Indianapolis is expected to have the No. 4 hottest real estate market in the country this year, according to online real estate listing site Zillow.
Most of the cities that made it onto Zillow’s annual list were in the Midwest, Great Lakes region and the South, with Buffalo, N.Y., predicted as the hottest 2024 housing market.
The list is based on an analysis of forecast home value growth, recent housing market velocity, projected changes in the labor market, home construction activity and number of homeowner households. The analysis was applied to the top 50 metropolitan areas by population.
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Also in the top five are Columbus and Cincinnati, Ohio, and Providence, Rhode Island.
Buffalo topped the list because of recent increases in the number of jobs created compared to the number of new home construction projects being approved, as well as expectations for steady home values.
Zillow’s predicted 10 hottest housing markets of 2024:
- Buffalo, NY
- Cincinnati, OH
- Columbus, OH
- Indianapolis, IN
- Providence, RI
- Atlanta, GA
- Charlotte, NC
- Cleveland, OH
- Orlando, FL
- Tampa, FL
Some of the highest mortgage rates since 2008 slowed growth in home prices last year, Zillow said, and it expects only 15 of the 50 largest markets to see home values grow in 2024.
Even some of the fastest-growing markets of 2023 are expected to see significant slowdowns in the year to come, said Anushna Prakash, data scientist for Zillow Economic Research.
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Zillow predicts that low inventory will also continue. Some of the markets with the lowest supply in 2023, or in other words where homes generally sold the fastest, were in Hartford, Cincinnati and Columbus.
One factor keeping supply low, Zillow said, is that baby boomers are not selling their homes as they age to the extent previous generations did. Millennials, meanwhile, are aging into their prime home-buying years.
In 2024, only 14 of the 50 largest markets are expected to see homeownership rise, Zillow said.
Zillow’s list was based on the following data:
- Forecast annual home value appreciation in November 2024
- Forecast acceleration in home value appreciation, November 2023 to November 2024
- Days on market per home, January 2023 to November 2023
- Two-year change in total non-farm employment per two-year residential building permit total
- Projected change in owner-occupied households, 2023 to 2024
Contact IndyStar reporter Caroline Beck at 317-618-5807 or CBeck@gannett.com. Follow her on Twitter: @CarolineB_Indy.
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