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Below normal water supply forecasted for Montana after low-snow winter

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Below normal water supply forecasted for Montana after low-snow winter


Montana’s winter is shaping up to have been among the worst for snowpack in 25 years and, combined with current outlooks, has water forecasters warning that streamflow levels this summer could be well below normal across most of the state.

Early last month, Montana forecasters and water supply specialists said the state would need above-average snow during March and early April, and a wet and cool spring, to keep the meager snow left from melting away too quickly and causing low river and streamflows through the growing season and likely drought.

But according to state and federal reports and presentations released during the past two weeks, the recovery the snowpack made in February and early March tapered off in the weeks since and hasn’t continued to the extent forecasters hoped.

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“It’s not likely a full recovery to normal snowpack conditions will occur by May 1 this year across most of Montana,” Montana Snow Survey staff wrote in the April water supply forecast issued by the Natural Resources Conservation Service earlier this month.

“Below normal snowpack conditions on May 1 could be supplemented by above normal spring and summer precipitation, assuming snowpack deficits aren’t too large. Best case scenario would be a return to cooler weather and above normal precipitation for the next months.”

Since 1991, the median day that Montana’s snowpack as a whole reached its peak is April 14, at 18 inches of snow water equivalent, which is the amount of water contained in the snowpack. So far this year, the statewide snowpack peaked at 13.2 inches of snow water equivalent on April 11, three days earlier than normal and nearly 5 inches of snow water equivalent below normal.

The current snowpack of 12 inches of snow water equivalent statewide is just 74% of normal for this time of year, but also in the 7th percentile when compared to 1991-2020. To start the month, one in seven snow monitoring stations in Montana was showing its lowest or second-lowest snowpack on record. More than one-third of them were reporting a snowpack in the 10th percentile or less compared to 1991-2020.

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It’s still possible that storms and cooler weather over the next couple of weeks buoy the snowpack at higher elevations and inhibit the melt-off, but this is typically the time of the year the snowpack starts what most people hope will be a gradual decline.

Last year, the snowpack peaked at 18.1 inches of snow water equivalent on April 25, but a quick melt-off ensued because of unseasonably warm temperatures. Two weeks later, the snowpack was at 12.5 inches of snow water equivalent, and it was completely gone by June 21. The median snow-free date is June 28.

As of Monday, the snowpack was gone in the Bear Paw basin. It sat at 45% of median in the Upper Missouri Basin and between 50% and 69% of normal in the Sun-Teton-Marias, Upper Clark Fork, Bitterroot, Smith-Judith-Musselshell, Upper Yellowstone, Gallatin, Lower Clark Fork, and Flathead basins.

The Jefferson (70%), St. Mary and Kootenai (75% respectively), Madison (76%), Tongue (77%), Powder (78%), and Bighorn (85%) basins were all between 70% and 90% of their average snowpack for this time of the year on Monday.

Last week, Dr. Dennis Todey, director of the Midwest Climate Hub for the U.S. Department of Agriculture, said the Upper Missouri River was running at close to its lowest point above Fort Peck in recent decades, which could have ramifications as the river heads east into the Upper Midwest, which just had one of its driest and warmest winters in 100 years.

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On the other side of the state, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers agreed earlier this month to approve a request from the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes’ Energy Keepers, Inc., to raise Flathead Lake’s spring level by two feet to 2,885 feet and hold more water in the lake.

Energy Keepers said it anticipates 2024 will be similar to the record-low flows seen in 2023 that kicked off a political firestorm surrounding the lake’s levels so it started refilling the lake early and believes the lake will be between 2,888 feet and 2,891 feet by the end of May.

“By taking these actions early in the season we increase the likelihood Flathead Lake will reach its maximum elevation in what forecasters are predicting as another dry year,” said Energy Keepers CEO Brian Lipscomb. “Should we experience unforeseen precipitation then we can make further adjustments. By May, we are prepared to make further changes to standard operations depending on weather conditions.”

Most streamflows are forecast to be between 70% and 85% of normal across all of Montana’s river basins, but could be near normal in parts of northwest, southwest, and southern Montana that saw a better snowpack this year.

But rivers including the Bighole, Blackfoot, Little Bighorn, Tongue, Clark Fork, Smith, Sun, and Teton are expected to see streamflows for April through July below 65% of normal, according to the latest forecasts.

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Those streamflows will be critical to recreation and especially agricultural production this summer, and the relatively dry winter has led to an overall expansion of drought since the beginning of the year, as the area of the state experiencing moderate and severe drought has more than doubled.

But drought conditions improved in Montana throughout March and into the beginning of April. During the past two weeks, moderate and severe drought has declined in southeastern Montana, and less of east-central Montana is abnormally dry than a week before. But after extreme drought disappeared for a week earlier this month, it has shown back up in northern Flathead County and northwestern Mineral County.

“Extreme drought conditions were introduced in the mountainous region along the Idaho and Montana border due to concerns about low snow amounts and possible early snowmelt,” National Drought Mitigation Center forecasters wrote in last Thursday’s report.

The next two weeks could bring some relief if current forecasts hold. The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting above-average precipitation over the next 6-14 days, including a possible storm this weekend that could bring rain to lower elevations and snow above 5,500 feet, according to the National Weather Service.

But the forecast for early May currently shows above-average temperatures statewide, and the forecast for May through July shows above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation for western Montana, though it also shows equal chances of below- or above-average precipitation and temperatures for eastern Montana for that period.

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That will coincide with the El Niño that has persisted through winter ending, and an increasing likelihood that La Niña starts to develop into August, according to the Climate Prediction Center, which typically means cooler and wetter winters in Montana because the jet stream stays further north.

But July through October are currently forecast to bring above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for Montana, according to the Climate Prediction Center. That means the next several weeks will be key in determining how summer shapes up water-wise.

“Given the widespread low forecasts, above normal precipitation over the next couple of months and a slow melt of the snowpack would be most beneficial for the upcoming summer,” the latest water supply forecast says. “Additionally, a wet summer could help to sustain streamflows later in the season.”

This story was initially published by The Daily Montanan, a nonprofit news organization and part of the States News network, covering state issues. Read more at dailymontanan.com.



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‘Wake of carnage’: Former Missoula ER doctor sentenced to 40 years in Montana State Prison

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‘Wake of carnage’: Former Missoula ER doctor sentenced to 40 years in Montana State Prison


The courtroom was full before the sentencing began, the kind of packed room that turns quiet with the arrival of a single name. By the end of the day, Tyler Hurst, the former emergency room doctor whose case roiled Missoula for two years, had been sent to prison for 40 years after a judge called his conduct “deliberate, predatory, calculated and persistent.”

The day was marked by a steady accumulation of voices. Women who had come to a hospital seeking help, and instead left with fear, panic, and a kind of injury that did not end when they walked out the door. One after another, they described the same betrayal: a physician, trusted by strangers in their most vulnerable moments, using the authority of medicine as cover for abuse.

Jane Doe 1, who said she had lived in Missoula all her life, told the court she had gone to Community Medical Center in excruciating pain, only to leave “shattered as a person and as a woman.” She said the memory of what happened to her has become a daily prison, filled with nightmares, anxiety medication, and a grief she does not believe can be healed.

Jane Doe 2 said she initially did not report what happened because she had already survived something similar before.

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Jane Doe 3, speaking through tears, told Hurst, “Shame on you,” and said the hospital room was supposed to be a place of healing, not a place where a doctor threw away the oath to protect people.

Jane Doe 4 described how the assault reopened years of trauma and sent her body into shaking and sweat as she spoke in court.

Jane Doe 7 said she came to the hospital believing Hurst was kind, then watched as the examination moved from a routine medical visit into something invasive and terrifying. Afterward, she said, she could not sleep, could not eat and eventually attempted to take her life in February 2026.

The prosecution argued that Hurst’s conduct was not a matter of misunderstanding or impulse, but a pattern carried out over time, in the same place, against a series of women who were sick, isolated, and often medicated.

Brielle Lande, the Missoula deputy county attorney, said the victims were not part of an abstract legal debate; they were the crime itself, and the harm continued long after the touching stopped.

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Lande told the court that Hurst had “no adverse childhood experiences” that would explain the misconduct, describing instead a life of privilege, a loving family and a career he sought and then used as cover. She said the issue was not his profession in the abstract, but “him as a person,” and that by his own admission he knew he had a problem and offended time after time.

“This case is not extraordinary because of publicity, attention or motion. It is extraordinary because of the number of victims, the number of convictions and the repeated abuse of a position of public trust,” she said.

The state also framed the case as a breach that reached far beyond the victims. Lande said the abuse eroded trust in Community Medical Center and could make women fearful of returning for treatment. The courtroom heard that the hospital, the medical staff, and the broader community had all been left to absorb the fallout.

The defense asked the court to recognize that Hurst sought treatment for sexual addiction and spent time at Pine Grove and New Beginnings Ranch, a rehabilitation program in Montana. Experts for the defense said he had engaged in therapy for sex addiction, that his insight improved, and that relapse risk might be reduced by continued treatment and supervision.

“He has taken accountability for his actions,” said defense attorney Dwight Schulte.

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The defense prepared an over 30-minute long video with family showing support for Hurst as well as the defendant himself. The center of his argument was how his sex addiction was the root of his crime.

At one point, Hurst stood up and presented to the court his reflections.

“I sincerely wish that I could’ve simply and efficiently solved this at the beginning. With that being said — I can’t undo time,” he said.

But the state pushed back hard, arguing that rehabilitation does not erase culpability. Lande said the court was not sentencing “addiction” or “mitigation,” but an extraordinary scope of criminal conduct. She argued that Hurst had not been in a secure residential treatment facility in the legal sense while at New Beginnings, noting bike rides, yoga, family dinners and fly-fishing as evidence that it was not incarceration-like confinement.

The judge ultimately recognized some of the defendant’s attempts at rehabilitation but said they could not outweigh the harm. In the court’s telling, the critical fact was not simply that Hurst had problems; it was that he knew he had them and still exploited his authority in a place where patients depended on him.

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Judge Shane Vannatta said the sentence had to reflect the reality of what happened to the victims. He told Hurst there is a difference between explaining conduct and accounting for it, and that sentencing must reflect culpability and accountability, not just risk assessment.

He said the crimes were deliberate, predatory, calculated, and persistent, and emphasized that there is no place for sexual contact in a medical facility. He noted the victims’ vulnerability, the abuse of power, and the particularly grievous setting: a hospital emergency room, where people come expecting care, not harm.

“Individuals may be on guard walking down a dark alley or a strange neighborhood, but a hospital should be, must be, a safe place where people in distress can go,” Vannatta said.

Vannatta sentenced Hurst to 40 years at Montana State Prison. He gave credit for 255 days served, including time at Pine Grove but not New Beginnings Ranch, which he said did not qualify as a licensed treatment center for credit purposes.

“Dr. Hurst violated his oath as a physician,” Vannatta said. “The physician’s role in society has always been to heal or to do no harm, as the Hippocratic Oath reminds us. Doctor, you did incredible harm. You left a wake of carnage that people will be suffering from for years to come.”

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Expanded Great Northwest Challenge set for Montana This Weekend

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Expanded Great Northwest Challenge set for Montana This Weekend


The Great Northwest Challenge is back in Montana for 2026 with an added feature and a large field of teams in competition.

The tournament will run Friday, June 12 to Sunday, June 14, with the first day being a combine and a major college expo for players to be seen and discuss their college options.

The College Expo is in partnership with GRR Sponsor Next Phase Rugby, the app that helps high school players find their college home, and as well as The Rugger’s Edge college rugby consultancy. The message from both Next Phase and The Rugger’s Edge, as well as the College Expo ,is that while high-level players do need help finding the right college, players of a variety of levels can play competitive rugby after high school, and can even be recruited.

Over two-dozen college rugby programs will be in attendance at the GNC, and will be held at Gallatin High School in Bozeman, Mont. High School players will attend a coaches panel hosted by Next Phase Rugby’s Greg Stelluti and Karen Fong Donghue from The Rugger’s Edge, speaking with coaches about what they want to see from potential recruits.

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After that, high school players can meet and speak with college coaches representing both men’s and women’s teams.


Check out Next Phase Rugby’s updated app which makes it easier for you to sign up for, upgrade, and manage your account. A new monthly premium has been launched and the yearly rate for Premium has dropped to $99.

Connect with college rugby teams. Find out how competitive, unified, and fun a rugby team is before you get to the college you want. Find out how you can get recruited as a rugby player, even if you’re not on a high-profile team. 

Rugby can help make college more fun, can sometimes help you get into a school, and can even find you some financial assistance. How? Get the Next Phase Rugby app and set up your profile. 



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Montana Lottery Powerball, Lotto America results for June 8, 2026

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The Montana Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big.

Here’s a look at June 8, 2026, results for each game:

Winning Powerball numbers from June 8 drawing

03-24-34-43-49, Powerball: 20, Power Play: 3

Check Powerball payouts and previous drawings here.

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Winning Lotto America numbers from June 8 drawing

04-23-25-30-47, Star Ball: 04, ASB: 05

Check Lotto America payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Big Sky Bonus numbers from June 8 drawing

03-22-24-28, Bonus: 10

Check Big Sky Bonus payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Powerball Double Play numbers from June 8 drawing

01-16-20-21-49, Powerball: 10

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Check Powerball Double Play payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Millionaire for Life numbers from June 8 drawing

20-25-40-50-55, Bonus: 01

Check Millionaire for Life payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

When are the Montana Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 8:59 p.m. MT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 9 p.m. MT on Tuesday and Friday.
  • Lucky For Life: 8:38 p.m. MT daily.
  • Lotto America: 9 p.m. MT on Monday, Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Big Sky Bonus: 7:30 p.m. MT daily.
  • Powerball Double Play: 8:59 p.m. MT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Montana Cash: 8 p.m. MT on Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Millionaire for Life: 9:15 p.m. MT daily.

Missed a draw? Peek at the past week’s winning numbers.

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Great Falls Tribune editor. You can send feedback using this form.

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