Mississippi State vs. Missouri Odds

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have moved to the secure aspect of the NCAA Event bubble because of wins in six of their final seven video games.

A type of wins was towards the Missouri Tigers, who they hit the highway to face on Tuesday evening. The Tigers have been trending in the wrong way, however are available favored on their residence courtroom.

Right here’s a breakdown of this necessary SEC contest, in addition to my finest guess.

Except for a particularly shut loss to an equally determined Kentucky staff final week, Mississippi State profiles as one of many hottest groups within the nation.

The Bulldogs are constructed to win video games on the defensive finish, boasting the nation’s fifth-ranked defensive effectivity. Within the first contest between these two groups in Starkville three weeks in the past, Mississippi State restricted Missouri’s streaky offense to solely 52 factors.

The road has moved from Missouri -1.5 on the opener to Missouri -4. There aren’t any reported accidents indicating this motion, so bettors are doubtless viewing this as a greater situational spot for the Tigers trying to finish their dropping streak. However I might be hesitant to hop on the Missouri practice of cash coming in.

Chris Jans should really feel blessed to have accepted the top teaching place with Mississippi State after spending the previous 5 years in the identical function for New Mexico State, a program undoubtedly in disarray. Throughout Jans’ tenure with New Mexico State, his groups have been profitable in constructing an analogous defensive identification to the shape Mississippi State is now displaying.

Though the spot could also be higher for Missouri right here, the Bulldogs merely wouldn’t have the luxurious of getting further capability to tackle losses. And, because the cliche states, I consider the protection Jans has been establishing will journey.

Missouri has proven a capability to play with among the finest groups within the nation at varied instances this season. And, given the state of this system previous to Dennis Gates taking the top teaching job, Missouri followers would have beloved to listen to that will be the case again in October.

Sadly, Missouri has additionally been buried within the early levels of quite a few video games, particularly recently.

The Tigers’ success is closely dependent upon their 3-point taking pictures. They’ve been a formidable staff from deep this yr, notably at residence. They set a low bar for themselves to clear of their first sport towards the Bulldogs on February 4th, making solely 26% of their long-range makes an attempt.

They’re doubtless to enhance upon that determine on this contest again in a well-known residence ambiance. I’ll merely at all times be skeptical of the long-term sustainability for groups just like the Tigers who present an overreliance on perimeter taking pictures.

Put plainly, Missouri has been a bettor’s nightmare resulting from wild variance in performances from one sport to the following. Inconsistency is usually a trait of a younger and inexperienced staff. Whereas many gamers on the roster are new to Missouri, the Tigers are literally a reasonably skilled staff.

They’ve been led within the backcourt by a pair switch gems in D’Moi Hodge and Nick Honor, whereas Missouri mainstay Kobe Brown has been the face of this yr’s turnaround from the frontcourt.

The ultimate piece of inconsistency for Missouri this yr has usually mirrored the inconsistency of Isiaih Mosley’s availability. Mosley transferred to Mizzou from Missouri State and on paper, is arguably probably the most proficient participant on the roster.

Nevertheless, Mosley has usually remained on the bench all year long for private, non-disciplinary causes this system and Mosley have chosen to maintain very non-public. And whereas I believe many followers are respectful of Mosley and any potential hardships he could also be coping with, there’s actually a way of frustration constructing as losses pile up. Mosley didn’t play within the staff’s loss to Texas A&M Saturday and appears unlikely to play Tuesday.

Mississippi State vs. Missouri Betting Decide

Mosley’s capacity to take the ground has usually accompanied among the finest performances the Tigers have had this yr. His absence significantly limits the ceiling for Missouri’s offense.

The potential absence of Mosley coupled with a formidable, centered protection for Mississippi State leads me to consider Mizzou may have a tricky time eclipsing their staff whole of 72 factors. I belief taking the TT underneath greater than I can advocate for attempting to again or fade this risky Missouri staff.

Decide: Missouri Group Whole Below 72

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