New Mexico
San Diego State vs. North Texas prediction: New Mexico Bowl odds, picks, best bet
The most important college football games of the season are still to come, but there is a fair case to be made that Saturday’s New Mexico Bowl, which pits San Diego State against North Texas, is the most interesting contest of the entire campaign.
There may be no bigger stylistic contrast in college football than between the Mean Green and the Aztecs. It’s a classic battle between an unstoppable force and an immovable object.
What’s more is that both of these teams were among the most impressive in the Group of 5 this season, and narrowly missed out on being in the mix for the playoff bids that eventually went to Tulane and James Madison.
North Texas saw its dream come crashing down in the AAC Championship against the Green Wave, while San Diego State had its season derailed by an overtime loss to New Mexico in the final week of the campaign.
The odds make this game even more compelling, as the bookies are having a tough time separating these two teams. North Texas (11-2) is a 3.5-point favorite over San Diego State (9-3).
The tale of the tape for the New Mexico Bowl is an absolute beauty.
San Diego State vs. North Texas odds, prediction
Only four teams in college football allowed fewer points per game than San Diego State, which also ranked fifth overall in yards per play and first in FBS in yards allowed per pass attempt.
The Aztecs held seven different opponents (including Boise State and California) to single digits in 2025.
San Diego State’s offensive numbers are vanilla at best, but the Aztecs rarely needed to light up the scoreboard to get results. When your defense is allowing 12.6 points per game, you can afford to plod your way down the field.
And now for something completely different.
No team scored more points than North Texas this season. In fact, only one team (Texas Tech) came within 30 points of the Mean Green by season’s end.
North Texas averaged six touchdowns per game, scored 45-plus points in nine of its 13 contests and hit the 30-point mark in every game except for the AAC Championship against Tulane.
On paper, this sets up for a classic. Styles make fights, as they say.
But this is 2025, so there will be some homework to do before this tilt.
Betting on College Football?
Earlier this month, it was announced that North Texas head coach Eric Morris was hired to replace Mike Gundy at Oklahoma State. The rest of the Mean Green’s staff would be in place for the bowl game, so you’d think Morris’ departure wouldn’t be a huge deal, save for one thing: There’s a lot of noise that his quarterback, Drew Mestemaker, would be hitting the portal after the bowl game.
Mestemaker, a freshman who walked onto the team in 2024, led the nation with 4,129 passing yards and finished third with 31 touchdown passes. The AAC Offensive Player of the Year has been adamant that he won’t decide on transferring until after the bowl game.
We’ll take Mestemaker at his word, but it did seem peculiar that he and his teammates put forth their worst effort in their most recent game, which was when rumors about the quarterback’s intentions really started to percolate. It was already announced that his head coach was headed to Oklahoma State, and many pundits were beginning to connect the dots.
Against other defenses, North Texas could win despite a distracted performance from Mestemaker and the rest of the offense, but the Mean Green will not be able to get away with it against San Diego State.
I expect this game to be played on the Aztecs’ terms, and that should spell doom for North Texas and any punter looking to back the Mean Green on Saturday.
The Play: San Diego State moneyline (+145, BetMGM)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
New Mexico
3 thoughts: New Mexico 81, SDSU 76 … Kudos for the local kid, mid-majors getting the squeeze and European bigs
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — Three thoughts on San Diego State’s 81-76 loss at New Mexico on Saturday afternoon:
1. Kudos
No loss is a happy occasion within SDSU’s basketball program, but it was mitigated somewhat by the how and who:
The how: A 3-pointer from the left wing with 43 seconds left that broke a 74-74 tie.
The who: Luke Haupt, a sixth-year senior from St. Augustine High School and Point Loma Nazarene University who is one of those classy, genuine guys you can’t help but root for.
Aztecs coaches know him and his family well, his father Mike being the longtime head coach at Saints who sent Trey Kell to them. Aztecs players know him from the Swish summer league and open gyms during the summer.
Coach Brian Dutcher: “Kudos to Luke, known him a long time. Coaches are a little different than fan bases, where sometimes (fans) get too hard on the opposition. I wanted to win in the worst way, trust me when I tell you that. But … tip your hat to guys who make important and timely plays.”
Junior guard Miles Byrd: “Credit to Luke Haupt. He’s a San Diego kid. He’s going to (get) up for these type of games. You respect that. Players show up in games like this, and he showed up.”
There’s respect for the moment and respect for what it took to get there.
Haupt grew up, like most kids in San Diego, watching the Aztecs and dreaming of maybe one day playing in Viejas Arena. He went to Division II PLNU instead and toiled in relative anonymity for five seasons, one of which was abbreviated by the pandemic and 1½ of which was wiped out by knee surgery.
The 6-foot-7 wing finally got to Division I for his sixth and final year, lured to New Mexico by former UC San Diego coach Eric Olen, and has averaged 7.2 points per game with a career high of 30 against Boise State. He had 17 on Saturday against his hometown team, the final three coming with 43 seconds left in a tie game.
The play wasn’t designed for him. Fate sent the ball his way.
“It was a big shot, but it was everything I’ve worked on my entire career and basketball life,” Haupt said. “It’s all the people who have helped me get here and all the work that’s been put in.
“These are moments you dream about.”
2. Death of Cinderella
The Aztecs have slipped off the NCAA Tournament bubble with losses in three of their last four games, yet their metrics are comparable and in some cases better than a year ago, when they didn’t win the conference tournament and sneaked into the First Four in Dayton.
They are hanging tough at 42 in Kenpom and 44 in NET. Last year they were 46 and 52 on Selection Sunday.
The problem is that there might be historically few at-large berths available to mid-major conferences as the preposterous sums of money coursing through the sport accentuates the divide between the haves and have-nots. The latest field from ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has 11 teams from the SEC, nine from the Big Ten and eight each from the Big 12 and ACC.
The Big East, considered a power conference given its financial commitment to men’s basketball (although that is starting to wane), is expected to get only three, but do the math: Power conferences account for 34 of the 37 at-large invitations to the 68-team field.
Lunardi, and several other bracketologists, has only three mid-majors getting at-large berths: Saint Mary’s and Santa Clara from the WCC, and New Mexico from the Mountain West.
Only Saint Mary’s is in the main bracket. Santa Clara and New Mexico are in his First Four (and the Lobos are his last team in).
“It’s harder,” Dutcher said, “because there are only so many at-large bids that are going to go to non-power conference teams. When thrown up against the power conferences, the Selection Committee is finding ways to put the power conference teams in.”
Since the tournament expanded from 65 to 68 in 2011, mid-majors have averaged a combined 6.3 at-large berths. The high was 10 in 2013, but it’s been seven as recently as 2024. Last year it slipped to four, equaling the record low, and no mid-major teams reached the Sweet 16.
If teams like Utah State, Saint Louis and Miami (Ohio) win their conference tournaments, knocking out “bid stealers,” it could be three, maybe even two.
Money is talking. It doesn’t guarantee success, but it certainly increases the chances.
3. Euros
The Aztecs have not dipped into the European professional market for players, but maybe this season will change their perspective.
They have nine losses. Seven have come against teams with a European big.
The latest was New Mexico, which got 24 points and 18 rebounds from the 6-foot-9, 240-pound Tomislav Buljan, a 23-year-old Croatian pro granted one season of collegiate eligibility by the NCAA. He had 20 and 14 in the first meeting, when the Aztecs narrowly escaped with an 83-79 win after trailing in the final minute.
“He was a monster tonight,” Haupt said. “That was huge for us. Loved the way he played.”
The week before, the Aztecs lost to Colorado State and Rashaan Mbemba from Austria.
They’ve lost to Grand Canyon twice with 7-1 Turkish pro Efe Demirel, a 21-year-old “freshman” who has experience in the Euroleague, the continent’s most prestigious competition.
In the December loss to Arizona where the Aztecs were crushed 52-28 on the boards, 7-2, 260-pound Lithuanian center Motiejus Krivas had 13.
Michigan, which beat SDSU in November, has 7-3 Aday Mara of Spain.
Baylor beat the Aztecs two days later with 6-9 Michael Rataj of Germany, then a few weeks later added 7-0 James Nnaji from Spanish club FC Barcelona.
Only Troy and Utah State didn’t start a European big in wins against SDSU — although Mexican forward Victor Valdes had 20 points for Troy.
“Obviously, it’s changing the game,” Dutcher said. “The European pros are coming over because they can make more money over here than they can in Europe. They come over and they’re making good money, whether it’s Demirel at Grand Canyon or it’s Buljan at New Mexico.
“These are good players who come up through a club system and are basically professional basketball players.”
New Mexico
New Mexico veteran cemetery coming to Carlsbad via $8M in federal funds – Carlsbad Current-Argus
New Mexico
New Mexico spoils Nevada’s Senior Day as Lobos leave Reno with 63-56 win
The Nevada women’s basketball team dropped its final home contest of the 2025-26 season on Saturday with New Mexico spoiling Senior Day and pushing past the Wolf Pack for a 63-56 win.
The Wolf Pack led 36-34 at halftime behind a hot-shooting start. Skylar Durley, Imbie Jones and Ahrray Young each had six points as Nevada shot 14-of-25 from the field (56%). But things cooled off in the second half, with the Lobos outscoring the Wolf Pack 19-13 in the third quarter to take a four-point lead into the fourth. Nevada’s shooting woes only worsened in the final period when it made just three field goals, including none in the final four minutes.
Durley led Nevada with 16 points and six rebounds. Young finished with 10 points, three rebounds and three assists. The Wolf Pack made just one three-pointer out of its nine attempts.
The loss drops Nevada to 9-20 overall, 5-14 within the Mountain West Conference. The Wolf Pack now heads to Utah State for Tuesday’s regular-season finale before opening the Mountain West Tournament play next Saturday in Las Vegas.
Watch our coverage of the game below.
Highlights and reaction from Nevada’s loss to New Mexico.
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