How Many More Records Could Fall This Week?

The most prolific March heat wave in at least 14 years has already smashed monthly records in almost 180 cities from the Southwest to the Plains and East, and will have staying power in the Southwest and Plains this week.

(MAP: Temperatures Right Now)

First, let’s recap the incredible records we’ve seen shattered so far. Then we’ll look and see how long this heat will last.

New US March Heat Record

Before this heat wave, the hottest March temperature on record anywhere in the U.S. had been 108 degrees in Rio Grande City, Texas, on March 30, 1954, and on March 14, 1902.

But at least one location in the U.S. tied or exceeded that March national record four days in a row from March 18 through 21.

On March 20, four reporting stations in the lower deserts of southeast California and southwest Arizona hit 112 degrees, shown in the map below. You can’t make it up that one of these stations was near the town of Winterhaven.

These highs were only one degree shy of tying the April U.S. record high set at Death Valley, California, according to weather historian Christopher Burt. And that happened in late April — April 22, 2012 and April 24, 1946.

March Statewide Records

It also appears that the hottest March temperatures on record in 14 states were either tied or broken.

We touched on the California and Arizona records above (112 degrees) as national records, but among some other state records that appear to have been tied or set include:

• Nevada: 106 degrees on March 21
• Colorado: 96 degrees on March 21
• Nebraska: 99 degrees on March 21
• Missouri: 97 degrees on March 21
• Minnesota: 88 degrees on March 21

The other states are shown on the map below.

For bigger state or national records like these, an ad hoc committee of meteorologists and climatologists is usually convened to examine the data and the reporting station before it becomes a new, official record.

City March Records

Almost 180 locations with data since the 1960s or earlier have tied or set new March records from California to Pennsylvania to South Carolina during this heat wave.

Some of those records are shown in the map below from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

Phoenix only had one March day of triple digit heat on record prior to this heat wave. They hit the 100s seven days in a row from March 18-24, topping out at 105 degrees on March 20 and 21. Incredibly, that’s equal to their April monthly record, which was set almost a month later in the calendar on three dates ranging from April 20-29 in three past years.

Other major cities that tied or set new March records included San Francisco’s first March 90-degree high downtown, Las Vegas (97 degrees), Salt Lake City (84 degrees), Boise (83 degrees) and Denver (85 or 86 degrees for three straight days).

It wasn’t just a western heat wave.

March records were tied or set in Lubbock, Texas (98 degrees), Kansas City (93 degrees), Des Moines, Iowa (91 degrees), Nashville, Tennessee (89 degrees), Louisville, Kentucky (89 degrees), Indianapolis, Indiana (88 degrees), Columbus, Ohio (86 degrees), Pittsburgh (84 degrees), and Charleston, South Carolina (90 degrees).

Perhaps the most extraordinary record heat east of the Rockies happened in Nebraska on March 21.

Both Lincoln and Omaha not only demolished their March record, after reaching 97 degrees in Lincoln and 96 in Omaha, but it also tied their April record.

Several of these cities reached the 80s, 90s, or 100s for the first time in their recorded history.

Last weekend, parts of the Plains, were as much as 45 degrees warmer than average.

This is likely the most significant, long-lived March heat wave the nation has experienced since the March 2012 heat wave rewrote the record books in the central U.S. and Canada.

There’s Still More Ahead In This Heat Wave

This heat wave isn’t over.

Another pulse of heat is surging into parts of the Plains and South this week, while continuing to bake the Southwest.

We’re expecting many dozen more daily record highs from California possibly as far east as parts of Georgia and the Carolinas.

Incredibly, some new March records could be set in a few areas, though last week’s heat set a much higher bar.

Some cities that could once again flirt with March record highs include Cheyenne, Denver and Amarillo. On Thursday, St. Louis could approach its March record (92 degrees) on Opening Day, no less, a record set 97 years ago.

(MORE: Heat Safety And Preparation)

How hot are we talking about?

Triple-digit highs: Parts of the Desert Southwest, including Phoenix, and the lower Colorado River Valley could again see triple digit heat through much of this week. A few of the hottest spots in western Texas, possibly southwest Oklahoma, could reach 100 degrees around Thursday.

90s: This searing heat will spread out from the Desert Southwest into the Plains from Nebraska to Texas to parts of the mid-Mississippi Valley through Thursday.

(MAPS: 10-Day US Forecast Highs, Lows)

Relief?

Yes, there is finally relief in sight.

A late week cold front should remove the heat from the Plains and Rockies, however, above-average warmth will rebuild back into the Plains, South and Midwest this weekend.

The Southwest will have to be more patient. While daily record warmth is possible through the weekend, a pattern of somewhat cooler temperatures, even some rain and showers are possible in the West, including California and Arizona, next week.

Why So Hot So Soon?

The reason for this heat wave in particular has to do with the ridge of high pressure, also known as a heat dome, that was parked over the West.

This heat dome is record-breaking for March, comparable in strength to ones we see in June. You can see the general position of the high pressure on the satellite loop below in the darker shading.

Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on Bluesky, X (formerly Twitter) and Facebook.

At least a dozen candidates for governor are seeking a top-two spot in the June California Primary to advance to the general election in November. But some of them were not invited to participate in a debate at the University of Southern California. Lauren Toms reports.

A California sheriff who is running as a Republican for governor has seized more than 650,000 ballots from last year’s election, escalating an ongoing conflict with state officials.

Chad Bianco, Riverside county’s sheriff, says he is carrying out an investigation into allegations that ballots were unlawfully cast in last year’s election that resulted in the passage of Proposition 50. The proposition redrew congressional districts to help gerrymander the state in favor of Democrats, in response to similar measures in Republican states like Texas.

Election officials and the California attorney general, Rob Bonta, have both dismissed those allegations. The discrepancy between the machine count and the final count submitted to the state is only 103 votes, according to the Riverside Record.

Bianco’s investigators obtained the ballots after serving the registrar of voters with search warrants last month, he said Friday at a press conference. A Riverside superior court judge appointed a special master to count the ballots, Bianco said.

“This investigation is simple: physically count the ballots and compare that result with the total votes recorded,” Bianco said.

Bianco has pushed the investigation for months, after a group called the Riverside Election Integrity Team, composed of local residents, contended that a discrepancy of 45,896 votes exists between the final vote count and handwritten records that tallied hand-counted ballots.

“There is no indication, anywhere in the United States, of widespread voter fraud,” Bonta said in a statement, according to the Los Angeles Times. “Counts, recounts, hand counts, audits, and court cases all support this.”

Bonta, a Democrat, called Bianco’s move unprecedented and says it is designed to sow distrust in elections.

Bianco is one of the two most prominent Republicans running in California’s crowded gubernatorial primary that includes more than half a dozen Democrats. California runs a top-two primary system that puts all candidates on the same ballot, regardless of party, and sends the two candidates who get the most voters on to the November general election.

Bonta has repeatedly sent letters to Bianco’s office over the last two months saying his staff is not qualified to conduct a recount. In one of the letters, Bonta wrote that the ballot seizure was “unacceptable” and “sets a dangerous precedent and will only sow distrust in our elections”.

California voters last year decisively passed the redistricting ballot initiative championed by Gavin Newsom, the state’s governor, in response to Donald Trump’s attempts to gerrymander new conservative seats in red states. California Republicans, joined by the Trump administration, challenged the measure, but the US supreme court denied an emergency petition to keep the new maps from moving forward.

The Associated Press contributed reporting