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Dems watching their victories 'vanish' before them, Montana Senate candidate says ahead of RNC speech

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Dems watching their victories 'vanish' before them, Montana Senate candidate says ahead of RNC speech

MILWAUKEE – Montana Senate candidate Tim Sheehy said the Democratic Party is braced to continue to see their victories “vanish” in the lead up to Election Day. 

“This whole ‘Donald Trump’s gonna hijack the government and prosecute his adversaries.’ Well, what have they been doing for the last three years? ‘Donald Trump’s gonna advocate for violence on his political adversaries.’ What have they been doing, you know? So I think it’s almost a case of comedic projection, where they’re literally saying Donald Trump’s gonna do everything that they’ve actually been doing for the last three and a half years,” Sheehy told Fox News Digital from the RNC on Tuesday, when asked about the Democratic Party’s anti-Trump rhetoric before and after the assassination attempt on the 45th president’s life. 

“So of course, [we] shouldn’t be surprised that now we’re seeing them flip-flop, as they’re watching their victories vanish in front of their face here in the next 90 days. They’re just literally trying to say anything that they can to cling on to potential victory, and that includes outright lies,” he continued. 

President Biden and his allies had repeatedly slammed Trump as a “dictator” and Biden saying it is “time to put Trump in a bullseye” just days ahead of a 20-year-old Pennsylvania man who tried to shoot and kill Trump at a rally in the Keystone State. Biden has since backtracked on the comments. 

TRUMP-ENDORSED NAVY SEAL TIM SHEEHY WINS REPUBLICAN NOMINATION IN MONTANA SENATE RACE TO UNSEAT JON TESTER

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Senate candidate Tim Sheehy (Tim Sheehy for Senate Campaign)

Sheehy, a Navy SEAL veteran running to replace longtime Democratic Sen. Jon Tester, will address the RNC on Tuesday, telling Fox News Digital that he will focus his speech on the GOP winning a “full-ticket victory” in November.  

“This event is all about President Trump and soon-to-be Vice President Vance. So, my message is, basically: We’ve got to unify behind them. But we also can’t lose sight of the down-ballot races that will decide the control of the Senate, control of the House. Because if President Trump wins, I should say when he wins, if he doesn’t have a united government, it’s very hard for him to get anything done.  From judges, to cabinet secretaries to obviously any sort of legislation. So I’ll be reminding folks of the fact that we’ve got to have a full-ticket victory, not just top of the ticket and we’ve got to bring commonsense back to this country,” he continued. 

WAPO ‘SMEAR’ OF HIGHLY-DECORATED IRAQ WAR VETERAN, SENATE CANDIDATE OMITS CRITICAL INFO

The RNC kicked off Monday, when former President Donald Trump announced Ohio Sen. JD Vance as his 2024 running mate. Sheehy lauded the choice, underscoring the need for the GOP to elect a younger generation of politicians. 

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“It’s incredibly exciting to see Sen. Vance be selected. Obviously, one of my hallmark slogans has been a new generation of leaders. We gotta start getting young blood in the upper ranks of our party, because we have to have a long-standing stable of strong candidates to carry the conservative movement for 20, 30 years to come. And Obviously, JD is right in that category,” Sheehy, said. 

Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump and Republican vice presidential nominee J.D. Vance sit with Donald Trump Jr., Kimberly Guilfoyle and Eric Trump during Day 1 of the Republican National Convention (RNC), at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, U.S., July 15, 2024.  (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

“I look forward to supporting him fully.”

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the Montana race between Sheehy and Tester as a “Toss Up,” with Sheehy commending his competition as a skilled career politician, who now must wrangle with the Democratic Party’s record under the Biden administration. 

Sen. Tester suggested he was defeating his Republican opponent by a significant amount in internal polls.  (Getty Images)

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DEM HIT WITH $15 MILLION BORDER-RELATED AD BLITZ IN ‘TOSS-UP’ SENATE RACE

“Jon Tester is a career politician, he’s very skilled – not to be underestimated. He’s undefeated in 30 years in office, because that’s what he’s good at. He’s good at saying whatever’s going to get him elected. But it’s going to be really hard for him to outrun the record of the Democratic Party of 2024,” he said. 

Former President Donald Trump endorsed Tim Sheehy for the Montana Senate. (Sheehy for Senate)

WAPO ‘SMEAR’ OF HIGHLY-DECORATED IRAQ WAR VETERAN, SENATE CANDIDATE OMITS CRITICAL INFO

“I mean, it is a disaster. He’s voted for every single piece of legislation that’s enabled our sky-high inflation, interest rates running away, stagnant wage growth, of course, our international disaster from Ukraine to Afghanistan. He’s been there rubber-stamping everything Joe Biden and [Vice President Kamala Harris] have done. And now he’s all of a sudden he’s trying to come back to Montana and say, I’m trying to close the border and fight Joe Biden on that. So Montanans are going to keep buying it. It’s going to be a tight race, no question about it, but it’s about time we retire him and Montana is ready to do that.”

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Trump endorsed Sheehy earlier this year, while taking a dig at Tester. 

“Tim is the candidate who is currently best-positioned to DEFEAT Lazy Jon Tester, and Regain the Republican Majority in the United States Senate,” Trump said in February. 

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Alaska

Senators express skepticism about passing Alaska LNG bill before session’s end

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Senators express skepticism about passing Alaska LNG bill before session’s end


Sen. Bill Wielechowski, D-Anchorage, Senate President Gary Stevens, R-Kodiak, and Sen. Cathy Giessel, R-Anchorage, talk to the media after Dunleavy’s 2024 State of the State address in Juneau. (Sean Maguire/ADN)

Facing pressure from Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy to quickly finalize a bill to support the Alaska LNG megaproject, key members of the Senate on Tuesday expressed skepticism that they’ll finish the task before the session ends later this month.

Senate President Gary Stevens told reporters that he doesn’t think the lawmakers can finalize a bill by May 20, which could open the door to an immediate special session, or whenever the governor chooses to call one.

Senators are being asked to move quickly, creating the possibility of unexpected outcomes if a bill is passed now, said Stevens, a Kodiak Republican.

“There’s a lot of work yet to do, and I think you’re seeing the concern around this table of the mistakes we could easily make,” he said during a press conference alongside other leaders of the Senate Majority.

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The concerns came one day after Dunleavy urged lawmakers in both chambers to quickly pass a bill to give the LNG developer Glenfarne a substantial property tax break, so North Slope gas can be delivered to Southcentral Alaska and overseas to large Asian buyers.

The governor argued Alaska LNG will generate billions of dollars in production taxes, gas royalties and other revenues, create thousands of jobs, lower energy costs and resolve a looming shortage of locally produced gas.

Dunleavy indicated that the Senate and House resources committees burdened the bill he introduced in March with excessive costs that would block the project. Although Dunleavy floated the idea of introducing his bill early in the session, he didn’t formally introduce it until March.

Those committee substitutes would sharply increase the alternative volumetric tax the governor had proposed to tax natural gas shipments in order to bring in more state revenue. That new “alternative volumetric tax” would replace the state’s property tax for the project.

Dunleavy said he will only support a bill that allows the project to receive financing to move forward. He said he would call a special session if a bill he doesn’t think makes the project workable fails to pass the Legislature.

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Members of the Senate Resources Committee said Tuesday they lack a clear picture of the important financial details they need to determine what size of tax break the project should receive, if any.

Some of the missing pieces, they say, include a recent update to the project’s $46 billion price tag, a figure that’s been around for more than a decade, and a better understanding of the estimated cost of gas to Alaska ratepayers.

Before the project can receive a tax reduction, the developer needs “to help us with this bill, giving us actual numbers so that we can credibly set a realistic AVT, alternative volumetric tax,” said Sen. Cathy Giessel, R-Anchorage and chair of Senate Resources.

Adam Prestidge, with project developer Glenfarne, told Senate Resources on Tuesday morning the company can share financial details with lawmakers if the state takes a stake in the project, under confidentiality agreements or confidential executive sessions.

He said that publicly releasing the project’s cost estimate would put the project at a competitive disadvantage at a time when it’s negotiating agreements with contractors for work, and purchase agreements with entities that would buy and sell the gas, he said.

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In such cases, he’s seen the “counterparty try to back calculate what they think the cost of the product is that we’re selling, using what they’ve seen as public information, and it creates a real challenge for being able to commercialize the product,” he said.

Giessel said confidential agreements are problem for lawmakers.

“Confidential executive sessions put us at a real disadvantage because now we have to craft a bill based on what you’ve told us privately, and yet we can’t tell the public what those numbers are,” she said. “It doesn’t work very well.”

Sen. Bill Wielechowski, D-Anchorage, and vice chair of Senate Resources, said he won’t vote on a bill that could remove potentially $1 billion in annual property tax revenue — referring to Dunleavy’s original version — without having solid numbers on the project.

“From my perspective, this bill should not go to the floor because, me personally, I don’t want to commit generations of Alaskans to billions of dollars in tax breaks without firm numbers,” he said.

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Tim Fitzpatrick, a spokesperson with Glenfarne, said in a statement Tuesday that “the state, along with other potential investors, will have the information needed to make an informed investment decision.”

“The state has no financial risk in Alaska LNG and as testimony has made clear, publicly releasing sensitive cost information harms the project’s competitive position and ability to deliver reliable, low-cost energy for Alaskans,” he said.

“Alaska is rapidly running out of reliable, affordable energy, and state and local policymakers and the legislature’s own consultants have highlighted the need for tax reform for over a decade, during which no project has progressed,” he said.





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Arizona

Defensive lapse, walks cost Pirates in shutout loss to Arizona

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California

Contributor: California law limiting bail is clear. Will judges keep ignoring it?

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Contributor: California law limiting bail is clear. Will judges keep ignoring it?


Gerald Kowalczyk tried to buy a hamburger with credit cards he found on the floor. Then, while presumed innocent, he spent months in a California jail — not because a judge determined he was dangerous, not because he threatened anyone, but because the court set bail at $75,000 for a man who couldn’t afford it, then simply denied bail altogether, in defiance of the law. Last week, the California Supreme Court unanimously said no more. The court held that pretrial liberty is the norm; incarceration before conviction for any crime is the rare, carefully limited exception. If courts choose to condition freedom on a monetary payment it “must” be “an amount that is reasonable.”

For years, California courts ran an unconstitutional shadow detention system. The mechanics were straightforward: Set bail at an amount the defendant cannot pay and the result is the same as ordering detention outright. As the court explained in its Kowalczyk ruling, pretrial detention requires strong evidence of a serious charge and “clear and convincing evidence establishing a substantial likelihood that the defendant’s release would result in great bodily harm to others.” Instead, as Justice Joshua P. Groban explains in concurrence, courts have used money bail to detain poor people accused of nonviolent offenses with “devastating repercussions for their employment, education, housing, access to public benefits, immigration status, and family stability.”

This wasn’t a bug. It was the system.

Last week’s ruling closes that loophole — unambiguously and unanimously. Courts can no longer use unaffordable bail as a backdoor detention order. Where detention isn’t authorized, bail must be set at an attainable amount, based on the defendant’s actual circumstances. The ruling builds directly on the Humphrey precedent from 2021, a California Supreme Court decision that first held wealth-based detention unconstitutional and a case I helped bring.

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I know how hard these victories are to win. I also know how easily they can be ignored.

Even after Humphrey was decided, across Santa Clara, San Mateo and Alameda counties, judges asked about a defendant’s financial circumstances exactly once out of nearly 250 observed cases. In more than 95% of hearings, judges cited no legal standard at all when ordering detention. More than 90% of people jailed pretrial were charged with offenses that didn’t even qualify for detention under the California Constitution: shoplifting, driving without a license, vandalism. These findings came from Silicon Valley De-Bug, a community organization whose members spent years watching what happens in arraignment courtrooms.

The system didn’t follow the rules set out in Humphrey. We must ensure the system makes good on the unanimous ruling in Kowalczyk.

Start with public defense. California is one of just two states that contributes no funding to trial-level public defense, leaving the 58 counties with no state standards or oversight. The result is a patchwork of wildly unequal and inadequate representation. Last week’s ruling requires courts to make individualized findings about flight risk, public safety, alternative release conditions and ability to pay — which means defense attorneys must be present at or before arraignment, prepared to make ability-to-pay arguments, demand findings and challenge unaffordable bail on the record. In counties where public defenders carry caseloads of 100 or more, that is not happening. It cannot happen without resources.

Then there is the question of alternatives. The ruling requires judges to consider conditions of release — drug treatment, check-ins, social services referrals, in serious cases ankle monitoring — before resorting to money bail or detention. But these options exist only where counties have invested in pretrial services outside of law enforcement, programs such as San Francisco’s Pretrial Diversion Project. Most haven’t. A constitutional right to alternatives is hollow without alternatives for judges to choose from.

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Finally, the Judicial Council, which makes policy for California courts, should establish monitoring standards, reporting requirements and training protocols that ensure courts no longer impose unnecessary or unconstitutional pretrial incarceration.

Kenneth Humphrey spent 250 days in jail for $5 and a bottle of cologne. Gerald Kowalczyk spent months inside for a hamburger. Behind each of them are tens of thousands of Californians who spent similar time behind bars unjustly, who lost jobs and homes and custody of their children, because the system treated their poverty as grounds for imprisonment.

The Supreme Court has now said clearly what our Constitution has since 1849: Pretrial liberty is the norm. Pretrial detention is the carefully limited exception. There is a good reason for the presumption of innocence: 1 in 3 California arrests does not lead to any conviction, and upending people’s lives by jailing them pretrial is so destabilizing it actually increases future crime.

Let’s ensure this presumption of innocence means something in practice if you, or your loved one, need it.

Chesa Boudin is the former district attorney of San Francisco and the executive director of the Criminal Law & Justice Center at UC Berkeley School of Law.

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