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Shareholders in Bell Financial Group (ASX:BFG) are in the red if they invested three years ago

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Shareholders in Bell Financial Group (ASX:BFG) are in the red if they invested three years ago

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that’s been the case for longer term Bell Financial Group Limited (ASX:BFG) shareholders, since the share price is down 32% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 21%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 11% in the last 90 days.

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they’ve been consistent with returns.

See our latest analysis for Bell Financial Group

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Bell Financial Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 14% per year, over the last three years. This fall in EPS isn’t far from the rate of share price decline, which was 12% per year. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn’t changed all that much over time. It seems like the share price is reflecting the declining earnings per share.

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The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth

This free interactive report on Bell Financial Group’s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Bell Financial Group’s TSR for the last 3 years was -18%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

It’s good to see that Bell Financial Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 26% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 12% per year), it would seem that the stock’s performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Bell Financial Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we’ve identified 1 warning sign for Bell Financial Group that you should be aware of.

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Finance

Fed independence faces a ‘showdown’ between Trump & the market

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Fed independence faces a ‘showdown’ between Trump & the market

00:00 Speaker A

I also want to ask about what’s going on with economic data and the Federal Reserve, guys. Um, Ed, what are you hearing there in D.C.? Right? There is now some reporting out there that Kevin Hassett is kind of the front-runner to potentially take Jay Powell’s place at the Federal Reserve. What are you hearing and what’s the kind of vibe in Washington around this decision?

00:43 Ed

So, Julie, the way I’d view this is that President Trump always loves competition. You know, he came to some of his most recent national prominence by having the Apprentice show. And so, my expectation is that President Trump is going to keep multiple people in the running. Kevin Hassett certainly is in there. Kevin Warsh is in there. I’d put Christopher Waller, who’s already on the Fed board, as well as Treasury Secretary Bessant. I’m watching to see if there’s an opening on the Fed. If a governor steps down, like Michael Barr, now that he’s no longer vice chair for supervision, does one of these individuals get onto the board? I’m also watching for Waller as there are rate decisions here in July and September. Is there going to be a dissent? You generally don’t see dissents among Fed governors, but as you’re auditioning for that role, showing that you would be much more dovish is something that President Trump is going to be looking for and could move him up the list of potential Fed chairs come May of next year.

02:26 Speaker A

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Yeah, I think the Apprentice Federal Reserve edition is something that no one asked for, uh, guys. I don’t know, Dory, like, in terms of market reaction to all of this, um, you know, we’ve seen rates kind of remain range-bound here as we get numbers like CPI yesterday and PPI today. But do you think at some point that this competition is going to start to really come to bear in the bond market?

03:25 Dory

Uh, yeah, I think we have a showdown coming. Uh, most people in the marketplace want to preserve the independence of the Fed, and when I say that, I mean that both ways, not just from Trump’s standpoint, but from the Fed’s standpoint. I’ve always said the Fed is, in my mind, Powell being a little political in some of his rate cuts early last year. Having said that, the market has always anticipated for the last couple of years anyway, uh, more rate cuts than actually should have happened or did happen. And I think we’re falling into that trap, and so is Trump as well. I’m kind of a wait-and-see kind of guy right now. I do think the next Fed chair is going to be one of those type of interviews, hey, I’m Donald Trump and I believe this, and if you believe this, I’d like to have you as Fed chair. That points to Hassett being the, uh, being, being there. And, uh, I think that’s going to get some criticism from the market. I think we need that independence. We need good independent valuation. Uh, and, and, you know, I think cutting too soon, soon could be, uh, extremely dangerous when we all know that our deficit is out of control, our debt is out of control, and we don’t want to become a Venezuela.

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Fulton Financial’s (NASDAQ:FULT) Q2: Strong Sales

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Fulton Financial’s (NASDAQ:FULT) Q2: Strong Sales

Regional banking company Fulton Financial (NASDAQ:FULT) reported Q2 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations , but sales fell by 1.9% year on year to $328.4 million. Its GAAP profit of $0.53 per share was 24.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Fulton Financial? Find out in our full research report.

  • Net Interest Income: $254.9 million vs analyst estimates of $255.1 million (5.5% year-on-year growth, in line)

  • Net Interest Margin: 3.5% vs analyst estimates of 3.4% (6.2 basis point beat)

  • Revenue: $328.4 million vs analyst estimates of $318 million (1.9% year-on-year decline, 3.3% beat)

  • Efficiency Ratio: 57.1% vs analyst estimates of 61% (3.9 percentage point beat)

  • EPS (GAAP): $0.53 vs analyst estimates of $0.43 (24.7% beat)

  • Market Capitalization: $3.56 billion

“I’m proud that our team has delivered a new company record, with operating net income of $100.6 million, or $0.55 per diluted share, this past quarter,” said Curt Myers, Chairman and CEO of Fulton.

Tracing its roots back to 1882 in the heart of Pennsylvania, Fulton Financial (NASDAQ:FULT) is a financial holding company that provides banking, lending, and wealth management services to consumers and businesses across five Mid-Atlantic states.

In general, banks make money from two primary sources. The first is net interest income, which is interest earned on loans, mortgages, and investments in securities minus interest paid out on deposits. The second source is non-interest income, which can come from bank account, credit card, wealth management, investing banking, and trading fees.

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Over the last five years, Fulton Financial grew its revenue at a solid 8.4% compounded annual growth rate. Its growth beat the average bank company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Fulton Financial Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a half-decade historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. Fulton Financial’s annualized revenue growth of 8.3% over the last two years aligns with its five-year trend, suggesting its demand was predictably strong.

Fulton Financial Year-On-Year Revenue Growth
Fulton Financial Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

Note: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

This quarter, Fulton Financial’s revenue fell by 1.9% year on year to $328.4 million but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 3.3%.

Net interest income made up 76.1% of the company’s total revenue during the last five years, meaning lending operations are Fulton Financial’s largest source of revenue.

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Reeves hails ‘instant impact’ for aspiring homeowners as red tape is cut

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Reeves hails ‘instant impact’ for aspiring homeowners as red tape is cut

First-time buyers are set to see an “instant impact” from the drive to kickstart economic growth, Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to say.

More mortgages will be available at more than 4.5 times a buyer’s income following recent Bank of England recommendations that some lenders can offer more high loan-to-income mortgages if they choose to.

This will create up to 36,000 additional mortgages for first-time buyers over the first year, the Government said.

Britain’s biggest building society – Nationwide – announced last week that it is aiming to increase its high loan-to-income lending limit.

From Wednesday, eligible first-time buyers can apply for Nationwide’s Helping Hand mortgage with a £30,000 salary, down from £35,000, and joint applicants with a £50,000 combined salary – down from £55,000.

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It is estimated this will support an additional 10,000 first-time buyers each year.

The changes will sit alongside the creation of a permanent mortgage guarantee scheme, delivering on a manifesto commitment, and a review of Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) lending rules that could allow prospective buyers’ records of paying rent on time to be used to show they can afford mortgage repayments.

Reforms will be outlined in Leeds ahead of Ms Reeves’s Mansion House speech on Tuesday evening.

Speaking in the City of London, the Chancellor is expected to say: “I welcome the recent changes the (Bank of England) Financial Policy Committee has announced to the loan-to-income limit on mortgage lending, which the PRA (Prudential Regulation Authority) and FCA are implementing immediately.

“With an instant impact for consumers, such as Nationwide offering its Helping Hand mortgage to more first-time buyers – supporting an additional 10,000 each year.”

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Ms Reeves is expected to add: “Today, I have placed financial services at the heart of the Government’s growth mission.

“Recognising that Britain cannot succeed and meet its growth ambitions without a financial services sector that is fighting fit and thriving.

“And I have been clear on the benefits that that will drive.

“With a ripple effect that will drive investment in all sectors of our economy and put pounds in the pockets of working people.”

Nicholas Mendes​​​​, mortgage technical manager at broker John Charcol, said: “The decision to widen access to Nationwide’s Helping Hand mortgage by lowering the income thresholds will offer an immediate and practical benefit to a group of people who have often found themselves just on the wrong side of affordability criteria.

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