Crypto
What is bitcoin halving, when will it happen and why can it cause the currency’s price to skyrocket?
Cryptocurrencies and precious mineral deposits seem to have little to do with each other. But these two distant worlds are closer than they appear in the cryptosphere, at least metaphorically. With bitcoin halving scheduled for the middle of this week, mentions of blockchain mining are proliferating, as is the role of miners in keeping the bitcoin ecosystem going. This “invisible” part, which makes it possible to issue new tokens, will halve its profits, which has happened three times before, in 2012, 2016 and 2020. This does not mean that the price of the cryptocurrency will fall in the same way: the market expects that, as supply is reduced, logically, demand will increase and so will its price, which has risen by 50% so far this year.
With the price of the main cryptocurrency already soaring above €65,000 ($69,150.25) and in full bloom thanks to the success of exchange-traded funds, here are some keys for better understanding this new milestone for a sector seeking to leave a long winter behind.
What is halving?
Halving is a consequence of the blockchain technology behind bitcoin. To create a new currency, the system requires computers, or miners, to verify transactions. These users receive benefits: a certain amount of digital coins. Thus, since 2020, participants in this activity have received 6.25 bitcoin for every 210,000 verified network blocks; from now, on they will receive half that: 3.125 BTC.
“It is a mechanism that tries to copy what happens with a single deposit of a precious mineral,” notes Mireya Fernandez, the head of the Bitpanda exchange for southern Europe. “At the beginning, it’s all confusion, so the first miners are paid better. Then, as time goes by, there is less and less ore available, less is mined and the product’s price can increase,” she notes.
Reducing the reward for miners is intrinsic to bitcoin’s supply and demand. Although bitcoin is digital money, it cannot be created infinitely, and verifiable scarcity is central to its value proposition, which makes it appealing in highly inflationary markets like Argentina and Nigeria. The cryptocurrency is designed for a finite number: at most there will be 21 million tokens.
Why is it important?
All the experts we consulted agree that the sector is heading for a moment of consolidation and maturation, driven by new investment products and the entry of large institutional players. “In particular, bitcoin is experiencing a new boom driven by regulatory and market access developments,” notes Guido Lonetti, product director at digital bank N26.
After a period defined by fraud cases and the falling prices of all digital currencies, this context of good news makes any news at all more worrying. As with any other investment asset, any news can generate a strong inflow or outflow of capital, but, in this case, bitcoin’s volatile nature only exacerbates this trend.
“It is a mistake to be too vigilant,” notes Jorge Soriano, the head of the Criptan platform. “The bitcoin issuance schedule is known from the beginning. The characteristics and properties of the currency go far beyond this one-off milestone,” he emphasizes.
How does it affect investors?
Historically, this milestone has served to generate buzz. Bitcoin investors tend to welcome this date with enthusiasm, which increases the conversation about it, as well as capital inflows into the crypto world. “The community experiences it like New Year’s Eve and expects changes in the price,” says Fernández, although he points out that the user already has gained experience over all these years. He says that it is a more mature community with more criteria and more capital.
However, Lonetti says, the sharp rise in expectations can also lead to more scams and frauds. “The enthusiasm for the world of cryptocurrencies is not lost on cybercriminals, who are always coming up with new ways to commit crimes. Common cryptocurrency-related fraud can range from pyramid schemes and fake websites to fake celebrity endorsements and inflating the price of an unknown cryptocurrency.” The organization recommends “being wary of supposed opportunities that guarantee profits, have excessive marketing, lack technical documentation and offer free money.”
What impact can it have on the price?
That is the real question the community is asking, as historical data indicate to expect a sharp rise. In 2012 and 2016, the halving led to a price increase of almost 10,000%. For example, before the halving that occurred in November 2012, the currency was trading slightly above $10. Just five months later, in April 2013, it was above $200. This upward trend continued until the end of that year, when it exceeded $1,000 for the first time.
In any case, the increase seemed to have moderated greatly in 2020, when the currency only gained 400%, albeit in a context shaped by the pandemic, lack of regulation and interest rates at historic lows. “We are not at the fever pitch of a few years ago, but we are optimistic about what may happen,” Fernandez summarizes.
The market’s most skeptical voices point out that, although there is a correlation, there is no causality between this technological milestone and a price increase. This discourages the most optimistic voices, who fantasize in specialized forums that the value of the currency will soar above $435,000 by the end of 2024. “Obviously, past events do not guarantee future events,” says Soriano. Manuel Villegas, digital assets analyst at Julius Baer, estimates that the halving could serve as a catalyst for a new growth cycle in the cryptoasset market.”
Will it have any effect on ETFs?
Analysts stress that the effects will at least crossover. Investor interest in accessing bitcoin through exchange-traded funds may increase if the price soars or if FOMO — fear of missing out — increases in the face of multiple reports of high investment returns in a more secure and regulated environment. At the same time, the existence of these investment vehicles means that the crypto asset price is not as volatile as it was previously, especially given the participation of institutional players who, for the time being, do not seem so concerned about volatility.
Halving could also indirectly impact investment portfolios. In addition to bitcoin ETFs, there are a number of funds related to the crypto industry in the U.S. market. For example, the Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI) invests in companies involved in mining this digital currency, which, until recently, was a way to gain exposure to the crypto world in the stock market. In a more competitive environment among miners, the smaller ones could disappear, which would benefit this fund, for example.
What other factors impact this context?
The market is attentive to two related news items. On the one hand, the success of large fund managers in promoting bitcoin exchange-traded funds launched in January this year. It is important to remember that in 2017 Larry Fink, the CEO of the giant BlackRock, called bitcoin a “money laundering index” but today he is a big believer in the cryptocurrency. The iShares bitcoin fund — BlackRock’s ETF banner — manages over $16 billion, almost 30% of the total capital in these investment vehicles.
A new development may also come from BlackRock: the ETF approval of Ether, the second cryptocurrency behind bitcoin. Fink’s firm is one of the many companies that have asked the US regulator to approve this type of fund. Although a frenzy like the one generated during this first part of the year is not expected, it would confirm an about-face on the part of the authorities who, while still wary of crypto assets, are at least seeking to establish a clearer regulatory environment.
Finally, what happens at the monetary policy level in both the United States and Europe will also be important. A possible reduction in interest rates on one or both sides of the Atlantic Ocean would increase interest in riskier investment alternatives, such as cryptocurrencies.
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Crypto
Hyperliquid Helps VALR Launch Over 200 Perpetual Markets as Decentralized Liquidity Gains Ground
Key Takeaways
- VALR and Hyperliquid debut 200+ markets as on‑chain perps volume tops hundreds of billions daily.
- Gianluca Sacco says VALR’s 24/7 access to FX, equities and crypto expands South Africa’s regulated perp trading.
- Hyperliquid’s rise and 2023–2026 perp growth push multi‑asset contracts like BTC, S&P 500 and WTI into mainstream.
Evolution of the Perpetuals Market
Cryptocurrency exchange VALR announced it is preparing to roll out a major expansion of its derivatives offering with the launch of “Perps,” a cross-asset perpetual futures product that will introduce more than 200 new markets.
The upgrade allows customers to take leveraged long or short positions across global equities, commodities, precious metals, stock indices, foreign exchange pairs and crypto assets within the VALR app.
According to a company announcement, the move builds on VALR’s initial perpetuals launch in 2023 and arrives during a period of rapid evolution in the global perpetuals market. Over the past several months, perpetual futures have surged in scale and diversity, with decentralized venues gaining ground and traditional-asset perpetuals accelerating in adoption.
Industry data shows that perpetual futures now dominate derivatives activity, regularly exceeding hundreds of billions of dollars in daily volume and expanding into tokenized equities, commodities and forex. Decentralized perpetual exchanges — led by Hyperliquid — have grown into sophisticated competitors, capturing rising market share as on-chain liquidity deepens.
VALR’s new product is powered by an integration with Hyperliquid. It allows users to open and manage positions directly on VALR while trades execute via Hyperliquid’s permissionless infrastructure. According to the company, this marks the first time a major regulated exchange has natively integrated an on-chain protocol to source liquidity for cross-asset perpetuals.
The expanded suite includes perpetual contracts on global equities such as SpaceX, NVIDIA, Tesla, Apple, SK Hynix, Samsung and Palantir Technologies, as well as benchmarks such as the S&P 500. Also included are Brent and WTI crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, platinum and copper. Forex pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY, alongside digital currencies, round out the offerings.
VALR representatives said the breadth of markets will allow traders to express macro views and capitalize on volatility across sectors, ranging from energy shocks to equity earnings cycles and crypto-native catalysts.
The launch comes as perpetual futures undergo a structural shift. Centralized exchanges have historically dominated liquidity, but decentralized perpetuals have grown sharply, with Hyperliquid helping push decentralized exchange market share to new highs. At the same time, traditional-asset perpetuals — including commodities and equities — have expanded rapidly, moving from niche experiments to multibillion-dollar weekly markets as traders seek 24/7 access to real-world assets.
Gianluca Sacco, VALR’s chief operating officer, said the launch places “over 200 perpetuals markets directly inside the VALR app,” offering round-the-clock access to crypto, commodities, currencies and equities — including pre-IPO companies — through a regulated platform.
“Perps are how crypto traders take a view on price — a market now exceeding hundreds of billions of dollars in daily volume,” Sacco said. “We believe they will become how people trade every market. Our integration of Hyperliquid will give our users the deepest on-chain liquidity available anywhere.”
Crypto
Zcash Price Climbs 13% in a Week as Network Preps Ironwood Upgrade
Key Takeaways
- Zcash targets July 21, 2026 for Ironwood mainnet activation after sealing the Orchard pool.
- ZEC trades at $462.33 on July 4, up 13.3% in seven days and over 1,000% in a year.
- Node operators must migrate to Zebra or updated clients before Ironwood’s mainnet launch.
The upgrade traces back to a discovery on May 29. Security researcher Taylor Hornby, working under contract for Shielded Labs, found a soundness flaw inside the Orchard shielded pool’s elliptic curve code. The bug lived in a piece of the halo2_gadgets crate handling point multiplication. A prover could swap in the wrong base point and still get the circuit to accept an invalid proof.
That flaw mattered because Orchard hides sender, receiver and amount by design. A counterfeit note created inside the pool would look identical to a real one. The bug had sat in the code since Orchard went live in May 2022 as part of the NU5 upgrade.
Rapid Patch, No Confirmed Losses
Zcash’s core engineers, including Daira-Emma Hopwood, Kris Nuttycombe and Jack Grigg, confirmed the issue within hours of Hornby’s report. A soft fork disabled new Orchard actions around June 1 to contain exposure. A hard fork, NU6.2, followed on June 3 with a corrected verifying key, restoring full Orchard functionality.
Orchard transactions paused for roughly a day during the rollout. Transparent and Sapling transfers kept running the whole time. Zcash Open Development Lab and Shielded Labs both say they found no evidence that the bug was ever exploited, and the network’s turnstile accounting, which tracks value entering and leaving each pool, showed no signs of unauthorized minting.
There’s a catch developers can’t patch away. Orchard’s privacy means nobody can prove a negative. No cryptographic method exists to confirm counterfeiting never happened, only that it probably didn’t.
Ironwood Closes the Gap
Announced June 6, Ironwood is the fix for that remaining uncertainty. It ships as NU6.3 and was built by ZODL alongside Tachyon, Valar Group, the Zcash Foundation and Shielded Labs.
The upgrade opens a new Ironwood shielded pool built on the patched Orchard circuit, now backed by ongoing formal verification and added independent audits. At the same time, the old Orchard pool gets sealed. Wallets will block new deposits into it, internal transfers between users inside the pool get disabled, and funds can only leave through the turnstile toward Ironwood or a transparent address.
That sealing is the actual fix. Once the legacy pool stops taking new value and stops circulating internally, any theoretical counterfeit notes get boxed in. Anyone running a full node can then add up balances across the active pools and confirm the total supply lines up with what the protocol allows, without waiting on developer assurances or a full migration.
Ironwood also carries ZIP 2005, a set of note format changes meant to support recovery in a future quantum computing scenario. It doesn’t make Zcash quantum-secure today, but it lays the groundwork for a smoother transition later.
Timeline and What Users Need to Do
Testnet activation for Ironwood landed around July 3 and 4. Zebra, the Rust client maintained by the Zcash Foundation, and Valar Group’s independent implementation are both running release candidates against it.
Mainnet activation is targeted for around July 21, tied to a zcashd end-of-support block. Developers say hashrate signaling looks ready, and existing testnet time gives wallets enough runway, so a delay isn’t currently on the table.
Node operators on older zcashd builds will need to move to Zebra or an updated client before that date. Wallets are expected to prompt users to migrate shielded funds out of the old Orchard pool with minimal friction, often a single approval.
Market Response
ZEC’s price tells its own story of the past six weeks. The token fell more than 50% from around $630 down to the $250 to $300 range once the vulnerability became public, then rebounded sharply once the patch and Ironwood plan landed.
As of July 4, ZEC trades at $462.33, up 13.3% over the past seven days, even after a flat 24-hour session. Zooming out, the coin is up more than 1,000% over the past year, a stretch that includes both a run to a 52-week high near $744 in November 2025 and the Orchard scare in late May.
Investor Chamath Palihapitiya has publicly flagged Ironwood’s supply verification model as a meaningful step for the coin, adding outside attention to what started as a bug fix.
For now, the work left is coordination. Formal verification results are due before mainnet, and wallet, exchange, and infrastructure providers still need to ship updated support in the next two and a half weeks.
Crypto
Trump made money off his meme coin, did its investors?
US President Donald Trump has made $US1.4 billion ($2b) from cryptocurrency in the past 12 months.
$US635 million came from celebration coins royalties and $US236m came from cryptocurrency “token sales”, while the rest of his income came from assorted cryptocurrency wallets.
His celebration coin income is linked to meme coins he launched before returning to office, namely $TRUMP.
But what are meme coins and has anyone other than the Trump family profited?
Meme coins
Cryptocurrencies are a type of digital asset, not unlike a stock, which can be used as an exchangeable form of money online.
Much like paper currencies since the gold standard was ended, crypto has value because investors collectively agree it does, in part due to its security and scarcity.
Meme coins on the other hand are a bit harder to pin down.
“Meme coins are cryptocurrencies that leverage popular memes or internet trends to create a community-driven, often playful approach to digital currency,” according to crypto broker Blockchain.com.
Meme coins have no inherent value and, unlike Bitcoin, have varying limits of scarcity, rendering the price of any coin vulnerable to the rise and fall in popularity of whatever meme or trend inspired the item.
As an example Hailey Welch, an American woman, launched her own brand of meme coin after she rose to internet fame in June 2024.
The $HAWK coin released in December 2024 reached a market capitalisation of $500m before it crashed to $25m by late January.
Investors have since sued $HAWK.
The $TRUMP coin
The $TRUMP coin is valued at $US1.65 as of July 1, 2026. (Supplied: GetTrumpMemes.com)
Mr Trump’s own meme coin $TRUMP launched days before his second inauguration, also in January 2025.
At its peak it sold for almost $US75 a coin, but by the end of February its value had plummeted to about $US20 and as of July 1, 2026 its value sits at $US1.65.
This is where the bulk of Mr Trump’s $US635m in royalties and $US236m in token sales are believed to have come from.
In April 2026, Democratic Senator for California Adam Schiff said he and other senators would be investigating a Mar-a-Lago conference which invited the top 297 $TRUMP token holders to attend and offered VIP access to Mr Trump.
In a statement he said CIC Digital and Fight Fight Fight LLC, which controlled 80 per cent of $TRUMP supply, received trading revenue from all $TRUMP activity.
“The announcement of the conference ‘set off a quick but brief run-up in the price of the $TRUMP meme coin, which reached $3.08 before tumbling back down,’” the senators highlighted.
“President Trump financially benefits from the market value and activity of the $TRUMP cryptocurrency.“
Mr Schiff and his fellow senators asserted “not all” investors of $TRUMP and the similarly branded first ladies meme coin, $MELANIA, benefited from their investment.
“According to recent reports, $TRUMP, and the First Lady’s meme coin, $MELANIA, “erased an estimated $4.3 billion in retail wealth,” they said.
“Insiders, however, reportedly made a fortune: 45 ‘early-deployment wallets’ earned $1.2 billion off the meme coins, meaning that for every dollar insiders earned, retail investors lost $20.”
World Liberty Financial, another Trump family-linked business which distributed Mr Trump’s royalty and token sale revenue, provided him with an additional $65m in income.
Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr are involved in its management and it was co-founded by Zach Witkoff, the son of Mr Trump’s special envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff.
Donald Trump Jr and Eric Trump with Zach Witkoff. (Reuters: Eduardo Munoz)
Mr Trump’s $236m in token sale revenue is a marked leap in profits collected compared to Mr Trump’s 2025 disclosure which only reported $US57m from token sales.
World Liberty Financial launched another cryptocurrency in May, 2025 called USD1.
USD1 rose to US$1.016 after launch and is now valued at $U0.99.
It was also used to pay bonuses to UFC fighters performing at the White House in June.
On July 1, after his disclosure came out, Mr Trump said his wealth was the result of the US stock market’s success.
“”You know why I’m profiting? Because the stock market’s going up, everybody’s profiting,” Mr Trump said, according to Reuters.
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