Science
‘A Tiny Bit of Math’ Might Improve Your Heart Health, Study Suggests
Many people use a smartwatch to monitor their cardiovascular health, often by counting the number of steps they take over the course of their day, or recording their average daily heart rate. Now, researchers are proposing an enhanced metric, which combines the two using basic math: Divide your average daily heart rate by your daily average number of steps.
The resulting ratio — the daily heart rate per step, or DHRPS — provides insight into how efficiently the heart is working, according to a study conducted by researchers at the Feinberg School of Medicine at Northwestern University and published today in the Journal of the American Heart Association.
The study found that people whose hearts work less efficiently, by this metric, were more prone to various diseases, including Type II diabetes, hypertension, heart failure, stroke, coronary atherosclerosis and myocardial infarction.
“It’s a measure of inefficiency,” said Zhanlin Chen, a third-year medical student at the Feinberg School of Medicine at Northwestern University and lead author of the new study; his coauthors included several Feinberg faculty physicians. “It looks at how badly your heart is doing,” he added. “You’re just going to have to do a tiny bit of math.”
Some experts said they saw wisdom in DHRPS as a metric. Dr. Peter Aziz, a pediatric cardiologist at the Cleveland Clinic, said it appeared to be an advance on the information provided by daily steps or average heart rate alone.
“What is probably more important for cardio fitness is what your heart does for the amount of work it has to do,” he said. “This is a reasonable way to measure that.”
The metric does not look at heart rate during exercise. But, Dr. Aziz said, it still provided an overall sense of efficiency that, importantly, was shown by researchers to have an association with disease.
The size of the study added validity to the findings, Dr. Aziz said. The scientists mapped Fitbit data from nearly 7,000 Smartwatch users against electronic medical records.
Mr. Chen said that a simple way to grasp the value of the new metric was to compare two hypothetical individuals. Both take 10,000 steps a day, but one has an average daily resting heart rate of 80 — in the middle of the healthy range — while the other’s daily resting heart rate is 120.
The first person would have a DHRPS of 0.008, the second 0.012. The higher the ratio, the stronger the signaling of cardiac risk.
In the study, the 6,947 participants were divided into three groups based on their ratios; those with the highest showed a stronger association with disease than other participants did. The D.H.R.P.S. metric was also better at revealing disease risk than were step counts or heart rates alone, the study found.
“We designed this metric to be low-cost and to use data we’re already collecting,” Mr. Chen said. “People who want to be in charge of their own health can do a little bit of math to figure this out.”
Science
They boarded a luxury Antarctic cruise. Then hantavirus took a deadly toll
Hantavirus is suspected of spreading aboard a luxury cruise ship, killing three passengers and sparking new concerns as a once obscure disease, with an extraordinarily high death rate, rises amid changing climate conditions.
Officials are still trying to determine what happened aboard the ship, which commands fares of up to $28,845 for a 46-day journey that includes a tour of the Antarctica Peninsula and stops in Tierra del Fuego on the southern edge of Argentina.
In addition to the three deaths, a fourth passenger was evacuated to a South African hospital and was in intensive care, and two crew members fell ill. The Dutch-flagged ship remained off the coast of Cape Verde, an island nation about 400 miles west of Senegal, where it was scheduled to have docked Monday.
Hantavirus is fairly rare in the Americas, but its high case fatality rate makes it a disease of major public health concern, the World Health Organization says. Hantavirus is more common in Asia and Europe, where the strains that circulate are less deadly, with a case fatality rate that ranges from less than 1% to 15%.
Hantavirus is most commonly spread by inhaling particles contaminated with the virus — such as dried mouse urine, saliva or droppings.
But there is one strain of hantavirus — known as the Andes virus — that can be transmitted from human to human, and has been transmitted in Thailand and Argentina.
It’s unclear what strain of hantavirus hit the ship.
The first death on the ship occurred April 11 somewhere in the Atlantic Ocean, and the man’s cause of death couldn’t be determined on board, the ship operator said. The body was transported off the ship April 24 as the vessel docked on Saint Helena Island, about 1,100 miles off Africa, and the man’s wife accompanied his remains.
The wife became unwell on the trip home and later died. The cruise ship operator was notified of the woman’s death April 27. The couple were Dutch nationals. On the same day, another passenger, a British national, became seriously ill on the ship and was medically evacuated to South Africa. That patient was confirmed to have hantavirus.
A German passenger died aboard the ship Saturday. And on Monday, the ship operator said two crew members — one British, one Dutch — had acute respiratory symptoms, one mild and one severe but both requiring urgent medical care.
Among the possibilities that could explain the suspected outbreak, according to Dr. Peter Chin-Hong, a UC San Francisco infectious diseases expert, are rodents getting on board the ship and exposing people to the virus, or person-to-person transmission.
“Could a cruise member have been cleaning up an area and incidentally aerosolized some rodent droppings?” said Dr. Elizabeth Hudson, regional chief of infectious diseases at Kaiser Permanente Southern California. “Was there a shore excursion that the passengers and crew attended where they were exposed to aerosolized rodent droppings?”
Because hantavirus is so rare, it’s hard to say what effect these deaths might have on the cruise industry. COVID-19 hit the industry hard, but that was a global pandemic with a virus spreading rapidly with human-to-human contact. A key question for investigators is how the virus spread.
The MV Hondius is operated by Oceanwide Expeditions, which has a fleet of four ships and bills itself as a cruise ship eco-tour operator with trips to the Arctic and Antarctica. The MV Hondius can hold 170 passengers in 80 cabins.
As of Monday, there were 148 people on board, including 17 U.S. passengers. One deceased passenger remained on board.
The MV Hondius sailed March 20 from Ushuaia, the capital of Tierra del Fuego on the southern edge of Argentina, on a round trip to the Antarctica Peninsula, returning to port 11 days later. On April 1, the ship left Argentina and headed back to Cape Verde, with stops on the Atlantic Ocean islands of South Georgia, Tristan de Cunha and St. Helena.
The strains of hantavirus in the Americas are attracted to the small blood vessels of the lungs and make the blood vessels leaky — which is bad, because the lungs need air, Chin-Hong said.
“So people can’t breathe,” he said. “It’s like you’re drowning. The lungs are leaky, so the fluid fills up in the lungs.”
There are 50 species of hantavirus. The virus that’s found in the Americas tends to cause a cardiopulmonary syndrome, a condition that affects both the heart and the lungs, said Dr. Gaby Frank, director of Johns Hopkins Special Pathogens Center.
Hantavirus is associated with a case fatality rate of up to 50% in the Americas. It was the cause of death of Gene Hackman’s 65-year-old wife, Betsy Arakawa, in their Santa Fe, N.M., home. Arakawa died days before Hackman, 95, died as a result of heart disease. There were signs of rodent entry in some structures on the couple’s property. Last year, three people in Mammoth Lakes died after contracting hantavirus. There was evidence of mice where all three of the deceased had worked, and one person had numerous mice in their home, according to the public health office for Mono County, home to Mammoth Lakes.
There is no vaccine or specific antiviral medicine for hantavirus. In the Americas, doctors can help infected people by putting them on a life-support machine known as ECMO, for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, which breathes for the patient by oxygenating the blood. “It’s very, very intensive, and that’s why the fatality rate is so high,” Chin-Hong said.
Some experts expect hantavirus to be more of a concern in the future in some parts of the world due to climate change as rising temperatures are favorable to animals and insects that carry diseases, such as the increase in Lyme disease as the climate becomes more hospitable to the ticks that transmit it.
With rainfall patterns changing as global temperatures warm, “then you would expect that the rodent population will increase with time,” Chin-Hong said. Examples include people being sickened with, and dying from, rat-borne diseases such as leptospirosis after Hurricane Maria hit Puerto Rico in 2017.
In the U.S., there’s an average of 30 hantavirus cases reported a year, a figure that has remained relatively steady. But “there has been more media attention to it,” Hudson said.
Times staff writer Karen Garcia contributed to this report.
Science
Shipwreck Reveals Fate of Vanished World War I Coast Guard Cutter
The sea was stormy on Sept. 26, 1918, as a convoy of merchant ships navigated the Bristol Channel in southern England. Escorting them was the Tampa, a 190-foot U.S. Coast Guard cutter with the mission of protecting the boats from German submarines.
The cutter separated from the convoy in the misty night to take on supplies and coal at a port. And then it disappeared. For more than a century, its fate has been an enduring naval mystery of World War I.
This week, British divers announced that the wreck of the Tampa had at last been found, nestled 320 feet deep in murky waters about 50 miles off the Cornish coast.
A torpedo from a German submarine killed all those aboard the cutter: 111 Coast Guardsmen, four U.S. Navy personnel and 15 British Navy personnel and civilians.
Adm. Kevin Lunday, commandant of the Coast Guard, said that the Tampa was the largest single American naval combat loss of life in World War I and that it had left “an enduring grief in our service.”
The discovery was the culmination of a three-year effort by the Gasperados Dive Team, a group of British explorers and researchers. They combed shipping logs and wartime messages, and collaborated with the Coast Guard to pinpoint the path and resting place of the vanished vessel.
Barbara Mortimer, a Gasperados researcher, collated scraps of information, sometimes single lines of text that by themselves offered little to go on. But once all the information was meticulously pieced together, she and her teammates narrowed the search to an area clustered with thousands of wrecks from warships, commercial ships and fishing vessels lost over centuries.
The timeline of the Tampa’s final moments slowly emerged.
“Urgent. Priority,” said a telegram dated Sept. 27, 1918, sent to the admiralty in London. “USS Tampa detached herself from convoy.”
The telegram provided the longitude and latitude of that last sighting. At 7 p.m., the ship was seen on the horizon, steering toward the port of Milford Haven, it said. At 8:45 p.m., a wireless operator “felt the shock of an underwater explosion,” the telegram said.
Then, in the hours that followed, Milford Haven reported that the Tampa was 12 hours overdue for its scheduled arrival.
The research team assembled a number of clues about where the Tampa ended up.
One telegram said a seaplane had spotted a “considerable wreckage” field of seven to eight square miles. Two bodies, in Tampa uniforms, eventually washed ashore and were buried in Wales, Ms. Mortimer said in an interview. She said the researchers also studied German U-boat records.
The Coast Guard provided historical records, technical data and archival images of the ship’s features so divers knew what to look for in the deep.
In April 2023, the team made its first two dives looking for the Tampa. Seven more followed, and an assortment of shipwrecks were spotted and examined.
On Sunday they zeroed in on an area where a British hydrographic survey had noted a “significant magnetic anomaly” suggesting the possible location of a steel wreck.
That information was checked against convoy records, Ms. Mortimer said. The team decided, “It’s worth a look,” she said. But she added, “I did not have high expectations.”
Dominic Robinson, one of the team’s divers, lowered himself into the cold, dark waters of the Celtic Sea in the late afternoon of April 26.
At about 311 feet down, he spotted wreckage, piled high. As he drifted slowly over the debris field, his light picked up objects from the chaotic jumble. Some stood out: There was a brass fire extinguisher, an anchor, shell casings and a high-pressure steam boiler that was used in the engines of ships like the Tampa.
Surveying the mound, Mr. Robinson said in an interview that he had a “gut feeling” that the ship had been blown apart, making the bow crumble and absorb the impact. “And the rest of the ship settled down behind it,” he said.
Then he drifted over some crockery. Another member of the team, Jacob MacKenzie, found a similar piece that was inscribed with the maker’s mark: “New Jersey.”
They had an “American connection,” Mr. Robinson said.
“That instantly connects me with the people on the ship,” he said in a video of the dive. “They would have eaten out of those bowls. All these people would have had parents, would have had nearest and dearest, and none of them knew where they are.”
The Coast Guard is gathering data from the Gasperados’ finds to confirm it as an officially designated war grave, said William H. Thiesen, the Coast Guard’s Atlantic area historian.
The Coast Guard has been contacting the families of each lost Tampa crew member over many years, awarding them a posthumous Purple Heart medal, Mr. Thiesen said.
“It provides closure to a chapter that has been open for 100 years,” he said.
Jeremy Davids, 48, of Florida said that a relative, Wesley James Nobles, died while serving aboard the Tampa at the age of 20.
“Drowned foreign waters sinking of Tampa 9-26-1918,” the official record of Mr. Nobles’ death says. Mr. Nobles had a rating of “boy,” an enlisted rank for younger crew members.
“It feels good knowing the fact that not only him but the other soldiers who lost their lives that day can finally rest in peace,” Mr. Davids said in an interview.
Science
Bald eagle ‘massaging’ its mate? AI deepfakes collide with the laws of the wild
Shadow gingerly places one taloned foot, then the other, on Jackie as she hunkers down on the nest.
With Big Bear Lake glittering in the distance, he raises each foot in a kneading motion — evoking a bald eagle massage.
“Somehow, it says everything about their bond,” reads the caption on the 15-second video posted to Facebook.
It looks tender. It looks real.
It isn’t.
The clip is AI-generated.
Jackie and Shadow — made world-famous by a 24-hour livestream — aren’t the only animals falsely depicted in deepfakes. AI wildlife videos have flooded social media platforms like YouTube, Instagram and TikTok, racking up millions of views and likes. Some are whimsical, like a handful of bunnies hopping on a trampoline. Others take a more menacing tone, like a jaguar facing off with a dog in a snowy backyard.
Far from benign, some experts say the videos can skew how people view and even interact with wildlife — potentially leading to perilous encounters. They may also undermine viewers’ growing desire to tune into nature to escape the frenetic rhythms of daily life. Repeated exposure could erode trust in media and institutions generally, with one Reddit user proclaiming, “Can’t even watch real animal videos because 90% of them are AI.” There are also legal implications.
The deception works because the depictions are often hyperrealistic. Even a producer for the Dodo, an animal-centric media outlet, admitted to falling for the bouncing bunnies. Often the videos appear to be ripped from trail or security cameras, enhancing vibes of authenticity. In the competitive economy for people’s attention, the videos can help win looks and likes, potentially driving ad revenue for those who post them.
Megan Brief, a digital marketing coordinator for Natural Habitat Adventures, an ecotourism company, had just returned from Svalbard, a far-flung Norwegian archipelago teeming with polar bears and walruses.
Her social media feed piled up with video after video of polar bear rescues, such as fishermen or scientists hauling a freezing, struggling baby polar bear onto a ship. On board, people snapped selfies with the cub before reuniting it with its mom.
She knew they were fake because she was well-versed in the behavior of the snow-white predators, which are fiercely protective of cubs. As the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service warns, these “large, powerful carnivores” can easily injure or kill people. It would also be illegal to intervene.
But thousands of commenters took what they saw at face value.
(Photo illustration by Jim Cooke / Los Angeles Times; Source photo / Getty Images)
“It shows that you can have this close proximity with wildlife that is not only dangerous to you, but it’s dangerous to the animal,” said Brief, who is also a wildlife photographer. Social media is filled with AI animal rescues of all types.
“That’s everyone’s dream, to be one with all the animals and with wildlife,” she added, “but you have to respect their habitat and their behavior and give them the space that they need.”
On the flip side, she said the videos also can perpetuate myths that predators such as wolves and mountain lions are more dangerous than they actually are. It’s easy to see how videos could inflame heated debates over managing such animals, in California and beyond.
In a paper published last September in “Conservation Biology,” researchers said the videos also can make people think animals are more abundant, or less threatened, than they are. They might donate or volunteer less as a result.
“If the public is unable to distinguish between actual threats to biodiversity and fictionalized narratives, the perceived urgency to act may diminish,” the researchers wrote.
Jenny Voisard, media and website manager for Friends of Big Bear Valley, a nonprofit that operates cameras trained on Jackie and Shadow, said her inbox is overloaded with complaints about AI content. Grifters are nothing new — the nonprofit has long contended with fake accounts — but they’ve evolved with the technology.
People who follow the beloved eagles are fed more content about them by the algorithm, and she said AI rises to the top of the feed. (That seems to explain why this reporter is often served the fakes when opening Facebook.)
“People get very upset when they see someone depicting Jackie and Shadow in an unnatural way or wrong, or when it looks like they could be in danger,” said Voisard. Some clips showed owls and ravens attacking the couple, especially riling up fans.
The nonprofit recently trademarked its name and is in the process of copyrighting its livestream. She said the point is to protect what they create, such as merchandise and a detailed log of what the eagles are up to, from fakers.
However, ownership in the age of AI is fraught. Voisard said their livestream can be copyrighted because it’s not just a fixed camera; humans operate it and make choices, like zooming in.
Kristelia García, a professor at Georgetown Law, said such creative choices do give livestream operators a good claim to copyright. Whether something violates it is another matter.
If someone asks a large language model to create a three-minute video featuring eagles without drawing on copyrighted material, no harm no foul, she said. But if they feed the AI program the nonprofit’s footage and ask it to manipulate it, that could make for an infringement claim.
But would it be worth fighting? “Copyright litigation is really expensive and very unpredictable,” said García, who focuses on copyright law. She suspects that only if a lot of money were at stake would a nonprofit be willing to take the risk.
As for concerns about misinformation, “we don’t really have a legal recourse for, like, ‘You got fooled,’” she said. Famous people enjoy certain protections over their name, image and likeness, but famous animals don’t.
The fake video of Shadow “massaging” Jackie casts the eagles in a positive light. It arguably perpetuates the avian love story that Friends of Big Bear Valley describes in its own posts.
Yet Voisard believes people are increasingly tuning into animal livestreams to escape artificiality. Ironically, AI may drive people toward real nature precisely because it can’t replicate it.
“The livestream isn’t being in nature, but it’s the closest thing that a lot of people get,” she said. “Being outside is the best thing for us and our health and our well-being and making that connection. To me, AI is not that.”
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