Connect with us

World

Interest in EU elections up as polls project shift to the right

Published

on

Interest in EU elections up as polls project shift to the right

Voter interest in the 2024 European elections is on the rise, but projections of a surge in support for far-right parties are sowing doubts over the European Union’s future path.

ADVERTISEMENT

More than half (57%) of EU citizens are interested in the upcoming European elections six months before the ballot opens, a substantial 6 percentage points higher than ahead of the previous election in 2019, according to survey results unveiled by the European Parliament on Wednesday.

The European elections take place every five years across the EU’s 27 member countries, with voters choosing who represents them in the European Parliament, the bloc’s only democratically-elected institution.

If the election was held next week, 68% would cast their vote according to the survey, 9 percentage points more than in 2019.

But despite this rosy outlook, projections of a surge in support for far-right parties amid recent electoral victories in many EU countries are casting doubts over the future of the Union.

Advertisement

The European Parliament’s spokesperson Jaume Duch told Euronews that a shift to the right in the parliament’s make-up will not necessarily erode the EU’s role, despite some far-right parties’ eurosceptic origins.

“The parties that were previously practically supporters of leaving the European Union are now making other kinds of proposals that no longer involve leaving – because it’s very cold out there – but rather proposals that aim to adapt the European Union to how they consider it should be,” Duch explained.

“I prefer that the European Union not only continues to work as it has done until now, but that it can also work better, because that will benefit us all,” he added.

According to poll aggregator Europe Elects’ latest projection, the European Parliament’s right-wing Identity and Democracy (ID) group – home to far-right parties such as France’s Rassemblement National and Germany’s Alternative für Deutschland – could gain as many as 11 seats in June’s vote.

The recent shock victory of populist Geert Wilders in November’s Dutch elections has been the latest in a string of triumphs for Europe’s far-right. During the current five-year term of the European Parliament, far-right parties in Italy, Finland, and Sweden have celebrated significant electoral triumphs, and are surging in the German, French and Austrian polls.

Advertisement

Electoral enthusiasm uneven across the EU

The European Parliament survey also reveals stark discrepancies in the level of interest in the EU elections among social groups.

While 74% of those who follow EU politics expressed interest, the number plummets to 34% among those who don’t. 

Interestingly, 50% of younger voters are interested compared to 57% to 59% among other age groups, despite the younger generation being more favourable to the European project.

Most notably, interest in the election fluctuates significantly between EU countries, ranging from a high of 69% in the Netherlands to a low of 28% in the Czech Republic.

The likelihood to vote, which stands at an average of 68% across the block, also varies by country, with Danes most likely to go to the ballot and the Cypriots the least likely. 

Advertisement

In 24 of the bloc’s 27 countries, citizens are more likely to vote than in 2019, with the most significant increases seen in Poland (23%) and Slovakia (20%). 

Both countries have seen a dramatic shift in their political leadership in recent months. Pro-EU Donald Tusk is set to try to form a government after garnering enough votes in the October Polish elections, following eight years of hard right governance under the Law and Justice party. In Slovakia, left-wing populist Robert Fico formed a new government in October, after vowing to challenge key EU decisions.

Majority back EU

According to the poll, 61% of Europeans believe EU membership is a good thing, up slightly from 59% ahead of the 2019 elections and significantly higher than its low of 47% in May 2011.

The figure rises to 70% among 15 to 24-year-olds, the age group also revealed to be less inclined to vote.

ADVERTISEMENT

Duch told Euronews that the EU’s future path is especially critical for young voters.

“The world is a much more complicated place than it was before,” he said. “The next generations have even more problems than previous generations had. But this ultimately makes the European project even more valuable.”

Advertisement

High youth turnout could deliver a more positive result for pro-EU parties. Austria, Belgium, Germany, Greece and Malta will allow 16 and 17-year-olds to vote in the European elections for the first time in 2024.

Duch also believes that the EU’s visibility in times of crisis has helped cement its positive image among voters.

“The fact that the European Union has been capable of successfully negotiating Brexit, of helping citizens during COVID-19 through vaccination campaigns or the recovery plan, uniting in its support to Ukraine during Russia’s invasion – I think these moments have given the EU media visibility and that the EU’s reaction has given it more credibility,” he said.

ADVERTISEMENT

But when asked if EU membership has benefitted their country, respondents in some member states are significantly less likely to agree than in other countries.

Only a small majority of Austrians (55%) believe their country benefits from EU membership. National elections in the country will coincide with the 2024 European elections, with far-right Freedom Party of Austria of Austria currently topping the poll.

But despite signs of erosion in EU support in some countries, Duch says a lot can change in politics in six months.

Advertisement

“We are seeing in recent national elections that yes there are countries where these (far-right) parties are on the rise, but there are also countries where they are losing ground,” he said. “We will see what the result will be in six months. Six months is a very long time in politics, and even longer in European politics.”

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

World

Blinken says US cannot support Rafah assault without humanitarian plan

Published

on

Blinken says US cannot support Rafah assault without humanitarian plan
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Wednesday he has still not seen a plan for Israel’s planned offensive on the southern Gaza city of Rafah that would protect civilians, repeating that Washington could not support such an assault.
Continue Reading

World

The unexpected announcement of a prime minister divides Haiti's newly created transitional council

Published

on

The unexpected announcement of a prime minister divides Haiti's newly created transitional council

A surprise announcement that revealed Haiti’s new prime minister is threatening to fracture a recently installed transitional council tasked with choosing new leaders for the gang-riddled Caribbean country.

Four of seven council members with voting powers said Tuesday that they had chosen Fritz Bélizaire as prime minister, taking many Haitians aback with their declaration and unexpected political alliance.

HAITI COUNCIL APPOINTS NEW PRIME MINISTER AS COUNTRY CONTINUES TO FACE DEADLY GANG VIOLENCE

The council members who oppose Bélizaire, who served as Haiti’s sports minister during the second presidency of René Préval from 2006 to 2011, are now weighing options including fighting the decision or resigning from the council.

A person with direct knowledge of the situation who did not want to be identified because negotiations are ongoing said the council’s political accord had been violated by the unexpected move and that some council members are considering other choices as potential prime minister.

Advertisement

Edgard Leblanc Fils, left, and Smith Augustin prepare to pose for a group photo with the transitional council after it named Fils as its president in Port-au-Prince, Haiti, Tuesday, April 30, 2024. The transitional council will act as the country’s presidency until it can arrange presidential elections sometime before it disbands, which must be by February 2026.  (AP Photo/Odelyn Joseph)

The council on Tuesday was scheduled to hold an election and choose its president. But two hours and a profuse apology later, one council member said that not only a council president had been chosen, but a prime minister as well. Murmurs rippled through the room.

The Montana Accord, a civil society group represented by a council member with voting powers, denounced in a statement late Tuesday what it called a “complot” hatched by four council members against the Haitian people “in the middle of the night.”

“The political and economic mafia forces have decided to take control of the presidential council and the government so that they can continue to control the state,” the Montana Accord said.

Haitian politics have long been characterized by secretive dealings, but many worry the country cannot afford further political instability as gangs lay siege to the capital of Port-au-Prince and beyond.

Advertisement

“People change parties (like) they’re changing their shirts,” said François Pierre-Louis, a professor of political science at Queens College in New York and former Haitian politician.

He spoke during an online webinar on Tuesday evening.

Like others, he said he believed that Jean-Charles Moïse, a powerful politician who was a former senator and presidential candidate, was behind Bélizaire’s nomination.

“Interestingly, Moïse, of all the politicians there, is the one calling the shots,” Pierre-Louis said.

Moïse, however, does not sit on the council. His party, Pitit Desalin, is represented by Emmanuel Vertilaire, who is among the four council members who support Bélizaire.

Advertisement

The others are Louis Gérald Gilles, Smith Augustin and Edgard Leblanc Fils, the council’s new president.

They could not be immediately reached for comment.

A document shared with The Associated Press and signed by the four council members who chose the new prime minister state they have agreed to make decisions by consensus. The document is titled, “Constitution of an Indissoluble Majority Bloc within the Presidential Council.”

The move prompted the Fanmi Lavalas party to issue a statement Wednesday calling it a “masquerade” and “conspiracy” to guarantee that PHTK “thugs and their allies retain power…and continue the tradition of corruption.”

“The Lavalas Family strongly rejects the betrayal scandal that occurred on April 30,” the party said.

Advertisement

Fils represents the January 30 political group, which is made up of parties including PHTK, whose members include former President Michel Martelly and slain President Jovenel Moïse. Meanwhile, Augustin represents the EDE/RED political party, founded by former Prime Minister Claude Joseph, and Gilles represents the Dec. 21 agreement, which is associated with former Prime Minister Ariel Henry, who recently resigned.

Henry was on an official visit to Kenya to push for the U.N.-backed deployment of a police force from the East African country when gangs in Haiti launched coordinated attacks starting Feb. 29.

They have burned police stations, opened fire on the main international airport that remains closed since early March and stormed Haiti’s two biggest prisons, releasing more than 4,000 inmates. The violence continues unabated in certain part of Port-au-Prince, including the area around the National Palace.

Haitians are demanding that security be a top priority for the council, which is tasked with selecting a new prime minister and Cabinet, as well as prepare for eventual general elections.

But some Haitians are wary of the council and the decisions it’s taking.

Advertisement

Jean Selcé, a 57-year-old electrician, noted that most of the council members are longtime politicians: “Their past is not really positive.”

“I hope their mentality can change, but I don’t believe it will,” he said. “They don’t really love the country. Who’s dying right now? It’s Haitians like me.”

Robert Fatton, a Haitian politics expert at the University of Virginia, noted that some of the parties represented on the council are responsible for the current chaos in Haiti.

“It’s a contradiction,” he said. “Every time we seem to be in a crisis, we reappoint the same people and hope that they change their ways, but they do not.”

Raising the same criticism is Michael Deibert, author of “Notes From the Last Testament: The Struggle for Haiti,” and “Haiti Will Not Perish: A Recent History.”

Advertisement

He noted in a recent essay that the council is “dominated by the same political currents who have spent the last 25 years driving Haiti over a cliff, taking advantage of impoverished young men in the slums to be used as political bludgeons before – bloated on the proceeds from kidnapping, extortion, drug trafficking and other criminal enterprises – these groups outgrew the necessity of their patrons.”

More than 2,500 people have been killed or injured across Haiti from January to March, according to the U.N.

In addition, more than 90,000 people have fled Port-au-Prince in just one month given the relentless gang violence.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

World

Arizona Senate repeals near-total 1864 abortion ban in divisive vote

Published

on

Arizona Senate repeals near-total 1864 abortion ban in divisive vote

The repeal of abortion ban was passed 16 to 14 and is expected to be signed into law by Governor Katie Hobbs.

The Arizona Senate has voted to repeal the state’s 1864 ban on abortion, which would otherwise have taken effect within weeks.

The repeal was passed by the Senate in a 16-14 vote on Wednesday and is expected to be signed swiftly by Governor Katie Hobbs, a Democrat. Two Republican senators crossed party lines to vote in favour of repealing the ban.

The Arizona House last week passed the measure after a handful of Republicans broke party ranks and voted with Democrats to send it to the Senate.

“We’re here to repeal a bad law,” Senator Eva Burch, a Democrat, said from the floor. “I don’t want us honouring laws about women, written during a time when women were forbidden from voting.”

Advertisement

Republican Senator Wendy Rogers said in casting her vote to maintain the 1864 ban that repealing the law went against the conservative values of Arizona.

“Life starts at conception. They got it right in 1864. We need to continue to get it right in 2024,” Rogers said.

The fight over the Civil War-era abortion ban in Arizona, a state sharply split between Democrats and Republicans, is the latest flashpoint on women’s reproductive rights in the United States. In 2022, the country’s Supreme Court ended the constitutional right to abortion, leaving it up to states to decide the issue. Conservative-led states quickly invoked strict bans on the procedure within their borders.

Democrats across the US, confident that public opinion is on their side in supporting abortion rights, have sought to elevate the issue ahead of November’s presidential election. Arizona is a key battleground state.

Heather Williams, president of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee that works to elect Democrats to state legislatures, said her party would capitalise on the “extreme nature of MAGA Arizona Republicans” who voted to maintain the 1864 law as Democrats try to flip the state’s House and Senate in November’s elections.

Advertisement

Rogers, the Republican state senator, acknowledged the political risks.

“Some colleagues would say it’s politically pragmatic for us to find middle ground,” she said. “We might lose the legislature, we might lose the presidential election. But it’s more important to do what’s right.”

Near-total ban on abortions

The 1864 law was revived by a state Supreme Court ruling on April 9, and unless the legislature intervened, it would have taken effect within 60 days of that ruling, according to state Attorney General Kris Mayes, a Democrat.

If the repeal bill is signed, a 2022 statute banning the procedure after 15 weeks of pregnancy would become Arizona’s prevailing abortion law. Still, there would probably be a period when nearly all abortions would be outlawed because the repeal would not take effect until 90 days after the end of the legislative session, which is expected to be in June or July.

Planned Parenthood Arizona, a sexual health organisation in the state, announced it filed a motion on Wednesday afternoon asking the state Supreme Court to prevent a pause in abortion services until the repeal takes effect.

Advertisement

The near-total ban on abortions predates Arizona becoming a state.

Under the 1864 law, “every person” who participates in conducting an abortion can be held criminally liable and face a minimum sentence of two years in prison.

There are no exceptions for cases of rape or incest, although there is an exception when the pregnancy puts a woman’s life at risk.

Continue Reading

Trending