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What is bitcoin halving, when will it happen and why can it cause the currency’s price to skyrocket?

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What is bitcoin halving, when will it happen and why can it cause the currency’s price to skyrocket?

Cryptocurrencies and precious mineral deposits seem to have little to do with each other. But these two distant worlds are closer than they appear in the cryptosphere, at least metaphorically. With bitcoin halving scheduled for the middle of this week, mentions of blockchain mining are proliferating, as is the role of miners in keeping the bitcoin ecosystem going. This “invisible” part, which makes it possible to issue new tokens, will halve its profits, which has happened three times before, in 2012, 2016 and 2020. This does not mean that the price of the cryptocurrency will fall in the same way: the market expects that, as supply is reduced, logically, demand will increase and so will its price, which has risen by 50% so far this year.

With the price of the main cryptocurrency already soaring above €65,000 ($69,150.25) and in full bloom thanks to the success of exchange-traded funds, here are some keys for better understanding this new milestone for a sector seeking to leave a long winter behind.

What is halving?

Halving is a consequence of the blockchain technology behind bitcoin. To create a new currency, the system requires computers, or miners, to verify transactions. These users receive benefits: a certain amount of digital coins. Thus, since 2020, participants in this activity have received 6.25 bitcoin for every 210,000 verified network blocks; from now, on they will receive half that: 3.125 BTC.

“It is a mechanism that tries to copy what happens with a single deposit of a precious mineral,” notes Mireya Fernandez, the head of the Bitpanda exchange for southern Europe. “At the beginning, it’s all confusion, so the first miners are paid better. Then, as time goes by, there is less and less ore available, less is mined and the product’s price can increase,” she notes.

Reducing the reward for miners is intrinsic to bitcoin’s supply and demand. Although bitcoin is digital money, it cannot be created infinitely, and verifiable scarcity is central to its value proposition, which makes it appealing in highly inflationary markets like Argentina and Nigeria. The cryptocurrency is designed for a finite number: at most there will be 21 million tokens.

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Why is it important?

All the experts we consulted agree that the sector is heading for a moment of consolidation and maturation, driven by new investment products and the entry of large institutional players. “In particular, bitcoin is experiencing a new boom driven by regulatory and market access developments,” notes Guido Lonetti, product director at digital bank N26.

After a period defined by fraud cases and the falling prices of all digital currencies, this context of good news makes any news at all more worrying. As with any other investment asset, any news can generate a strong inflow or outflow of capital, but, in this case, bitcoin’s volatile nature only exacerbates this trend.

“It is a mistake to be too vigilant,” notes Jorge Soriano, the head of the Criptan platform. “The bitcoin issuance schedule is known from the beginning. The characteristics and properties of the currency go far beyond this one-off milestone,” he emphasizes.

How does it affect investors?

Historically, this milestone has served to generate buzz. Bitcoin investors tend to welcome this date with enthusiasm, which increases the conversation about it, as well as capital inflows into the crypto world. “The community experiences it like New Year’s Eve and expects changes in the price,” says Fernández, although he points out that the user already has gained experience over all these years. He says that it is a more mature community with more criteria and more capital.

However, Lonetti says, the sharp rise in expectations can also lead to more scams and frauds. “The enthusiasm for the world of cryptocurrencies is not lost on cybercriminals, who are always coming up with new ways to commit crimes. Common cryptocurrency-related fraud can range from pyramid schemes and fake websites to fake celebrity endorsements and inflating the price of an unknown cryptocurrency.” The organization recommends “being wary of supposed opportunities that guarantee profits, have excessive marketing, lack technical documentation and offer free money.”

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What impact can it have on the price?

That is the real question the community is asking, as historical data indicate to expect a sharp rise. In 2012 and 2016, the halving led to a price increase of almost 10,000%. For example, before the halving that occurred in November 2012, the currency was trading slightly above $10. Just five months later, in April 2013, it was above $200. This upward trend continued until the end of that year, when it exceeded $1,000 for the first time.

In any case, the increase seemed to have moderated greatly in 2020, when the currency only gained 400%, albeit in a context shaped by the pandemic, lack of regulation and interest rates at historic lows. “We are not at the fever pitch of a few years ago, but we are optimistic about what may happen,” Fernandez summarizes.

The market’s most skeptical voices point out that, although there is a correlation, there is no causality between this technological milestone and a price increase. This discourages the most optimistic voices, who fantasize in specialized forums that the value of the currency will soar above $435,000 by the end of 2024. “Obviously, past events do not guarantee future events,” says Soriano. Manuel Villegas, digital assets analyst at Julius Baer, estimates that the halving could serve as a catalyst for a new growth cycle in the cryptoasset market.”

Will it have any effect on ETFs?

Analysts stress that the effects will at least crossover. Investor interest in accessing bitcoin through exchange-traded funds may increase if the price soars or if FOMO — fear of missing out — increases in the face of multiple reports of high investment returns in a more secure and regulated environment. At the same time, the existence of these investment vehicles means that the crypto asset price is not as volatile as it was previously, especially given the participation of institutional players who, for the time being, do not seem so concerned about volatility.

Halving could also indirectly impact investment portfolios. In addition to bitcoin ETFs, there are a number of funds related to the crypto industry in the U.S. market. For example, the Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI) invests in companies involved in mining this digital currency, which, until recently, was a way to gain exposure to the crypto world in the stock market. In a more competitive environment among miners, the smaller ones could disappear, which would benefit this fund, for example.

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What is a bitcoin miner… and why are you late to this business?

What other factors impact this context?

The market is attentive to two related news items. On the one hand, the success of large fund managers in promoting bitcoin exchange-traded funds launched in January this year. It is important to remember that in 2017 Larry Fink, the CEO of the giant BlackRock, called bitcoin a “money laundering index” but today he is a big believer in the cryptocurrency. The iShares bitcoin fund — BlackRock’s ETF banner — manages over $16 billion, almost 30% of the total capital in these investment vehicles.

A new development may also come from BlackRock: the ETF approval of Ether, the second cryptocurrency behind bitcoin. Fink’s firm is one of the many companies that have asked the US regulator to approve this type of fund. Although a frenzy like the one generated during this first part of the year is not expected, it would confirm an about-face on the part of the authorities who, while still wary of crypto assets, are at least seeking to establish a clearer regulatory environment.

Finally, what happens at the monetary policy level in both the United States and Europe will also be important. A possible reduction in interest rates on one or both sides of the Atlantic Ocean would increase interest in riskier investment alternatives, such as cryptocurrencies.

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New Alabama law targets cryptocurrency kiosk scams

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New Alabama law targets cryptocurrency kiosk scams

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) – Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey signed the Cryptocurrency Kiosk Fraud Prevention Act into law this week, putting rules and regulations on cryptocurrency ATMs.

In Hoover, community members have lost more than $800,000 to scammers luring them to crypto kiosks over the last five years. Many of these ATMs are found in places like gas stations or grocery stores.

“A lot of people who are victims of these scams they’re not stupid people. They’re people who are educated and have good jobs, and many times I have lived a very full life. They just fall victim because the scammers know what language to use,” said Capt. Daniel Lowe with the Hoover Police Department.

Under the Cryptocurrency Kiosk Fraud Prevention Act, transactions will be capped, fraud warnings displayed on machines and refund mechanisms set in place for confirmed fraud cases.

“Now that we have some parameters around these kiosks to hopefully prevent some of this fraud, especially the daily limits alone will at least lower the dollar amount that people can put into one of these at one time,” Lowe said.

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The law also requires the kiosks to have a customer service line based in the United States. Anyone who violates it can face civil and criminal charges.

“It’s been a really prevalent problem, and we’re glad that our state is taking some steps to help get some parameters on this and hopefully keep our citizens’ money in their pockets because they’ve earned it,” Lowe said.

Police in Hoover do want to remind you that law enforcement would never ask anyone to pay a fine by using cryptocurrency. If someone gets a call asking them to do this, they should hang up and call police.

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Copyright 2026 WBRC. All rights reserved.

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Tucker Carlson Calls Markets ‘Fake’ After 60 Days of Middle East Conflict

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Tucker Carlson Calls Markets ‘Fake’ After 60 Days of Middle East Conflict

Key Takeaways

Tucker Carlson: ‘Markets Are Doing Things You Would Not Expect Markets to Do’

The comments came against a backdrop that has left many analysts searching for explanations. Operation Epic Fury, the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched on February 28, 2026. Strikes hit Iranian leadership and infrastructure. Iran responded with missiles, drones, and disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil flows.

A fragile ceasefire emerged during the first week of April, but brinkmanship, ship strikes, and intermittent violence have continued into May. Despite all of it, equities climbed. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 10% in the initial weeks, then staged a sharp recovery, closing above 7,000 in mid-April and trading near 7,389 by May 8. The Nasdaq 100 logged a 13-day winning streak, its longest in over a decade. The Dow approached 50,000.

Carlson pointed to oil prices as the clearest sign that something is wrong. “The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for months now, in effect,” he stressed. The political commentator added:

“And yet oil, as of airtime tonight, was under 100 bucks a barrel. Much lower than it was in, say, 2008. That is bizarre. But it’s more than bizarre. It’s fake.”

Brent crude did spike above $116 per barrel on May 5 amid Hormuz threats, but fell back below $100 on any signal of de-escalation. That whipsaw pattern repeated itself throughout the conflict, with traders pricing in a rapid resolution each time.

Gold told a similar story. Prices climbed to the $4,500 to $4,700 range overall but failed to deliver the sustained safe-haven rally many investors expected. Correlations broke. Inflation fears, a stronger dollar, and doubts about rate cuts kept the metal from running.

Bitcoin moved differently. It climbed to $80,000 and then near the $83,000 range, pulled in a record $2 billion in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows during April, and outperformed both the S&P 500 and gold in several stretches. Observers called it a digital hedge that absorbed geopolitical risk better than traditional alternatives.

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Carlson saw this divergence as evidence of manipulation rather than fundamentals. “Markets are doing things you would not expect markets to do if they were behaving rationally in a free way, if they weren’t rigged,” he said. He argued that gold and oil have stayed “far lower than you would rationally expect them to stay after 60 days of terrible news.”

Wall Street analysts offered competing explanations. JPMorgan directly asked why stocks were hitting record highs without an Iran resolution, then attributed it to corporate earnings strength. Roughly 83% of S&P 500 companies beat estimates in recent quarters. Barclays analyst Stefano Pascale told the New York Times that “the market is trading assuming we have seen the worst of the conflict.”

In the same NYT editorial, ECB President Christine Lagarde called the tendency to assume “business as usual” simply strange. Still, Carlson pushed further. “It’s become too obvious to deny, over the past couple of months, that public markets are not what they told us they were, which is to say, open and free and equal for everyone to participate in,” he said.

He acknowledged retail investors have not fully absorbed this yet, but he suggested the knowledge is spreading. “Some people are getting rich from this, and most people aren’t,” he added. The debate over whether markets are rational or rigged is unlikely to be resolved while the Strait of Hormuz remains contested, inflation risks linger, and ceasefire terms stay unfinished.

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History suggests equity markets tend to recover through geopolitical conflict. But history has shown some of the greatest crashes following irrational all-time highs. Whether any of these episodes fit historical patterns depends on what happens next.

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State issues cease-and-desist to halt suspected crypto pyramid scheme in Hawaii

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State issues cease-and-desist to halt suspected crypto pyramid scheme in Hawaii

HONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) – State officials ordered BG Wealth Sharing and two women to stop soliciting investors, as federal investigators also move in on what some authorities describe as a cryptocurrency pyramid scheme.

BG Wealth Sharing has been operating in Hawaii with small initial investments, promises of wealth and incentives for recruiting new members, according to state regulators.

Joy Arcenas, who is from California, posted a video in January saying she was in Honolulu to do training for top leaders and members. Her Instagram includes posts of BG investment parties across the West, where people hear a story that started with $333.

“That $333 brought me to a level seven at $4,100 a day and now with $30,000 a month,” Arcenas said in the video.

Regulators said Arcenas also hosted Zoom webinars to help investors, many of whom appeared confused about cryptocurrency rules and how to cash in their investments.

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Her internet posts indicate she hosted multiple meetings in Hawaii. A woman who emailed Hawaii News Now said the scheme is spreading in the Filipino American community across Hawaii and that a relative is influencing other members of her family, including an elderly mother, into investing.

The woman said many people lost their hard-earned money.

“It’s sad that something like this is actually continuing to happen,” said Randal Lee, a former judge and prosecutor.

Lee said it is not the first time pyramid schemes have targeted the Filipino community.

“You have to stop it immediately because it will grow like wildfire if you do not stop it,” Lee said.

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State securities investment regulators served Arcenas, BG Wealth Sharing and a local woman named Cranci Ilima Luci Hoopai with a cease-and-desist order.

The order describes a meeting of 40 to 50 people at Nanakuli Library in April, where investigators said Arcenas claimed $500 was enough to earn benefits for a lifetime and people could be millionaires in 11 months if they worked hard to sign up and train new members.

Hoopai used testimonials from her own family to prove the investments were legitimate, according to the order.

“But the red flag should be that if you’re going to become a millionaire within 11 months, that’s totally unrealistic,” Lee said.

The order directs BG Wealth Sharing, Arcenas and Hoopai to stop soliciting investors. State regulators also ordered each to pay $50,000 for failing to register as securities brokers.

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Federal authorities are also moving in on the mainland company. In recent days, the company’s website was seized under a federal warrant by the Department of Justice. There are also reports the company’s mainland bank accounts have been frozen.

“I love BG with all my might and protect BG with all your heart,” Arcenas said in a video.

Lee said investors who recruited friends and family are often warned by scammers that they could be prosecuted if they talk. He said that is not usually true. Investors who believed the scheme was legitimate would most likely be treated as victims.

Copyright 2026 Hawaii News Now. All rights reserved.

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