution lines accordingly,” he continued to stress. “Because while it may be the military who wins battles, it’s the economies that win wars.”
Bauer’s message comes as tensions between Ukraine and Russia continue to escalate.
1,000 DAYS OF WAR IN UKRAINE AS ZELENSKYY DOUBLES DOWN ON AERIAL OPTIONS WITH ATACMS, DRONES AND MISSILES
Last week, Russia launched an intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) capable of carrying conventional or nuclear warheads, into Ukraine.
Ukrainian officials said the missile called Oreshnik — Russian for Hazel Tree — reached speeds of Mach 11 when it struck a factory in the city of Dnipro on Thursday.
While two U.S. officials told Fox News the missile was not hypersonic, deputy Pentagon press secretary Sabrina Singh told reporters on Thursday the attack was concerning and that it was the first time the missile had been used on the battlefield.
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North Korea also sent at least 11,000 soldiers to fight in Ukraine alongside Russian soldiers, further escalating tensions.
Reuters contributed to this report.
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