Connect with us

Iowa

With Trump way ahead in 2024 Republican polls, Iowa becomes do-or-die for DeSantis

Published

on

With Trump way ahead in 2024 Republican polls, Iowa becomes do-or-die for DeSantis


WASHINGTON, July 12 (Reuters) – Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ campaign is making a high-risk bet that it can halt Donald Trump’s march to the Republican presidential nomination by winning the key state of Iowa next January, despite the former president’s commanding lead in polls and growing questions about DeSantis’ viability.

Even as he trails Trump by close to 30 percentage points in national polls, DeSantis and his advisers are sticking to a long-haul, Iowa-first strategy. They hope that an upset win in the state would stall Trump’s momentum, according to two sources close to the campaign, who asked not to be identified so that they could discuss campaign strategy.

They acknowledged they might never fully close the national polling gap before Iowa’s caucuses on Jan. 15, the first in a series of nominating contests to decide the Republican nominee for the November 2024 presidential election.

The focus on Iowa appears to be a recognition by the campaign that DeSantis’ other paths to victory are shrinking, turning the Midwestern state into a do-or-die for him, according to more than a dozen interviews with the DeSantis campaign, Trump advisers, grassroots Republican operatives in Iowa and donors.

Advertisement

After a much-anticipated presidential launch on May 24, DeSantis is languishing a distant second in the Republican field and has yet to catch fire in any real way.

“A win in Iowa, a second in New Hampshire, we lose a couple candidates before Nevada and South Carolina, and then we are in a bloody, two-person race,” one of the two sources told Reuters, referring to other nominating contests that will follow.

But even winning Iowa, should DeSantis pull it off, carries risk. His play for the state’s religious voters by staking out hardline positions on abortion and transgender issues could alienate voters in states further down the nominating calendar.

“He’s gotta have a win in the first three primaries, and Iowa is his best bet,” said Chris Stirewalt, an elections analyst with the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank.

Stirewalt said the biggest fear of the donors he has spoken to is that DeSantis wins Iowa but becomes a candidate “with the resources to stick around but not the reach to win the nomination.”

Advertisement

None of the last three winners of a competitive contest in Iowa – U.S. Senator Ted Cruz, former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee – went on to claim their party’s nomination, in part because of their conservative stances.

Embarrassingly for DeSantis, Steve Cortes, a spokesperson for Never Back Down, a fundraising super PAC supporting him, acknowledged earlier this month in a Twitter forum that “clearly Donald Trump is the runaway front-runner.”

Amid a flurry of stories questioning his viability over the past week, DeSantis has accused the media of prematurely writing his obituary.

“They’ve tried to create a narrative that somehow the race is over,” he said on the Fox Business channel on Monday.

DeSantis’ campaign has argued that his ability to raise $20 million in the first six weeks of his campaign shows that donors view him as the top alterative to Trump. In the second quarter, Trump raised $35 million, according to a campaign official.

Advertisement

KNOCKING ON DOORS

Of the 640,000 doors that Never Back Down has knocked on so far nationally, a full quarter have been in Iowa, according to a person connected with the group with knowledge of internal metrics.

The group expects to have opened five offices across the state by the end of July, a separate person said, an unusually large number at this point in the campaign, according to people with knowledge the operations of outside spending groups.

“I think the DeSantis people have done themselves a huge favor by getting a door-to-door operation going early,” said Ryan Frederick, chair of the Republican Party in Adair County in rural western Iowa. “It is extremely rare in my part of the world.”

Former Vice President Mike Pence, U.S. Senator Tim Scott and others are also trying to make a play for Iowa, and it remains possible that a splintered field could help Trump to win.

DeSantis is scheduled to visit Iowa on Friday, his third trip to the state since declaring his presidential bid. His wife, Casey DeSantis, last week traveled to Iowa to launch a national “Mamas for DeSantis” campaign focused on parental rights, hoping to win over the swing vote of suburban Republican women.

Advertisement

The DeSantis campaign is hoping that the governor, who has made hot-button, conservative social issues the centerpiece of his campaign, will find favor with the state’s typical Republican voting mix of evangelical Christians, Lutherans and Catholics.

New Hampshire and Nevada, whose primaries are due to take place after Iowa, are less religious and are seen as less likely to reward his hardline stances.

DeSantis’ supporters are also emphasizing what they see as the similarities between DeSantis and Kim Reynolds, Iowa’s popular Republican governor, said one person close to the campaign. Reynolds has been a frequent guest at DeSantis’ events, causing Trump to lash out at her.

TRUMP LOOMS

Along with the intense focus on Iowa, the DeSantis campaign is also simply crossing its fingers and hoping that Trump may yet be weakened by one of the existing indictments against him for making hush money payments to a porn star and mishandling classified documents or by new ones relating to his actions to overturn the 2020 election.

Trump, however, owns a deep reservoir of support in Iowa, where he was widely popular as president.

Advertisement

His team has knocked on some 30,000 doors in the state and has over a dozen staffers there, two campaign strategists told Reuters. And Trump himself has traveled to Iowa at least three times since declaring his presidential run.

“The campaign has the most sophisticated and experienced team ever in Iowa, and is poised to crush DeSantis,” Trump spokesperson Steven Cheung said.

A dearth of reliable polling in Iowa makes it difficult to assess the real strength of both DeSantis and Trump in the state.

J. Ann Selzer, a veteran pollster in the state, said the race remains wide open with six months to go.

“Recent caucuses have been political mayhem. It used to be the front-runner stayed the front-runner,” Selzer said. “What I say about the caucuses is that anything could happen and probably will.”

Advertisement

Reporting by James Oliphant, Gram Slattery and Alexandra Ulmer, editing by Ross Colvin and Alistair Bell

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Washington-based correspondent covering campaigns and Congress. Previously posted in Rio de Janeiro, Sao Paulo and Santiago, Chile, and has reported extensively throughout Latin America. Co-winner of the 2021 Reuters Journalist of the Year Award in the business coverage category for a series on corruption and fraud in the oil industry. He was bo…

Alexandra Ulmer covers the 2024 U.S. presidential race, with a focus on Republicans, donors and artificial intelligence. Previously, she spent four years in Venezuela reporting on the humanitarian crisis under President Nicolas Maduro and investigating corruption in the oil industry. She has also reported from India, Chile and Argentina. Alexand…



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Iowa

Here’s how you can help Iowa communities recover after last week’s tornadoes

Published

on

Here’s how you can help Iowa communities recover after last week’s tornadoes


play

At least 17 tornadoes occurred in Iowa on April 26, causing damage in several counties and significant destruction, including one death, in the small Pottawattamie County town of Minden.

Advertisement

That is the latest count from the National Weather Service in Des Moines based on preliminary reports and completed storm surveys as teams continue to evaluate damage and determine ratings for additional tornadoes in the coming days.

If you want to help support the communities and people impacted by the severe weather, here’s how.

How can I help, Minden, Iowa recover from the tornado?

Minden remained closed off to the general public as of Monday afternoon due to debris and the use of heavy equipment in the town. As a result, officials are asking that volunteers and organizations don’t self-deploy to the area, according to a Pottawattamie County news release.

Cleanup efforts and securing infrastructure began during the weekend, and as needs arise and safety conditions improve, officials will announce volunteer opportunities.

Advertisement

Monetary donations are encouraged for those who wish to donate to help people affected by the Minden tornado, who can then purchase what they need, according to the news release.

How to make Minden-specific donations will be announced in the coming days. Currently, people can make donations to the Southwest Iowa Emergency Relief Fund at givewesterniowa.org to support areas impacted in the region, according to the news release.

Readers’ Watchdog: Home damaged by weekend storms? Here’s what you need to know

Advertisement

How can I help Pleasant Hill, Iowa recover from the tornado?

play

Take an aerial look at the tornado damage Pleasant Hill suffered

A tornado swept through Pleasant Hill Friday, April 26, damaging a number of homes and power lines.

Provided by Polk County Iowa

The Pleasant Hill tornado, classified as an EF2, lasted roughly 12 minutes and caused one injury and damage to nearly 20 homes.

The city is not asking for physical donations, according to a news release on April 27. Financial donations can be made through the Disaster Recovery Fund, which the Community Foundation of Greater Des Moines has activated following the severe storms and tornado that affected Pleasant Hill.

Advertisement

Grants are awarded to community-based organizations and service providers responding to a disaster and grants are made to meet the needs not already being addressed by existing resources and programs, according to the Community Foundation of Greater Des Moines.

Pleasant Hill’s Facebook page encourages people needing assistance or wanting to offer assistance to call 211.

More: Parking is not allowed on some Pleasant Hill streets as crews clean up tornado debris

Looking for another way to help? Round up your purchase at Casey’s

Shoppers can round up their purchases at Casey’s stores in Iowa, Nebraska and Oklahoma as part of a campaign supporting the American Red Cross through May 10, said Katie Petru, a spokesperson for the convenience store chain.

Advertisement

Here are tips to avoid scams after disasters

People impacted by natural disasters such as a tornado should be aware of fraudulent contractors that take advantage of people in need of repairs.

The Iowa Attorney General’s Office has some tips if you hire a contractor. Here are several:

  • Work with an established, reputable local contractor.
  • Legitimate contractors rarely solicit through door-to-door, so be skeptical about who shows up at your home.
  • Avoid paying large sums of money to a contractor in advance. If you have to make a partial advance payment for materials, make your payment out to the supplier and the contractor and insist on a mechanic’s lien waiver in case the contractor fails to pay others.

People should also watch for scammers posing as officials with government disaster assistance agencies, according to the Federal Trade Commission. You can spot an imposter because they’ll demand money.

But scams aren’t limited to those impacted by a natural disaster.

People wanting to help those impacted by a natural disaster should be aware of scammers seeking donations for disaster relief. Donate to trusted, well-known charities and verify its legitimacy through its official website as scammers may create fake charities during natural disasters, according to the FTC.  

Paris Barraza is a trending and general assignment reporter at the Des Moines Register. Reach her at pbarraza@registermedia.com. Follow her on Twitter @ParisBarraza.

Advertisement



Source link

Continue Reading

Iowa

Pro-Palestine activists protest outside of House Speaker Johnson visit to Iowa City

Published

on

Pro-Palestine activists protest outside of House Speaker Johnson visit to Iowa City


IOWA CITY, Iowa (KCRG) – Protests in support of Palestine are unfolding at a number of college campuses across the country.

Sunday, people gathered in Iowa City to protest an event hosting House Speaker Mike Johnson, who has condemned the student protests calling for a ceasefire in Gaza.

Health officials have reported tens of thousands dead in the Gaza Strip, following the October 7th Hamas attack which killed hundreds of Israelis.

The protestors in Iowa City on Sunday said they wanted the U.S. to have no part in any deaths.

Advertisement

“We want our President and our Congress to take concrete steps to stop sending weapons to Israel,” said Newman Abuissa, one of the protestors.

Abuissa said he does not support violence or Hamas.

“We condemn Hamas’ killing of civilians,” he said.

Spencer Morton, another protestor, said he was there to “protest Speaker Mike Johnson, who has categorized these crowds as anti-Semitic and disruptive.”

Johnson made those remarks Wednesday as he called for the resignation of the President of Columbia University, the site of a major Free Palestine protest.

Advertisement

“This is threats and intimidation of violence against Jewish students for who they are,” he said.

Johnson oversaw the passage of a foreign aid package in the House, which was signed by President Biden last week. The bill provides a total of $26 billion for Israel, which does include funding for humanitarian relief in the Gaza Strip.

Representative Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who spoke with Johnson at an event in Iowa City Sunday, said it was imperative to continue to support America’s ally, Israel.

“Hamas is a proxy for Iran,” she said. “When America is weak, and we allow a vacuum to exist, we see foreign aggression.”

TV9 asked if she believed the U.S. should support Israel no matter what.

Advertisement

“I am saying that we will continue to push Israel to make sure that they limit any harm to civilians,” said Miller-Meeks. “The IDF is doing all that they can, but even our troops, even American troops, even the United States—when you’re doing urban warfare, it is extraordinarily difficult.”

Like Johnson, Miller-Meeks also voiced opposition to the pro-Palestinian protests.

She said she believed the protestors “don’t even know what the words they espouse mean. It’s one thing to protest, to exercise your right to free speech in support. It’s another thing to espouse hatred and killing of Jews.”

These protestors said killing was the very thing they were fighting against.

“It’s important to support life,” said Morton.

Advertisement



Source link

Continue Reading

Iowa

Iowa veteran awarded the Order of the Gray Dragon for service

Published

on

Iowa veteran awarded the Order of the Gray Dragon for service


WILLIAMSBURG, Iowa (KCRG) – Saturday, an Iowa man was awarded the Order of the Gray Dragon, recognizing his work in a Navy Nuclear Weapons Program.

Navy veteran Robert Mowry was given the award by the Navy Nuclear Weapons Association in a ceremony in Williamsburg Saturday.

The recognition belongs to one person at a time, the member of the Nuclear Weapons Program with the earliest entry date. With the passing of the previous Dragon, that honor now belongs to Mowry.

“I went into Special Weapons Unit 1233 in January 1953 from boot camp. Had no idea what a special weapons was. Gun that shoots around the corner? What? Had no idea—I had no idea it meant atomic weapons,” said Mowry.

Advertisement

Mowry’s job was to inspect the atomic bombs.

“I did this five days a week for two-and-a-half years,” he said.

He was never able to tell anyone about his service until 1996 with the repeal of the Nuclear Radiation and Secrecy Agreements Act.

“All he said was, ‘I served in the Navy,’” said Mowry’s daughter Angie Daugherty. “It was a big deal to him to be able to finally talk about what he did.”

Kris Hobbs, the president of the Navy Nuclear Weapons Association, said those who worked on nuclear weapons are a dying breed.

Advertisement

“There’s a lot of stuff that’s going on here that they’ve received… radiation exposure and so forth—that the VA is not recognizing it a lot. So it’s good for us to recognize the oldest one here,” said Hobbs.

Mowry watched 17 atomic bombs explode in the Marshall Islands.

“You heard the sound wave come across….watch the mushroom cloud rise and disperse and see if it was going to flow over you or not,” said Mowry.

“Back in the day, they didn’t know anything about radiation,” said Daugherty. “It’s amazing that he’s even still here.”

Mowry is still here, grateful that so many friends and family came to celebrate his service.

Advertisement

“What I did was very unusual. There aren’t many people that did what I did…I’m very proud, very proud of my service,” said Mowry.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending