Connecticut
Is CT’s economy ‘growing’? It depends on how you define it
“We have more people employed” is one of the many things Gov. Ned Lamont touted earlier this week in response to a claim that Connecticut’s economy is continuously weakening.
The criticism came from Fred Carstensen, a professor and economist at the University of Connecticut who heads the Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, and it was asked during a one-on-one interview on Tuesday between The Connecticut Mirror and Lamont.
“Right now, we have the fastest growing economy in the northeast by a little bit,” Lamont continued.
But what makes an economy “grow” and be “fast”? It depends on whom you ask, and it’s often more complicated than looking at one single measure. One might consider inflation, income distribution, cost-of-living, total output, exports and many other factors, each of which paints a different picture of the state’s economy.
One common way to look at it, though, is by considering employment — how many people are working, how many are eligible, how many are looking to work and so forth.
Lamont said that there are more people employed now than before. Is that true? According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, it depends on the time frame. The average number of people employed in 2023 in Connecticut was 1.822 million, which is a:
• 0.63% decrease from the 2022 average (1.833 million → 1.822)
• 2.16% decrease from 2019 (1.862 million → 1.822)
• 6% increase from 2013 (1.718 million → 1.822)
• 5.7% increase since 2000 (1.723 million → 1.822)
More people are employed in Connecticut than decades ago, but that’s normal of any state that’s seeing an increase in population.
While the number of employed people grew in the state by 5.7% since 2000, the 16-and-over population increased by 12% — a difference not unexpected, as Connecticut’s population is aging, along with other factors.
Another measure that shows this relationship is the employment to population ratio. In 2000, the ratio of employed people to the total population was 65%. In 2023, it was 61.8%. Decreases were seen for every other New England state as well.
Shorter-term, there were fewer people employed last year than before the pandemic in 2019, when Connecticut saw a record number of workers at 1.862 million. All New England states except Rhode Island experienced a decrease in the number of workers since 2019.
The portion of the population that isn’t working could be either not part of the labor force or unemployed. The number of people that are unemployed or looking for a job out of the entire labor force makes up the unemployment rate.
The 2023 unemployment rate for Connecticut was 3.8%, the highest in New England, but any “unemployment rate around 4% would be considered low by historic standards,” writes a researcher from the state’s Department of Labor in the March 2024 edition of the Connecticut Economic Digest.
The unemployment rate has been falling since 2020, a sign of recovery from the pandemic, but the rate is still slightly higher than before the pandemic, a trend also seen for Massachusetts but not for any other New England state. In 2019, the unemployment rate in Connecticut was 3.6% while in 2023 it was 3.8%.
The 2023 unemployment rate is not as low as levels seen in 2000, when it reached 2.1%, but it’s still lower than the 4.9% rate seen in 1990.
Some argue that an increasing unemployment rate can be a good thing, despite its negative connotation. In a September 2022 national analysis, a time when the unemployment rate rose, the chief economist at the U.S. Department of Labor at the time wrote that, “The unemployment rate rose for a positive reason — more unemployed workers began seeking jobs.”
If more people are joining the labor force by looking for a job, the unemployment rate will go up, since there will be more people classified as “unemployed.”
There’s also a measure known as the labor force participation rate, which combines both measures discussed above: The employed plus the unemployed as a share of the total working age population.
In 1990, Connecticut’s labor force participation rate was 70.6%, but last year it sat at 64.2%. This decades-long decreasing trend is also seen for other New England states and is associated with an aging population and a decrease in participation from certain groups of men, as explained by researchers from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
In recent years though, the 2023 participation rate has recovered from a historic low in 2021, but it is not yet back to levels seen in 2019 before the pandemic, where the rate was 66.3%, just 2.1 percentage points higher than last year’s rate.
So what does this all mean? Lamont was right in that there are more workers now than decades ago, but that’s expected if the population of a state is growing. But when taking that into account, the number of workers is not increasing as fast as the 16-and-older population. As of last year, employment numbers and labor force participation rates for the state are still not at pre-pandemic levels, and the unemployment rate is higher, although decreasing.
And among New England states, Connecticut last year had the highest unemployment rate and the third-lowest labor force participation rate, but it wasn’t the only New England state to see decreases.
Connecticut
Multiple cars involved in crash on I-84 in Hartford
A multi-vehicle crash temporarily close Interstate 84 on Tuesday night.
The crash happened around 8:30 p.m. and involved four cars, according to the Hartford Fire Department.
Fire crews arrived at the scene and helped one of the drivers who was trapped. The driver was then taken to a local hospital for evaluation and treatment.
Four other people reported minor injuries but declined ambulance treatment at the scene, officials said.
I-84 East was temporarily shut down as crews responded but has since reopened.
The Connecticut State Police is investigating the crash.
Connecticut
Sleet, freezing rain leading to treacherous travel in parts of Connecticut
As the snow turns to sleet and freezing rain in parts of the state this afternoon, it is causing some treacherous travel on Connecticut roads.
The Connecticut Department of Transportation is reporting several crashes.
There are crashes on both sides of Interstate 691 in Meriden.
A tractor-trailer jackknifed on the eastbound side of I-691 between Exit 5 and 3, closing the left lane. On the westbound side, a single-vehicle crash closed the left lane.
There is a two-vehicle crash on I-91 North in Middletown between Exits 20 and 21. The left and center lanes are closed.
A multi-vehicle crash has closed lanes of I-84 East in Waterbury between Exits 25 and 25A. There is a second crash on I-84 East in Southington near Exit 30.
In Cromwell, a two-vehicle crash closed the right lane of Route 9 North in Cromwell.
On Route 9 South, a crash closed a lane on the southbound side.
Connecticut
The Great Westport Sandwich Contest kicks off with event at Old Mill Grocery
The Westport Weston Chamber of Commerce held a kick-off event at Old Mill Grocery on Monday for The Great Westport Sandwich Contest.
The contest runs throughout March with 21 restaurants, delis and markets competing in 10 categories to be crowned the best sandwich maker.
Residents can vote in the following categories: Best chicken, best steak, best vegetarian, best combo, best club, best NY deli, best pressed sandwich, best breakfast sandwich, best wrap, and best fish/seafood sandwich.
After people sample sandwiches, they can vote for their favorites in each category on the chamber’s website. They will also be placed into a drawing to win a free sandwich from one of the 10 winners.
“Of course, the goal is to have people come to Westport and check out restaurants, our markets and our delis. This is a great promotion. I mean it is a competition, but mostly it’s to bring people to the restaurants. It also gives a great community activity because they are the ones who get to vote who makes the best one,” says Matthew Mandell, the chamber’s executive director.
Winners will be announced in April and receive a plaque.
The chamber has held similar contests to determine what establishment has the best pizza, burger, soup and salad.
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