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Poll: Abortion trails only the economy as a motivating issue for Nevada voters

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Poll: Abortion trails only the economy as a motivating issue for Nevada voters


Abortion legal guidelines are one of many prime components driving voters to the polls, and there’s broad help for making main structural modifications to the U.S. Supreme Court docket, a latest ballot from The Nevada Impartial and OH Predictive Insights signifies.

Practically 17 p.c of respondents indicated that abortion legal guidelines had been the difficulty most motivating them to vote, coming in second to the financial system (40 p.c) however forward of different points akin to training (4 p.c), gun legal guidelines (7 p.c) and tax legal guidelines (2 p.c). About 92 p.c of respondents mentioned they see a minimum of some circumstances the place abortion needs to be authorized, with solely 8 p.c indicating it needs to be unlawful in all circumstances.

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Of these 92 p.c of respondents, 45 p.c mentioned abortions needs to be authorized below any circumstances, whereas 47 p.c indicated legality ought to exist, however solely below sure circumstances.

The ballot outcomes come practically six weeks after the nation’s highest court docket overturned abortion protections supplied by Roe v. Wade, signaling the main position the choice might play within the upcoming midterm elections.

The broad-based, cross-party help for abortion rights additionally confirmed its colours Tuesday when Kansas voters rejected an effort to dam abortion entry (59 to 41 p.c) within the type of a proposed constitutional modification that might have eliminated the best within the state Structure and cleared the best way for the Legislature to ban the process. It was the primary state to vote on abortion rights for the reason that Supreme Court docket choice.

“Democrats are actually struggling for enthusiasm this election,” mentioned Mike Noble, chief researcher and managing associate of OH Predictive Insights. “The abortion [issue] actually woke them a little bit bit … why ought to they be engaged, why it issues to get out and vote.”

9 in 10 Nevadans consider abortion needs to be authorized ultimately, form or type. Noble mentioned polling additionally confirmed that these with an anti-abortion stance had been extra keen to shift their positions relying on circumstances than these with pro-choice views.

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Although help for abortion rights is excessive in Nevada, consensus differs on abortion safety timelines. About 23 p.c of respondents mentioned abortion needs to be authorized at any level in a being pregnant, greater than a 3rd mentioned 24 weeks is sufficient (the present authorized timeframe in Nevada), whereas 23 p.c mentioned the authorized cutoff needs to be 15 weeks. One other 28 p.c mentioned abortion shouldn’t be permitted at any time in a being pregnant (which is meant to final 40 weeks).

Noble mentioned the Supreme Court docket selections surrounding abortion and different points akin to gun management have galvanized activism for overhauls to the excessive court docket itself. Ballot outcomes confirmed sturdy help for binding Supreme Court docket members to a code of ethics, increasing the variety of justices, implementing time period limits and inserting an age cap on judges, amongst different modifications.

The help tended to rely on get together choice, with respondents figuring out as Democrats expressing essentially the most help for modifications, adopted by nonpartisans and Republicans. Noble mentioned the get together identification-based help for reforms isn’t a surprise, particularly due to the court docket’s conservative lean.

Modifications to abortion protections in Nevada

Abortion rights within the Silver State have been protected by state regulation for greater than 30 years and will solely be overturned by a direct majority vote from the folks. Nevada’s lawmakers and governor don’t have any energy to limit abortion entry sooner than 24 weeks into being pregnant — the purpose at which a fetus is usually thought of capable of survive exterior the womb with help.

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The latest effort to outlaw abortions got here in 2012 when anti-abortion activists circulated however didn’t qualify a poll initiative to reverse abortion protections by defining life as beginning at conception.

he polling from OH Predictive Insights/The Nevada Impartial signifies that such a coverage would have little help. Solely 22 p.c of respondents mentioned they might be extra more likely to help a candidate who favors a petition drive to overturn Nevada’s abortion statute in comparison with 38 p.c who mentioned they had been unlikely to pick such a candidate.

Forty p.c of respondents indicated a degree of indifference, saying they had been neither seemingly nor unlikely to favor a candidate selling these stances. Throughout his unsuccessful bid for governor earlier this 12 months, former Sen. Dean Heller vowed he would elevate the cash essential to get a measure overturning abortion on the poll, saying, “I understand that’s the one means it can change.”

However undoing abortion protections isn’t the one avenue being sought by these against abortions.

This 12 months, anti-abortion advocates are pushing for a poll initiative to implement a parental notification measure, requiring mother and father to obtain a minimum of 48 hours discover earlier than a minor has an abortion, although earlier makes an attempt have failed. Initiative backers have till Nov. 23 to submit their signatures.

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Greater than half of ballot respondents indicated help for a 48-hour parental notification window, 1 / 4 mentioned they had been impartial on the difficulty, and 19 p.c had been opposed.

Abortion has emerged as a bellwether forward of the 2022 midterm elections, with candidates both latching onto the difficulty or shying away from saying a lot, if something in any respect.

U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) has made defending abortion rights a core tenet of her re-election marketing campaign. In distinction, her Republican challenger, former Legal professional Common Adam Laxalt, has downplayed the difficulty’s marketing campaign significance, as an alternative calling consideration to rising fuel costs and financial issues. Laxalt has not responded to particular questions on his stance on abortion rights however has known as the Roe v. Wade choice “a joke” whereas bemoaning Nevada’s abortion protections.

Within the governor’s race, Gov. Steve Sisolak has mentioned, “So long as I’m Governor, I’ll oppose any makes an attempt — whether or not on the federal or state degree — to assault a Nevada lady’s’ proper to an abortion inside 24 weeks of her being pregnant.”

His opponent, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, has mentioned he’s “pro-life” however remained largely noncommittal on his stance on abortion protections, noting, “Abortion coverage is already addressed in Nevada regulation. The governor and legislature can’t make modifications to it. The voters put it into regulation, and solely they will change it.”

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In Might, Las Vegas Assessment-Journal conservative columnist Victor Joecks wrote that when requested, Lombardo mentioned he would help sending voters a 13-week abortion ban poll initiative, with exceptions for bodily well being, rape and incest. Reached for remark about extra particular particulars on Friday, Lombardo’s marketing campaign confirmed his reply and mentioned he would help giving voters the “final choice” on a 13-week abortion ban if it was introduced ahead by the Legislature or voters.

“If the voters and the Nevada Legislature despatched a invoice to the governor’s workplace, Joe has at all times mentioned that he would view it by means of a pro-life lens,” Lombardo spokeswoman Elizabeth Ray mentioned in an e-mail to The Nevada Impartial.

Lombardo’s marketing campaign mentioned he helps parental notification for minors however has not taken a place on spousal notification as a result of it was dominated unconstitutional by a federal choose in 1981. Latest marketing campaign finance reviews present a $1,500 expense from Lombardo’s marketing campaign to the anti-abortion advocacy group Nevada Proper to Life, together with an expense of a little bit greater than $1,400 to an anti-abortion disaster being pregnant middle — Girls’s Useful resource Medical Facilities for Southern Nevada — for particular occasion charges.

This story was up to date on Friday, August 8, 2022, at 10 a.m. to incorporate details about Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo’s stance on abortions.

For extra info on the abortion stances of prime candidates, go to this story.

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Nevada

Nevada Supreme Court rejects teachers union-backed appeal to put A's public funding on '24 ballot

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Nevada Supreme Court rejects teachers union-backed appeal to put A's public funding on '24 ballot


The Nevada Supreme Court on Monday struck down a proposed ballot initiative that would allow voters to decide whether to repeal the public funding that lawmakers approved last year for a new MLB stadium in Las Vegas.

The Monday ruling dealt a blow for detractors of the funding who saw a ballot question this year as the most effective route to repeal key parts of the sweeping bill that paved the way for the Oakland Athletics to move to Las Vegas.

NEVADA SUPREME COURT WILL TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT CHASING HORSE’S REQUEST TO DISMISS SEX ABUSE CHARGES

Five judges voted to uphold a lower court ruling that struck down the referendum. One judge dissented, while another concurred in-part and dissented in-part.

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In a statement following the ruling, Schools over Stadiums political action committee spokesperson Alexander Marks said their focus is now to get the question on the 2026 ballot. The PAC is backed by the Nevada State Education Association, a statewide teachers union who has long opposed public funding for the stadium.

The stadium financing debate in Nevada mirrors those happening nationwide over whether public funds should be used to help finance sports stadiums.

People gather outside the Nevada Supreme Court in Carson City, May 8, 2018. The Nevada Supreme Court, Monday, May 13, 2024, struck down a proposed ballot initiative that would allow voters to decide whether to repeal the public funding that lawmakers approved last year for a new MLB stadium in Las Vegas.  (AP Photo/By Scott Sonner)

A’s representatives and some Nevada tourism officials have said the public funding could add to Las Vegas’ growing sports scene and act as an economic engine. But a growing chorus of stadium economists, educators and some lawmakers had warned that it would bring minimal benefits, especially when compared to the hefty public price tag.

The Nevada Supreme Court ruled that the entirety of the 66-page bill must be included in the ballot question to provide its full context. But ballot referendums can be no more than 200 words — which lawyers for Schools over Stadiums admitted made it difficult to explain the complex bill during oral arguments last month.

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The court ruled that the 200-word description submitted by Schools over Stadiums was “misleading” and “explains the general effect of a referendum, but it does not describe the practical effects of this specific referendum.”

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Attorney Bradley Schrager, who represents the two plaintiffs who are labor union lobbyists in favor of the public funding, said on Monday that “all Nevadans have a right to participate in direct democracy, but they need to observe the laws that require properly informing the voters of a proposal. This measure obviously fails to do that.”

MLB owners have unanimously approved the A’s move to Las Vegas.



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Nevada shows biggest lead for Trump over Biden – 13 points – in new poll of swing states

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Nevada shows biggest lead for Trump over Biden – 13 points – in new poll of swing states


Could the third time be the charm for Donald Trump in Nevada?

It certainly looks like a possibility based on a new poll by the New York Times, Siena College and the Philadelphia Inquirer.

Trump lost in 2016 by 2.4 percentage points to Hillary Clinton and in 2020 by about the same difference to Joe Biden.

But the new poll of six swing states shows that among likely voters surveyed in Nevada, former President Trump leads President Joe Biden by 13 percentage points: 51% to 38%.

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That difference may hinge on favorability.

Those with a “net unfavorable” view of Biden – somewhat or very unfavorable – is 64%. It rises to 70% net unfavorable among Nevada’s large nonpartisan population.

Regarding Trump, Nevada registered voters have a 49% net unfavorable view, according to those who responded to the poll. Fifty-four percent of registered nonpartisan have a net unfavorable view – 16 percentage points lower than for Biden.

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other third-party candidates are added to the mix, the difference stays approximately the same: Trump 14 points ahead of Biden if the vote were held today.

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RFK Jr. would get 12% of Nevada’s votes, according to the survey.

As for whether he helps or harms one of the major party candidates, it doesn’t appear obvious: 10% of registered Republicans, 10% of Democrats and 15% of independents said they’d vote for RFK Jr.

Other poll findings – race/ethnicity, Rosen v. Brown

The poll shows Trump with a 9 percentage point lead in Nevada among registered Hispanic voters and a 6-point lead among “other” racial or ethnic minorities.

When Nevada voters were asked if they would support Democrat Jacky Rosen or Republican Sam Brown for U.S. Senate, Rosen holds a 2 percentage point advantage: 40% to 38%, which amounts to a toss-up based on the margin of error.

The Senate race shows a lot of room for movement, as about 23% of respondents said they didn’t know which one they’d pick or they refused to answer.

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Trump leading in most other swing states

Among all the swing states surveyed, Trump has a 6 percentage point lead with a margin of error of 1.9 points for the overall survey.

Trump has an advantage in all but one of the other swing states surveyed.

  • Arizona: Trump ahead by 6 percentage points among likely voters
  • Georgia: Trump ahead by 9
  • Michigan: Biden ahead by 1
  • Pennsylvania: Trump ahead by 3
  • Wisconsin: Trump ahead by 1

The margin of error in Nevada’s results is reported as 4.5 percentage points.

The polls were conducted from April 28 to May 9, and 21% of the surveys of Nevada Hispanic voters were conducted in Spanish.

How this poll compares to others

An Emerson College/The Hill poll released April 30 showed the presidential race much tighter in Nevada, with Trump having a 1-point lead over Biden.

A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, also in April, showed Trump up by 8 percent points in Nevada while one in March by the Wall Street Journal had Trump ahead by 4.

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However, the latest results track with another New York Times/Siena College poll about six months ago that showed Trump with a 12-point lead over Biden.

Mark Robison is the state politics reporter for the Reno Gazette Journal, with occasional forays into other topics. Email comments to mrobison@rgj.com or comment on Mark’s Greater Reno Facebook page.



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Nevada’s biggest labor union calls off 48-hour strike on Virgin Hotels Las Vegas with 5-year contract deal in sight

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Nevada’s biggest labor union calls off 48-hour strike on Virgin Hotels Las Vegas with 5-year contract deal in sight


Nevada’s largest labor union concluded a 48-hour strike Sunday meant to pressure Virgin Hotels Las Vegas to agree to a five-year contract on wages and benefits.

More than 700 workers with Culinary Union Local 226 walked off the job at the 1,500-room hotel-casino near the Las Vegas Strip on Friday morning and ended the strike Sunday morning. Contract talks are set to resume on Tuesday.

Guest room attendants, cocktail and food servers, porters, bellmen, cooks, bartenders, and laundry and kitchen workers were among those walking the picket line in front of Virgin Hotels, formerly the Hard Rock Las Vegas.

Ted Pappageorge, secretary-treasurer for the union, said workers hoped the 48-hour strike would help expedite a new agreement. The union’s contract with Virgin Hotels expired 11 months ago.

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Earlier this year, union members at other Las Vegas-area properties reached deals giving them a roughly 32% salary increase over five years, including 10% in the first year.

The last time Culinary Union members went on strike was in 2002 at the Golden Gate hotel-casino in downtown Las Vegas.

Virgin Hotels filed a complaint with the National Labor Relations Board last week ahead of the anticipated strike, accusing the union of failing to negotiate in good faith. Pappageorge disputed the claim.

Last year, the union authorized a citywide strike prior to Las Vegas hosting the Super Bowl. But it eventually reached an agreement with major hotel-casinos on the Strip for about 40,000 workers and with most downtown and off-Strip properties for 10,000 workers.

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