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San Diego State vs. North Texas prediction: New Mexico Bowl odds, picks, best bet

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San Diego State vs. North Texas prediction: New Mexico Bowl odds, picks, best bet


The most important college football games of the season are still to come, but there is a fair case to be made that Saturday’s New Mexico Bowl, which pits San Diego State against North Texas, is the most interesting contest of the entire campaign.

There may be no bigger stylistic contrast in college football than between the Mean Green and the Aztecs. It’s a classic battle between an unstoppable force and an immovable object.

What’s more is that both of these teams were among the most impressive in the Group of 5 this season, and narrowly missed out on being in the mix for the playoff bids that eventually went to Tulane and James Madison.

North Texas saw its dream come crashing down in the AAC Championship against the Green Wave, while San Diego State had its season derailed by an overtime loss to New Mexico in the final week of the campaign.

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The odds make this game even more compelling, as the bookies are having a tough time separating these two teams. North Texas (11-2) is a 3.5-point favorite over San Diego State (9-3).

The tale of the tape for the New Mexico Bowl is an absolute beauty.

San Diego State vs. North Texas odds, prediction

Only four teams in college football allowed fewer points per game than San Diego State, which also ranked fifth overall in yards per play and first in FBS in yards allowed per pass attempt.

The Aztecs held seven different opponents (including Boise State and California) to single digits in 2025.

San Diego State’s offensive numbers are vanilla at best, but the Aztecs rarely needed to light up the scoreboard to get results. When your defense is allowing 12.6 points per game, you can afford to plod your way down the field.

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And now for something completely different.

North Texas quarterback Drew Mestemaker in action. Getty Images

No team scored more points than North Texas this season. In fact, only one team (Texas Tech) came within 30 points of the Mean Green by season’s end.

North Texas averaged six touchdowns per game, scored 45-plus points in nine of its 13 contests and hit the 30-point mark in every game except for the AAC Championship against Tulane.

On paper, this sets up for a classic. Styles make fights, as they say.

But this is 2025, so there will be some homework to do before this tilt.

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Earlier this month, it was announced that North Texas head coach Eric Morris was hired to replace Mike Gundy at Oklahoma State. The rest of the Mean Green’s staff would be in place for the bowl game, so you’d think Morris’ departure wouldn’t be a huge deal, save for one thing: There’s a lot of noise that his quarterback, Drew Mestemaker, would be hitting the portal after the bowl game.

Mestemaker, a freshman who walked onto the team in 2024, led the nation with 4,129 passing yards and finished third with 31 touchdown passes. The AAC Offensive Player of the Year has been adamant that he won’t decide on transferring until after the bowl game.

We’ll take Mestemaker at his word, but it did seem peculiar that he and his teammates put forth their worst effort in their most recent game, which was when rumors about the quarterback’s intentions really started to percolate. It was already announced that his head coach was headed to Oklahoma State, and many pundits were beginning to connect the dots.

Against other defenses, North Texas could win despite a distracted performance from Mestemaker and the rest of the offense, but the Mean Green will not be able to get away with it against San Diego State.

I expect this game to be played on the Aztecs’ terms, and that should spell doom for North Texas and any punter looking to back the Mean Green on Saturday.

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The Play: San Diego State moneyline (+145, BetMGM)


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.



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New Mexico

State Police investigate deadly pedestrian crash on I-40 in Albuquerque

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State Police investigate deadly pedestrian crash on I-40 in Albuquerque


ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — New Mexico State Police is investigating a deadly pedestrian crash that left westbound Interstate 40 closed for hours in Albuquerque.

It happened early Tuesday morning at Eubank Boulevard The westbound lanes closed at Juan Tabo Boulevard around 6:30 a.m.

Westbound I-40 is back open. Further details are limited at this time. Albuquerque Police Department confirmed NMSP is investigating.

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New Mexico

Where’s the beef? Ranchers say ‘well done’ to carnivore diet trend

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Where’s the beef? Ranchers say ‘well done’ to carnivore diet trend


ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. – New surveys show more Americans are adding meat to their meals, a shift New Mexico ranchers say supports the state’s role in beef production.

A survey cited in the report found 45 percent of shoppers say they are trying to put meat into their diet.

New dietary guidelines

This comes after meat became a bigger part of the federal dietary guidelines introduced this year.

“The recommendation was increased from 0.8 to 1.2 to 1.6. I’m not going to get into it if this was justified or not. But yes, there is definitely a push that people should eat more protein,” said Peter Pribis, an associate professor of nutrition and dietetics at the University of New Mexico. “And unfortunately in America, when you say protein, people think beef.”

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Market research company Circana found Americans bought $112 billion worth of meat last year.

Another survey from a food industry group found 98 percent of American households buy meat.

New Mexico ranchers point to healthier beef options

Carollann Romo, executive director of the New Mexico Beef Council, said rising demand also brings more focus on education for ranchers.

“Something people don’t always know about beef is that there’s more than 40 cuts that are considered USDA lean. And so if you’re looking for a lean protein, you look for the word round or loin in the name,” said Romo. “And so that lean beef has always been something that would be valuable for people to reach out to.”

Is beef the only source of protein?

Pribis said protein does not have to come from meat, and pointed to nuts, beans, and potatoes as being able to help meet protein needs.

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“People can be on extreme diets but generally speaking when you are eating enough energy, you are eating enough protein,” said Pribis.

Pribis said many Americans may already get more protein than they need, and he said the body does not store extra protein long term.



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New Mexico

Windy start to the week with isolated storms expected across New Mexico

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Windy start to the week with isolated storms expected across New Mexico


Milder air is present for most compared to yesterday with passing clouds, but with little precipitation. Clouds are partially absorbing yesterday’s warmth from escaping into space, and gustier conditions from the west are mixing that air around, but the drop in the jet stream has led to the slight coolness in the air to start for most.

Air temperatures in the north are starting off mostly from around the upper 20s to the 40s, except for some northern areas starting off around the lower 50s, while elsewhere to the southeast, air temperatures are mostly ranging from around the high 30s to the lower 60s.

Many areas from eastern New Mexico to the Pecos River Valley area will range from the 60s to the 80s from north-northwest to south-southeast from high to low elevation. The northern higher elevations will mostly range from the high 30s to around 50°, while the northern valley floors to western and central areas will mostly range from the upper 50s to the low 80s. Very gusty showers with some rumbles of thunder will be more likely not only in the mountains to nearby areas, but also in the San Juan Basin, the western communities, parts of the Rio Grande Valley, to parts of eastern New Mexico. Storm motions will primarily be moving to the east-southeast.

Temperatures will eventually drop even more tomorrow with the fire threat at least elevated for many eastern areas for both days. For the next couple of days, thunderstorms may locally be strong with brief bouts of moderate rainfall, some graupel & hail, high elevation snow in northern areas, some lightning, & damaging winds possible in local areas with the jet stream overhead.

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Mostly clearer skies will then return later in the week with the jet stream rising back to the northeast, allowing for warmer air to also return with calmer winds before the next gusty cooldown.



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