San Francisco, CA
Declaring the end of progressive San Francisco is a bit premature – 48 hills
The San Francisco Chronicle and The San Francisco Standard have both declared that this is no longer a progressive city.
That seems a bit premature to me.
The early results from last night’s election do, indeed, mostly favor the wing of the Democratic Party that calls itself “moderate” but is actually, on economic issues, pretty conservative. (I call neoliberals conservatives.)
Ballot measures supported by the mayor that do things like give the police more authority to spy on us all and require drug screening for welfare recipients are passing easily.
The conservatives are heading for control of the Democratic County Central Committee.
But let’s hold on a moment here before we pronounce a dramatic shift in local politics.
These results are based on a turnout of 20.9 percent. Four out of every five registered voters have not had their votes counted. There are, as of Wednesday, more ballots still outstanding (110,000) than have been counted so far.
And according to all the maps I have seen, the early ballots, the ones they count first, are overwhelmingly from the most conservative parts of the city.
Look at the data: 22.5 percent of the Democratic votes have been counted. But almost 29 percent of the Republican votes are in. One out of every ten votes counted so far was cast by a Republicans, who represent 7.4 percent of the registered voters.
The early returns always skew conservative, since the more conservative voters tend to turn their ballots in early.
I’m not suggesting that the final results will change dramatically—but only a few hundred votes separate the winners and losers in the DCCC, and it’s likely that at least a few more progressives will make the cut.
In the end, though, we will have a fairly conservative outcome—largely because of who voted. The Chron noted that in an update this afternoon. The Department of Elections will release more results Thursday at 4pm.
As I said last night, many of the conservative voters turn out anyway, and the mayor’s attacks on the poor and promotion of the police brought out more of those voters. And the billionaire money made a huge difference, particularly in the DCCC race.
The biggest problem for the progressives, particularly younger voters, was the lack of anything at the top of the ticket to inspire them to vote.
People on the left in San Francisco, by and large, are not happy with Joe Biden. So, either as a protest or as a matter of disinterest, some of then stayed home.
Check out this chart, from the Department of Elections. Turnout is highest when there’s something at the top of the ticket—and that is also when progressives do best.
In November, if there’s a candidate progressives can support running for mayor, there’s a good chance that the presidential race and the mayor’s race will bring out enough voters on the left to make a big difference in the supes races and on ballot measures.
The impact of the tech workers who have moved to town in the past ten years is becoming real. At first, they weren’t voting; now, apparently, they are. We all knew this was going to happen; as longtime activist Calvin Welch likes to say, “who lives here, votes here,” and as displacement forces out the working class and communities of color, the city gets more conservative. The Yimby pro-market approach to issues like housing, and the pro-police approach to social problems, has become more appealing to the wealthier residents.
Maybe wave after wave of gentrification will ultimately usher in a neoliberal majority on the Board of Supes and a more conservative body politic.
But I’ve been around a long time. In the 1980s, the city was run almost entirely by economic (and often social) conservatives like Mayor Dianne Feinstein, who had more than six call-up votes on an at-large board. Frank Jordan, a former police chief, was elected mayor in 1991. In the later 1990s, Mayor Willie Brown controlled the supes and his pro-developer politics dominated the city. The left was always in the minority and on the ropes.
Gavin Newsom get elected mayor by attacking poor people with a ballot measure called “Care not Cash,” which passed with a clear majority.
The DCCC used to be controlled by the old Brown-Burton Machine, which made sure that progressive Harry Britt, the heir to Harvey Milk’s supervisorial seat, lost a generational, defining Congressional race to machine candidate Nancy Pelosi.
Conservative election outcomes are not new. Neoliberal mayors have run San Francisco for much of past half century.
But recent years have shown a remarkable uprising of progressive candidates and causes. The young, organized, diverse left in this city is as strong as I’ve seen it.
So after all this time, I’m not ready to write the obituary for the progressive city.
San Francisco, CA
San Francisco Giants Predicted to Sign Corbin Burnes to Massive Contract
The San Francisco Giants have been quite busy so far this offseason improving a team that has been mediocre the last few years.
So far, the Buster Posey era in San Francisco has been a good one, as after years of not being able to land big free agents, the new president of baseball operations has already changed that narrative.
This winter, the Giants were able to sign star shortstop Willy Adames to a big contract to come in and be the new face of their lineup. The talented shortstop gives San Francisco the middle of the order hitter that was the number one priority for them this offseason.
Now, they have turned their attention to replacing Blake Snell, who left in free agency for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Currently, the Giants are one of the potential suitors for the top pitching prize in free agency, Corbin Burnes.
Recently, Zachary D. Rymer of Bleacher Report predicted that San Francisco would sign the talented right-hander to a massive eight-year, $250 million deal.
That’s an enormous commitment to a pitcher who is 30 years old. But, Rymer points out all the reasons to make the deal. Burnes is a Cy Young winner, has a 2.87 ERA in his past five seasons and only one pitcher — Zack Wheeler — has a better wins above replacement (WAR) than Burnes does since August of 2020.
The concern among some analysts has been a declining strikeout rate (8.4 per nine innings), his lowest since 2020. But, as Burnes has evolved into more of a ground-ball pitcher, perhaps the dropping strikeout rate is overblown, he writes.
“You could therefore make the case that he’s already aging gracefully, which is to say nothing of how he’s never been on the injured list with an arm or shoulder injury,” Rymer wrote.
Without a doubt, Burnes has been one of the best pitchers in baseball the last few seasons, as he has pitched well for both the Milwaukee Brewers and the Baltimore Orioles. Last season with the Orioles, Burnes totaled a 15-9 record, 2.92 ERA, and had over 180 innings pitched once again.
There has been some talk about his strikeout rate dipping, especially last year. However, as he ages as a pitcher, this could be seen as a positive thing, as his performance wasn’t impacted by his ability to strikeout hitters decreasing.
With the contract likely to be a long one, the ability to get ground ball outs later in his career could keep him as a productive pitcher well into his late 30s.
For the Giants, signing the best pitcher in free agency would be a big win for them this offseason, and a feather in the cap for Posey in his first winter in charge.
San Francisco, CA
San Francisco organizer hosts Fillmore Holiday Night Market
San Francisco, CA
San Francisco Mayor London Breed reflects on her administration
SAN FRANCISCO – The end of the year brings an end to the Breed administration in San Francisco.
San Francisco Mayor London Breed served the city for six years and said she’s proud of the work she’s done.
Breed is spending the last weeks of her administration much the same way she has the last six years, serving as the city’s biggest advocate, now reflecting on her time in office.
A term that started in the turmoil following the death of her predecessor, Ed Lee.
Then-president of the board of supervisors, Breed briefly served as acting mayor and was elected to serve the remainder of Lee’s term, guiding the city through its grief.
“Along with trying to process it myself, I had to roll up my sleeves and just reassure the public that the business of the city will continue, that you do have a leader, but that we are also mourning and help the city get through that grief,” said Breed.
Breed served San Francisco through the COVID-19 pandemic, taking decisive action early to shut down the city, a move she said saved lives.
“San Francisco is one of the densest cities anywhere in the country,” said Breed. “We had one of the lowest death rates of any major city. We didn’t have our hospitals overflowing, our morgue overflowing.”
Because of the pandemic, Breed said she grappled with a new economic reality, trying to reshape the city in the post-pandemic era.
Breed said among her proudest accomplishments is cutting the red tape, transforming a city that was slow to change to a city of “yes.”
“So, getting to ‘yes,’ providing more flexible uses and making downtown a 24/7 neighborhood, that’s what starting to happen now,” said Breed.
“Removing the restrictions is important. So I believe that during my time, doing all this work, we have set San Francisco up for what is possible.”
That post-pandemic period also saw a marked increase in crime.
Breed said she brought on a new district attorney, Brooke Jenkins, to make sure there was accountability and consequences for those who broke the law, including drug dealers and users, as the city struggled with a surge in fentanyl use.
Breed also said she’s worked to change the sometimes distorted image of San Francisco to make it a destination for police officer recruitment and helped usher in new technology, all of which she says are responsible for the city’s declining crime rate.
“We have the tools,” Breed said. “We’ve changed the laws, we’ve built the capacity to address it a lot differently than we did when we came out of the pandemic. That is what led to these remarkable results that we’re starting to see, and it’s only going to get better.”
The mayor said she also worked hard to find a solution to the homelessness crisis that spilled out into the streets.
“I really focused in on the issues that, now, have changed for the better,” said Breed. “More to do, of course, not where they need to be, but, we have helped over 20,000 people exit homelessness permanently.”
As for her plans going forward, Breed is not offering a lot of details.
“I’m looking forward to what the future holds,” said Breed. “I gotta say, just being mayor of San Francisco has just really been the honor of my life. It’s been a joy. Yes, it has had its challenges. Its up and its downs, but this is one of the most incredible cities in the world. I’m so proud that I have had the privilege to serve as the mayor of San Francisco.”
The mayor did say that for now, her focus is on continuing to serve the city until Jan. 8 when a new mayor is sworn in.
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