World
Josep Borrell on Wagner mutiny: ‘The monster acts against his creator’
Foreign affairs ministers of the European Union gather in Luxembourg on Monday as they digest the aftermath of the attempted military coup in Russia.
While the meeting was supposed to focus on military assistance to Ukraine, tensions between Kosovo and Serbia, sanctions against Iran and relations with Latin America, the stunning events that took place over the weekend have upended the agenda.
Ministers are still trying to make sense of the 36-hour-long dramatic saga that saw Yevgeny Prigozhin and his mercenary troops of the Wagner Group rebel against Russia’s leadership, posing the greatest threat to Vladimir Putin’s grip on power since his arrival in the Kremlin more than 20 years ago.
“The war against Ukraine launched by Putin, and the monster that Putin created with Wagner (…) is biting him now. The monster is acting against his creator,” said Josep Borrell, the EU’s foreign policy chief, upon arrival at the meeting.
“The political system is showing its fragilities and the military power is cracking. So this is an important consequence of the war in Ukraine.”
Borrell avoided speculating about Prigozhin’s whereabouts or the possible impact of the failed coup on the war’s evolution.
“Certainly, it’s not a good thing to see a nuclear power like Russia going into a phase of political instability,” Borrell told reporters.
Annalena Baerbock, Germany’s foreign affairs minister, remained cautious in her assessment, describing the short-lived rebellion as a “domestic power struggle” in which the EU is not going to interfere.
“With this brutal war of aggression, Russia is destroying, Putin is destroying his own country,” Baerbock said.
Her French counterpart, Catherine Colonna, was equally careful and said the international community was yet to see the “full consequences” of the insurgency.
“Nevertheless, these events do raise a lot of questions, and perhaps more questions than answers,” Colonna said. “At the moment, it is clear that (the events) have underlined the fact that there have been internal tensions and that there are even cracks, fractures and flaws in the system.”
Meanwhile, Lithuania’s Gabrielius Landsbergis urged Western allies to reinforce Europe’s eastern flank in reaction to the growing “unpredictability” inside Russia.
“We’re seeing how fast things can transpire,” Landsbergis said. “It took half a day for a military detachment to move 200 kilometres away from Moscow. So imagine how fast can they do that crossing Belarus and appearing on Lithuania’s border.”
Landsbergis raised questions about the deal reportedly brokered by Aleksander Lukashenko, the Belarusian president, which led Prigozhin to abruptly call off the mutiny and pull back his troops. The details of the deal have not been made public but it is believed that Prigozhin is supposed to live in exile somewhere in Belarus while Wagner soldiers will be pardoned and given the chance to be incorporated into the Russian Armed Forces.
According to the Lithuanian minister, Lukashenko, who has held uninterrupted power since 1994, stepped into the fray out of self-interest to preserve his own political career.
Lukashenko is “so much dependent on the Kremlin, and if Kremlin is not supporting him any longer, that means that he might end his career prematurely,” Landsbergis said.
The deal is heavily shrouded in mystery, making it impossible to determine Wagner’s future as a mercenary organisation or Prigozhin’s authority. For the time being, the Kremlin has not announced any changes to Russia’s military leadership, one of Prigozhin’s key demands.
“We don’t need to think about changing the regime in Russia, and we don’t need to plan it. Russians are completely capable to do that on their own,” Landsbergis said.
“Russians will solve Russia.”
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World
Israel keeping its ‘eyes open’ for Iranian attacks during Trump transition period, ambassador says
Israel’s U.N. Ambassador Danny Danon tells Fox News Digital that his country is keeping its “eyes open” for any potential aggression from Iran during the Trump transition period, adding it would be a “mistake” for the Islamic Republic to carry out an attack.
The comments come after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi vowed earlier this week that Iran would retaliate against Israel for the strategic airstrikes it carried out against Tehran on Oct. 26. Araghchi was quoted in Iranian media saying “we have not given up our right to react, and we will react in our time and in the way we see fit.”
“I would advise him not to challenge us. We have already shown our capabilities. We have proved that they are vulnerable. We can actually target any location in Iran. They know that,” Danon told Fox News Digital.
“So I would advise them not to make that mistake. If they think that now, because of the transition period, they can take advantage of it, they are wrong,” he added. “We are keeping our eyes open and we are ready for all scenarios.”
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Danon says he believes one of the most important challenges for the incoming Trump administration will be the way the U.S. deals with Iran.
“Regarding the new administration, I think the most important challenge will be the way you challenge Iran, the aggression, the threat of the Iranian regime. I believe that the U.S. will have to go back to a leading position on this issue,” he told Fox News Digital.
“We are fighting the same enemies, the enemies of the United States of America. When you look at the Iranians, the Houthis, Hezbollah, Hamas, all those bad actors that are coming against Israel… that is the enemy of the United States. So I think every American should support us and understand what we are doing now,” Danon also said.
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Danon spoke as the U.S. vetoed a draft resolution against Israel at the U.N. Security Council on Wednesday.
The resolution, which was overseen by Algeria, sought an “immediate, unconditional and permanent cease-fire” to be imposed on Israel. The resolution did not guarantee the release of the hostages still being held by Hamas within Gaza.
“It was a shameful resolution because… it didn’t have the linkage between the cease-fire and the call [for] the release of the hostages. And I want to thank the United States for taking a strong position and vetoing this resolution,” Danon said. “I think it sent a very clear message that the U.S. stands with its strongest ally with Israel. And, you know, it was shameful, too, to hear the voices of so many ambassadors speaking about a cease-fire but abandoning the 101 hostages. We will not forget them. We will never abandon them. We will continue to fight until we bring all of them back home.”
Fox News’ Benjamin Weinthal contributed to this report.
World
Fact-check: What do we know about Russia’s nuclear arsenal?
Moscow has lowered the bar for using nuclear weapons and fired a missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead into Ukraine, heightening tensions with the West.
Russia’s nuclear arsenal is under fresh scrutiny after an intermediate-range ballistic missile capable of carrying an atomic warhead was fired into Ukrainian territory.
President Vladimir Putin says the unprecedented attack using the so-called “Oreshnik” missile is a direct response to Ukraine’s use of US and UK-made missiles to strike targets deep in Russian territory.
He has also warned that the military facilities of Western countries allowing Ukraine to use their weapons to strike Russia could become targets.
The escalation comes days after the Russian President approved small but significant changes to his country’s nuclear doctrine, which would allow a nuclear response to a conventional, non-nuclear attack on Russian territory.
While Western officials, including US defence secretary Lloyd Austin, have dismissed the notion that Moscow’s use of nuclear weapons is imminent, experts warn that recent developments could increase the possibility of nuclear weapons use.
Here’s what we know about Russia’s inventory of atomic weapons.
How big is Russia’s nuclear arsenal?
Russia holds more nuclear warheads than any other nation at an estimated 5,580, which amounts to 47% of global stockpiles, according to data from the Federation of American Scientists (FAS).
But only an estimated 1,710 of those weapons are deployed, a fraction more than the 1,670 deployed by the US.
Both nations have the necessary nuclear might to destroy each other several times over, and considerably more atomic warheads than the world’s seven other nuclear nations: China, France, India, Israel, North Korea, Pakistan and the United Kingdom.
Of Moscow’s deployed weapons, an estimated 870 are on land-based ballistic missiles, 640 on submarine-launched ballistic missiles, and potentially 200 at heavy bomber bases.
According to FAS, there are no signs Russia is significantly scaling up its nuclear arsenal, but the federation does warn of a potential surge in the future as the country replaces single-warhead missiles with those capable of carrying multiple warheads.
Russia is also steadily modernising its nuclear arsenal.
What could trigger a Russian nuclear response?
Moscow’s previous 2020 doctrine stated that its nuclear weapons could be used in response to an attack using nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction “when the very existence of the state is put under threat.”
Now, the conditions under which a nuclear response could be launched have changed in three crucial ways:
- Russia will consider using nuclear weapons in the case of a strike on its territory using conventional weapons, such as cruise missiles, drones and tactical aircraft.
- It could launch a nuclear attack in response to an aggression by a non-nuclear state acting “with the participation or support of a nuclear state”, as is the case for Ukraine.
- Moscow will also apply the same conditions to an attack on Belarus’ territory, in agreement with President Lukashenko.
Is there a rising nuclear threat?
The size of the world’s nuclear stockpiles has rapidly decreased amid the post-Cold War détente. The Soviet Union had some 40,000 warheads, and the US around 30,000, when stockpiles peaked during the 1960s and 70s.
But FAS warns that while the overall number is still in decline, operational warheads are on the rise once again. More countries are also upgrading their missiles to deploy multiple warheads.
“In nearly all of the nuclear-armed states there are either plans or a significant push to increase nuclear forces,” Hans M. Kristensen, Director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists (FAS), said in June this year.
Is the West reacting?
When Putin approved the updated nuclear protocol last week, many Western leaders dismissed it as sabre rattling.
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said Germany and its partners would “not be intimidated” and accused Putin of “playing with our fear.”
But since Russia used a hypersonic ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead in an attack on Dnipro, European leaders have raised the alarm.
“The last few dozen hours have shown that the threat is serious and real when it comes to global conflict,” Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on Friday.
According to Dutch media reports, NATO’s secretary-general Mark Rutte is in Florida to urgently meet President-elect Donald Trump, potentially to discuss the recent escalation.
NATO and Ukraine will hold an extraordinary meeting in Brussels next Tuesday to discuss the situation and the possible allied reaction, according to Euronews sources.
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