Crypto
Cryptocurrency dilemma: India must balance between adoption and oversight | Policy Circle
Despite its global popularity, cryptocurrency has struggled to gain solid footing in India, with the central bank remaining sceptical even years after its inception. Many support the RBI’s cautious stance, arguing that cryptocurrency offers little value while posing significant risks. As virtual currencies operate without the need for regulation, their very nature presents substantial threats. As a result, the future of cryptocurrency in India remains uncertain.
However, the Indian government has shown some openness to dialogue. A panel led by the Secretary of the Department of Economic Affairs (DEA) recently issued a consultation paper seeking feedback from stakeholders on how to regulate crypto assets. This indicates that the government is taking an active interest in shaping the future of digital currencies in the country.
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Cryptocurrency Regulation
India’s G20 presidency marked a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency regulation. One of the most significant outcomes was a comprehensive discussion on a regulatory approach to crypto assets. G20 members, along with the IMF and FSB, jointly agreed on a Synthesis paper, setting the stage for a unified regulatory framework. The discussions outlined key elements of effective regulation while also identifying responsible entities for implementation.
Nevertheless, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman recently noted that, despite global agreement on the need for regulation, each country will need to adopt its own legislative framework. This will require coordination within countries and across borders, demanding efforts at both the macro and micro levels. In September 2023, Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth stated that the government would carefully consider the recommendations based on the consensus built and then decide on policies moving forward. Given the heightened risks associated with cryptocurrencies, especially for emerging economies, India must tailor its regulations to ensure stability.
As part of its regulatory efforts, India banned nine offshore crypto platforms, or Virtual Digital Asset (VDA) service providers, for violating the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA) of 2002. Even Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, faced scrutiny. However, in December 2023, Binance re-entered the Indian market after registering with the Financial Intelligence Unit.
India’s stance on cryptocurrency has been evolving. After introducing a ban in 2018 that prohibited Indian banks from facilitating cryptocurrency transactions, the Supreme Court overturned the decision in 2020. In the Union Budget 2022-23, a 30% tax on income from the transfer of digital assets was proposed, along with a 1% tax deduction at source (TDS) on such transactions to discourage crypto trading.
Globally, countries have adopted diverse approaches to cryptocurrency regulation. Some have imposed strict regulations, while others have opted for outright bans. India’s approach has been a mix of both.
Although India has historically taken a cautious stance toward virtual assets, it has been recognised that an outright ban is not an “easy option,” as the IMF-FSB paper pointed out. A ban could drive investors to more crypto-friendly regions, increasing financial integrity risks and potentially leading to India losing oversight of digital assets.
A more viable path forward is to regulate and supervise licensed or registered cryptocurrency issuers and service providers. This approach could help close information gaps and facilitate oversight of cross-border activities. The Cryptocurrency Bill of 2021, introduced in the Lok Sabha, was a significant step toward regulating India’s growing cryptocurrency market. The bill proposed guidelines for the Reserve Bank of India to create an official digital currency while seeking to ban all other private cryptocurrencies.
Despite the government’s efforts to limit digital assets, Chainalysis’ 2023 Global Crypto Adoption Index ranked India first among 154 nations for grassroots crypto adoption. This suggests that ordinary people in India are actively using cryptocurrencies in their daily lives, regardless of government concerns. Investors now await meaningful regulations that will address the growing interest in the sector while also protecting them from potential risks.
Crypto
Dragonfly’s Rob Hadick Says Stablecoins Could Grow 10x as Payments Adoption Expands
Key Takeaways
- Dragonfly’s Rob Hadick says stablecoins could grow 10x as payments adoption accelerates.
- Tether and Circle are shifting from reserve yield toward payments and financial rails.
- Hadick expects USDT and USDC to face rising competition from banks and fintechs.
Stablecoins and the Fall of Legacy Payments
For years, the stablecoin market has been viewed through the lens of issuance. The most visible winners have been the companies minting the assets, holding reserves, and benefiting from interest income. But Rob Hadick, General Partner at Dragonfly, believes that view is too narrow for where the market is heading.
In Hadick’s view, stablecoins do not simply improve the existing payment system. They compress much of it.
“ Stablecoins collapse the legacy payment infrastructure and reduce the dependency on intermediaries,” Hadick said. “When you’re a stablecoin native, everything is just a book transfer.”
That shift changes where value accrues. In the traditional payments system, value was spread across banks, card networks, processors, settlement layers, compliance vendors, and middleware providers. Stablecoins make many of those roles less necessary, or at least less defensible.
The result, Hadick argues, is an inversion of the 2010s fintech playbook. During that era, major companies were built by creating connections between software startups and legacy banking payment rails. In the stablecoin era, the opportunity is not simply connecting to those legacy banking payment rails. It is replacing them.
That means in the future, the most valuable businesses may sit at the edges of the system: the companies that own customer distribution, merchant relationships, compliance workflows, banking access, and regulatory infrastructure.
From Reserve Yield to Payments
Within the stablecoin vertical of crypto, stablecoin issuers have been the clearest winners so far. Tether and Circle built large networks, accumulated liquidity, and benefited from high interest rates on reserves, which they haven’t had to pass on to users. That model has proven powerful, especially while rates remain elevated.
But Hadick does not expect reserve yield alone to define the next stage of the market. “Going forward, both have started investing heavily in moving from asset management models to payment models,” he said.
That transition is already visible. Hadick pointed to Tether’s investments in companies and ecosystems such as Whop, Transfi, Rumble, and Plasma, while Circle has launched the Circle Payments Network and Arc. These moves suggest that the largest issuers understand the limits of being purely reserve-backed asset managers. In other words, issuance was the first business model, but it will not be the final one.
The Full Stack Starts to Collapse
One of the largest open questions is what the winning stablecoin companies will actually look like. Will they resemble banks, software platforms, payment networks, protocols, or something else entirely?
Hadick answers that today’s market contains all of the above. But he believes stablecoins create room for a new kind of company that blends several financial functions into one.
Imagine a company issuing its own stablecoin, serving users directly, handling merchant settlement, and performing identity, fraud, and compliance checks on an open ledger. In that world, the need for separate issuing banks, merchant banks, card networks, clearing systems, and settlement intermediaries begins to shrink.
“You don’t need both an issuing and merchant bank,” Hadick said. “You don’t need the card network if the merchant and consumer are already known to the provider. You don’t need the network to facilitate clearing and settlement.”
For Hadick, the winners will not be simple network aggregators sitting in the middle. They will be companies that control the last mile, solve compliance problems, face customers directly, and take real operational responsibility.
Where Retail Investors Can Partake
Hadick remains strongly bullish on stablecoin growth. “ Stablecoins are here to stay,” he said. “I think they’re going to grow tenfold.”
He pointed to an estimate from McKinsey that stablecoins account for roughly 3% of cross-border payments, up from almost nothing a year earlier. Hadick expects that share to continue rising sharply.
As for retail investors, Hadick believes the investment map is not just about who issues the token; it is about who owns the flow.
Overfunded Middleware and Crowded Consumer Fintech
Not every part of the stablecoin market looks equally attractive. Hadick is particularly skeptical of aggregated API (application programming interface) platforms that simply wrap or connect third-party services without taking on compliance or operational risk themselves. These companies may be able to charge high fees today, but Hadick believes their margins are vulnerable.
“They call themselves ‘Plaid for stablecoins,’ forgetting that blockchains already solve many of the original pain points Plaid solved for traditional banking,” he said.
The critique is straightforward. If a company is only aggregating APIs and not owning the customer, compliance layer, liquidity, or operational burden, it may be squeezed as the market matures. To remain valuable, these platforms may need to move closer to the end customer or take on more of the stack.
Hadick also sees risk in consumer fintech. Stablecoin infrastructure makes it easier than ever to launch a neobank or payment app. But that accessibility creates a crowded field.
Established brands such as Nubank, Robinhood, and Revolut can add stablecoin features to existing user bases. That makes it difficult for new consumer startups to stand out unless they offer a clear wedge, strong distribution, or a differentiated regional use case.
Hadick expects failure rates in this category to be high. Still, he does not dismiss the sector entirely. A small number of consumer fintech winners could become large global businesses if they solve real customer problems and use stablecoins as infrastructure rather than branding.
The biggest winners so far may not be the final winners. As the stack collapses, the real value will move toward the companies that own users, flows, compliance, and trust.
Crypto
Delaware House Approves Bill to Ban Cryptocurrency ATMs Statewide
The Delaware House of Representatives has passed a bill that would prohibit the operation of cryptocurrency ATMs across the state, citing growing concerns over fraud and consumer protection. The legislation, now headed to the state Senate for consideration, would require all existing crypto ATMs to be shut down and removed within 90 days of enactment.
What the Bill Proposes
House Bill 123, as reported by Decrypt, targets the proliferation of cryptocurrency kiosks that have become common in convenience stores, gas stations, and other retail locations. Lawmakers argue that these machines are increasingly used to facilitate scams, particularly targeting elderly and vulnerable residents who may not fully understand the technology. The bill would make it illegal to operate, maintain, or permit the installation of a cryptocurrency ATM anywhere in Delaware.
Why This Matters for Consumers
Cryptocurrency ATMs allow users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash or debit cards. While legitimate users appreciate the convenience, regulators have flagged them as high-risk for money laundering and fraud. The Federal Trade Commission has reported a surge in scams where victims are directed to deposit cash into these machines under false pretenses. Delaware’s proposed ban reflects a broader state-level push to rein in unregulated crypto financial services.
Similar Actions in Other States
Delaware is not alone in taking a hard line. Indiana, Tennessee, and Minnesota have previously enacted comparable restrictions or outright bans on crypto ATMs. These measures often include licensing requirements, transaction limits, and mandatory disclosures. The trend signals a growing skepticism among state legislators about the consumer safety risks posed by unmonitored crypto kiosks.
What Happens Next
The bill now moves to the Delaware State Senate, where it will undergo committee review and potential amendments. If passed, Delaware would join a small but growing list of states with explicit bans. Industry advocates argue that such laws could stifle innovation and push transactions underground, while consumer protection groups praise the move as necessary to prevent financial harm.
Conclusion
Delaware’s legislative action highlights the ongoing tension between cryptocurrency adoption and consumer safety. As the bill advances, stakeholders on both sides will be watching closely. For now, the message from Dover is clear: protecting residents from crypto-related fraud is a priority that may outweigh the benefits of unregulated ATM access.
FAQs
Q1: What is a cryptocurrency ATM?
A cryptocurrency ATM is a kiosk that allows users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash, debit cards, or other payment methods. Unlike traditional ATMs, they are not connected to a bank account.
Q2: Why does Delaware want to ban crypto ATMs?
Lawmakers cite a rise in fraud cases, especially among seniors, where scammers trick victims into depositing cash into these machines. The bill aims to eliminate this vector for financial exploitation.
Q3: What happens to existing crypto ATMs in Delaware if the bill becomes law?
Operators would have 90 days to shut down and remove all machines. Failure to comply could result in penalties. The timeline is designed to give businesses a reasonable window to adjust.
Crypto
‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk
Key Takeaways
Word Play With a Warning
Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the best-selling personal finance book “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” is recasting a familiar piece of investing advice. In a post on X, he argued that many investors only believe they are protected, adding:
“De-Worse-ified means they think they are diversified, but they have all their diversified assets, such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, stocks, bonds, real estate, and oil, in one asset class.”
His point is that spreading money across many holdings does not help if those holdings all move the same way in a crisis. When a liquidity shock hits, correlations rise and supposedly diverse portfolios can fall in unison, leaving investors “de-worsified” rather than diversified.
The commentary is consistent with the stance Kiyosaki has pushed throughout 2026 as he recently named bitcoin among the safest investments for the year, grouping it with what he calls real assets. He has repeatedly listed gold, silver, oil, food, bitcoin, and ether as his preferred holdings, framing them as scarce stores of value that printed money cannot dilute.
He has paired that view with stark price calls, setting a target of $250,000 for BTC by year’s end alongside a longer-term goal of $1 million. At current levels, the move would require a gain of more than 230%. On the precious metals side of things, he recently suggested a possible $200-per-ounce silver level this year, calling the metal’s climb a signal of mounting financial stress.
Kiyosaki’s broader thesis is darker still, warning investors of a historic market crash that he ties to surging global debt and fragile private credit markets, urging followers to build income streams, learn trade skills, and accumulate hard assets before the storm.
Timing Is Everything
The “de-worsified” warning arrives at a tense moment for markets, especially as bitcoin posted its worst week since the 2022 collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange, sliding below $60,000 as record exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows and risk-off sentiment gripped the sector.
That is exactly the kind of broad drawdown scenario (where bitcoin, equities, and other assets fall together) that Kiyosaki has used time and again to illustrate his point.
That said, he has become an increasingly polarizing voice within the broader economic landscape, with skeptics pointing out that his crash predictions are frequent and his price targets aggressive (and that he has issued similar warnings for years). Supporters argue his core message of owning scarce assets, avoiding hidden correlation, and preparing for volatility is a reasonable hedge against an era of heavy money printing and rising debt.
Whether or not his $250,000 bitcoin call lands, the distinction he is drawing is a real one, as true diversification really does depend on owning assets that behave differently (not simply owning many of them). In a market where everything from gold to crypto to stocks can move on the same macro headlines, that lesson may matter more than any single forecast.
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