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Where to move your money when interest rates are poised to fall

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Where to move your money when interest rates are poised to fall

With the Fed poised to cut interest rates next week, the ripple effect will show up in certificates of deposit and high-yield savings accounts, which currently offer rates of more than 5%.

They aren’t likely to fall dramatically following a rate cut but rather ease back closer to 4% and linger above the inflation rate for at least the next year. So these accounts should still be your go-to for your emergency fund or cash set aside for short-term expenses.

That said, the Fed’s anticipated action offers an opportunity to make some money moves that take advantage of the downward tilt in interest rates.

“The projected cutting may pull the rug from under the high-yield savings rates,” Preston D. Cherry, founder and president of Concurrent Financial Planning, told Yahoo Finance. “Now might be the best time we’ve seen in a few years to swap cash in high-yield savings for long-term bonds to lock in a higher yield for income payments for lifestyle and retirement portfolios.”

Since 2022, when the Fed began to raise short-term interest rates, bank savings accounts have been a better place to park your cash than bonds. That’s set to change.

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Read more: What the Fed rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards

It’s a good time to shift to bonds for those nearing retirement who are looking to rebalance their retirement savings amid stock market volatility.

The best way to earn a high total return from a bond or bond fund is to buy it when interest rates are high but about to come down, Cherry said.

If you buy bonds toward the end of a period when rates are rising, you can lock in high coupon yields and enjoy the increase in the market value of your bond once rates start to come down.

And if you’re a bond lover, you’re up. After more than a decade of dismal bond yields, the two-fold impact of high rates right now and falling inflation offers an opportunity for investment income. When interest rates move lower, bond prices will rise. (Interest rates and bond prices move in opposite directions.)

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“Adding low-price and higher-yield long-term bonds at current levels could add total return diversification value to your bond and overall investment portfolio, which has not been the case in recent past rate-raising environments,” Cherry said.

This is a narrow opportunity, though, before rates start dipping and bond prices go up.

“If you have adequate liquidity and won’t need to tap the money at a moment’s notice, then locking in bond yields now over a multiyear period can provide a more predictable income stream,” Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com, told Yahoo Finance.

“As the Fed starts cutting interest rates, short-term yields will fall faster than long-term yields in the months ahead, so do this for the income rather than the expectation of capital gains,” he said.

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Fidelity offers over 100,000 bonds, including US Treasury, corporate, and municipal bonds. Most have mid- to­ high-quality credit ratings, but to me the sheer number of choices is mind-boggling. (Getty Images) (damircudic via Getty Images)

One way savers can pivot as rates head down is to set up a bond or CD ladder with staggered maturities, instead of investing all your funds in a single CD or bond with one set term length. This tactic can provide “a more predictable income stream while providing regular access to principal,” McBride said.

I hold my personal savings, for example, in several buckets, including six-month and one-year CDs, a money market account, high-yield savings accounts, and a checking account.

The bulk of my retirement holding is stocks and bonds mainly through broad index funds. How you divide up your savings and investments between stock and bonds, mutual funds and money market funds, or high-yield savings accounts is a balance that only you will know you’re comfortable with, based on your risk tolerance and how soon you need to tap the funds.

Many retirees want a more conservative asset mix as they age so they don’t face that uneasy feeling when the stock market is shaky. That’s why near-retirees and retirees, in particular, who haven’t taken a gander at their asset allocations for a while should consider doing so.

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Read more: CDs vs. bonds: What’s the difference, and which one is right for me?

Most 401(k) investors are in bond mutual funds for the fixed-income portion of their portfolios, which are highly diversified and usually invested in intermediate (five-year) high-quality government and corporate bonds.

Most of us aren’t researching and investing, for instance, in individual intermediate bonds. If you opt to do-it-yourself and choose individual bonds and hold them until they mature, you’ve got plenty to select from, of course. Fidelity offers over 100,000 bonds, including US Treasury, corporate, and municipal bonds. Most have mid- to­ high-quality credit ratings, but to me the sheer number of choices is mind-boggling.

So I buy shares in a wide range of individual bonds via a bond mutual fund or ETF to add a bond ballast to my retirement accounts. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF, for example, is a diversified, one-stop shop comprising more than 11,000 “investment grade” bonds — including government, corporate, and international dollar-denominated bonds, as well as mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities — all with maturities of more than one year.

Right now, more than 60% of the Vanguard fund’s total assets are in government bonds, and its year-to-date return is 4.94%.

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As Vanguard notes, this fund “may be more appropriate for medium- or long-term goals where you’re looking for a reliable income stream and is appropriate for diversifying the risks of stocks in a portfolio.”

For shorter-term goals, staying ahead of rates falling is smart to lock in alluring rates for money you might need sooner rather than later.

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The majority of financial advisers I spoke to didn’t suggest any knee-jerk actions ahead of the Fed meeting. In other words, don’t close your bank accounts.

“Inflation has certainly moderated, but in our opinion is not likely to be a further decline substantially,” said Peter J. Klein, chief investment officer and founder of ALINE Wealth.

If that’s the case, the Fed will not keep lowering interest rates but will hold them steady moving forward.

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“Looking at the long arc of inflation history, one can see the changes … leading to sticky and persistent inflationary pressures. So, the notion that rates will come down substantially — and stay down — is not our base case,” Klein said.

That means that those savings you have in a federally insured, accessible bank account earning above the rate of inflation remain a good bet. That’s especially the case for those nearing or in near retirement who plan to tap that money for living expenses and don’t want the worry that comes from price fluctuations in stocks and bonds.

“Cash is the only asset that an investor can deploy in a portfolio that has zero risk of losing its nominal value,” Klein added.

Kerry Hannon is a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance. She is a career and retirement strategist, and the author of 14 books, including “In Control at 50+: How to Succeed in The New World of Work” and “Never Too Old To Get Rich.” Follow her on X @kerryhannon.

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Mexico’s Finance Team to Stay on in Sheinbaum Administration

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Mexico’s Finance Team to Stay on in Sheinbaum Administration

Almost the entirety of Mexico’s Finance Ministry’s top team will stay in their position in the incoming administration of President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum.

Only the undersecretary of expenditure, Juan Pablo De Botton, will move on to be Finance Minister of Mexico City. De Botton will be replaced by Bertha Gomez Castro, Sheinbaum told reporters outside of her campaign headquarters.

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Insurity Named to IDC FinTech Rankings Top 50 for 2024, Recognized by the Industry's Leading Authority in Financial Technology

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Insurity Named to IDC FinTech Rankings Top 50 for 2024, Recognized by the Industry's Leading Authority in Financial Technology

IDC Financial Insights ranks top enterprises worldwide serving the financial services industry

HARTFORD, Conn., September 12, 2024–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Insurity, the leading provider of cloud-based software and analytics for insurance carriers, brokers, and MGAs, today announced it was categorized as a 2024 IDC FinTech Rankings Top 50 solution provider. Insurity was recognized for its continued investments in its business and the comprehensive strength of its portfolio, showcasing the breadth and depth of its solutions for the insurance industry. The elite list features the technology companies from around the globe that are focused on providing solutions to the financial services and FinTech industries.

“Being recognized in the IDC FinTech Rankings highlights our focus on delivering technology that directly addresses the evolving needs of P&C insurers,” said Chris Lafond, Chief Executive Officer at Insurity. “Insurity is committed to providing solutions that enhance underwriting accuracy, streamline claims processing, and improve data-driven decision-making, helping our customers stay ahead in a competitive market.”

The Fortune 500-style ranking categorizes and evaluates the top global providers of financial technology based on calendar year revenues from financial institutions for hardware, software and/or services. These providers supply the technological backbone of the financial services industry, an industry in which IDC forecasts worldwide spending on IT across the globe to be over $800 billion (USD) by 2026.

To thrive in a digital economy, financial services organizations must embrace and integrate innovative technology effectively to enhance the customer experience and achieve operational excellence. Insurity and the enterprises featured on the IDC FinTech Rankings Enterprise Top 50, represent those organizations committed to helping financial services companies successfully execute their digital transformation initiatives for the betterment of their customers around the world. IDC Financial Insights publishes a comprehensive report about the year’s findings that is available to view or download.

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Insurity’s success is driven by its robust portfolio of cloud-based solutions designed to streamline operations, improve customer experiences, and enable digital transformation across the insurance sector. Insurity’s innovative policy, billing, claims, and analytics offerings have positioned it as a leader in providing advanced technology solutions tailored to the unique needs of insurers.

To learn more about how Insurity’s cloud-based solutions can benefit your organization, please contact Elizabeth.Hutchinson@insurity.com.

About Insurity

Insurity is a leading provider of cloud-based software for insurance carriers, brokers, and MGAs. Insurity is trusted by 22 of the top 25 P&C carriers and 7 of the top 10 MGAs in the US and has over 400 cloud-based deployments. Through its best-in-class digital platform and with unrivaled industry experience and the industry’s most robust analytics offerings, Insurity is uniquely positioned to deliver exceptional value, empowering customers to focus on their core businesses, optimize their operations, and provide superior policyholder experiences. Insurity is a portfolio company of GI Partners and TA Associates. For more information, visit www.insurity.com.

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View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240912176233/en/

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Finance Minister Smotrich meets Histadrut Chairman Bar-David amid 2025 budget discussions

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Finance Minister Smotrich meets Histadrut Chairman Bar-David amid 2025 budget discussions

Two weeks after the general strike, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich met with Histadrut Chairman Arnon Bar-David on Thursday. The meeting occurred in light of the ongoing development of the 2025 budget and a series of discussions the finance minister is holding with various economic stakeholders, as reported by Maariv

According to the minister’s statement, “The meeting took place in a positive atmosphere, and the two agreed to work together responsibly, with an understanding of the challenges facing the State of Israel, for the benefit of Israel’s economy, its workers, and all citizens.” the Maariv report added. 

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