Texas
No. 7 Texas vs. Texas Tech advanced stats preview
The regular season concludes with the No. 7 Texas Longhorns hosting the Texas Tech Red Raiders one last time back at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on Friday night. Texas has faced some difficult situations in the past three weeks, but they have found a way to win each time. With the conference championship within reach, along with a shot at the playoffs, I expect the Horns to walk into this week’s game swinging for the fences.
Offense
While Texas struggled to gain any momentum in the first half against Iowa State, running back CJ Baxter was able to lead the ground game sufficiently with 117 yards on 20 carries, and quarterback Quinn Ewers went 23-of-33 passing for 281 yards and two touchdowns. This week I wanted to revisit the Big 12 quarterback comparison. Below is a graph displaying the number of completions each quarterback had sorted by depth. The depth zones are categorized by PFF as follows — deep is 20-plus yards, intermediate is the 10–20-yard range, short is the 0–10-yard range, and behind the line of scrimmage (most often on screens). The percentages inside each bar represents their completion percentage.
The first caveat when assessing this information is that Ewers did miss two games which affects his total completion numbers. You will immediately notice that Texas passes behind the line of scrimmage far more than other Big 12 teams. These play calls are ones that frustrate many Texas fans when the opposing defense immediately recognizes and blows them up, but the accuracy of Ewers on them is moderately good.
A big stand out is that Ewers has the best completion percentage in the intermediate range in the Big 12. Even better, that number ranks first in the nation. On the other hand, his completion percentages in the short or deep zones are just below average compared to all other quarterbacks who have played a significant number of games.
Texas Tech uses a 3-3-5 package with one of the linebackers frequently rushing. Their defensive line ranks about average in run stopping but look out for defensive tackle Tony Bradford Jr (34 tackles, 3 sacks), nose tackle Jaylon Hutchings (44, 3.5), and edge Steve Linton (22, 3). Hutchings and Linton have both suffered injuries and are questionable for Friday. Tech ranks decently well in run stopping thanks to linebackers Jacob Rodriguez (24, 0) and Ben Roberts (87, 0.5).
Strong safety CJ Baskerville (64, 0) is sometimes sent in on the blitz and ranks well as a run defender. Free safety Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (62, 1) is also rated highly but his availability also remains a mystery as well due to injury.
The Red Raiders are better in pass coverage, ranking 36th in yards per pass allowed. This is led by corners Malik Dunlap (4 pass breakups, 3 interceptions) and Rayshad Williams (6, 0), along with safeties Taylor-Demerson (5, 4) and Baskerville (5, 1).
Defense
Following last week’s notes on first down conversion rate, I wanted to repeat the analysis for the defensive side. Below are charts showing the total number of first downs allowed and separated by what the current down was prior to the conversion. The numbers inside again represent the conversion percentage. I included all Big 12 teams as well as consensus top-15 teams per the CFP rankings.
I anticipated Texas to have a top rushing defense as we have seen them display their strength through a variety of other metrics so far this season. But Penn State ranking one spot higher was still surprising given the way they played against Michigan. The Longhorns seem to still allow a chunk of running second downs to be converted but their staunch third-down defense is what separates them from the pack and the team has been able to lean on them when it matters most. I also want to point out that Texas Tech, along with Washington, Houston, and Mizzou, have the worst third-down run defenses. Next is the same graph but for passing defense.
And now here is the gut-wrenching reality. I suspected that Texas would not rank as high in passing first downs allowed, but to be second only to Houston was disappointing. We can argue all we like about Oregon’s strength of schedule versus ours, but we shouldn’t be this far down the list. Luckily, the completion percentage allowed for Texas improves, relative to the rest of the nation, as we move to second and third down. The first-down passing scenario seems to be the Horns’ biggest weakness, but killing those plays would help establish defensive dominance earlier on. This would put them in better situations, maybe even encouraging the offense to have to run on second/third and short.
The Red Raiders had a high-powered Air Raid offense last year led by quarterback Donovan Smith, but they have not seen the same success in passing this year due to starting quarterback Tyler Shough having to leave early in the season with a broken leg. Behren Morton has been under center for the Red Raiders for most of the season and hasn’t been as turnover-prone as quarterbacks Texas has faced in recent weeks. He has 12 touchdowns and four interceptions on the season with a 63.3-percent completion rate overall.
Morton does best in the short game, keeping the tempo up for their fast-paced offense. I would like to see more aggressive press coverage since he is not accurate in the deep game. This would be a great opportunity to see how the Texas secondary can stop the passing game up front and prevent those early first downs.
They rotate through many receivers, but their go-to targets include outside threat Jerand Bradley who at 6’5, should be able to dominate the 50/50 ball, but only has caught 55 percent of his targets. Next is dangerous slot receiver Myles Price who has been out (shoulder) but is expected to return this week. Xavier White is often used on the other side to create space underneath for Price. Coy Eakin and Jordan Brown are also outside guys with a lot of potential given their size and speed but haven’t been too impressive this year apart from grabbing quick slants, outs, and fades.
Because the quarterback situation has been difficult this year, Tech has become a run-heavy offense and are extremely reliant on Tahj Brooks. He should not be overlooked as he is graded better than Jonathon Brooks, Audric Estime, and Bucky Irving this season. Their offensive line struggles to create line yards which speaks volumes to the production of Brooks despite that. The Longhorns will continue to dominate the line of scrimmage, but Brooks is shifty and can break tackles. A breakout run for him is never out of the question and could easily open up the game for Tech.
Conclusion
Texas will have to go back to a strong running game behind Baxter to set the tone. It looks like Ewers was able to establish a rhythm in the second half of the Iowa State game and he shouldn’t be intimidated by Tech’s passing offense. The Horns run defense has been a pillar of the team’s overall character and they are now going up against a perennial talent in which I expect them to deliver again. If they take that away from the Red Raiders, they are left to create yards behind a quarterback without much experience and limited range. Texas is a 14-point favorite according to Draft Kings.
Texas
Texas declares state emergency over polar vortex
Texas Governor Greg Abbott has declared a state of emergency in response to the polar vortex, which is bringing snow, ice and freezing rain across the nation.
According to a Monday statement from the governor’s office, emergency response resources, including transportation crews, the National Guard and medical teams, have been activated.
Governor Abbott urged Texans to stay weather-aware, avoid unnecessary travel and locate nearby warming centers through state-provided resources.
Newsweek has contacted the governor’s office via phone and the Texas Division of Emergency Management via email for comment.
Why It Matters
The polar vortex has triggered freeze warnings and advisories across Texas, threatening human safety and infrastructure.
The freezing temperatures can cause frostbite and hypothermia as well as damage to crops, vegetation and homes. In the past, the state’s transportation and electricity infrastructure has been severely affected by extreme cold events.
With similar conditions forecast, the state’s proactive measures aim to mitigate risks to residents and critical infrastructure. Texans are bracing for potential power outages and dangerous travel conditions.
What To Know
The National Weather Service has forecast sub-freezing temperatures across central, eastern and northern Texas, with wind chills as low as 5 degrees Fahrenheit in some areas.
Houston and coastal regions may experience 40 mph wind gusts, while Dallas-Fort Worth faces a possibility of single-digit wind chills.
More than 700 Texas Department of Transportation personnel have pre-treated roads, bridges and overpasses with brine and granular materials to improve safety.
Emergency teams from multiple state agencies, including the Texas National Guard, have been deployed to assist stranded motorists, monitor power outages and support with medical emergencies.
The Texas power grid failed in 2021 as a frigid storm left more than 4 million without power or access to food and water. The storm also killed hundreds.
What People Are Saying
Governor Abbott on X: “Today, I activated state emergency response resources ahead of severe winter weather expected to impact the state this week. As Texas faces snow, ice, and freezing rain, we’re working around-the-clock to ensure Texans have necessary resources.”
Dylan Federico, meteorologist for Fox 4 Dallas-Fort Worth, on X: “Dangerous situation with wind chills already in the teens in North Texas. It will feel like the single digits tomorrow morning. Stay safe!”
National Weather Service advice on cold weather safety: “Extremely cold air comes every winter into at least part of the country and affects millions of people across the United States. The arctic air can be dangerous. Combined with brisk winds, dangerously cold wind chill values can result.”
What Happens Next
Texans should prepare for freezing conditions and potential snowfall throughout the week, with warmer temperatures anticipated by the weekend.
State officials will continue monitoring infrastructure and provide updates to ensure public safety.
Texas
Irving Inclement Weather Shelter offers warmth, meals and hospitality
NORTH TEXAS – The Irving Inclement Weather Shelter offers more than a warm meal and a place to sleep. Volunteers spend time with guests, help with laundry, and play games.
“We use a term called radical hospitality. The biggest thing we want our guests to feel is loved and embraced,” said Stephen Allen, executive director of Life Change Housing Associates.
Four years ago, Christ Church Irving donated a 12,000-square-foot building to Life Change Housing Associates to create this shelter. It’s almost entirely funded by private donations from neighbors and organizations.
“We don’t have a kitchen here, so everything that we eat here is brought in,” said Allen.
The shelter is always in need of businesses and organizations willing to sponsor a meal. The shelter will be open through Jan. 11.
“Just giving them a place where they can get out of the weather, a warm, safe place where they can just crash and sleep—you can’t get a good night’s sleep on the streets,” said Allen.
Volunteer Tangela Bedford knows what it’s like to be out on the streets in this weather.
“Especially when it’s cold and raining ice,” said Bedford.
She was once homeless herself, but over the last year, the team here has connected her with resources that found her a place to stay, a new job, and hope.
“This time last year I was actually in the shelter, and now I’m here to volunteer because I’m graduated, I guess you can say,” said Bedford, laughing. “And I got back on my feet to where I need to be.”
“It feels great, and it feels even better to know that I can come back and help and volunteer to help the next person as well.”
Over the last two years, they’ve helped 150 people find stable housing and helped hundreds stay out of the cold.
“I try to tell people all the time, don’t think that I’m anything special because I’m not,” said Allen. “I’d love to be home with my wife watching TV under a warm blanket, especially when it’s snowing outside, but the Lord has called us to do this to help others, and that’s why I do it—it’s for him.”
Summer Cromartie started volunteering here last year.
“The first time we volunteered, we knew that this was home for us to be able to meet a real and tangible need,” said Cromartie. “It’s one thing to be able to collect soup cans, but it’s another thing to be able to hand soup to an actual person.”
It’s that community that makes all the difference here.
“I just know that these folks are people with stories and mothers and kids, and they are just like I am,” said Cromartie.
The Irving Inclement Shelter is in need of new cots, blankets, and organizations and businesses interested in sponsoring meals for their guests over the next few days. To reach out to the shelter, visit Irvinghomeless.com.
Texas
Paxton issues warning to Texas House Republicans in bitter Speaker battle
On Monday, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Texas GOP Chairman Abraham George kicked off a statewide tour in Fort Worth to help Representative David Cook of Mansfield win the Speaker’s gavel next week.
Before a standing-room-only crowd at Tarrant County Republican party headquarters, Paxton and George said Cook should become Speaker because he won support from the House GOP Caucus last month over Representative Dustin Burrows of Lubbock.
Paxton told reporters grassroots Republicans want conservatives leading the House and don’t want what he called moderate Republicans joining Democrats to select a Speaker.
“If the Speakership is controlled by a block of Democratic votes, which it has been since Joe Straus, it prevents Republicans who are elected to get certain things done, from getting their priorities done,” he said. “And that’s been happening for the past 16 years and I think this is the first time we’ve really had the chance to expose that.”
A number of House Republicans from around North Texas joined Paxton and George in backing Cook. They also said only Republicans should serve as committee chairs, and that the old tradition of including some Democrats as committee chairs needs to end. The Texas GOP supports such a move.
Paxton said he’s hoping veteran Republican State Representatives Charlie Geren and Giovanni Capriglione from Tarrant County and John McQueeney, an incoming Republican freshman will change their minds and back Cook over Burrows.
Paxton told the crowd, “Go talk to Representative Giovanni. Go talk to Representative Geren and particularly talk to John McQueeney who just got elected. These guys need to listen to you.”
Capriglione told CBS News Texas that he’s not changing his mind and remains committed to Burrows.
In a statement, Capriglione said, “His proven leadership and unwavering commitment to our shared conservative values will ensure that the priorities of our constituents will be implemented.”
Representative-elect McQueeney declined to comment and CBS News Texas did not hear back from Representative Geren.
Representative Carl Tepper, a friend and supporter of Burrows, told CBS News Texas last month that Burrows is more conservative than Cook.
“I reject the premise that it’s rebel forces of uber-conservatives trying to get control of the Texas House,” said Tepper. “It’s actually the opposite. I’m trying to get the conservative guy in to lead the House.”
If Burrows becomes Speaker, Paxton and George warned any Republican who backs Burrows.
“If they don’t listen, we are going to come back and primary them next session and beat them,” Paxton said.
George echoed that.
“It is something we may end up having to do if that’s what it takes to get our House in order,” said George.
The crowd applauded.
During the interview last month, Tepper said he was unfazed by the threat.
“I just don’t take my orders from the Republican Party of Texas,” he said. “I take my orders from the Republicans in the Republican primary in Lubbock County, and I take my orders from my voters here.”
Democratic State Representative Ana Maria Rodriguez Ramos is also running for Texas Speaker. Seventy-six votes are needed to win the gavel. The full Texas House votes on Jan. 14, the first day of the new legislative session.
Watch Eye On Politics 7:30 a.m. Sunday on air and streaming.
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