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When to Expect Election Results in Each State

Published

2 hours ago

November 1, 2024

Press Room

When to Expect Election Results in Each State

Alabama
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials expect unofficial results to be available before noon Eastern time on Wednesday.

Alaska
Polls close at Midnight and 1 a.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

First results are expected around 1 a.m. Eastern time. Some absentee ballots will be counted late on election night, with subsequent counts taking place up to 15 days later. Ranked-choice voting is used in federal and state races; if no candidate receives at least 50 percent of the vote, the next tabulation will be conducted after 15 days.

Arizona
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Tossup

First results typically come in around 10 p.m. Eastern time. Most voters cast ballots by mail, and counting typically takes days. Officials in Maricopa County, the state’s largest, said full tabulation could take 10 to 13 days.

Arkansas
Polls close at 8:30 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials did not estimate how long counting would take, but most results are typically in by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. Only a small share of voters cast ballots by mail in the state.

California
Polls close at 11 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Most voters cast votes by mail, and ballots can take days — or even weeks — to count. As of Friday, there were 6 House districts rated as tossups by the Cook Political Report. If the balance of power in the House comes down to these seats, it could be awhile before we know which party will take control.

Colorado
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

The state has long conducted its elections by mail. In 2020, it took about a day to report 95 percent of votes; in the 2022 midterms, it took almost four days. Much of the timing depends on how many ballots arrive on Election Day itself.

Connecticut
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

In 2022, most votes were reported by noon Wednesday, with 11 percent of voters casting ballots by mail (an excuse is required). The state has newly implemented early, in-person voting, but those ballots cannot be opened or tabulated until Election Day.

Delaware
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Officials expect 100% of votes to be reported by midnight on election night.

District of Columbia
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

In 2020, about 69 percent of votes were reported by noon Wednesday; in 2022, that share was 80 percent. Each registered voter was mailed a ballot, which has 10 days to arrive if postmarked by Election Day.

Florida
Polls close at 7 p.m. and 8 p.m. E.T.
Likely Rep.

Votes are counted extremely quickly, with 99 percent of votes reported by midnight in both recent general elections. First votes are expected after most polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern time.

Georgia
Polls close at 7 p.m. E.T.
Tossup

Most voters tend to vote early in person, and vote reporting is usually relatively fast. The share of ballots cast by mail is expected to be much smaller than in 2020, but the state could still be counting corrected mail ballots, overseas and provisional ballots for several days.

Hawaii
Polls close at Midnight E.T.
Solid Dem.

The state runs a predominantly mail election. In 2020, it took until about 7 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday to reach 95 percent of votes. In 2022, it took an additional day.

Idaho
Polls close at 10 p.m. and 11 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials said they would not expect this election to be much different than previous ones, though 2020 was probably an outlier. In 2020 and 2022, most results were reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. First results are expected after 11 p.m. Eastern time.

Illinois
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Officials said that reporting could look similar to 2022, when more than 90 percent of votes were reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. Ballots postmarked by Election Day have two weeks to arrive, but most jurisdictions should have their complete unofficial results within a week.

Indiana
Polls close at 6 p.m. and 7 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

In 2022, most ballots were counted by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. A smaller share of voters cast mail ballots that year compared with 2020, and requirements for doing so have become stricter since. First results are expected after polls close in most of the state at 6 p.m. Eastern time.

Iowa
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

In 2022, after the poll closing time was moved one hour earlier, 95 percent of votes were reported by midnight Eastern time. Mail voting rates have fallen since 2020, when absentee ballot request forms were mailed to every eligible voter.

Kansas
Polls close at 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Most votes were reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday in 2020 and 2022. Ballots cast by mail, which have three days to arrive if postmarked by Election Day, have been used less than in 2020.

Kentucky
Polls close at 6 p.m. and 7 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials said they hope to report unofficial results by midnight Eastern time on election night.

Louisiana
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials expect that unofficial votes will be counted before noon Eastern time on Wednesday. In the state’s open primary system, which is used in nonpresidential races, if no candidate wins a majority of the vote, the top two vote-getters advance to the next election on Dec. 7.

Maine
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Likely Dem. Maine statewide
Solid Dem. Maine 1st
Likely Rep. Maine 2nd

Officials said they expect a pace of reporting similar to 2020, when most results were in by noon the next day. In races where ranked-choice voting is used, including for the presidency and U.S. Congress, only first rankings will be available; if no candidate receives a majority, a second tabulation will occur in the days following the election.

Maryland
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Officials said they had no reason to think the pace of reporting would differ from 2020 and 2022, when more than 70 percent of votes were reported by noon on Wednesday. Postmarked mail ballots that arrive on Election Day or after will be counted starting two days after the election.

Massachusetts
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

In both 2020 and 2022, more than 90 percent of votes were counted by noon on Wednesday, with more than one-third of voters casting a ballot by mail. Ballots postmarked by Election Day have three days to arrive.

Michigan
Polls close at 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. E.T.
Tossup

Most votes are generally in by noon Eastern time on the day after the election, and the state has passed reforms that could contribute to faster counting. In 2020, Mr. Biden ultimately won Michigan, but a “red mirage” showed Mr. Trump ahead in the reported tally before all mail ballots had been counted. It is unclear how new rules will affect the order of votes reported this year.

Minnesota
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Likely Dem.

Officials say it’s possible that more counties will report results after midnight Eastern time this year. While officials are now allowed to start processing mail ballots sooner, the absentee ballot deadline has moved to 9 p.m. Eastern time from 4 p.m., which could contribute to the slightly later results.

Mississippi
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials said they had no reason to think reporting would differ from recent major elections, when between 80 and 90 percent votes were counted by noon on Wednesday.

Missouri
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials said that most counties should report at similar rates to recent general elections, when unofficial results were reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday.

Montana
Polls close at 10 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Most voters cast ballots by mail, which must be received by Election Day. More than 90 percent of votes have been reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday in recent major elections.

Nebraska
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep. Neb. statewide
Solid Rep. Neb. 1st
Lean Dem. Neb. 2nd
Solid Rep. Neb. 3rd

Officials expect reporting to follow the same trend as recent elections, with most votes counted by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. A new voter ID law could result in more voters casting provisional ballots, which take longer to be processed.

Nevada
Polls close at 10 p.m. E.T.
Tossup

About half of voters usually cast ballots by mail, and counting usually takes days. It could be faster than in the past because of new technology and a rule that allows officials to tabulate ballots sooner. Postmarked ballots are allowed to arrive up to four days after the election, on Nov. 9.

New Hampshire
Polls close at 7 p.m., 7:30 p.m. and 8 p.m. E.T.
Likely Dem.

With the exception of Dixville Notch — the small town that begins voting at 12 a.m. on Election Day and promptly reported five votes in 2020 — vote counting in the state has extended into the day after the election.

New Jersey
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

The state introduced early in-person voting in 2021, and mail voting has dropped significantly from its 2020 levels. In 2022, about 90 percent of ballots in U.S. congressional races (not shown) had been counted by noon the day after the election.

New Mexico
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Likely Dem.

In the last two general elections, nearly all unofficial results were reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. By 1 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, processing of absentee ballots must either conclude, or pause and resume the next day.

New York
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

State officials would not comment on timing, but there have been some recent changes that could affect results reporting. Mail ballots, which must be postmarked by Election Day but are allowed to arrive up to a week later, no longer require an excuse. In 2020, no mail ballots were counted until after election night, but that changed for 2022.

North Carolina
Polls close at 7:30 p.m. E.T.
Tossup

Early, in-person voting is very popular, and votes are typically counted very quickly, with nearly all votes reported by midnight. New rules mean that early voting results will no longer be reported immediately at poll close time, but mail ballots are now due on Election Day (in 2020, ballots postmarked by Election Day had nine days to arrive).

In 25 western counties affected most by Hurricane Helene at the end of September, voters have been given special accommodations for casting their ballots, and a small number of secure tents have been erected to replace destroyed polling sites.

North Dakota
Polls close at 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

In the past two general elections, unofficial results were reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. Ballots must be postmarked by the day before the election, but those arriving after Election Day will not be counted until about two weeks after the election.

Ohio
Polls close at 7:30 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Most votes tend to be reported on election night. Like in many other states, mail voting rates fell in 2022. Mail and early in-person votes favoring Democrats tend to be reported first.

Oklahoma
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

In recent general elections, nearly all votes have been reported by midnight Eastern time on election night.

Oregon
Polls close at 11 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Officials said counting the unofficial results would take a few days. The state, which conducts all-mail elections, passed a new law in 2021 allowing ballots postmarked by Election Day to arrive up to seven days later.

Pennsylvania
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Tossup

Counting is expected to extend beyond election night, primarily because election workers are not allowed to start processing mail ballots until Election Day. Still, vote counting could be faster than in 2020, partly because of new, faster equipment and ballot counting requirements. In 2020, after an initial batch of heavily Democratic votes, the reported tally favored Mr. Trump until more mail ballots were counted, and Mr. Biden’s margins increased.

Rhode Island
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Officials said vote counting should look similar to 2022, when 99 percent of votes were counted by midnight on election night.

South Carolina
Polls close at 7 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Officials said they expected most votes to be reported by noon on Wednesday.

South Dakota
Polls close at 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

In recent general elections, about a quarter of voters cast ballots by mail, and between 90 and 100 percent of votes were reported by noon Eastern time on Wednesday. First results are expected after 9 p.m. Eastern time, when the last polls close in the state.

Tennessee
Polls close at 8 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Full, or nearly full, results have been reported by midnight Eastern time in recent general elections.

Texas
Polls close at 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. E.T.
Likely Rep.

Most votes tend to be counted on election night. Voting by mail requires a valid excuse, and only a small share of voters cast ballots this way. First results are expected when polls close in most of the state, at 8 p.m. Eastern.

Utah
Polls close at 10 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Most voters cast ballots by mail, and officials say the timing of results will largely depend on how many ballots are returned at the last minute. Ballots postmarked by the day before the election have two weeks to arrive.

Vermont
Polls close at 7 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Officials said they had no reason to think the pace of reporting would differ from 2020 and 2022, when nearly all votes were reported by noon on Wednesday.

Virginia
Polls close at 7 p.m. E.T.
Likely Dem.

Most results tend to be reported by noon on Wednesday, though mail ballots postmarked by Election Day have three days to arrive. The share of voters casting a ballot by mail fell to about 9 percent in 2022 from 22 percent in 2020.

Washington
Polls close at 11 p.m. E.T.
Solid Dem.

Officials expect full, unofficial results five to seven days after the election (though postmarked ballots have 20 days to arrive). Much of the timing depends on how many ballots are returned early.

West Virginia
Polls close at 7:30 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

Nearly all unofficial results tend to be reported by noon on Wednesday. Officials say they have no reason to think this year will be different.

Wisconsin
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Tossup

Complete unofficial results are not expected until the morning after the election. Officials cannot begin processing ballots until Election Day, but they are required to count through the night. In some places, absentee ballots are counted at a central facility and are reported in large batches. In 2020, a “red mirage” showed Mr. Trump ahead in the reported vote until the final results arrived. That pattern did not repeat in 2022.

Wyoming
Polls close at 9 p.m. E.T.
Solid Rep.

All unofficial results were reported by noon on Wednesday in 2020 and 2022. Officials say they have no reason to think this year will be different.

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Wall Street frets over Big Tech’s $200bn AI spending splurge

Published

3 hours ago

November 1, 2024

Press Room

Wall Street frets over Big Tech’s 0bn AI spending splurge

Big Tech’s capital spending is on track to surpass $200bn this year and rise even further in 2025, as anxiety grows on Wall Street about the returns on soaring investment in artificial intelligence.

The four biggest US internet groups — Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Google’s parent Alphabet — this week offered investors brief glimpses into the benefits they are seeing from their headlong rush into generative AI, arguing that it was boosting the performance of core services and helping to hold down operating costs.

But the stock market suffered a spasm on Thursday as investors looked past the imprecise benefits to focus instead on another big — and very measurable — jump in spending on chips and data centre infrastructure, as the AI race accelerates.

Capital expenditure at the four biggest hyperscalers grew more than 62 per cent on the year before, to about $60bn during the quarter, according to this week’s financial reports. Meta and Amazon were among those to point to further increases in spending next year.

Analysts at Citi forecast that the quartet’s total capital spending will hit $209bn this year, up 42 per cent on 2023. Citi estimates that data centres account for about 80 per cent of that total.

“What is the real benefit?” said Jim Tierney, a growth stock investor at AllianceBernstein, voicing a common concern. “All of these companies are spending a huge amount of money,” he added, with a resulting hit to profit margins that would become “more noticeable in 2025”.

One sign that demand for generative AI was starting to lift Big Tech’s growth rates came from the accelerating growth in the cloud divisions at Microsoft and Google.

But the optimism quickly dissipated when Microsoft went on to warn that cloud growth would slip back this quarter, largely because of supply constraints. Meanwhile, cloud market leader Amazon Web Services failed to hit the most optimistic hopes for an acceleration in its own growth, even as it lifted investors’ spirits with unexpectedly strong profit margins.

Companies that peppered their earnings calls this week with anecdotal and mostly vague assurances about AI returns included Alphabet, which said the new generative AI features in its search engine were increasing engagement and boosting usage. It also said a quarter of the software it produced was now written by AI.

Despite this, the growth in Google’ search volumes declined from the preceding quarter, said Tierney, raising a question about how strong the AI effect had been.

However, Microsoft said its revenue from AI was on the brink of hitting an annualised $10bn, reaching that milestone faster than any other business in its history. It also said that Copilot — an AI feature for which it charges a monthly fee of $30 per user — had experienced “the fastest growth of a new suite” yet seen in its M365 productivity software.

The $10bn figure was a rare disclosure of a hard revenue number and serves as an early proof-point of the real benefits that could start to flow from generative AI, said Brent Thill, an analyst at Jefferies.

But few other software companies have revealed anything about the effects of AI on their revenue, he added, leaving the stock market to fret. “It’s murky. And investors are freaking out about the costs,” Thill said.

Line chart of Share prices rebased showing Is Big Tech's AI rally running out of steam?

For its part, Meta told investors that AI had boosted returns from its advertising and improved engagement among users, while AWS said its “multibillion-dollar” AI business was growing at a rate of more than 100 per cent.

If anecdotes like this were encouraging but fuzzy, the rapidly rising spending on new data centres and equipment for AI was all too clear.

Facing a grilling from investors, executives at several companies claimed the massive increase in facilities to handle AI was closely tied to demand, and that capital efficiency would improve as the business increased in scale.

Executives at Amazon and Microsoft drew comparisons with the early days of the cloud computing business, when building and equipping fleets of data centres also caused spending to soar.

There are strong advanced buying signals from customers that make it possible to time investment spending closely to actual demand, said Amazon’s chief executive Andy Jassy. Microsoft’s chief financial officer Amy Hood said about half of the software company’s capital spending goes on server purchases, which could be timed closely to increases in demand.

Despite the claims of investment discipline, investors were left with the reality that the higher spending will hit Big Tech’s income statements next year, even as any revenue benefits are uncertain.

Meta, for instance, warned that 2025 would see “significant acceleration in infrastructure expense growth”, as its new fleet of data centres lead to higher depreciation charges and operating costs.

Changes in depreciation policies at Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon in recent years will lessen the pain. All three have extended the useful lives of their data centre gear for accounting purposes, reducing the amount of depreciation they need to report each year.

Amazon said extending the useful lives of its servers by a year had lifted the profit margin in its cloud division by 2 percentage points in the latest quarter — the second time it has taken this step in two years.

But even after the moves to push depreciation charges further into the future, the pressure on margins from soaring spending on AI will be hard to avoid.

After a powerful two-year rally as earnings expectations for Big Tech have ratcheted steadily higher, this could indicate a turning point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed 2.8 per cent lower on Thursday, with Microsoft, Meta and AI chipmaker Nvidia together shedding more than $400bn in value.

On Friday morning, shares in Meta and Alphabet were broadly flat, while Microsoft and Amazon were up, at 1 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively. Nvidia rose 3 per cent.

“Investors are left asking if the ‘beat and raise’ era [in quarterly earnings announcements] is over,” said Tierney. If so, the convulsion that passed through the market on Thursday could be a sign of rockier times ahead.

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Who is Jaylen Dwayne Edgar? Orlando mass shooting suspect ID’d

Published

3 hours ago

November 1, 2024

Press Room

Who is Jaylen Dwayne Edgar? Orlando mass shooting suspect ID’d

The Orlando Police Department has arrested 17-year-old Jaylen Dwayne Edgar as the suspected shooter at a Halloween celebration killing two people and injuring six others.

Police released security footage and body cam footage of the terrifying scene showing Edgar walking through a crowd in downtown Orlando in the area of Orange Avenue and Central Boulevard around 1 a.m. Friday morning.

“Within minutes, a second shooting was witnessed by officers south of Washington Street on Orange Avenue,” the Orlando police said in a news release.

Dressed in a yellow T-shirt and jeans and wearing a backpack, Edgar is seen in the video suddenly turning back into the crowd and firing a handgun. Crowd members, some in costumes and some in street clothes, quickly dispersed.

Suspected shooter Jaylen Dwayne Edgar is pictured in the yellow shirt.

Orlando Police Department

Edgar appears to fall to the ground and get back up before he is confronted by a police officer who knocks the gun out of his hand and tackles him back down.

Two victims died at the scene. The remaining six victims were taken to Orlando Regional Medical Center in stable condition, police said. Their ages range from 19 to 39 years old. Their identities have not been released yet.

Orlando Police Chief Eric Smith said in a press conference that 50,000 to 100,00 people could have been in the downtown area celebrating Halloween at the time of the shooting.

Smith said they didn’t see Edgar enter any of the clubs when he arrived in downtown Orlando.

Nearly 100 officers were patrolling Downtown at the time of the shooting.

Orlando Halloween Shooting — Surveillance footage of the Orlando shooting on Halloween night.

Orlando Police Department

“Whatever his mindset was, he was going to shoot no matter what,” Smith said at the press conference. “He walked by multiple officers. We followed where he came from. He walked by at least 10 officers.

Although a motive for the shooting is pending investigation, Smith added, “It’s unfortunate some people see somebody they don’t like, somebody that they have some sort of beef with, and they take whatever action they’re gonna take.”

Smith also stated that Edgar was previously arrested for grand theft in 2023. It is unknown at this point if he will be charged as an adult for the shooting.

A close-up of Jaylen Dwayne Edgar’s yellow T-shirt worn at the time of the shooting

Orlando Police Department

Newsweek has contacted Orlando police for further comment.

Smith noted in the press conference that it has been two years since the last mass shooting in the city.

On February 22, 2023, Spectrum News 13 reporter Dylan Colby Lyons, 24, was fatally shot while reporting from the scene of a homocide in a Pine Hills neighborhood.

Keith Melvin Moses, 19. the suspect in the prior shooting, returned to the scene and shot Lyons and Spectrum News photographer Jesse Walden, then went to a nearby home and shot Brandi Major and her 9-year-old daughter, T’Yonna Major.

The city was also where the second worst massing shooting in US history unfolded.

On June 12, 2016, 29-year-old Omar Mateen, 29, shot and killed 49 people and wounded 53 more in a mass shooting at Pulse nightclub, a gay bar, in Orlando. Police fatally shot him after a three-hour standoff.

Do you have a story Newsweek should be covering? Do you have any questions about this story? Contact LiveNews@newsweek.com

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PwC accused of interfering in Australian tax leaks probe

Published

11 hours ago

November 1, 2024

Press Room

PwC accused of interfering in Australian tax leaks probe

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PwC has been accused of interfering in Australia’s political and regulatory affairs after documents revealed the Big Four accounting group warned its local firm against co-operating with investigations into a damaging tax leaks scandal without permission.

The Australian Senate published documents on Friday that included a letter from Diana Weiss, PwC’s global counsel, sent to PwC Australia last year. She wrote that the local firm needed to comply with a set of remedial actions or face suspension, or expulsion, from the global network.

A drastic move by PwC International to take control of PwC Australia last year followed the publication of internal PwC emails by the Senate in May. They revealed a partner in its tax practice had used confidential information from government meetings to assist his colleagues in winning new business from multinational technology companies.

The Weiss letter, sent in May two weeks after PwC launched a review of its Australian firm, stipulated that PwC Australia should not provide “any regulator or other governmental or legal authority any formal, significant or substantive submissions or responses” without approval from Weiss and a representative of PwC International’s leadership team.

The letter said Weiss and the network’s representative also had to sign off any decisions related to the accountability of individuals regarding the tax leaks scandal.

Deborah O’Neill, chair of the Senate committee conducting the inquiry into the consulting industry, said on Friday that the Weiss letter demonstrated, “in crystal-clear detail, the lengths to which PwC International went in its attempt to inhibit transparency and accountability in the wake of the tax leaks scandal”.

“The full implications of PwC International’s clear intent to interfere with Australian parliamentary, regulatory and legal authorities must be determined,” she said, adding that the Australian public deserved to know how PwC International had acted to “firewall itself from the Australian firm” to protect its global reputation.

The Weiss letter was also sent to the firm’s global chair Bob Moritz and partner Kevin Burrowes, who was named as chief executive of PwC Australia in June last year, a month after it was sent. It said the tax leaks scandal had caused “ongoing reputational and global brand damage” to PwC.

PwC Australia declined to comment on the senator’s statement, and PwC International was not immediately available for comment.

The scandal provoked an ongoing investigation into the actions and culture of PwC Australia — and the wider consulting industry — and led to repeated calls for the global unit to release details of its own investigation detailing which international partners used the confidential information.

Despite the release of the Weiss letter, the Senate documents revealed that two subsequent letters related to the remediation process were not provided to the Senate, as they contained “commercially sensitive” and “personal sensitive” information.

PwC this week said Asia-Pacific profits declined nearly 13 per cent in the year to June, as it lost market share as a result of scandals in Australia and China.