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Salk on Seattle Mariners: What 'it's early' does and doesn't mean

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Salk on Seattle Mariners: What 'it's early' does and doesn't mean


“It’s early.”

No words have frustrated Seattle Mariners fans quite like those ones. (Well, I could probably think of a few others, like “now batting, Chone Figgins,” but hopefully you get my point).

I think I understand why. When a team starts as horribly as the Mariners have each of the last three years, especially given the high expectations that come with having a superstar like Julio Rodríguez in your lineup, no one wants to hear any excuses. And “early” sounds like an excuse. It sounds like the games don’t matter. It sounds like the poor performance in acceptable.

It invalidates your frustration because it runs contrary to what your eyes clearly see.

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So why do you keep hearing it? From the manager, the GM, the president of baseball operations, reporters, announcers, analysts and radio hosts alike. Are they all trying to make excuses for the team? Are they all just baseball elitists who think they see the game “better” than you do? Are they either protecting their job security or covering their tails?

No. I think they just mean it a little differently than you might be hearing it.

Before we tackle what I think it means, let’s eliminate what it doesn’t mean. Speaking for myself, it does not mean the games don’t matter. Games in April matter every bit as much as the ones in September. They might not be as packed with pressure but they matter just as much. They might be played differently – managers and players have to account for the looooong season, and they tend to treat early games like marathon runners who set a manageable pace before sprinting all out once the finish line is in sight. But they certainly matter.

Early also does not mean excusable. No one wants to see lousy baseball, and what we’ve seen so far from the Mariners would qualify for that description. The offense has been stagnant, the pitching subpar, and the defense worse than anyone would have expected. Being early doesn’t mean those things are OK, and it doesn’t mean they aren’t true. No one thinks the Mariners have played well to start this season, and that includes any and everyone who has said that it’s early.

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This year, it’s even more problematic because of the emphasis the team put on trying to fix this trend. They addressed the issue by clearly stating they were aware of its existence and then changing their approach to solve the puzzle.

Being early also doesn’t guarantee that a big winning streak is ahead. The team has relied on those in each of the last two years but they aren’t automatically assumed.

It also doesn’t mean you don’t have a right to react emotionally to what you are seeing. I certainly do! No one wants to see a crucial error. Everyone gets mad when a team gets shutout. It’s completely normal to feel the sing of every loss.

But to me, “early” means that it’s too soon to pass judgement on the future.

Baseball, more than any other major sport, is played over a long stretch of games. That’s handy because it’s also the sport that relies on averages to tell us a story more than any other. Good players have bad stretches, bad players sometimes play very well, and those stretches can last longer than you would think. Generally, it takes a long time for them to even out. But by the end of the season (or sometimes the end of a career), we have a solid amount of data and can determine what (or who) was successful and what was not.

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That is nearly impossible to do by looking at a 10- or 12-game snapshot. Unlike basketball or football, baseball teams are not always what they appear in a small sample size. The 2022 Mariners are a great example. They were neither as good as they appeared during their record win streak nor as bad as they seemed to start that season. Over time, we got a true measure of their worth.

The 2024 Mariners have played horribly so far. They attempted to cut down on strikeouts this offseason yet have seen those skyrocket. They traded power for contact and instead have seen a decline in both. They gambled that they could survive despite weakening their defense and it has hurt them in a handful of games. Their pitching has offered them quality starts in just four of 13 games and has failed to lead the team the way it needs to for them to be successful. All of these things are true and all of them are frustrating.

But the fact that those things have been true for 13 games does not mean they will be true for the next 149. Nor does it mean they won’t be. It simply means it has been true for these 13, and if it continues, the team won’t finish anywhere close to .500, let alone in a playoff spot or with the division title.

So when is it no longer early?

It’s a fair question with no specific answer. Generally you need at least a month (maybe two) to generate a large enough sample size to make judgements with any confidence. And even then, players and teams often turn things around for better or worse. But what stands out to me is that manager Scott Servais and the Mariners aren’t treating this slow start as something that must be accepted.

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In Game 13, Jorge Polanco dropped from third to fifth in the lineup. It was an easy move to get a hot Ty France behind Julio and to give Polanco a break. But what struck me more was that Cal Raleigh played in that game at all. The Mariners are planning to play him a lot this year, but that plan has always presumably included him getting days off when they play a matinee following a night game. The series finale in Toronto fit into that category, but there was Cal hitting seventh with a lefty on the mound. It turned out to be an important spot as he drove the game-winning home run (his second of the season) in the 10th.

Fans often want to know that the team is taking things seriously and showing the same sense of urgency that they themselves feel, especially during a losing stretch. Modern managers don’t flip tables and they don’t call out or bench their players very often. But if you are looking for proof of urgency, consider that decision to play Cal in the last game of a road trip. Consider Ryne Stanek closing the game in the 10th despite the five-run lead. Those are real indications that the team takes the losses just as seriously as you do, even if they express it differently.

It is early. The story of this season has not yet been written. But the people involved know it won’t stay early forever and this team needs to play a lot better for it to have a happy ending.

More on the Seattle Mariners

• Beef Continues: Cal Raleigh burns Blue Jays manager after big HR
• Why Passan is ‘not there yet’ on panicking about Mariners
• What Servais said about slow starts for Julio, Castillo and M’s
• Seattle Mariners Roster Moves: Seven players involved in flurry
• Seattle Mariners infielder tests the limits with impossibly slow pitch

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What Donovan brings to Seattle Mariners’ leadoff spot

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What Donovan brings to Seattle Mariners’ leadoff spot


The Seattle Mariners improved quite a bit offensively a year ago, but they were still lacking when it came to production from the top spot in their lineup.

Josh Naylor shows friendly side by greeting history-making umpire

Despite being a top-10 offense in runs scored, Mariners leadoff hitters were near the bottom of the league in several categories, including 27th in OPS and 24th in both on-base percentage and wRC+.

It’s an area the club can stand improve this season, and it’s also one that figures to have a different look with newly acquired Brendan Donovan expected to open the season in the leadoff spot.

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How does what Donovan brings to the table improve the Mariners’ top spot line the lineup? Mike Salk broke it down on a recent edition of Seattle Sports’ Brock and Salk.

‘Just a better hitter’

The Mariners were forced to change their leadoff plans early last year when Victor Robles suffered a fractured shoulder on their first road trip. They used a combination of Julio Rodríguez and Dylan Moore in his place for a brief stint before J.P. Crawford assumed the role for an extended period. And in late July, they settled on Randy Arozarena for the remainder of the season.

There are some productive hitters in that group, but Mariners leadoff hitters finished with an underwhelming .237/.311/.348 slash line and .659 OPS. Arozarena struggled there in particular, hitting .218 with a .302 on-base percentage and .645 OPS in the leadoff role.

Insert Donovan, who has a career .282/.361/.411 slash line with a .772 OPS over four seasons. M’s leadoff hitters did have more home runs (15) than Donovan’s 162-game career average (13), but Donovan’s average of 32 doubles is a bit better than the 28 hit from Seattle’s leadoff spot in 2025.

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“So the idea is he should be getting on base more,” Salk said. “He should be hitting more doubles and putting pressure on the other team. He should have a higher batting average by another 50 points or so, and the OPS should be a lot (higher). He’s just a better hitter, just a flat out better hitter than what they had at that position last year.”

Brendan Donovan makes a mark in Mariners Cactus League debut

Another area that stood out to Salk was the strikeout disparity. Donovan is averaging 89 strikeouts over 162 games compared to the 165 totaled by M’s leadoff hitters in 2025.

“It’s a crazy difference,” he said.

A ‘real pest’

Donovan’s patience and ability to make contact make him a hitter capable of grinding out a pitcher and elevating their pitch count, but he actually saw less pitches per plate appearance last season than Crawford and Arozarena, who accounted for 82.5% (599 of 726) of the Mariners’ plate appearances from the leadoff spot. Crawford averaged 4.17 pitchers per plate appearance and Arozarena 4.05, while Donovan averaged 3.72.

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But the difference to Salk is what Donovan does when he gets deep into counts.

“It’s not like they haven’t had guys with the ability to take pitches and grind through at-bats. All of those guys are capable of doing that, but I think what you get from Donovan is he’s able to grind through the at-bats and make them pay off by getting on base, by coming up with hits, by avoiding strikeouts, by an OPS and even a slugging percentage that are a step up from what the Mariners have had in that spot in the past,” Salk said.

“You’re not gonna hit a lot of home runs. That’s not his game, but if and when he does kind of figure out T-Mobile Park and what that looks like, he should be a real pest. He should be really annoying to play against and he should help the guys who hit right after him by putting more pressure on the pitcher and exhausting him.”

Hear the full conversation at this link or in the audio player in this story. Listen to Brock and Salk weekdays form 6-10 a.m. or find the podcast on the Seattle Sports app. 

More on the Seattle Mariners

• Morosi: This is the year Julio Rodríguez enters his prime
• Who’s battling for roster spots in Mariners camp?
• MLB Network’s Amsinger has some bold Mariners predictions
• Buster Olney expects M’s prospect Colt Emerson in majors soon
• Seattle Mariners’ Cal Raleigh addresses the ‘elephant in the room’

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Date set for community Q&A meeting about planned West Seattle RV/tiny-house site Glassyard Commons

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Date set for community Q&A meeting about planned West Seattle RV/tiny-house site Glassyard Commons


(‘Site plan’ from city permit filings for Glassyard Commons)

One month after we first told you about the plan for a shelter site in southeast West Seattle, the date is set for a promised community Q&A meeting about it. The meeting will be held at a church in Georgetown, according to the announcement from the organization that will be operating the site, LIHI:

Thursday, March 5th, 2026 at 5:30 PM
New Direction Missionary Baptist Church
755 S Homer St. [map]
Church and street parking available

The proposed RV Safe Lot and Tiny House Village at Glassyard Commons will consist of 72 parking spots for RVs, 20 tiny houses, and community facilities. This program will move RV residents off neighborhood streets and give them a safe place to park. When they are ready to move into the onsite tiny house units, LIHI will decommission and dispose of their RVs. Site amenities include 24/7 staffing, onsite management, comprehensive case management, a community kitchen, and laundry and hygiene facilities.

LIHI brings over a decade of experience in providing tiny house villages. We operate Camp Second Chance nearby, as well as 16 other tiny house village programs in the Puget Sound region. We previously operated Salmon Bay Village, a combined RV and Tiny House Village program, in the Interbay neighborhood, and we had great success moving clients from rundown RVs into permanent housing. 67 RVs were decommissioned over the program’s duration. Construction at Glassyard Commons is estimated to begin in March and will take approximately 3 months to complete.

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If you have any questions or comments, please contact LIHI’s Community Engagement Manager Marta Kidane at marta.kidane@lihi.org or 206-858-0734.

The Glassyard Commons site, owned by the state Department of Transportation, is at 7201 2nd Avenue SW and has been the site of multiple unsanctioned encampments for many years. The site was proposed for official use as a transitional encampment a decade ago, though a formal plan wasn’t pursued at the time, and permit filings show the most recent proposal dates back to last spring, with a slightly different mix of RVs and tiny houses.





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Seattle Public Safety clarifies ICE cannot access ALPR police data for immigration reasons

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Seattle Public Safety clarifies ICE cannot access ALPR police data for immigration reasons


Seattle Public Safety Committee Chair Bob Kettle said Monday he wants to “set the record straight” on what he called misconceptions about Seattle police technology used for crime prevention, including automated license plate readers, public-space surveillance cameras, and the city’s Real-Time Crime Center.

In a statement released ahead of Tuesday’s Public Safety Committee meeting, Kettle said he understands concerns raised by community members, particularly amid reports about federal immigration authorities accessing license plate reader systems that use Flock Safety.

SEE ALSO | Lynnwood votes to end Flock license plate cameras after immigration enforcement concerns

“I want to be clear on this first point: Seattle does not contract with Flock Safety, the vendor at the center of many reports of unauthorized access by federal immigration,” Kettle said.

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Kettle also addressed a University of Washington Center for Human Rights report that he said focused specifically on Flock networks. He said the findings “should not be generally applied to Seattle since we do not contract with Flock.”

On automated license plate readers, Kettle said one misconception is that cameras will be placed in sensitive areas such as hospitals, courts, schools, or houses of worship. He said Seattle’s ALPR cameras are mounted on police vehicles rather than fixed posts.

“When patrol cars are on, ALPR is on – and cannot be turned off without turning off the in-car video system or the car itself,” Kettle said. He added that police may add cars when requested to sensitive locations, but said ALPR cameras are not placed specifically at those locations by the city.

Kettle also said another misconception is that ALPR data can be accessed by the federal government. He said Seattle police share data with federal agencies only in matters of criminal enforcement, and otherwise, a federal agency would need to subpoena the data.

“So far, there have been no subpoenas for Seattle’s ALPR data,” Kettle said. He added that public disclosure requests for ALPR information are subject to state records law.

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Kettle also pushed back on criticism of Seattle’s Closed-Circuit Television public space cameras program and the Real-Time Crime Center, including claims that CCTV does not deter violent crime. He cited a 2019 study from CUNY and said the same report also stated that results of its review “based on 40 years of evaluation research – lend support for the continued use of CCTV to prevent crime as well as reveal a greater understanding of some of the key mechanisms of effective use.”

Kettle said Seattle’s CCTV pilot project will be evaluated by researchers at the University of Pennsylvania Crime and Justice Police Lab over the next two years, including measuring the reduction in violent crime. He said CCTV footage can help investigations and prosecutions of violent and property crimes, and that when used with the Real-Time Crime Center, it can reduce response times and police presence while increasing trust and safety.

He also reiterated that Seattle does not use Flock Safety cameras and said the city does not contract with the Washington Department of Licensing, which he said was involved in previous reports showing information being shared with the federal government.

On concerns about federal access to surveillance data because servers may be located out of state, Kettle said the Department of Homeland Security has no access to Seattle police data regarding civil matters, such as immigration, unless the federal government subpoenas footage from the vendor. He said Seattle police own the data regardless of where it is stored.

Kettle said if a subpoena occurs, a City Council ordinance requests that CCTV systems be shut down for 60 days. He said those elements were included in Seattle’s CCTV and RTCC legislation to prevent overreach by the federal government and others.

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Kettle also said Seattle police officers are not “constantly monitoring cameras” at the Real-Time Crime Center. He saidthe RTCC video is used only when analysts are asked to assist in specific cases and relevant footage is reviewed.

Kettle said that in the last year, the RTCC helped police “more swiftly solve homicides, sex trafficking and assaults.” He cited a homicide in June 2025 in downtown Seattle that he said was solved after RTCC staff identified a suspect in a video, and an October 2025 case in which RTCC assistance helped locate a sex trafficking suspect tracked to the light rail. Kettle said RTCC coordinated with Lynnwood police to take the suspect into custody, and the suspect was turned over to Seattle police.

Overall, Kettle said the RTCC assisted with 2,580 cases between May 20 and Dec. 31, 2025, including solving 17 homicides and being associated with 947 arrests.

“Ultimately, implementation of ALPR, CCTV, and RTCC technology in Seattle is not a choice between public safety and personal privacy – it is a smart and responsive commitment to both,” Kettle said.

He pointed to legislative guardrails, including the 60-day shutdown provision and limits on data sharing, and said the city will continue to prioritize transparency and independent evaluations.

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