Finance
Financing Adaptation in India – CPI
India urgently requires substantial investment in climate adaptation efforts to sustain progress on development. Recognizing the criticality of the impact of climate change for development and growth, India has anchored its adaptation approach within the country’s wider development goals. While the government has endeavored to finance adaptation initiatives, adaptation investment needs at the national level are large and will increase in the future.
This study examines India’s approach to adaptation, related investment needs, and funding gaps, as well as avenues for bridging these gaps through public and private finance. Our report also delves into the existing challenges in financing adaptation efforts in India at the subnational level, and the potential ways in which adaptation finance can be scaled. Based on the report’s findings, we share recommendations to accelerate action.
Key Insights
- India is yet to establish a common framework for climate risk and a systematic methodology for evaluating the extent to which development programs address climate risk and vulnerability.
- Despite some of these systemic issues, the growing drive for action on climate adaptation has resulted in relevant plans, policies, institutions, and schemes at the national and state levels. However, the progress and focus of policies and schemes related to climate adaptation vary at the state level.
- States hold the primary responsibility for adaptation-related interventions, given the local nature of adaptation. States, which have updated their State Action Plans on Climate Change in the last few years, have substantial adaptation investment needs. CPI analysis identifies that collective annual investment needs of six states alone amount to INR 444.7 billion (USD 5.5 billion) from 2021 to 2030.
- However, it is a challenge for many states to finance their adaptation investment needs. Over the last few years, state finances have been stressed by factors including the economic slowdown in 2019-20 and the COVID-19 pandemic, constraining their ability to invest in climate adaptation. States also face borrowing constraints under new fiscal rules and pressure to reduce existing debt burdens, which further restrict their ability to bridge the adaptation funding gap.
Recommendations
CPI recommends strategic interventions to bolster state fiscal capacity and mobilize private finance for climate adaptation-related efforts, as crucial steps to bridge the funding gap. More specifically, we propose:
- Including adaptation-related interventions in the upcoming deliberations of India’s Finance Commission to inform the allocation of funds to state governments.
- Putting in place mechanisms such as time-bound, climate-incentivized borrowing ceilings tailored to state-specific vulnerabilities, to facilitate increased access to finance for climate-vulnerable states.
- Developing robust green finance data infrastructure to inform investment decisions and enhance transparency.
- Promoting financial mechanisms such as public-private partnerships and blended financing to catalyze private-sector investment.
Finance
Finance Industry Surpasses Regulators in AI Adoption | PYMNTS.com
New research shows the finance sector leading regulatory authorities in adopting artificial intelligence (AI).
Finance
First home buyer’s superannuation mistake exposes ‘widespread’ ATO problem
First home buyer Jessica Ricci was just trying to save a little extra money through her superannuation in a federal government scheme intended to help people like her. But an error from tax authorities has left her paying more tax than the top income bracket on some super contributions – ironically having the exact opposite of the intended effect of the policy.
As a result, she’s lost out on an extra $2,250 in savings that was supposed to go to her house deposit. While the ATO pushed back over who was at fault for the mix-up, her case has highlighted an increasingly problematic blindspot when it comes taxpayers getting the short end of the stick when dealing with tax authorities.
“I’m definitely feeling a little bit helpless,” she told Yahoo Finance. “There’s not a clear path to rectify this.”
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Jess was tipping extra money into her superannuation as part of the First Home Super Saver Scheme which has been running for years and allows eligible first home buyers to take advantage of the tax benefits of their retirement savings and then pull those extra contributions out to use for a house deposit.
As part of the scheme, individuals need to apply to the ATO, which in turn requests the related money from the person’s super fund.
Over four years, Jess contributed the maximum $50,000 amount, ensuring not to exceed the $15,000 yearly cap. She did so with the expectation of claiming the benefit at the time of her house purchase, as per the rules of the scheme.
When she went to make the claim, much of the information was auto-populated by the ATO website. And after receiving her funds, and the amount being less than expected, she soon discovered that her first contribution was wrongly classified as a concessional contribution, meaning $2,250 was, in the words of an ATO official, “retained by the ATO as withholding tax”.
She has spent months going back and forth with tax officials trying to get the money she believes should be owed to her.
“They’ve all taken the same stance, which is; ‘Well, yeah, we made a mistake, but you didn’t catch it. You said that what we provided you was fine, so it’s your fault’.
“I think it’s crazy to put the onus or the burden on the average person. I think most people would rightfully assume that pre-filled data provided by the ATO would be accurate,” she said.
Finance
AI Financial Modeling Tests Show Need for Advisor Oversight
Most coverage of artificial intelligence in finance focuses on what these tools can do. Less attention is paid to how they perform under scrutiny, particularly in financial modeling, where small errors can carry real consequences.
After testing Anthropic’s Claude in real-world modeling scenarios, one conclusion stands out: Claude produces outputs that look credible at first glance but contain structural flaws that only an experienced professional would catch.
That gap between appearance and reliability is where risk begins.
Where AI Performs Well
Claude handled several foundational elements of financial modeling competently. It was able to:
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Build basic revenue models
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Generate standard financial statements
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Apply consistent formatting, labels and units
The outputs appeared polished and professional. In some cases, they resembled models produced by junior analysts. That is what makes them risky.
The models looked right. The structure appeared logical. Formatting signaled credibility. For a time-constrained professional, those cues can create trust before a full audit is completed.
The Errors That Hide in Plain Sight
A closer review revealed issues that would likely go unnoticed without technical expertise:
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Broken linkages between financial statements
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Hardcoded values instead of centralized assumptions
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Non-dynamic formulas and inconsistent logic across periods
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Balance sheets that did not balance
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Timing mismatches between beginning- and end-of-period values
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Circular reference issues in areas like revolving credit
These are not edge cases. They point to a broader issue. The model may function, but it is not built on a reliable or auditable foundation.
Where Best Practices Break Down
Beyond individual errors, the models often failed to follow core financial modeling principles:
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Assumptions were not clearly separated from calculations
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Error checks were largely absent
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KPIs lacked depth and industry-specific nuance
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Formula design was inconsistent or inefficient
These gaps affect more than presentation. They determine whether a model can be trusted, adapted and audited under pressure.
The Real Risk Is Overconfidence
The key distinction is not between AI and human-built models. It is between models that are understood and those that are not. When a professional builds a model, every assumption and linkage is intentional. Even limitations are typically known. With AI-generated models, that understanding is outsourced.
This creates a different kind of risk:
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The logic behind the model may not be fully clear
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The structure may not align with internal standards
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The review process may be less rigorous because the output appears complete
In practice, credibility is inferred from how the model looks, not how it was built.
Reviewing Is Not the Same as Building
There is also a practical workflow issue. Reviewing an AI-generated model is not equivalent to building one.
When reviewing:
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You are interpreting logic you did not design
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Errors can be harder to trace
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Inconsistent structure increases audit time
In some cases, it is faster to build a clean model from scratch than to fix a flawed AI-generated one.
What This Means in Practice
Financial models support decisions involving significant capital. Even small issues can cascade:
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Misstated cash flows can distort debt capacity
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Timing errors can affect liquidity assumptions
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Weak KPIs can lead to incomplete analysis
There is also a question of accountability. Regardless of how a model is created, responsibility for its output remains with the professional using it.
Where AI Fits Today
AI tools can still be useful in financial modeling. They can help:
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Speed up repetitive components
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Generate starting points for analysis
But they are not a substitute for professional judgment. Nor are they ready to operate without close oversight. For now, their role is best defined as assistive, not authoritative.
A More Practical View of AI in Finance
The conversation around AI in finance does not need more optimism or skepticism. It needs more precision. AI can produce outputs that are visually convincing and directionally correct. In financial modeling, that is not enough.
The real risk is not that AI makes mistakes. It is those mistakes that are easy to miss, especially when the output looks finished. For financial professionals, the takeaway is simple: treat AI-generated models as drafts, not decision-ready tools.
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