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Broncos need a math lesson before moving on from Russell Wilson

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Broncos need a math lesson before moving on from Russell Wilson


The debate surrounding Russell Wilson and the Broncos always seems to come down to what most things in life eventually are all about – money. The quarterback is scheduled to make a boatload of it in the coming years, with his five-year, $245-million contract set to kick in with the 2024 season.

Given how Wilson has performed during his two seasons in Denver, as well as the fact that the Broncos have struggled to an 11-19 record during his 30 starts in the Mile High City, there’s understandable frustration with those numbers. The QB doesn’t seem worth the money.

That’s hard to debate. Even the most-ardent Wilson supporter would have a difficult time suggesting that he’s played at a level worthy of roughly $50 million per season.

Thus, it’s easy for the anti-Wilson crowd to make a simple argument when it comes to the debate about whether or not the Broncos should move on from the quarterback. He simply isn’t worth the money.

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Oh, if it was only that simple.

If the Broncos could move on from Wilson’s contract, turn the page and move in another direction, the decision would be a no-brainer. They should cut their losses and move on. But that’s not the case.

Even if Denver parts ways with the quarterback this offseason, they’re still going to have to pay him; a large portion of his contract was guaranteed. He’ll also count a ton towards the teams salary cap, whether he’s playing in Denver or not.

Thus, the equation isn’t that simple. In fact, the math is pretty staggering.

If the Broncos cut Wilson, here’s how things shape up:

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CASH EXPENDITURES
2024 = $39 million
TOTAL = $39 million

SALARY CAP HITS
2024 = $35.4 million
2025 = $49.7 million
TOTAL = $85 million

Currently, the largest single dead cap number in NFL history is $40.525 million. That’s what the Falcons absorbed in order to move on from Matt Ryan prior to the 2022 season.

Wilson’s figure is more than double that amount. It’s staggering.

The Broncos are set to pay the QB a ton of money, and have two huge cap hits, for Wilson to NOT play for them. It’s insane.

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Conversely, here’s how the numbers look if Wilson stays in Denver for the next two seasons:

CASH EXPENDITURES
2024 = $39 million
2025 = $37 million
TOTAL = $76 million

SALARY CAP HITS
2024 = $35.4 million
2025 = $55.4 million
TOTAL = $90.8 million

During that stretch, it’s slightly more cap space for Wilson. It’s also more money out the door in terms of an actual expense. But at least they’d get 34 games from the player. The Broncos would be getting something in exchange for their outlay of dough and tied up salary cap room.

If they decided to part ways after the 2025 season, the Broncos would have one more hit. They’d have $31.2 million in dead cap for the ’26 campaign.

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So here’s the question. Would the Broncos rather pay a little more for something or a little less than nothing?

They can shell out $39 million for zero games or $76 million for 34. They can absorb an $85 million cap hit over two years ($42.5 per year) for a player not on their roster or $121 million over three years ($40.33 per year) for a quarterback who is on their roster for 66.67% of that time.

How is this a difficult question?

In order to justify eating that kind of cash and cap space for nothing in return, the argument would have to be that Wilson is such a distraction, such a detriment to the locker room, that he has to be sent packing. The addition-by-subtraction argument is the only thing that would make sense.

Given Wilson’s personality, as well as his reputation around the league and with his Broncos teammates, that seems hard to believe. For all his faults, the quarterback is a good guy and teammate.

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Thus, it makes no sense to move on from him. It’s not as though the Broncos will be able to use the money and salary cap space currently allotted to Wilson on anyone else. It’s not a question or putting the dollars to better use.

From a financial standpoint, it makes way more sense to have Wilson in Denver than elsewhere in 2024 and ’25. From a business perspective, it’s much more prudent to make it work with quarterback who has completed 66.4% of his passes this season, thrown 26 touchdowns to just eight interceptions and has a quarterback rating of 98.0 in 2023.

The math sends a very clear message to Greg Penner, Sean Payton, George Paton and anyone else involved in the Russell Wilson decision: Make it work.

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Denver, CO

WATCH THE PENULTIMATE SUPERCROSS IN DENVER IN UNDER 24 MINUTES – Motocross Action Magazine

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WATCH THE PENULTIMATE SUPERCROSS IN DENVER IN UNDER 24 MINUTES – Motocross Action Magazine










WATCH THE PENULTIMATE SUPERCROSS IN DENVER IN UNDER 24 MINUTES – Motocross Action Magazine




























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Hunter Lawrence wins Denver Supercross, heads to finale one point behind Ken Roczen

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Hunter Lawrence wins Denver Supercross, heads to finale one point behind Ken Roczen


Ken Roczen led Hunter Lawrence into Round 16 at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver with a four-point advantage and a newly acquired red plate. With Lawrence’s win and the reduction of three points, the two riders head to Salt Lake City in a winner-take-all scenario.

Lawrence won his heat, while Roczen finished third in Heat 2.

Lawrence took the feature lead early, and once he sniffed clean air, he steadily increased his gap on second.

“It’s good,” Lawrence told Peacock’s Will Christien. “[At the] five-second board, I’m just so excited. Let’s go out, have fun, and do what I love to do. It couldn’t have been much better than that.”

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Lawrence cut the championship deficit to a single point heading into the season finale. The two riders each have five victories.

If Lawrence and Roczen manage to tie in points, which will happen if they finish in the middle of the pack with Lawrence on spot ahead of Roczen, the tiebreaker would come down to second-place results. Lawrence finished second five times early in the season; Roczen has two runner-up results.

Meanwhile, Roczen had a modest start and had to come through the pack. Once he settled into second, he lost the tow of the leader, and ultimately lost more than 12 seconds to Lawrence.

Returning from an injury suffered in Cleveland, Eli Tomac thrilled the hometown crowd with the final podium position. He stalled his bike in sand in the opening laps but executed Beast Mode in the middle stage of the feature.

Fourth-place Malcolm Stewart and Chase Sexton rounded out the top five.

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In-Race Notes

Jorge Prado earned the holeshot, but Lawrence took the lead quickly.

Roczen slotted into fourth on the opening lap. There is a five-point gap between first and third in Supercross scoring.

But Roczen secured second from Prado on Lap 3, and trimmed three points from the gap.

Roczen lost 4.5 seconds to Lawrence as he made his way into second.

The third title contender, Cooper Webb, took third from Prado on Lap 5.

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Lawrence had the flow in the opening laps. He extended his lead to 6.2 seconds on Lap 7.

Tomac stalled in the sand and fell outside the top five, but found his rhythm and climbed to fourth on Lap 8. Webb lost a position to Prado earlier in that lap.

Lawrence was on a rail, forcing Roczen to ride on the edge of his comfort zone.

A little further back in the field, Justin Barcia was sixth on Lap 10 in his second race back.

Tomac secured third from Prado on Lap 12.

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Roczen fell to eight seconds behind on Lap 13. Eight minutes remained on the clock.

The top three settled into a rhythm with seven minutes on the clock. The gap between them was slowly widening.

Cooper and Dylan Ferrandis tangled while challenging for sixth.

One lap later, Webb tangled with Jorge Prado, and both riders lost momentum. Webb hit the dirt and dropped outside the top 10. That ended his dim hope of securing a fourth Supercross championship.

Malcolm Stewart moved into fifth.

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One lap later, Stewart grabbed fourth from Sexton.

In all the chaos, Justin Barcia (eighth) climbed into the top 10 in his second race after returning from a scary crash in the season opener at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California.





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2026 Denver Supercross Results

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2026 Denver Supercross Results


Ryan Nitzen | May 2, 2026

Denver, Colorado serves as round 16 of the Monster Energy SuperMotocross World Championship at Empower Field at Mile High Stadium. Today is the penultimate round of the Supercross Championship and things are coming down to the wire as Ken Roczen leads the championship by four points over Hunter Lawrence. In 250SX, the Western Divisional Championship is back on track with Haiden Deegan looking to close out his season on top. Let’s get into the action from qualifying!

Denver, Colorado serves as round 16 of the Monster Energy SuperMotocross World Championship at Empower Field at Mile High Stadium. Photos: Octopi Media
2026-denver-supercross-cycle-news-roczen
Ken Roczen leads the 450SX points by four over Hunter Lawrence.

450 QUALIFYING

Ken Roczen is turning up the heat late as he leads the 450SX points for the first time ever in the second-half of the season. The Progressive Suzuki rider set the fastest lap in the 450’s and posted the fastest time of anyone on track with a 50.103. He was only two-tenths quicker than Hunter Lawrence who took second overall with a 50.314. Chase Sexton looked fast all morning and clocked the time to beat in Q1 before taking third overall.

2026-denver-supercross-cycle-news-roczen
Roczen set the time to beat.
2026-denver-supercross-cycle-news-lawrence
Hunter Lawrence clocked a close second.
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Sexton was fastest in Q1 but third overall.
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Eli Tomac returns to action today for his home race. He qualified sixth overall.

450SX OVERALL QUALIFYING RESULTS (Top 10)

1. Ken Roczen (Suz) 50.103
2. Hunter Lawrence (Hon) 50.314
3. Chase Sexton (Kaw) 50.392
4. Justin Hill (KTM) 50.532
5. Dylan Ferrandis (Duc) 50.771
6. Eli Tomac (KTM) 51.010
7. Jorge Prado (KTM) 51.039
8. Justin Cooper (Yam) 51.054
9. Garrett Marchbanks (Kaw) 51.350
10. Christian Craig (Hon) 51.524

250 QUALIFYING

With 250SX West back on track today, it’s no surprise to see Haiden Deegan as the fastest qualifier. He’s already clinched the 250 title so there’s no real pressure other than closing out his 250 career with a win. Deegan heads to the line first going into the night show and was the only 250 rider in the 50-second range. Levi Kitchen was a close second and looks up to speed after a mid-season back injury. Ryder DiFrancesco rounded out the top three after setting the time to beat in the first qualifying session.

2026-denver-supercross-cycle-news-250sx-west
The 250SX West division is back on track in Denver.
2026-denver-supercross-cycle-news-deegan
No surprise to see Haiden Deegan on top of the 250 class.
2026-denver-supercross-cycle-news-kitchen
Levi Kitchen looked up to speed for second overall.
2026-denver-supercross-cycle-news-difrancesco
Ryder DiFrancesco was fastest in Q1 and third overall.

250SX OVERALL QUALIFYING RESULTS (Top 10)

1. Haiden Deegan (Yam) 50.981
2. Levi Kitchen (Kaw) 51.348
3. Ryder DiFrancesco (Hus) 51.562
4. Max Anstie (Yam) 51.750
5. Lux Turner (Yam) 52.196
6. Max Vohland (Yam) 52.692
7. Joshua Varize (Kaw) 52.696
8. Cameron McAdoo (Kaw) 52.759
9. Carson Mumford (KTM) 52.829
10. Hunter Yoder (Yam) 52.939

Denver Notes

  • Eli Tomac returns to action today after crashing in Cleveland and missing the last two rounds
  • Joey Savatgy crashed in 450 Q1 and injured his wrist. He’s out for tonight’s racing
  • Cameron McAdoo is back on track after recovering from a fractured humerus in Seattle
  • Kayden Minear makes his pro debut today with the Star Racing Yamaha team
  • Gage Linville starts his time with the Triumph Factory Racing Team today

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