Dallas, TX
Our crystal ball predictions for the Cowboys defense
Earlier, we had approximated the Dallas Cowboys’ leaders in offensive statistics. Unsurprisingly, Dak Prescott is projected to lead Dallas in passing numbers. Who leads the team in rushing scores is a bit more complicated. There’s some uncertainty to be expected with the addition of Brian Schottenheimer taking over as offensive coordinator for Kellen Moore. What’s not complicated, however, is on the defensive side of the ball.
Since Dan Quinn was named defensive coordinator, the Cowboys’ defensive unit has flourished and has become a consistent group. They are arguably one of the best and fastest defenses in the league, while also having the flexibility to play several different fronts and align their personnel in a variety of ways. In keeping up with the theme of predicting the statistical leaders for the Cowboys, here are the projected leaders for the Cowboys’ stats on defense and approximating those totals.
Total Tackles
Initially, it took some thought as to who would best pick to lead the Cowboys in this category. Donovan Wilson led the team with 101 tackles last season and despite missing time with a neck injury, linebacker Leighton Vander Esch came in second with 90 tackles. Ultimately, Jayron Kearse appears to be the more logical choice. Both Vander Esch and Wilson were given new contracts and will be on the team beyond this season. Meanwhile, Jayron Kearse is in the last year of his contract and everyone knows that’s when a chip on a player’s shoulder looks more like a 2X4.
Nevertheless, Kearse deserves some of the credit for the transformation of the Cowboys’ defense in recent years. One of the reasons why the Cowboys have one of the league’s fastest defenses is because they use their safeties so seamlessly throughout their defense. Since arriving in Dallas from the Detroit Lions, Kearse has made a name for himself with his versatility. Kearse can play down near the line of scrimmage as a pseudo linebacker and has the skill to cover tight ends off the line of scrimmage. Kearse also led the team in total tackles in 2021. His speed, skill, and instincts to navigate an efficient path to the ball carrier make him the prime choice to lead the Cowboys in this category.
Leader: Jayron Kearse, 117 tackles
Tackles for Loss
Ordinarily, you would expect this stat to be led by a player who plays along the defensive line. Those considered would be DeMarcus Lawrence, who has been a very effective defender against the run and getting to the ball carrier behind the line of scrimmage. Micah Parsons had led the team in this department the last two seasons with 33 tackles for loss (TFL) since 2021. Then you have Sam Williams who played as a supplemental edge rusher and still tallied ten TFL in his rookie year.
Yet, Damone Clark is my choice for this stat, and here’s why. Think about the progress Clark made last season. First, Clark wasn’t expected to take the field last year. After undergoing spinal fusion surgery in the spring of 2022, it was thought that Clark was going to have a redshirt season and be sidelined for his rookie campaign. Not only did Clark play, but he also significant increase in playing time as the season progressed, and passed Jabril Cox on the depth chart.
Clark, having an entire offseason to mature both physically and mentally, should take a leap in his progression. You also have to take into account that Parsons had altered his body to play more frequently along the defensive line, opening more opportunities for Clark. Plus, the team tookcare of business in the trenches by re-signing Jonathan Hankins to play the 1-tech in their defense and drafted Mazi Smith in the first round. Improved instincts, a renewed dedication to the defensive interior, and Clark’s speed will see him lead the team in tackles for loss.
Leader: Damone Clark, 11
Sacks
Don’t tell me you were expecting anybody but Micah Parsons. Parsons is “him”. Dubbed the “Lion”, Parsons has been hunting and stalking opposing quarterbacks at a blistering pace. At just 23 years old, Parsons has recorded 26.5 sacks and is one of the most feared pass rushers in the NFL. There are so many things he does well at such a young age, there’s no reason to believe he’s anywhere near his full potential. Parsons can convert speed to power, he can dip his shoulder turn the corner against offensive tackles, and has elite closing speed when rushing through the A and B gaps.
As mentioned, Sam Williams had a very good first year and Dorance Armstrong showed tremendous strides last season. His emergence takes the pressure off Lawrence and Parsons to rush the passer. Another added benefit is the team’s athleticism on the interior. Osa Odighizuwa is very nimble for his size as is Neville Gallimore. Both interior linemen working in tandem with Parsons when he’s lined up at the edge on twists and stunts upfront could lead to even more production. Parsons will come close to breaking DeMarcus Ware’s record for most sacks in a season by a Cowboy (20).
Leader: Micah Parsons, 19
Interceptions
The obvious choice here would be Trevon Diggs and with good reason. In 2021, Diggs led the NFL with 11 interceptions and was named an All-Pro by the associated press. While some argued that Diggs was better in 2022, he allowed far fewer yards in coverage, he didn’t intercept anywhere near as many passes. The likely reason is that he was targeted almost twenty percent less than he was in his breakout year. It only took one season, but quarterbacks quickly learned not to throw the ball in his direction. That also meant bad news for the other side of the field.
It’s been well documented, but the Cowboys suffered through a lot of injuries in their secondary. Anthony Brown tore his Achilles against the New York Giants and from that point forward, the team had a revolving door at cornerback opposite of Diggs. For a time, the Cowboys gave Kelvin Joseph a chance to man the position, but he was abysmal and allowed a passer rating of 147.9 while in coverage. To address that problem the team acquired former Defensive Player of the Year, Stephon Gilmore, in hopes of finding a solution to their coverage questions.
Gilmore is long in the tooth entering his 11th NFL season but still has excellent instincts and knows how to locate the football and had eleven passes defended for the Indianapolis Colts last year. Let’s also not forget about DaRon Bland. Bland was pressed into action after the Cowboys lost another cornerback, Jourdan Lewis, to a season-ending foot injury. Bland demonstrated excellent ball skills from the slot and intercepted five passes, many of which were him stronger at the point of the catch than the receiver. Bland and Diggs are similar in that characteristic.
In the end, it will be Diggs who leads the team in interceptions. He’s entering the final year of his contract and stands to make a huge pay increase. If he has half the production of his 2021 season, expect the armored truck to be parked in his driveway.
Leader: Trevon Diggs, 7
Dallas, TX
Cowboys built largest home lead of season, held on for first AT&T Stadium win vs. Giants
Thanksgiving traditions can come from anywhere. They can start at any time and feel as important the very first time as they do years later. For the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving, they sparked their second winning streak of the 2024 season by beating the New York Giants 27-20. In the spirit of the holiday season, the headline here doesn’t need to be that the Cowboys won both games against the Giants this year, now the clear worst team in the NFC East, by a combined 12 points. They are playing mostly watchable football for the first time in a long time, having some fun while doing so, and getting players back healthy to make a difference.
They finally have a home win to improve their AT&T Stadium record to 1-5 this season, with home games remaining against the Bengals, Buccaneers, and Commanders. It wouldn’t be a 2024 Cowboys home game without trailing early at some point, but unlike in so many other games this season the Cowboys were able to respond, get back to playing complementary football, and win the turnover battle and the game.
The Cowboys have now won two straight to snap a previous five-game losing streak and improved their record to 5-7. It is amazing how simply winning games in this league can turn narratives on their head, even when the wins and losses are determined by mere inches. Dallas has gone from a team destined to have one of the most pitiful lost seasons of all time to one tied in the win column with Indianapolis, San Francisco, Tampa Bay, and the L.A. Rams. The outlooks for all of these teams are much better than where the Cowboys appeared to be heading before finding their footing and winning two games in four days. This is a team that hasn’t showed signs of quitting despite staring many reasons for doing so in the face.
While these wins have dropped their draft position outside of the top ten, the Giants seventh straight loss keeps them in position for the number one overall pick. Certainly this adds the context to not get carried away with too much talk of the Cowboys making a miraculous run to the playoffs, but winning in the Thanksgiving throwback uniforms is always a welcome sight. This was the fourth time the Cowboys and Giants have met on Turkey Day, with the Cowboys now 4-0 and securing a sweep of their rivals from New Jersey for the fourth straight season and seventh in the last eight.
With a longer break now before the Cowboys look to add to their two-game win streak and start a home one against the Bengals, here is how the team served up dessert to go with every fan’s Thanksgiving feast on Thursday afternoon.
- It was once again a makeshift offensive line for the Cowboys as Zack Martin missed his second straight game. In what should have been a good evaluation game for Tyler Guyton, it was mostly Chuma Edoga at left tackle after Guyton got hurt, alongside Tyler Smith who did return after missing the Commanders game.
The Cowboys were able to mitigate this again by getting the ball out of Cooper Rush’s hands, as well as relying on Rico Dowdle to serve as his own blocker when needed and run through defenders for positive yards. Of Rush’s 21 completions, only two were completed longer than ten yards. The Cowboys were just 3-12 on third downs, with two of these conversions coming on the game’s opening drive. Jumping out to a touchdown lead against a Giants team starting journeyman Drew Lock at QB would have been ideal, but another red zone third-down attempt didn’t give the Cowboys much of a chance at finding paydirt.
With Brandin Cooks playing in his first game since the week four win at the Giants, also played on a Thursday night, the Cowboys looked to get him involved early out wide. This allowed CeeDee Lamb to get more opportunities out of the slot which is where Mike McCarthy can scheme the run-after-the-catch plays needed for this Cowboys offense to find any explosiveness. With Cooks on the outside and Lamb inside on a third and five, Cooks could not win at the catch point on a drive route and brought up a fourth down that led to Brandon Aubrey’s first of two field goals.
Cooks and Lamb playing on the same side of the formation was a heavy focus for the Cowboys in this game, looking to find any way to get their receivers more free releases and create easy throws underneath for Rush. This entire concept is still a work in progress for this offense though. The second-down play before the incompletion in the red zone was a slot fade to Kavontae Turpin. We mentioned last week how Turpin should have a real chance to get more involved with the offense for the rest of this season, but a low percentage throw like this one is not a good way to do so.
In his first game back from injury, Cooks continued to have some of the same struggles from earlier in the year when it came to keeping defenders away from the catch point and separating vertically on routes. Returning for just his third home game of the season after only playing in early season runaway games against the Saints and Ravens, it was a great sight for tired turkey-feasting eyes to see Cooks score on a crossing route in the third quarter to extend the Dallas lead to ten. This pushed the lead to double-digits which went a long way with Lock and the Giants offense struggling to sustain drives and handle a Cowboys pass rush that again had their way whenever given the chance to play from ahead.
- If the playoffs are still going to be a distant objective for this Cowboys team, and evaluating the existing talent on the roster is still the primary objective over these next five weeks, it is important not to lose sight of players with high draft pedigree or “blue chip” prospects in this evaluation. In this case, it was again defensive tackle Mazi Smith having a strong game on the defensive interior.
Mike Zimmer’s defense has looked like the most consistently prepared unit on this entire football team for weeks now. Led by a pass rush that’s been lifted by Micah Parsons, and expects DeMarcus Lawrence back as early as next Monday night versus the Bengals, the Cowboys never let Lock get comfortable in the pocket in this game. He had some scramble plays that extended drives, but Lock was mostly contained where the Cowboys got to him for six sacks. Lock’s 28 yard rush in the first quarter was the Giants’ longest offensive play of the game.
The Giants’ first possession going for a touchdown was their only TD drive until late in the fourth quarter, and they got there by converting both a fourth-and-short and third-and-short. The Cowboys did a great job making later third-down attempts for the Giants more obvious passing situations where they could bring pressure and force the ball short of the sticks, while committing coverage to star rookie receiver Malik Nabers and force other targets to beat them. Jourdan Lewis and others did a good job disrupting Nabers and not allowing him to run free downfield. Lewis’ consistently strong play this season, particularly in recent weeks, has helped safety Donovan Wilson look better in coverage by having more time to get to his spots in coverage and not have to carry receivers at their stem in man.
Both starting cornerbacks Bland and Butler were up to the challenge, while DeMarvion Overshown also got in on the action in coverage with one of the defensive plays of the season for Dallas. Overshown has been a blur all season making plays all over the field, especially in his first Thanksgiving action against the Giants. He is one of the team’s best young rising players to build around at linebacker, and plays like his tipped screen pass for a pick six to give the Cowboys their first lead show why.
When Overshown crossed the goal line to put the Cowboys ahead 13-7, the narrow six-point lead was actually the team’s largest of the season at home. Even playing with a marginal lead is all the Cowboys needed to settle into this game and play to their strengths. The Cowboys offense left a lot to be desired in their efforts to separate on the scoreboard and make it a true Thanksgiving feast, having a CeeDee Lamb third-down drop that led to Hunter Luepke being stopped short on fourth down in the second quarter. The defense more than picked up the slack, forcing back-to-back punts after Overshown’s pick-six with a Donovan Wilson third-down sack and three-and-out around their own turnover on downs.
On the Wilson sack, Parsons also had pressure twisting from the defensive end spot to rush against the Giants interior offensive line. Increasing these chances for Parsons to rush against guards is something Zimmer should be able to do more of when Lawrence returns to play at left defensive end if the play of the defensive tackle group remains strong led by Smith, Linval Joseph, and Osa Odighizuwa, who added a sack as well.
The Giants’ first drive lasting 13 plays for a touchdown was longer than their next four drives combined, ending in an interception, two punts, and a field goal. This is simply not a Zimmer and Al Harris led defense that is going to let opposing offenses get comfortable and control the game while putting up points that increase the pressure on Rush to get in shootouts. The Cowboys were able to get Rico Dowdle over 20 touches for the second week in a row, and the results showed up in the most important place – the win column.
Just how far the Cowboys can take this style of play the rest of the season remains to be seen, but being good enough over their last two games to reach 3-1 in division play is something every Dallas fan can smile about.
Dallas, TX
Game Day Guide: Stars vs Avalanche | Dallas Stars
First Shift 🏒
As the Stars pass the quarter point in the 2024-25 season, they definitely have some challenges.
After posting back-to-back trips to the Western Conference Final under coach Pete DeBoer and his staff, the start of this year has been uneven. Dallas last season had the best road record in the NHL and the best in franchise history at 26-10-5. This year, Dallas is 5-6-0 away from home and also has an additional “home” loss in Finland. That’s something that has to be addressed.
But, conversely, they are much better at home, going 8-1-0 at American Airlines Center, adding to the realization that this is a completely different season.
So when you compare the two performances, there is a lot to be addressed. Dallas was second best in points percentage last season at .689 and is eighth best this year at .619. The Stars last season were third in scoring at 3.59 goals per game and are eighth this year at 3.38 goals per game. That said, they are still eighth in both categories.
But it doesn’t feel that way.
“This team I don’t think has had a ton of adversity these last two years, and there’s a little bit coming at us right now,” said Duchene after a 6-2 loss in Chicago on Wednesday. “We’ve just got to figure things out and keep working and pushing.”
The Stars’ biggest issue so far has been a lack of power play success. Dallas is 25th in success rate on the man advantage at 16.7 percent after ranking sixth last year at 24.2 percent. They also have surrendered three shorthanded goals after allowing only four all of last season.
“We have to find the balance,” said Johnston. “You can’t panic, you have to stay focused. You just have to outwork the penalty killers. You have five guys, but you still have to work harder than their four.”
The Stars will get the chance to do that with some great tests coming up. Dallas plays host to Colorado on Friday and Winnipeg on Sunday. The Avalanche are starting to get healthy and are 7-2-0 in their past nine games. Winnipeg is leading the NHL at 18-5-0. After winning the Central Division last season, Dallas currently ranks third.
That said, this is a strange season. Because the league will shut down for the Four Nations Faceoff in February, and because the Stars took a week to go to Finland, the schedule is condensed. As a result, the players and coaches have to adjust. Even so, many good teams have had challenges this year too, and that’s part of the game.
“You look around the league and we’re not the only team going through something like this,” DeBoer said. “You have to dig in and stick together and get your foundation back and play better hockey.”
Dallas, TX
New York Giants Fall to Dallas Cowboys, 27-20 on Thanksgiving
The New York Giants’ dreadful 2024 season continued with a 27-20 to the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving. It was the Giants’ seventh-straight loss this season and their eighth-consecutive defeat at the hands of the Cowboys, dating back to the 2020 season.
The Cowboys benefitted from two Giants turnovers, including a pick-6 by DeMarvion Overshown in the second quarter he returned 23 yards to give the Cowboys a 13-7 lead, the Cowboys at that point never relinquishing the lead.
The other came following a Giants fumble in the second half, which the Cowboys converted into another touchdown to cap a six-play scoring drive.
The game started well, as the Giants held the Cowboys to just a field goal after their first possession. The Giants offense took the field with Drew Lock under center for the injured Tommy DeVito.
Lock was under pressure practically half the game, the Cowboys hitting him 14 times and sacking him six. The Giants also had just as many penalties in this game (13) as they did first downs (17), and their defense once again couldn’t stop the run if they tried, with missed tackles–at least 10 of them in the first half alone–an ongoing problem.
Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle captured his first career 100+ yard rushing game, going for 112 yards and one touchdown against the Giants, who saw three defensive linemen–D.J. Davidson (shoulder), Rakeem Nunez-Roches (stinger) and Dexter Lawrence II (elbow)–leave the game with injuries.
Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush finished 21 of 36 for 195 yards and one touchdown, his leading receiver being tight end Luke Schoonmaker (five catches on six pass targets).
Lock and running back Tyrone Tracy, Jr. scored the Giants’ two touchdowns, TRacy’s coming on a 1-yard run on the Giants’ opening drive to give them their first lead in a game since Week 6, and then Lock scoring a fourth-quarter garbage time touchdown on an 8-yard rush to make it 27-20 with 2:18 left.
The Giants got the rest of their scoring from kicker Graham Gano, who hit field goals of 46 and 47 yards.
Giants receiver Malik Nabers caught 13 pass targets for 69 yards, but he also dropped two balls. Rookie tight end Theo Johnson displayed toughness on a few of his receptions, hauling in five catches for 54 yards.
This is the Giants’ ninth time in the last 11 seasons that they’ve lost at least ten games. This loss eliminated them from playoff contention and currently slots them into the No.1 pick in April’s draft.
The Giants will have 10 days to prepare for their next matchup, a home meeting with the New Orleans Saints. They’re now the only team in the NFL to win a game at home still not this season, and they currently have the league’s longest losing streak.
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