Health
Actress Olivia Munn credits breast cancer risk-assessment score for saving her life
Olivia Munn claims that her breast cancer risk-assessment score helped save her life.
The actress, 43, shared on social media this week that the score helped detect her breast cancer just months after she had a negative mammogram and tested negative on several genetic tests.
The high-risk score prompted Munn’s physician to send her for further evaluations — including an MRI and ultrasound that detected cancer in both breasts, according to her Instagram post on Wednesday.
OLIVIA MUNN DIAGNOSED WITH BREAST CANCER
“She discovered my lifetime risk was at 37%,” Munn wrote.
“Because of that score, I was sent to get an MRI, which led to an ultrasound, which then led to a biopsy. The biopsy showed I had Luminal B cancer in both breasts. Luminal B is an aggressive, fast-moving cancer.”
What is the breast cancer risk assessment score?
While there are several risk assessment tools available to patients and physicians, the breast cancer risk assessment tool (BCRAT), also known as the Gail Model, is one of the most common.
The test, which takes about five minutes to complete, helps predict a female’s risk of developing an invasive breast cancer within the next five years and up to 90 years of age, according to the National Cancer Institute (NCI).
John Mulaney and Olivia Munn attend the 2024 Vanity Fair Oscar Party on March 10, 2024 in Beverly Hills, California. Munn claims that her breast cancer risk assessment score helped save her life.
BCRAT calculates the woman’s “absolute breast cancer risk,” which the organization defines on its website as the “chance or probability of developing invasive breast cancer in a defined age interval.”
The risk calculator tool looks at several factors, including age, race, medical history and reproductive history.
It also looks at the presence of a family history of breast cancer among first-degree relatives, such as mothers, sisters and daughters.
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The information is then calculated.
A five-year risk score of 1.67% or more is considered high-risk, and a health care provider may recommend certain medications to decrease the chances of developing cancer, according to Cleveland Clinic’s website.
Dr. Nicole Saphier, M.D., board-certified breast imaging radiologist and associate professor at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center in New York City, recommends individual risk assessments to her referring clinicians and patients.
“Olivia Munn’s doctor may have saved her life by doing so,” Saphier said in a statement to Fox News Digital.
Dr. Nicole Saphier, M.D., board-certified breast imaging radiologist and associate professor at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center in New York City, said she recommends individual risk assessments to her referring clinicians and patients. (Fox News)
“While a standard mammogram is sufficient for nearly half of all women, many others will benefit from adding an ultrasound or MRI based on breast density and various other factors that may make someone higher risk.”
Less than 5% of all women diagnosed with breast cancer will have cancer in the contralateral (opposite) breast, Saphier pointed out.
“Olivia Munn was one of those rare cases.”
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Dr. Ruth Oratz, a breast medical oncologist at NYU Langone Health’s Perlmutter Cancer Center in New York City, told Fox News Digital that if a patient uses the risk assessment herself and finds that she is at increased risk of breast cancer, she should discuss this with her physician.
“The doctor can then do a more detailed evaluation as to her breast cancer risk,” Oratz said.
“For example, if there is a family history of breast cancer, then the patient may be referred for genetic testing. This information may give a more specific evaluation of the patient’s risk of breast, or even other types, of cancer.”
Less than 5% of all women diagnosed with breast cancer will have cancer in the contralateral (opposite) breast — which means Olivia Munn’s case was rare, a doctor noted. (Instagram: Olivia Munn)
Another breast cancer specialist told Fox News Digital that the risk of cancer could vary widely among women.
The average woman’s risk is approximately 10% to 12% at the lowest end of the spectrum, according to Dr. Elisa Port, chair of breast surgery for The Mount Sinai Health System and director of the Dubin Breast Center in New York City.
“By contrast, the highest identifiable risk is associated with BRCA mutation carriers,” she told Fox News Digital in a statement.
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“For them, the risk of getting breast cancer can be as high as 60% to 80%.”
She added, “Women who are not genetic mutation carriers might still be at increased risk of getting breast cancer based on a variety of other factors.”
Munn tested negative for the BRCA mutation gene, according to her Instagram post.
“While a standard mammogram is sufficient for nearly half of all women, many others will benefit from adding an ultrasound or MRI based on breast density and various other factors that may make someone higher risk,” a doctor told Fox News Digital. (iStock)
“The largest drivers of increased risk include having a family history of breast cancer on either a mother or father’s side, having previous breast biopsies, and importantly, if any of those biopsies showed findings of atypical cells,” Port said.
Other factors that are of lower added risk include age at onset of menstruation, the number of children a woman has had, and her age at first childbearing.
Potential limitations
There are some limitations to the BCRAT.
The tool is not accurate when it comes to estimating the risk in women who tested positive for the breast cancer-producing mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2, those with a history of invasive or in situ breast cancer (in the milk ducts), and certain subgroups, according to the NCI.
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“If a woman knows she has a BRCA or other genetic mutation, then the breast cancer risk assessment is not really accurate,” Oratz said in her statement to Fox News Digital.
“She should then discuss her cancer risk with her team of health care providers.”
Although this tool may accurately estimate a woman’s chances of breast cancer, it does not determine whether she will actually develop the disease, the NCI stated.
One in eight women will be diagnosed with breast cancer in their lifetime. (iStock)
BCRAT also underestimates risk in Black women who had previous biopsies and Hispanic women born outside the United States, the organization noted.
Risk estimates for American Indian/Alaska Native women are partly based on data for White women due to limited data for this demographic and may be inaccurate.
Further studies are needed, according to the Institute.
For women with a genetic mutation, the risk of getting breast cancer can be as high as 60% to 80%.
While all risk assessment tools have limitations, they can still play a role in cancer prevention, breast cancer specialists told Fox News Digital.
“These models can help identify women at increased risk, allowing for more personalized and tailored screening,” Port said.
It is important for women to discuss risk assessment scores with a health care provider to determine next steps, Oratz added.
A five-year risk score of 1.67% or more is considered high-risk, and a health care provider may recommend certain medications to decrease the chances of developing cancer, according to Cleveland Clinic’s website. (iStock)
“If someone is at significantly increased risk of developing breast cancer, then she should review with her doctor consideration of recommendations for increased screening and surveillance,” she said.
For women with genetic mutations that are very high risk, they should see a breast cancer specialist to discuss other options, she recommended.
Controllable factors
Depending on individual risk levels, there are steps a woman can take to help lower the possibility of developing breast cancer, health experts told Fox News Digital.
Eating a healthy diet and staying active can help reduce a woman’s risk of breast cancer, experts agreed. (iStock)
“It is important to have a healthy body weight and not be overweight,” Oratz said.
It is also important to eat a healthy diet that limits sugar, fat and alcohol.
“Alcohol is a significant risk factor for breast cancer,” Oratz noted. “We recommend that women do not drink alcohol every day and have not more than one or two drinks on the days that they do drink.”
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“Remaining physically fit with exercise and some weight training to maintain muscle mass and strength also contributes to general overall health,” the expert added.
In some cases, medications may help lower the risk of breast cancer, but individuals should discuss this with their health care provider, according to Oratz.
In some cases, medications may help lower the risk of breast cancer, but each individual should discuss this with a health care provider, an expert said. (iStock)
When it comes to assessing the risk of developing breast cancer, risk assessment scores can help health care providers come up with a plan for monitoring, diagnosis and early treatment, according to Cleveland Clinic’s website.
Cancer risk is not one size fits all, Saphier pointed out.
“Even though one in eight women will be diagnosed with breast cancer in their lifetime, there are many different types of breast cancer and they can occur at just about any age,” she said.
“After a breast cancer diagnosis, the risk of it returning never goes to zero, but early diagnosis and intervention give the option for less invasive treatments and the best chance of survival,” she said.
“In Olivia Munn’s case, she has taken every action possible to see her son grow up.”
Munn’s son Malcolm was born in November 2021.
For more Health articles, visit www.foxnews.com/health.
Health
Game-changing cholesterol pill wins FDA approval after cutting LDL nearly 60%
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Millions of Americans with high cholesterol now have a new treatment option, as the FDA has approved the first once-daily oral PCSK9 inhibitor.
Merck, the New Jersey-based manufacturer of Lipfendra (enlicitide), announced the approval on Thursday.
Lipfendra blocks the action of PCSK9, a naturally occurring protein that affects how the liver removes LDL (“bad”) cholesterol from the bloodstream.
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“PCSK-9 is a protein that works in the liver, preventing the recycling of LDL receptors, as a result increasing bad cholesterol in the blood,” Dr. Marc Siegel, Fox News senior medical analyst, told Fox News Digital.
Millions of Americans with high cholesterol now have a new treatment option, as the FDA has approved the first once-daily oral PCSK9 inhibitor. (iStock)
“In the caveman days, this was useful when we were hunter-gatherers and didn’t always have food, but now it mainly forms plaques that lead directly to heart disease.”
YOUR RESTING HEART RATE COULD REVEAL MORE ABOUT YOUR HEALTH THAN YOU THINK, DOCTORS SAY
The pill is approved as an add-on to diet and other LDL-lowering therapies in adults with high cholesterol, including inherited forms of high cholesterol, Merck stated.
In phase 3 clinical trials, Lipfendra was shown to reduce LDL cholesterol by roughly 56% to 60% when combined with statin therapy.
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“This is around double the impact of statins,” Siegel noted.
The pill was generally well-tolerated in the trials, Merck reported. The most common side effects were diarrhea and dizziness, while serious side effects and treatment discontinuations occurred at rates similar to those in the placebo group.
The pill was generally well-tolerated in the trials, Merck reported. The most common side effects were diarrhea and dizziness, while serious side effects and treatment discontinuations occurred at rates similar to those in the placebo group. (iStock)
Statins, which work by blocking an enzyme in the liver that the body uses to make cholesterol, are the most commonly prescribed cholesterol-lowering medications, according to the American Heart Association.
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For many people, statins are effective on their own. But for some patients who have very high cholesterol levels, inherited forms of high cholesterol or adverse side effects when taking statins, another medication — such as a PCSK9 inhibitor like Lipfendra — may be necessary, per the AHA.
Lipfendra blocks the action of PCSK9, a naturally occurring protein that affects how the liver removes LDL (“bad”) cholesterol from the bloodstream. (iStock)
Until now, PCSK9 inhibitors — such as Repatha and Praluent — have only been available as injections, a factor experts say may have contributed to their underuse.
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“Repatha, the injectable form, is very useful, with few side effects,” Siegel noted. “The oral form, Lipfendra, is also well-tolerated and just as effective.”
Additional research is needed to determine whether Lipfendra also reduces the risk of heart attacks, strokes and cardiovascular deaths. Results from a large clinical trial are expected to be available in 2029, Merck stated. (Merck & Co.)
Additional research is needed to determine whether Lipfendra also reduces the risk of heart attacks, strokes and cardiovascular deaths. Results from a large clinical trial are expected to be available in 2029, Merck stated.
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“Steve Nissen, longtime head of preventive cardiology at Cleveland Clinic, tells me that the lower the better when it comes to LDL cholesterol, especially in those at risk for heart disease,” Siegel added.
Health
Is lettuce still safe to eat amid Taco Bell illness probe? Doctors answer
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A Cyclospora parasite outbreak has put lettuce in the spotlight as investigators examine a possible link to Taco Bell, raising concerns among consumers about whether it’s still safe to eat fresh greens.
While investigators have not identified a specific product or supplier as the source of the outbreak, interviews with sick patients have repeatedly pointed to lettuce and other salad greens as common exposures, and many of those patients also reported eating at Taco Bell before becoming ill.
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State and federal health officials – including the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services (MDHHS), CDC and FDA – are investigating a possible link between fresh ingredients served at certain Taco Bell locations and the Cyclospora outbreak.
The chain has voluntarily removed select fresh ingredients at certain locations while public health officials continue their investigation.
A Cyclospora parasite outbreak has put lettuce in the spotlight as investigators examine a possible link to Taco Bell, raising concerns among consumers about whether it’s still safe to eat fresh greens. (iStock, Getty)
In a statement to Fox News Digital, California-based Taco Bell Corp. said, “The health and safety of our guests is our top priority. Public health officials have not confirmed a link to Taco Bell or any specific ingredient, supplier, restaurant or retailer. While authorities continue their broader review, Taco Bell has voluntarily and temporarily removed limited ingredients at select restaurants as a precautionary measure. We will continue to closely monitor the situation and follow the guidance of public health authorities.”
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What is Cyclospora?
Cyclospora is a microscopic parasite (Cyclospora cayetanensis) that infects the small intestine after people consume contaminated food or water, according to the CDC.
The agency confirmed that 1,645 domestic Cyclospora cases have been reported since May 1, most often linked to fresh produce, including leafy greens, cilantro and berries.
State and federal health officials – including the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services (MDHHS), CDC and FDA – are investigating a possible link between fresh ingredients served at certain Taco Bell locations and the Cyclospora outbreak. (AP Photo/Jeff Amy, File)
The CDC is also investigating more than 5,100 additional suspected cases, with a total of 145 people having been hospitalized with the infection.
“Cyclosporiasis is not generally a life-threatening illness for most people,” Tammy Lundstrom, M.D., senior vice president and chief medical officer of Trinity Health in Michigan, told Fox News Digital.
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“The biggest concern is that it can cause severe, prolonged diarrhea that may last for weeks or even longer if it’s not diagnosed and treated.”
People should seek medical attention if they have lasting, severe diarrhea. The symptoms can be very prolonged in people with compromised immune systems, Lundstrom noted.
Experts share food safety guidance
Dr. Marc Siegel, Fox News senior medical analyst, said the parasite has been primarily identified in packaged lettuce and salad bags, but no particular brand has been pinpointed.
“In the meantime, the best strategy is to wash lettuce and all salad greens thoroughly and to wash your hands with soap and water before and after preparing food,” he told Fox News Digital, adding that “the chances of acquiring it still remains extremely low.”
Doctors say the parasite has been primarily identified in packaged lettuce and salad bags, but no particular brand has been pinpointed. (iStock)
Registered dietitian nutritionist Caroline Margolis, the on-staff registered dietitian at Lifeway Foods, an Illinois-based company best known for its kefir and other cultured dairy products, also weighed in on the risk.
“While health officials have identified lettuce as the likely culprit, the exact source remains unknown,” she told Fox News Digital.
For now, she recommends skipping prewashed, bagged lettuce and salad mixes.
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“Instead, choose whole heads of lettuce, discarding the outer two to three leaves, and wash and rinse thoroughly,” Margolis advised. “If you do develop cyclosporiasis, stay hydrated and seek medical care if needed.”
“Be sure to support your recovery with nutrient-rich, easy-to-digest foods and probiotic options like kefir, yogurt, bananas, apples and oatmeal.”
The parasite can cause severe, prolonged diarrhea that may last for weeks or even longer if it’s not diagnosed and treated. (iStock)
Lundstrom reiterated that it’s unclear whether any specific fresh produce is responsible, though past outbreaks have sometimes been linked to fruits and vegetables.
“Federal public health authorities have not issued any warnings to avoid lettuce or other fresh produce at this time,” she told Fox News Digital. “It is recommended to thoroughly wash lettuce and other leafy greens, which can significantly reduce the amount of any pathogen present.”
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Until further information is known, Lundstrom said iceberg is currently a better option for lettuce. She recommends first washing the entire head, then discarding the outermost leaves.
“Be sure to wash your hands thoroughly when handling and preparing fresh produce,” she added.
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For those who wish to take further precautions, frozen and canned produce may be safer options, according to the dietitian.
“It’s important to follow CDC recommendations for safe food and vegetable handling and preparation to help reduce the risk of illness,” she said.
The CDC recommends washing all fruits and vegetables thoroughly under running water before eating, cutting or cooking. (iStock)
Those recommendations include the following.
- Wash hands with soap and water before and after handling or preparing raw fruits and vegetables.
- Wash all fruits and vegetables thoroughly under running water before eating, cutting or cooking.
- Fruits and vegetables that are labeled “prewashed” do not need to be washed again at home.
- Scrub firm fruits and vegetables, such as melons and cucumbers, with a clean produce brush.
- Cut away any damaged or bruised areas on fruits and vegetables before preparing and eating.
- Refrigerate cut, peeled or cooked fruits and vegetables as soon as possible (within two hours).
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Lundstrom added, “It’s important to remember that fruits and vegetables in all forms are an essential part of our daily healthy diet — and by exercising these practical preventive steps, people can still enjoy these nutritious foods.”
Health
The Epicenter of Drug Deaths in America Is Shifting West
For years, the opioid supply in Arizona was dominated by little blue pills pressed and stamped to look like 30 milligram oxycodone tablets, often called “blues.” But two years ago, that began to change. Now the market is mostly powdered fentanyl, and drug deaths are rising. In Phoenix, this shift in the illicit drug supply has combined with heat, meth and homelessness to create an emerging crisis of overdose deaths in America’s fifth-largest city.
Marck Martinez grew up outside Phoenix, and when he first encountered fentanyl, it was those blue pills. But when he relapsed this past February, he had trouble finding them. “I tried to look for blues again, and there were no blues at all,” he said. In their place, he found fentanyl powder, which was stronger and less predictable.
With the switch to powder, he began to overdose much more frequently, most recently in April in a public park next to his 5-year-old son. He survived only because his mother found him and called paramedics, who were able to revive him with naloxone. After being driven to a hospital, Mr. Martinez, 26, fled to a gas station bathroom to smoke fentanyl again.
Harm reduction workers, local researchers and people who use drugs all echoed the same idea: Blues with significant quantities of active ingredients have been disappearing. Blues didn’t vanish all at once, they said. Rather, over the past year or two, it became increasingly difficult to find pills with enough fentanyl in them to have any effect at all. For the most part, the pills remaining on Phoenix streets today are “fake,” Mr. Martinez said, no longer containing enough fentanyl to prevent withdrawal. For drug users in Phoenix, it’s mostly powdered fentanyl that remains.
Brian Clark, associate chief of operations for the Drug Enforcement Administration’s Pacific and Southwest region, said the suppliers of fentanyl haven’t changed, with the Sinaloa and Jalisco New Generation cartels remaining the primary movers of fentanyl across the southern border. But he couldn’t say why these cartels shifted from counterfeit pills to powder in Arizona.
Neighboring New Mexico is seeing the same transition from pills to powder, said Dave Daniels, harm reduction manager for the New Mexico Department of Health. These two Southwestern states had the largest increases in the drug death rate in 2025, all while drug deaths in West Virginia, once the center of the opioid epidemic, have plummeted. According to a New York Times analysis of provisional mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the drug death rate in Arizona last year overtook West Virginia’s for the first time since the proliferation of prescription painkillers in the late 1990s. Arizona and New Mexico now have the highest rate of drug deaths in the contiguous United States.
The rising drug deaths in the Southwest are in sharp contrast to the large-scale decline that has returned the U.S. drug death rate to its pre-Covid level. The reasons for this decline are still a matter of debate. “Epidemic curves can only go up for so long,” said Caleb Banta-Green, a research professor at the University of Washington. And the shift to powdered fentanyl in the Southwest already happened in much of the country years ago.
The surge of powder in Arizona, however, has spread through a population that is not accustomed to using it. “People adapt to market changes,” said Raminta Daniulaityte, a professor at Arizona State University who researches illicit drug use. “But initially when things change, it can have devastating consequences because people haven’t developed strategies to adapt.”
Margarita Macías, Marck’s mother, remembers coming home one day to find him lying limp in the driveway, soon after he’d returned from four months in rehab, after powdered fentanyl had taken over. Foam was coming out of his mouth. She screamed for her husband. “I felt so helpless,” she said in Spanish, “seeing things spiraling out of control and being unable to do a thing.”
Powdered fentanyl sold on the streets is particularly dangerous because of its higher variability. One recent study of the fentanyl supply in Los Angeles, for example, found that one gram of what was sold as “fentanyl” contained anywhere from less than one milligram of fentanyl to almost 650 milligrams. The variability combined with the potential for extreme potency makes it difficult to dose properly. “With the powder, you would overdose instantly if you weren’t careful,” said Francisco Cabrera, who has used fentanyl for over a decade.
Among the people interviewed for this article who use opioids, most expressed a preference for blues over powdered fentanyl, all else being equal. But ultimately they would use whatever product was available to stave off withdrawal, which causes debilitating pain, vomiting and mental anguish. “It’s like your blood is itching,” said Mr. Martinez, who would scratch himself so severely that his mother would often find him bleeding through his shirt.
‘It is like a blast furnace’
Phoenix, the largest city in Maricopa County and the center of the broader metro area, sits low in the Salt River Valley, under a blanket of warm air at the northeastern edge of the Sonoran Desert. The relentless heat of the city has only compounded the dangers of the fentanyl supply shift. Drug deaths in Phoenix typically peak during the summer months, when temperatures routinely exceed 110 degrees, often remaining above 90 degrees even at night.
The hot nights make it harder for vulnerable populations to recover from hot days spent in a city with wide boulevards and relatively sparse tree cover. “There’s nowhere to hide,” said Scott Greenwood, C.E.O. of Sonoran Prevention Works, a local harm reduction agency. “It is like a blast furnace. It’s like taking a hair dryer and pointing it at your face. That’s what it feels like when there’s a breeze here in July.”
According to a Times analysis of data from the Maricopa County medical examiner’s office from 2024 through March 2026, when the daily high in Phoenix crossed 110 degrees, drug deaths in the county increased by 40 percent. On the 17 days in that period when the temperature reached 115 degrees, drug deaths nearly doubled.
Drug deaths begin to rise once temperatures in Phoenix cross 110 degrees. Above 115 degrees, they nearly double.
In Maricopa County, drug deaths rise along with the temperature
As part of the street medicine team for Circle the City, a nonprofit organization that provides medical care to homeless people in Maricopa County, Dr. Matt Evans has witnessed these dangers firsthand, describing patients who had passed out from fentanyl and suffered third degree burns from pavement superheated by the desert sun. “Substance use and extreme heat do not mix,” he said.
These dangers are aggravated by the widespread use of methamphetamine. Ms. Daniulaityte said 80 to 90 percent of fentanyl users in the region also use meth. The depressive effects of fentanyl are so strong that many drug users said they use meth just to function, smoking fentanyl to bring themselves down and then meth to bring themselves back up again. Several described using methamphetamine to ease the pain of withdrawal.
The combination of heat and meth can be deadly. Whereas a fentanyl overdose causes the brain to stop reminding the body to breathe, methamphetamine kills by pushing the body past its limits, effects that are heightened by heat exposure, lack of sleep and dehydration. “It raises your body temperature, it makes you tachycardic,” Dr. Evans said. “It puts you at risk for heat exhaustion, heat illness, heat stroke in a way that is very dangerous.” The body can quite simply overheat.
In 2025, over half of heat-related deaths in Maricopa County involved drugs. At least 19 people in Maricopa County have died from heat exposure already in 2026, with drug use implicated in 11 of those deaths. In all but one of those drug-related cases, methamphetamine intoxication was listed among the causes.
The interplay between heat and meth is one of the reasons the Maricopa County Department of Public Health broadened its internal definition of drug deaths in 2024 to include any death where drug toxicity was a contributing factor. “There really isn’t a bright line” between a heat death and a meth death, said Dr. Jeffrey Johnston, the chief medical examiner for Maricopa County.
The twin pressures of heat and meth are felt by the large homeless population in the area, who have few options to escape the heat and often use meth as a tool of survival, to stay vigilant. Annual surveys estimate that on any given night there are about 10,000 homeless people in Maricopa County; roughly half are unsheltered, living on the streets, in parks and river beds. Sustained meth use can easily trigger meth-induced psychosis, in which a person begins hearing voices. One man described starting using fentanyl merely to quiet the voices in his head so he could sleep.
According to Arlene Mahoney, the executive director of the Southwest Recovery Alliance, displacement from homeless encampments — like the 2023 dismantling of “the Zone,” the city’s largest encampment — has further heightened the risk. When people can no longer find the drug supply they’re used to, they’re forced to choose between the agony of withdrawal or new, untested sources. “It’s about destabilization,” Ms. Mahoney said. “People are losing the places and people they rely on.”
Advocates for the homeless are especially concerned about a new city parks ordinance that restricts the provision of medical care and food in city parks. City officials have defended the measure as a way to improve safety and sanitation. Outreach workers and medical providers say it will make it harder to reach people who already have little access to health care, at a time when city parks, with shade and grass, can provide a rare respite from the heat. “I think what’s coming here is terrifying,” Ms. Mahoney said. “That’s not public health, that’s not public safety.”
A ‘wake-up call’
After Mr. Martinez overdosed in the park, he returned to living on the streets. Shortly after, a close friend who’d just left rehab, unable to find the blues he was used to, turned to fentanyl powder. The friend died. A few days later, Mr. Martinez checked into the HOPESS Residential Recovery Center.
“It was kind of like my wake-up call,” Mr. Martinez said. He guesses he’s entered inpatient treatment around a dozen times, but he’s determined to make this visit his last. “Every time I come across fentanyl now,” he overdoses, he said. “I’m not gonna make it, you know? It just gets worse and worse.”
The initial data from 2026 appears promising. Reports of nonfatal overdoses in Phoenix through June are 17 percent lower this year than last. Data pulled from the Maricopa County medical examiner’s office shows drug deaths through March tracking lower than last year. It’s possible the crisis has begun to ebb. But it takes months to classify many drug deaths; a complete picture won’t emerge until well after summer is over.
Mr. Martinez has entered a sober living house and has started taking classes at the local community college, where he hopes to pursue welding. Ms. Macías follows his progress closely, eager to see the return of the son she knew from before he started using: “People would say to me, ‘Listen, why do you keep chasing after him?’ But I’d say: I have to help him. If I don’t, who will?”
Methodology
The chart of drug death rates is a Times analysis of mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Deaths before 1999 reflect the underlying cause of death, using ICD-9 codes E850-E858, E950.0-E950.5, E962.0 and E980.0-E980.5. Deaths from 1999 onward include all deaths in which acute drug toxicity was listed among the contributing causes, using ICD-10 codes X40-X44, X60-X64, X85 and Y10-Y14.
Drug death numbers for Arizona in 2008 are omitted due to a known data issue. Death numbers for 2025 are preliminary, with rates calculated using the Vintage 2025 state population estimates from the Census Bureau.
The chart of Maricopa County drug deaths classifies a death as drug-related if either the primary or contributory cause of death contains any of these words: acetaminophen, alprazolam, amphetamine, amlodipine, buprenorphine, buproprion, bupropion, caffeine, chlordiazepoxide, citalopram, cocaine, codeine, cyclobenzaprine, diphenhydramine, doxepin, fentanyl, fluoxetine, gabapentin, heroin, hydrocodone, ketamine, kratom, kratum, lorazepam, methadone, methamphetamine, mitragynine, morphine, oxycodone, phenobarbital, polydrug, polysubstance, sertraline, tramadol, venlafaxine or zolpidem; or the phrases acute drug, drug intoxication or drug toxicity. It excludes homicides, in which causes of death are redacted. Drug deaths classified as homicides are rare. Some case data is preliminary and subject to change.
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