Alaska
The Sunday Minefield – May 19, 2024
The second session of the 33rd Alaska Legislature adjourned sine die on Wednesday night. Well at least the Senate did. The House was another story. They did not adjourn until early Thursday morning, which was a clear violation of the Alaska Constitution. With the budget passing, a last minute deal for a temporary fix to the correspondence program, and two energy bills passing, there was no need for an immediate special session. With more than 71,000 ballots counted, Suzanne LaFrance is beating Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson by more than seven points. And the June 1 deadline to file to fun for the Legislature is less than two weeks away.
A friendly message and reminder to all our readers. The Landmine is made possible by myself and a team of awesome Alaskans. I just got back from Juneau for my sixth session in a row reporting on the Legislature. And we will again be providing in-depth coverage for both the primary and general elections. If you enjoy the content we provide, please consider making a one time or recurring monthly donation. You can click here to donate. We have a donation system that makes it super easy. We would really appreciate it. And thanks to everyone who has been supportive!
Legislature passes operating budget, energy bills, and correspondence fix before adjourning sine die
The following is an excerpt from this week’s edition of the Alaska Political Report. You can click here for more information about the Political Report. A subscription is $1,299/year per organization. Discounted pricing is available for non-profits and government entities. Our coverage of the budget starts with the governor’s proposed budget, and we track everything in detail through the entire process. If you have any questions or would like to subscribe, please email jeff@akpoliticalreport.com.
On the final day of the legislative session, the House and Senate each adopted the conference committee report for the operating budget (see our special edition from Tuesday that details the changes made by the conference committee).
The Senate voted 17-3 to pass the budget just before 11 pm. The House voted 22-18 to pass the budget mere minutes before the midnight constitutional session limit. Because the budget did not require a savings draw from the Constitutional Budget Reserve (CBR), a three-fourths vote was not required for the budget to pass.
The House concurred with the Senate’s changes to House Bill 50. HB 50 was originally a bill about carbon storage from GOP Gov. Mike Dunleavy, but was amended by the Legislature to include another bill from Dunleavy about geothermal resources, as well as several Cook Inlet provisions dealing with natural gas storage regulation, the releasing of seismic and geophysical data, and reserve-based lending – which Bluecrest says is important for further development of their Cosmopolitan field.
The House also concurred with the Senate’s changes to House Bill 307. HB 307 is a Dunleavy bill about utility transmission in the Railbelt, but ended up becoming a broader energy bill. Wasilla Republican Rep. Jesse Sumner had inserted language that said utilities could not pass on the costs of an LNG import facility to ratepayers, but the Senate removed that provision. The bill also exempts new power generation from state and local taxes.
In a clever move, House leadership worked with the Senate to insert the provisions of House Bill 400 – a House Education Committee bill to address the legal issues with the correspondence program – into House Bill 202. HB 202 is a bill from Palmer Republican Rep. DeLena Johnson dealing with opioid overdoses. Because the correspondence language was added to a House bill that was in the Senate, the House was forced to take a concurrence vote. If they had failed to concur, there would not have been enough time for a conference committee to work out the differences. The House voted 40-0 to concur with the Senate’s amendments.
Others in the House had wanted to put the correspondence language in a Senate bill before sending it back, but that would have resulted in a myriad of education amendments on the House floor, like raising the Base Student Allocation (BSA). There was not enough time for that. By passing the correspondence language, the Legislature is likely to avoid a special session later this year to address the issue. The correspondence language is only good until July 1, 2025, meaning the next Legislature will have to deal with this. But this buys them time in an election year and allows them to see what the final Supreme Court ruling is.
The one other reason for a possible special session later this year is Cook Inlet royalty relief. The House majority and Gov. Dunleavy both want to lower the royalty rate for Cook Inlet gas to incentivize more production. The House sent House Bill 223 – a royalty relief bill from Sutton Republican Rep. George Rauscher – to the Senate on Tuesday, but it failed to get a hearing.
Royalty relief is something Furie, owned by John Hendrix, has been aggressively pursuing. Furie holds leases in the Kitchen Lights Unit, where there is believed to be significant natural gas reserves. Furie says that current royalty rates are preventing them from developing more gas. But the Senate, namely Sitka Republican Sen. Bert Stedman, does not want to lower royalty rates without getting proper input from the Legislature’s consultant, GaffneyCline. This is something to possibly watch for in late summer or early fall.
Legislators and staff are already packing up and heading home. The June 1 filing deadline to run for the Legislature is just over two weeks away. We will be providing ongoing coverage and analysis throughout the August and November elections.
Other Happenings
One of the biggest frustrations this session was the sheer number of bills stuffed into other bills at the end of session. This isn’t uncommon but this year it was a lot more than normal. It makes it hard for even close observers to track what is happening and nearly impossible for the public. One example is Senate Bill 189. This was a bill to stop the sunset of several boards including the Marijuana Control Board and the Board of Game. But at the last minute the House loaded it up with a bill from Representative Julie Coulombe (R – Anchorage) dealing with childcare tax credits and a bill from Representative Mike Cronk (R – Tok) dealing with hunting guides. How all of that fits into the constitutional single subject rule is beyond me. The truth is it probably doesn’t. Check out the new title for SB 189!
The latest election count shows Suzanne LaFrance well ahead of Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson. The election is scheduled to be certified on May 31. LaFrance will be sworn in as Anchorage’s next mayor on July 1. Anchorage mayoral terms are three years, with a limit of two consecutive terms.
The June 1 filing deadline to run for the Legislature is fast approaching. Stay tuned for a Landmine article detailing all of the races to watch. One thing is certain, there will be much less turnover this cycle than the last one. A big factor for the high turnover in 2022 was it was a redistricting year – something that happens every ten years. Two House incumbents aren’t seeking re-election, Representatives Jennie Armstrong (D – Anchorage) and Laddie Shaw (R – Anchorage). And Representative Ben Carpenter (R – Nikiski) is challenging Senator Jesse Bjorkman (R – Nikiski). There will be four or five other House races to watch that will determine who controls that chamber next year.
Representative David Eastman (R – Wasilla) filed a letter of intent for re-election two days ago. There was speculation he might run for the Senate seat, but he filed for his House seat. He faces Republican Jubilee Underwood. That will be a race to watch.
Republican Doyle Holmes filed a letter of intent today to challenge Representative Kevin McCabe (R – Big Lake) again. McCabe beat him by 10 points in 2022 after votes were retabulated using ranked choice voting.
I have to give a big shout out to my girl Katie McCall for her win in our 100 meter dash on Wednesday. During the debate of the transgender sports bill last weekend I joked with her that I could beat her in a 100 meter dash. It quickly became obvious that everyone thought I stood no chance! So we decided to race. It came together on the evening of the last day of session during the dinner break. The race took place behind the Capitol. I could not believe how many people came to watch! You can watch the race here. Someone sent me that hilarious video. Even though I lost the race I kind of feel like I won for three reasons: I did not get hurt, I did not fall, and I did not get smoked! Looking forward to our rematch next year!
This Week’s Loose Unit
On rare occasions we get a back-to-back Loose Unit. This is one of those occasions. This week’s Loose Unit is again the entire 40-member Alaska House of Representatives. It would take too much space to highlight just how loose the House got on the last day of session. So I am going to leave it to three things.
One, the House did not pass the operating budget until eight minutes before the constitutional deadline. And if that was not loose enough, the vote almost failed. When the vote total was 22-18, Representative Andy Josephson (D – Anchorage) switched his vote from yes to no. This promoted Representative Jesse Sumner (R – Wasilla) to also switch from yes to no, making the vote 20-20, one short. Sumner likely did this to get Representative McCabe (fellow Valley rep and majority member) to switch from no to yes, which he did. Then, Sumner went back to yes. The whole thing was super loose. You can even hear the chief clerk say, “This is not a game.” You can watch the crazy vote here. Representative Carpenter was the only majority member to vote no.
Two, the House passed five bills after the constitutional deadline of midnight. You can read this Landmine article that details just how loose that was.
Three, after all of that the House failed multiple times to get the 21 votes needed to adjourn sine die. Honestly House Speaker Cathy Tilton (R – Wasilla) should have just gaveled out and said they were well past the clear constitutional deadline. But she chose to wait to get to 21. It was further complicated by someone placing a call on the house, which prevented any member from leaving the chamber without an escort. All of it was over trying to get the elections bill out of the limbo file. Some majority members wanted to vote on it but many, including the original sponsor, hated the changes the Senate made. This is what caused the deadlock. In addition to being super loose, the whole thing was also really embarrassing.
If you have a nomination for this week’s Loose Unit, or if you have any political news, stories or gossip (or any old pics of politicians or public officials) please email me at jeff@alaskalandmine.com.
Alaska
Trump administration opens vast majority of Alaska petroleum reserve to oil activity
The Bureau of Land Management on Monday said it approved an updated management plan that opens about 82% of the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska to oil and gas leasing.
The agency this winter will also hold the first lease sale in the reserve since 2019, potentially opening the door for expanded oil and gas activity in an area that has seen new interest from oil companies in recent years.
The sale will be the first of five oil and gas lease sales called for in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that passed this summer.
The approval of the plan follow the agency’s withdrawal of the 2024 activity plan for the reserve that was approved under the Biden administration and limited oil and gas drilling in more than half the reserve.
The 23-million-acre reserve is the largest tract of public land in the U.S. It’s home to ConocoPhillips’ giant Willow discovery on its eastern flank.
ConocoPhillips and other companies are increasingly eyeing the reserve for new discoveries. ConocoPhillips has proposed plans for a large exploration season with winter, though an Alaska Native group and conservation groups have filed a lawsuit challenging the effort.
The planned lease sale could open the door for more oil and gas activity deeper into the reserve.
The Voice of the Arctic Iñupiat, consisting of elected leaders from Alaska’s North Slope, where the reserve is located, said it supports the reversal of the Biden-era plan. Infrastructure from oil and gas activity provides tax revenues for education, health care and modern services like running water and sewer, the group said.
The decision “is a step in the right direction and lays the foundation for future economic, community, and cultural opportunities across our region — particularly for the communities within the (petroleum reserve),” said Rex Rock Sr., president of the Arctic Slope Regional Corp. representing Alaska Natives from the region, in the statement from the group.
The reserve was established more than a century ago as an energy warehouse for the U.S. Navy. It contains an estimated 8.7 billion barrels of recoverable oil.
But it’s also home to rich populations of waterfowl and caribou sought by Alaska Native subsistence hunters from the region, as well as threatened polar bears.
The Wilderness Society said the Biden-era plan established science-based management of oil and gas activity and protected “Special Areas” as required by law.
It was developed after years of public meetings and analysis, and its conservation provisions were critical to subsistence users and wildlife, the group said.
The Trump administration “is abandoning balanced management of America’s largest tract of public land and catering to big oil companies at the expense of future generations of Alaskans,” said Matt Jackson, Alaska senior manager for The Wilderness Society. The decision threatens clean air, safe water and wildlife in the region, he said.
The decision returns management of the reserve to the 2020 plan approved during the first Trump administration. It’s part of a broad effort by the administration to increase U.S. oil and gas production.
To update the 2020 plan, the Bureau of Land Management invited consultation with tribes and Alaska Native corporations and held a 14-day public comment period on the draft assessment, the agency said.
“The plan approved today gives us a clear framework and needed certainty to harness the incredible potential of the reserve,” said Kevin Pendergast, state director for the Bureau of Land Management. “We look forward to continuing to work with Alaskans, industry and local partners as we move decisively into the next phase of leasing and development.”
Congress voted to overturn the 2024 plan for the reserve, supporting bills from Alaska’s Republican congressional delegation to prevent a similar plan from being implemented in the future.
Alaska
Opinion: Alaskans, don’t be duped by the citizens voter initiative
A signature drive is underway for a ballot measure formally titled “An Act requiring that only United States citizens may be qualified to vote in Alaska elections,” often referred to by its sponsors as the United States Citizens Voter Act. Supporters say it would “clarify” that only U.S. citizens may vote in Alaska elections. That may sound harmless. But Alaskans should not sign this petition or vote for the measure if it reaches the ballot. The problem it claims to fix is imaginary, and its real intent has nothing to do with election integrity.
Alaska already requires voters to be U.S. citizens. Election officials enforce that rule. There is no bill in Juneau proposing to change it, no court case challenging it and no Alaska municipality contemplating noncitizen voting. Nothing in our election history or law suggests that the state’s citizenship requirement is under threat.
Which raises the real question: If there’s no problem to solve, what is this measure actually for?
The answer has everything to do with election politics. Across the Lower 48, “citizenship voting” drives have been used as turnout engines and list-building operations — reliable ways to galvanize conservative voters, recruit volunteers and gather contact data. These measures typically have no immediate policy impact, but the downstream political payoff is substantial.
Alaska’s effort fits neatly into that pattern. The petition is being circulated by Alaskans for Citizen Voting, whose leading advocates include former legislators John Coghill, Mike Chenault and Josh Revak. The group’s own financial disclaimer identifies a national organization, Americans for Citizen Voting, as its top contributor. The effort isn’t purely local. It is part of a coordinated national campaign.
To understand where this may be headed, look at what Americans for Citizen Voting is doing in other states. In Michigan, the group is backing a constitutional amendment far more sweeping than the petition: It would require documentary proof of citizenship for all voters, eliminate affidavit-based registration, tighten ID requirements even for absentee ballots, and require voter-roll purges tied to citizenship verification. In short, “citizen-only voting” is the opening move — the benign-sounding front door to a much broader effort to make voting more difficult for many eligible Americans.
Across the country, these initiatives rarely stand alone. They serve to establish the narrative that elections are lax or vulnerable, even when they are not. That narrative then becomes the justification for downstream restrictions: stricter ID laws, new documentation burdens for naturalized citizens, more aggressive voter-roll purges and — especially relevant here — new hurdles for absentee and mail-in voters.
In the 2024 general election, the Alaska Division of Elections received more than 55,000 absentee and absentee-equivalent ballots — about 16% of all ballots cast statewide. Many of those ballots came from rural and roadless communities, where as much as 90% of the population lacks road access and depends heavily on mail and air service. Absentee voting is not a convenience in these places; it is how democracy reaches Alaskans who live far from polling stations.
When a national organization that has supported absentee-voting restrictions elsewhere becomes the top financial backer of the petition, Alaskans should ask what comes next.
Supporters say the initiative is common sense. But laws don’t need “clarifying” when they are already explicit, already enforced and already uncontroversial. No one has produced evidence that noncitizen voting is a problem in an Alaska election. We simply don’t have a problem for this measure to solve.
What we do have are real challenges — education, public safety, energy policy, housing, fiscal stability. The petition addresses none of them. It is political theater, an Outside agenda wrapped in Alaska packaging.
If someone with a clipboard asks you to sign the Citizens Voter petition, say no. The problem is fictional, and the risks to our voting system are real. And if the measure makes the ballot, vote no.
Stan Jones is a former award-winning Alaska journalist and environmental advocate. He lives in Anchorage.
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Alaska
Record cold temperatures for Juneau with a change to Western Alaska
ANCHORAGE, AK (Alaska’s News Source) – Overnight lows in Juneau have hit a two streak for breaking records!
Sunday tied the previous record lowest high temperature of 10 degrees set back in 1961, with clear skies and still abnormally cold temperatures to kick off Christmas week. Across the panhandle, clear and cold remains the trend but approaching Christmas Day, snow potential may return to close out the work week.
Download the free Alaska’s News Source Weather App.
In Western Alaska, Winter Storm Warnings are underway beginning as early as tonight for the Seward Peninsula. Between 5 to 10 inches of snow are forecasted across Norton Sound from Monday morning through midnight Monday as wind gusts build to 35 mph. In areas just slightly north, like Kotzebue, a Winter Storm Warning will remain in effect from Monday morning to Wednesday morning. Kotzebue and surrounding areas will brace for 6 to 12 inches of possible snow accumulation over the course of 3 mornings with gusts up to 40 miles per hour.
Southcentral could potentially see record low high temperatures for Monday as highs in Anchorage are forecasted in the negatives. Across the region, clear skies will stick around through Christmas with subsiding winds Monday morning.
Send us your weather photos and videos here!
Interior Alaska is next up on the ‘changing forecast’ list as a Winter Storm Watch will be in effect Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning. With this storm watch, forecasted potential of 5 to 10 inches of snow will coat the North Star Borough. For those in Fairbanks, 1 to 3 inches of snow will likely fall Tuesday night into Wednesday, just in time for Christmas Eve! Until then, mostly sunny skies will dominate the Interior with things looking just a bit cloudier past the Brooks Range. The North Slope will stay mostly cloudy to start the work week with some morning snow likely for Wainwright.
The Aleutian Chain is another overcast region with mostly cloudy skies and light rain for this holiday week. Sustained winds will range from 15 to 20 miles per hour with gusts up to 35 mph in Cold Bay.
24/7 Alaska Weather: Get access to live radar, satellite, weather cameras, current conditions, and the latest weather forecast here. Also available through the Alaska’s News Source streaming app available on Apple TV, Roku, and Amazon Fire TV.
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