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Despite Russian Warnings, Finland and Sweden Draw Closer to NATO

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Despite Russian Warnings, Finland and Sweden Draw Closer to NATO

BRUSSELS — In a speedy response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and within the face of Moscow’s warnings to NATO to cease its enlargement, Finland and Sweden are critically debating functions for membership within the alliance and are broadly anticipated to hitch.

The accession of each nations could be one other instance of the counterproductive outcomes thus far of the invasion ordered by Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin. As a substitute of crushing Ukrainian nationalism, he has enhanced it. As a substitute of weakening the trans-Atlantic alliance, he has solidified it. As a substitute of dividing NATO and blocking its development, he has united it.

Now, if the invasion has succeeded in something, it has been to drive previously nonaligned nations into the arms of NATO, as Russian threats and aggression heighten their safety issues and pressure them to decide on sides.

In Helsinki on Wednesday, Finland issued a proper “white paper” on the “elementary modifications within the safety surroundings,” designed to tell parliamentary debate on the problem. Prime Minister Sanna Marin of Finland mentioned a call could be made “inside weeks.”

Standing beside her at a information convention in Stockholm, her Swedish counterpart, Magdalena Andersson, mentioned, “There are after all execs and cons with being a member of NATO, as there are execs and cons of different safety selections.” However she added, “I see no level in delaying this evaluation or the method” over whether or not to hitch.

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NATO officers are publicly discreet, saying solely that the alliance has an open-door coverage and any nation that needs to hitch can ask for an invite. After a gathering of alliance overseas ministers final week, the secretary-general, Jens Stoltenberg, was coy, however mentioned: “There aren’t any different nations which can be nearer to NATO.”

However even a speedy utility course of might take a 12 months, elevating issues that the 2 nations could be weak to Russia within the interim if Mr. Putin noticed NATO membership for them as a provocation — a lot as he did with Ukraine.

Even earlier than the invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, Russia warned the 2 Nordic nations of “severe army and political penalties” and “retaliation” ought to they be a part of NATO.

So already there’s a severe debate contained in the alliance about what sort of safety ensures could possibly be supplied to Finland and Sweden within the interval earlier than ratification, to attempt to make sure that any adversary — learn Russia — didn’t benefit from the interim earlier than the 2 nations have been a part of NATO and may benefit from its promise of collective protection.

Each Sweden and Finland are members of the European Union and have already got a robust partnership with NATO, collaborating in army workouts and even strategic and operational planning.

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However Finland, with its lengthy border with Russia, famously survived the Chilly Battle as an unbiased and unoccupied democracy by studiously hewing to neutrality, one thing some have prompt for Ukraine. Finland has sided brazenly with the West for the reason that Soviet Union collapsed, although it has saved, like Sweden, a coverage of army nonalignment.

Mr. Putin’s invasion has led to a head-spinning turnaround in public opinion in Finland in favor of becoming a member of the alliance. Led quietly by its president, Sauli Niinisto, Finland is clearing the trail towards NATO membership for a extra reluctant Sweden.

“With the contours of European safety irrevocably altered since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the course of considering in each nations — particularly Finland — is getting clearer by the day,” wrote Anna Wieslander and Christopher Skaluba of the Atlantic Council. “From Moscow’s perspective, the end result could be one other undesirable consequence of its useless and reckless aggression.”

Whereas Finland’s safety doctrine consists of an choice to hitch NATO if circumstances change, that has not been the case for Sweden, which has a minority authorities led by the Social Democrats, whose formal place of army nonalignment was confirmed at their get together congress in November.

However, nonetheless difficult NATO membership seems to be for Sweden politically, it will be harmful to be left exterior the alliance if Finland joins, for the reason that two nations are one another’s closest protection companions and plan for conflict collectively, Ms. Wieslander, a Swede who’s the Atlantic Council’s director for Northern Europe, mentioned in an interview.

“We at all times take into account Finnish safety along with our personal,” she mentioned.

Opinion is shifting shortly in Sweden, too, with about 50 p.c of individuals now in favor of becoming a member of NATO, rising to 62 p.c if Finland joins, Ms. Wieslander mentioned. In Finland, a recent poll had 68 p.c in favor becoming a member of the alliance, rising to 77 p.c if the president and authorities advocate it.

In Sweden, an all-party parliamentary group, led by International Minister Ann Linde, is learning the problem with a report due Might 31. That deadline could also be accelerated, as a result of a call to hitch NATO must go Parliament with a strong majority, and that may rely upon the Social Democrats shifting their place, Ms. Wieslander mentioned.

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Within the final election of 2018, the Social Democrats’ vote share fell to twenty-eight.3 p.c, their lowest since 1908, so they’re extra delicate to public opinion now than earlier than, and simply this week, the get together introduced that it was reconsidering its place on NATO.

Carl Bildt, a former Swedish prime minister, wrote just lately that after the conflict on Ukraine, “There isn’t a approach again to a previous of illusionary neutrality.”

Given each nations’ relationships with NATO, functions to hitch the 30-member alliance could be accepted shortly, in all probability in late June, at NATO’s summit assembly in Madrid.

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However all member states and their parliaments must ratify that call, which took a couple of 12 months for the final nation to hitch, North Macedonia.

Within the meantime, Mr. Niinisto has mentioned with President Biden and the British authorities the potential for a bilateral or trilateral safety assure.

Such a assure could possibly be politically controversial, however may enchantment to “International Britain.” And Washington already has a trilateral protection cooperation settlement with Sweden and Finland that could possibly be broadened.

NATO in any case must transfer shortly to attract up plans to defend each nations in anticipation of membership, presumably as an extension to its plans to defend Norway, mentioned Ivo Daalder, a former U.S. ambassador to NATO.

For the Russians, Ms. Wieslander mentioned, “you’re both below the protect otherwise you’re not,” so safety ensures must be public and clear. In fact, she mentioned, Sweden “is able to shoot, if essential — we don’t need to be formal allies for that.”

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Russian responses are in any case more likely to embody web disruptions, hacking of key ministries and disinformation efforts aimed particularly at legislators who must vote on the problem. Tensions alongside the borders would improve, as would Russian fighter jets seeming to problem airspace.

The USA has publicly supported the thought of membership. Julianne Smith, the American ambassador to NATO, mentioned the US would welcome each nations. “We’ve exercised; we’ve educated with them. They convey very succesful militaries,” she mentioned. “They’re a few of our closest allies in Europe, and so I can’t think about a scenario the place there could be super resistance to this concept.”

However it’s Russia’s sudden conflict on Ukraine that has turned previous assumptions hole. The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, reminded Finns of the hazards Moscow presents in a speech on Friday to the Finnish Parliament, recalling the Winter Battle of 1939-40, when Stalin’s Soviet Union attacked Finland.

“You’ve seen Russia assault your nation, and that menace nonetheless exists,” Mr. Zelensky mentioned. “What they did in Bucha, they may do in your cities.” And it was Finnish braveness then that has impressed Ukrainians in their very own battle, he mentioned.

Steven Erlanger reported from Brussels and Johanna Lemola from Helsinki.

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India kicks off a massive Hindu festival touted as the world's largest religious gathering

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India kicks off a massive Hindu festival touted as the world's largest religious gathering

PRAYAGRAJ, India (AP) — Millions of Hindu devotees, mystics and holy men and women from all across India flocked to the northern city of Prayagraj on Monday to kickstart the Maha Kumbh festival, which is being touted as the world’s largest religious gathering.

Over about the next six weeks, Hindu pilgrims with gather at the confluence of three sacred rivers — the Ganges, the Yamuna and the mythical Saraswati — where they will take part in elaborate rituals, hoping to begin a journey to achieve Hindu philosophy’s ultimate goal: the release from the cycle of rebirth.

Here’s what to know about the festival:

A religious gathering at the confluence of three sacred rivers

Hindus venerate rivers, and none more so than the Ganges and the Yamuna. The faithful believe that a dip in their waters will cleanse them of their past sins and end their process of reincarnation, particularly on auspicious days. The most propitious of these days occur in cycles of 12 years during a festival called the Maha Kumbh Mela, or pitcher festival.

The festival is a series of ritual baths by Hindu sadhus, or holy men, and other pilgrims at the confluence of three sacred rivers that dates to at least medieval times. Hindus believe that the mythical Saraswati river once flowed from the Himalayas through Prayagraj, meeting there with the Ganges and the Yamuna.

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Bathing takes place every day, but on the most auspicious dates, naked, ash-smeared monks charge toward the holy rivers at dawn. Many pilgrims stay for the entire festival, observing austerity, giving alms and bathing at sunrise every day.

“We feel peaceful here and attain salvation from the cycles of life and death,” said Bhagwat Prasad Tiwari, a pilgrim.

The festival has its roots in a Hindu tradition that says the god Vishnu wrested a golden pitcher containing the nectar of immortality from demons. Hindus believe that a few drops fell in the cities of Prayagraj, Nasik, Ujjain and Haridwar — the four places where the Kumbh festival has been held for centuries.

The Kumbh rotates among these four pilgrimage sites about every three years on a date prescribed by astrology. This year’s festival is the biggest and grandest of them all. A smaller version of the festival, called Ardh Kumbh, or Half Kumbh, was organized in 2019, when 240 million visitors were recorded, with about 50 million taking a ritual bath on the busiest day.

Maha Kumb is the world’s largest such gathering

At least 400 million people — more than the population of the United States — are expected in Prayagraj over the next 45 days, according to officials. That is around 200 times the 2 million pilgrims that arrived in the Muslim holy cities of Mecca and Medina in Saudi Arabia for the annual Hajj pilgrimage last year.

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The festival is a big test for Indian authorities to showcase the Hindu religion, tourism and crowd management.

A vast ground along the banks of the rivers has been converted into a sprawling tent city equipped with more 3,000 kitchens and 150,000 restrooms. Divided into 25 sections and spreading over 40 square kilometers (15 square miles), the tent city also has housing, roads, electricity and water, communication towers and 11 hospitals. Murals depicting stories from Hindu scriptures are painted on the city walls.

Indian Railways has also introduced more than 90 special trains that will make nearly 3,300 trips during the festival to transport devotees, beside regular trains.

About 50,000 security personnel — a 50% increase from 2019 — are also stationed in the city to maintain law and order and crowd management. More than 2,500 cameras, some powered by AI, will send crowd movement and density information to four central control rooms, where officials can quickly deploy personnel to avoid stampedes.

The festival will boost Modi’s support base

India’s past leaders have capitalized on the festival to strengthen their relationship with the country’s Hindus, who make up nearly 80% of India’s more than 1.4 billion people. But under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the festival has become an integral part of its advocacy of Hindu nationalism. For Modi and his party, Indian civilization is inseparable from Hinduism, although critics say the party’s philosophy is rooted in Hindu supremacy.

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The Uttar Pradesh state, headed by Adityanath — a powerful Hindu monk and a popular hard-line Hindu politician in Modi’s party — has allocated more than $765 million for this year’s event. It has also used the festival to boost his and the prime minister’s image, with giant billboards and posters all over the city showing them both, alongside slogans touting their government welfare policies.

The festival is expected to boost the ruling Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party’s past record of promoting Hindu cultural symbols for its support base. But recent Kumbh gatherings have also been caught in controversies.

Modi’s government changed the city’s Mughal-era name from Allahabad to Prayagraj as part of its Muslim-to-Hindu name-changing effort nationwide ahead of the 2019 festival and the national election that his party won. In 2021, his government refused to call off the festival in Haridwar despite a surge in coronavirus cases, fearing a backlash from religious leaders in the Hindu-majority country.

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Associated Press religion coverage receives support through the AP’s collaboration with The Conversation US, with funding from Lilly Endowment Inc. The AP is solely responsible for this content.

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Ukraine has captured 2 North Korean soldiers, South Korea's intelligence service says

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Ukraine has captured 2 North Korean soldiers, South Korea's intelligence service says

Ukraine captured two wounded North Korean soldiers who were fighting on behalf of Russia in a Russian border region, South Korea’s intelligence service said, confirming an account from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Saturday.

Seoul’s National Intelligence Service (NIS) told AFP it has “confirmed that the Ukrainian military captured two North Korean soldiers on January 9 in the Kursk battlefield in Russia.”

The confirmation comes after Zelenskyy said in a post on the Telegram messaging app that the two captured North Korean soldiers were wounded and taken to Kyiv, where they are communicating with Ukrainian security services SBU.

SBU released video that appears to show the two prisoners on beds inside jail cells. The authenticity of the video could not be independently verified.

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In this unverified photo shared by the Ukrainian military, an apparent captured North Korean soldier with injuries is sitting in a bed inside a cell. (Ukraine Military handout)

A doctor interviewed in the SBU video said one soldier suffered a facial wound while the other soldier had an open wound and a lower leg fracture. Both men were receiving medical treatment.

North Korean soldier lying in bed

In this unverified photo shared by the Ukrainian military, an apparent captured North Korean soldier with injuries is lying in a bed inside a cell. (Ukraine Military handout)

SBU also said one of the soldiers had no documents at all, while the other had been carrying a Russian military ID card in the name of a man from Tuva, a Russian region bordering Mongolia.

Ukraine’s military says North Korean soldiers are outfitted in Russian military uniforms and carry fake military IDs in their pockets, a scheme that Andrii Yusov, spokesperson for Ukraine’s military intelligence agency, says could mean Moscow and “its representatives at the U.N. can deny the facts.”

Despite Ukrainian, U.S. and South Korean assertions that Pyongyang has sent 10,000 – 12,000 troops to fight alongside Russia in the Kursk border region, Moscow has never publicly acknowledged the North Korean forces.

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While reports of their presence first emerged in October, Ukrainian troops only confirmed engagement on the ground in December.

On Thursday, Zelenskyy put the number of killed or wounded North Koreans at 4,000, though U.S. estimates are lower, at around 1,200.

North Korean soldiers

Soldiers are seen at Kim Il Sung Square in Pyongyang, North Korea, on Oct. 12, 2020.  (AP Photo/Jon Chol Jin, File)

Despite North Korea’s suffering losses and initial inexperience on the battlefield, Ukrainian soldiers, military intelligence and experts suggest first-hand experience will only help them develop further as a fighting force.

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“For the first time in decades, the North Korean army is gaining real military experience,” Yusov said. “This is a global challenge — not just for Ukraine and Europe, but for the entire world.”

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Three people killed in an avalanche in Italy's Leopontine Alps

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Three people killed in an avalanche in Italy's Leopontine Alps

A group of five skiers was hit by the avalanche above the village of Trasquera in the Piedmont region. Two survived and were helicoptered to hospital.

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The avalanche broke away around 12.30pm on the eastern face of Punta Valgrande, a summit in the Leopontine Alps, on the border between Italy and Switzerland.

The skiers who died were dragged down the snowy mountain for several hundred metres from where they had been skiing at over 2,800 metres. The bodies have not yet been recovered because they are awaiting authorisation from the local magistrate.

An alert had been issued in the area above 2,100 metres, which warned of “considerable danger of avalanches.” The alert was at level 3, with 5 being the most dangerous.

It is not yet clear whether the rescuers were alerted by a skier who saw the avalanche sweeping away three people, or by the other two people who managed to save themselves. According to reports, the group was going uphill with crampons and then descending with skis.

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