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Ukraine war: Did Eastern Europe’s Russia warnings fall on deaf ears?

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Ukraine war: Did Eastern Europe’s Russia warnings fall on deaf ears?

For years, political leaders throughout central and jap Europe have warned concerning the quick risks posed by Russia and now — amid Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine — some blame western Europeans for not heeding these warnings.

A day after Russia attacked, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy lashed out on the obvious lack of western assist offered to his authorities, regardless of Russian troops massing on Ukraine’s borders for months.

“This morning we’re defending our state alone. Like yesterday, the world’s strongest forces are watching from afar,” he mentioned. “Did yesterday’s sanctions persuade Russia? We hear in our sky and see on our earth that this was not sufficient.”

The next day, Zelenskyy accused a number of western European governments of “egotism,” “vanity” and “appeasement” of their response to the Russian army buildup.

A number of central and jap European leaders, who for years have been warning concerning the risks posed by Russia, have been equally scathing.

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“There is no such thing as a time right now for the type of unyielding egoism that we see in sure Western international locations, together with right here in Germany sadly,” Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki mentioned in Berlin final week forward of a gathering with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

‘I odor Munich right here’

Ever since Russia started massing its troops on Ukraine’s borders in November, the go-to analogy for analysts and politicians was the Munich settlement, when in 1938 France and Britain tried to keep away from battle with Nazi Germany by ceding the Sudetenland from Czechoslovakia.

“I hope I’m mistaken however I odor ‘Munich’ right here,” Marko Mihkelson, head of the overseas affairs committee in Estonia’s parliament, mentioned final December.

The frustration felt by some central and jap Europeans isn’t new.

For years, they’ve thought-about themselves ignored inside EU conferences and remoted in calling for a stronger NATO. Croatia, Estonia, Latvia, Poland, Lithuania and Romania are among the 10 NATO states — out of 30 — that really spend the mandated 2% of GDP on defence.

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A number of states, not least Hungary, have been accused of undermining European solidarity and splitting the bloc with their relations with Moscow and Beijing, but central and jap Europeans level out that western European international locations are the principle buying and selling companions with Russia and China.

Poland, Ukraine and the Baltic states have been dedicated opponents of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline — which straight connects Russia to Germany, the principle European purchaser of Russia’s pure gasoline exports. But successive German governments continued with this deliberate power undertaking, regardless of it massively growing German reliance on Moscow.

Final week Scholz moved to droop the certification of Nord Stream 2 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

There was little in the best way of European solidarity after the Czech Republic final yr expelled greater than a dozen Russian officers after Czech intelligence companies linked Russian army brokers to an enormous ammunition depot explosion close to Vrbetice in October 2014, the “largest explosion on European soil for the reason that Yugoslav wars,” in keeping with an analyst.

‘Soul-searching and accusations’

There’s additionally frustration on the “persistently futile makes an attempt” by French President Emmanuel Macron, to mediate central and jap European issues with Russia, added Kevin Curran, of the Affiliation for Worldwide Affairs, a Prague-based assume tank.

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“On all of those factors and extra, many central and jap European leaders and residents will really feel compelled to brag about their warnings that fell on deaf ears for thus a few years. In lots of respects, that is justified,” Curran added.

Richard Q. Turcsányi, of Palacky College Olomouc, described the Russian invasion as having stunned many analysts. “What is obvious, nonetheless, is that those that have been warning about Russia as a safety risk could have their second – a lot of them being central and jap European international locations,” he mentioned.

“International locations in western Europe used to have a extra cooperative angle [towards Russia], which is able to clearly change loads now,” Turcsányi mentioned, noting that the German authorities was fast final week to postpone the Nord Stream 2 pipeline undertaking. Defying some expectations, Western democracies additionally agreed final weekend to exclude various Russian banks from Swift, a global cost system.

“There’ll naturally be some soul-searching and accusations of who was proper and mistaken on a regular basis, however I don’t assume it is a significantly helpful avenue of considering,” Turcsányi added.

Different central and jap European commentators are in settlement.

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“The indecisiveness of the West and the unwillingness to punish Russia for its earlier aggression is actually the rationale why Vladimir Putin felt it (would) be believable to assault Ukraine,” mentioned Veronika Víchová, head of the Kremlin Watch Programme on the European Values Centre for Safety Coverage, a think-tank.

For years, Putin has turn out to be bolder and bolder, and the West stored signalling that it’s going to not be placing enough prices on such aggressive behaviour, she added.

However “a blame recreation” is not going to remedy the state of affairs proper now,” Víchová mentioned. “It’s as much as the transatlantic democratic world to understand that Russia will not be fascinated with forthcoming diplomacy and that solely strictly focused and impactful sanctions have an opportunity to make a distinction.”

Not all jap and central states have been cautious of Russia

Curran, of the Affiliation for Worldwide Affairs, famous that it can’t be forgotten that the likes of Serbia, Hungary, and Slovakia have in current historical past discovered themselves to be fairly supportive of Russian narratives.

“We can not revise central and jap European narratives to have been universally cautious of Russia,” he mentioned.

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Certainly, the narrative that western Europe was too mushy on Russia, and didn’t hearken to warnings from central and jap Europe, is extra advanced.

Hungary’s autocratic prime minister, Viktor Orban, has been a key ally of Putin’s. Milos Zeman, the Czech president, has been recognized for taking pro-Russia positions since his election in 2013.

Concerning the Russian annexation of Crimea from Ukraine in 2014, Zeman later described it as “irreversible” and referred to as for European governments to finish their sanctions on Moscow.

Zeman questioned his personal nation’s intelligence companies after they mentioned final yr that they believed Russian actors have been behind the Vrbetice explosion, stating that his nation ought to keep away from “hysteria” and “hypothesis” over Russia’s alleged involvement.

One other regional politician who has usually taken a pro-Russia agenda is the previous Slovakian prime minister, Robert Fico, who additionally opposed sanctions on Moscow after the 2014 annexation of Crimea.

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It isn’t simply political elites. A survey printed late final month by Focus, a pollster, discovered that 44% of Slovaks believed the US and NATO have been liable for the rising rigidity in Ukraine, and solely 34% believed Russia was accountable. Outcomes differed massively by age teams, nonetheless, with extra Slovaks aged 25-34 blaming Russia than NATO and the US, whereas these 65 and over have been much less more likely to maintain Russia accountable.

Ukraine invasion may change their thoughts

Analysts reckon it may now be a lot tougher for central and jap Europe’s pro-Russian politicians to maintain up their stance. “I count on a few of them would double-down of their positions, however some would change their thoughts,” mentioned Turcsányi, of Palacky College Olomouc.

On 24 February, simply hours after Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Czech President Zeman referred to as Russia’s actions “an unprovoked act of aggression” and a “crime towards peace”, and demanded not simply phrases however deeds from the Czech authorities.

He additionally admitted he had been mistaken about Moscow. “Just a few days in the past, I mentioned that the Russians weren’t loopy and that they might not assault Ukraine. I admit I used to be mistaken.

“The irrational determination of the management of the Russian Federation will trigger vital injury to the Russian state itself,” he was quoted saying.

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Extra shocking, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban was fast to sentence Moscow.

“Russia attacked Ukraine this morning with army pressure,” Orban mentioned in a video on Fb final Thursday. “Along with our European Union and NATO allies, we condemn Russia’s army motion.”

Orban’s overseas minister, Peter Szijijarto, added that “Hungary’s place is obvious: we stand by Ukraine, we stand by Ukraine’s territorial integrity and sovereignty.”

The governments of virtually all central and jap European states, together with Bulgaria and Romania, have now explicitly condemned Putin’s invasion. Even Aleksandar Vucic, the Serbian president, a really shut Moscow associate, described Russia’s violation of Ukraine’s territorial integrity as “very mistaken,” though Belgrade opposes sanctions on Moscow.

“It’s from this {that a} extra united voice will be capable to emerge throughout Central and Jap Europe,” Curran mentioned.

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“This voice, now in unison, will certainly be heard throughout Western Europe. In my estimation, these voices should not return in time to brag over earlier warnings, however as a substitute flip to the vital subsequent steps.”

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‘SNL’: Colin Jost Forced to Tell Dirty Jokes About Wife Scarlett Johansson as She Watches Backstage: ‘Oh My Gosh, She’s So Genuinely Worried!’

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‘SNL’: Colin Jost Forced to Tell Dirty Jokes About Wife Scarlett Johansson as She Watches Backstage: ‘Oh My Gosh, She’s So Genuinely Worried!’

For several years, the final “Saturday Night Live” episode of the year includes a segment of “Weekend Update” in which co-anchors Colin Jost and Michael Che write jokes that the other must read for the first time on the air. For Jost, this typically has meant Che forces him to say a litany of jokes about race and racism that are horrifically tone deaf and over-the-top — and, in context, often quite funny.

This year, however, Che found a new way to torture Jost: Making him say outrageous things about his wife, Scarlett Johansson — while a camera captured Johansson’s live reactions in the hallway outside of the studio. The actor appeared during the episode’s cold open to welcome host Martin Short into the Five Timers Club, and Che apparently could not resist the chance to have some fun at the couple’s expense.

The bit started with Jost reading that this year, he was going to “read all the jokes in ‘Black voice’ so I don’t get in trouble,” which led into Jost reading a joke about Kamala Harris saying she still supports the idea of slavery reparations. 

“Well, damn girl, me too,” Jost said, barely able to get the words out through his exasperated laughter. “Because white people deserve our money back for all those slaves that ran away.”

That was a mere appetizer for what Jost was required to say about his wife. Just the sight of her face in an image over Jost’s shoulder was enough to have some people in the audience screaming in anticipation of what was to come.

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“I want to dedicate this next joke to my boo, Scarlett Johansson,” Jost said, and then a camera cut to a nervous Johansson, clutching a drink as she watched Jost from a monitor above her.

“No! No!” Jost said, as he realized what was happening. “Oh my gosh, she’s so genuinely worried!”

Then he got to the business of reading, for the first time, the jokes Che had written for him.

“Y’all know Scarlett just celebrated her 40th birthday, which means I’m about to get up out of there!” Jost said, again exploding in guffaws before he could even finish the line. After he regained his composure — and Che reminded him that there was more to the joke — Jost continued. “Shiz! Nah, nah. I’m just playin’,” he said. “We just had a kid together, and y’all ain’t see no pictures of him yet, because he’s Black as hell!” — at which point, a Photoshopped image of Jost and Johansson holding a Black baby appeared over Jost’s shoulder.

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Che certainly had his fair share of comedic humiliation, forced to make jokes about “Moana 2” and Jeffrey Epstein, Jay-Z, and his promise to Diddy that “I will help get you off.” But then the spotlight turned back to Jost, who ended the segment with a joke involving his wife that is so R-rated that it genuinely startled Johansson. Warning: This is not for the faint of heart!

“Costco has removed their roast beef sandwich from its menu, but I ain’t tripping,” Jost said. “I be eating roast beef every night since my wife had the kid!” After the audience, Jost and Che all stopped laughing, Jost read the final lines. “Nah, nah, I just playin’ baby. You know I don’t go downtown! Shiz! That’s gay as hell!”

Martin Short hosted the episode with Hozier as musical guest. You can watch the full segment below:

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Wife of US hostage Keith Siegel pleads for holiday miracle: 'we need to get them back'

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Wife of US hostage Keith Siegel pleads for holiday miracle: 'we need to get them back'

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FIRST ON FOX – Aviva Siegel, the wife of American hostage Kieth Siegel and a former hostage herself, is pleading with everyone and anyone involved in the hostage negotiations to get her husband, and the others, freed from Hamas captivity after they have spent more than 440 days in deplorable conditions. 

“Hamas released a video of Keith, and I just saw the picture,” Aviva told Fox News Digital in an emotional interview in reference to a video Hamas released in April. “He looks terrible. His bones are out, and you can see that he’s lost a lot of weight.

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“He doesn’t look like himself. And I’m just so worried about him, because so [many] days and minutes have passed since that video that we received,” she said. “I just don’t know what kind of Keith that we’re going to get back.”

Keith Samuel Siegel, 64, remains hostage in Gaza by Hamas (Hostage Family Forum)

7 US HOSTAGES STILL HELD BY HAMAS TERRORISTS AS FAMILIES PLEAD FOR THEIR RELEASE: ‘THIS IS URGENT’

“I’m worried about all the hostages, because the conditions that they are in are the worst conditions that any human being could go through,” Aviva said. “I was there. I touched death. I know what it feels being underneath the ground with no oxygen. 

“Keith and I were just left there. We were left there to die,” she added. 

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Aviva and her husband of, at the time 42 years, were brutally abducted from their home in Kibbutz Kfar Aza by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023, and held together for 51 days before she was released in the November 2023 hostage exchange after suffering from a stomach infection that left her incredibly ill. 

She has since tirelessly fought for Kieth’s release, meeting with top officials in the U.S. and Israel, traveling to the United States nine times in the last year and becoming a prominent advocate for the hostages. 

“I just hope that he’s with other people from Israel, and if he has them, he’s going to be okay,” Aviva said. “He’s just the person that will make them feel that they’re together. That’s what he did when I was there – he was 100% for me and the hostages that we were with.”

Aviva Siegel

TEL AVIV, ISRAEL – MARCH 30: Released hostage Aviva Siegel, wife of hostage Keith Siegel, speaks during the final weekly ‘bring them home now’ rally on March 30, 2024 in Tel Aviv, Israel. According to the families of hostages forum, this would be the last week a rally is held at ‘hostage square’ citing that the government is not serious about negotiations and instead will be protesting in front of the Knesset from now on.  (Photo by Alexi Rosenfeld/Getty Images)

 “If you get kidnapped, get kidnapped with Keith, because he was outstanding to everybody. He was strong for all of us. And I’m sure that he’s keeping strong and keeping his hope to come out,” she said. 

Aviva recounted their last moments together before they were separated ahead of her release, telling Fox News Digital, “When I left him, I told him to be the strongest – that he needs to be strong for me, and I’ll be strong for him.”

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PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY UNDER PRESSURE AMID RISING RESISTANCE, POPULARITY OF IRAN-BACKED TERROR GROUPS

Top security officials from the U.S., Egypt, and Qatar have been pushing Israel and Hamas to agree to a cease-fire and the return of hostages. 

Reports on Thursday suggested that negotiators are pushing for a 42-day cease-fire in which 34 of the at least 50 hostages still assessed to be alive, could be exchanged. 

Hamas is also believed to continue to hold at least 38 who were taken hostage and then killed while in captivity, along with at least seven who are believed to have been killed on Oct. 7, 2023 and then taken into Gaza. 

Though all the hostages are believed to have been held in deplorable conditions, the children, women – including the female IDF soldiers – the sick and the elderly have reportedly been front listed to be freed first in exchange for Hamas terrorists currently imprisoned. 

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“I’m keeping my hope and holding on and just waiting – waiting to hug Keith, and waiting for all the families, to get their families back,” Aviva said. “We need to get them back.”

Aviva said she dreams of the moment that she gets to hug her husband again and watch their grandchildren “jump into his arms.” 

“We’ll be the happiest people on Earth,” she said. “All the hostages, I can’t imagine them coming home. It’ll be just the happiest moment for all of the families. We need it to happen.”

Reports in recent weeks suggest there is an increased sense of optimism in bringing home the hostages, but Secretary of State Antony Blinken urged some caution when speaking with MSNBC Morning Joe on Thursday when he said, “We are encouraged because this should happen, and it should happen because Hamas is at a point where the cavalry it thought might come to the rescue isn’t coming to the rescue, [Hezbollah’s] not coming to the rescue, [Iran’s] not coming to the rescue.”

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“In the absence of that, I think the pressure is on Hamas to finally get to yes,” he added. “But look, I think we also have to be very realistic.  We’ve had these Lucy and the football moments several times over the last months where we thought we were there, and the football gets pulled away.

“The real question is: Is Hamas capable of making a decision and getting to yes?  We’ve been fanning out with every possible partner on this to try to get the necessary pressure exerted on Hamas to say yes,” Blinken added.  

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Trump threatens to take back control of Panama Canal over ‘ridiculous fees’

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Trump threatens to take back control of Panama Canal over ‘ridiculous fees’

Trump also hinted at China’s growing influence around the canal, which connects the Atlantic to the Pacific oceans.

United States President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to demand control of the Panama Canal after accusing Panama of charging excessive rates on US ships passing through one of the busiest waterways in the world.

“Our Navy and Commerce have been treated in a very unfair and injudicious way. The fees being charged by Panama are ridiculous,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform on Saturday.

“This complete ‘rip-off’ of our Country will immediately stop.”

The US largely built the canal in 1914 and administrated territory surrounding the passage for decades. But Washington fully handed control of the canal to Panama in 1999 after a period of joint administration.

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Trump also hinted at China’s growing influence around the canal, which connects the Atlantic to the Pacific oceans.

“It was solely for Panama to manage, not China, or anyone else,” he said. “We would and will NEVER let it fall into the wrong hands!”

The post was an exceedingly rare example of a US leader saying he could push a sovereign country to hand over territory.

“It was not given for the benefit of others, but merely as a token of cooperation with us and Panama. If the moral and legal principles of this magnanimous gesture of giving are not followed, then we will demand that the Panama Canal be returned to us, in full, and without question,” Trump said.

Trump’s tariff plan

It also underlines an expected shift in US diplomacy under Trump, who has not historically shied away from threatening allies and using rhetoric when dealing with counterparts.

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Last month, Trump said he would impose tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports on day one of his administration and that the measures would remain until the “invasion” of undocumented migrants and drugs came to an end.

“Both Mexico and Canada have the absolute right and power to easily solve this long-simmering problem. We hereby demand that they use this power, and until such time that they do, it is time for them to pay a very big price!” he posted on his Truth Social platform.

Authorities in Panama did not immediately react to Trump’s post.

An estimated 5 percent of global maritime traffic passes through the Panama Canal, which allows ships travelling between Asia and the US East Coast to avoid the long, hazardous route around the southern tip of South America.

The Panama Canal Authority reported in October that the waterway had earned record revenues of nearly $5bn in the last fiscal year.

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