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DAVID MARCUS: In Pennsylvania, Kamala's campaign is falling apart and even Democrats know it
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Perry is a hell of a nice guy from North Carolina who I met in Carlisle, Pennsylvania. He’s in his 30s and is a consultant who has walked the Appalachian Trail. He thinks Vice President Kamala Harris is losing.
“I wish she would just be clearer about who she is,” he told me. And he likes her, he even likes her better than he liked President Biden, but he’s not an idiot and he sees the wheels are falling off of her campaign.
Perry is a native of North Carolina whom I met in Carlisle, Pennsylvania. He’s in his 30s and is a consultant who has walked the Appalachian Trail.
I appreciated Perry talking to me because, honestly, it’s been harder and harder to get Democrats to talk of late. Like sad New York Mets fans, they are licking their wounds, and not in a particularly chatty mood.
DEM STRATEGIST JAMES CARVILLE CERTAIN HARRIS WILL WIN, KNOCKS ‘SWEATY’ DEMOCRATS
Two months ago, this was not the case. High off of the dispatching of Biden and the anointing of Harris as the nominee, Democrats were on a sugar high and eager to chat.
But Perry was willing to tell me, with his charming Southern twang, that “the Democrats are just closer to my values.” He has friends voting for former President Trump, and, thankfully, has not had many relationships broken up over it.
I pressed Perry a bit, because he really was such a nice guy, and I said, “Why? What is it about Harris that inspires you?”
What followed was a familiar faraway look in the eyes, like an eager hand, grasping for something that doesn’t exist, “She gives me hope,” he said, and honestly it was the best pitch for Harris that I have heard in three months on the road.
Later in the evening, I met Ryan, ex-military, in his early 40s and all in for Trump. Ryan didn’t hit a lot of talking points or make a stump speech, he just thinks Trump is solid, and he has no idea who Harris is.
Ryan, left, is a Carlisle voter. He is pictured here with author David Marcus. He is ex-military, in his early 40s and all in for former President Trump.
TRUMP’S MCDONALD’S VISIT SERVED UP FOUR BRILLIANT POLITICAL MOMENTS
Turns out, he went to West Point with my much more impressive cousin Joey. Texts ensued, and I realized how small Pennsylvania really is, for all its vast forest and mountains of autumnal awe and grace. We all kind of know each other.
And what I know is that no matter what the polls tell you, Trump is winning in Pennsylvania. I’m not saying it’s over, but this is more than momentum. It is starting to feel like destiny.
Nicole, who is a housekeeper at my hotel and a Harris supporter, told me over a morning cigarette that she likes the vice president. I said, “If I gave you a hundred bucks right now and you had to put it on one or the other, what do ya do?”
“Trump,” she said, gesturing to a sign across the ancient Carlisle road. There wasn’t much doubt in her voice.
A sign supporting former President Trump in Carlisle, Pennsylvania.
HARRIS CAMPAIGN FACES WARNING SIGNS WITH YOUNG VOTERS IN ARIZONA: REPORT
It brought to mind a guy I spoke to the previous evening. His family has owned Pennsylvania coal mines for a century, and I said, “So, do you go in those little tunnels? I don’t think I could.”
He said, “It’s not so bad, I could take you some time.” I might take him up on that, once the unpleasantness is all over.
“We sell our coal to China,” he told me. “We’d like to sell it in the U.S., but we can’t.”
“You think that changes if Trump gets elected?,” I asked him.
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“I hope so,” he said. And there was that word again. Hope.
Harris needs Perry and the housekeeper, and she has them. Well, that’s not quite right — the Democratic Party has them, not Harris, and that is the problem.
Love him, hate him or ignore him, Trump is who he is, and the voters know what they would be getting. Harris remains an enigma, a vague promise full of high and haughty words, almost a ghost.
Ghosts don’t win elections, and that is exactly why Kamala Harris is losing in Pennsylvania, and poised to fall to Trump.
Harris, or the Party, or Nancy Pelosi, or former President Obama, or whoever is in charge needs to decide who she really is. Right now. Today.
Perry wants something and someone to vote for. I heard it in his voice, and he deserves that.
Whether or not he gets it remains to be seen.
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New York
Can a Second-Home Tax Work in New York? The Numbers Don’t Add Up Yet.
A push to tax multimillion-dollar second homes in New York City has been billed by Gov. Kathy Hochul and Mayor Zohran Mamdani as a civic mandate for the ultrawealthy to contribute more to society.
But as leaders in the State Capitol seek to incorporate the tax proposal into the state budget, the lofty rhetoric has been undermined by confusing information flowing from Ms. Hochul’s office about how such a tax would work.
The problems start with the numbers and the math.
To raise $500 million for the city, Ms. Hochul initially said the so-called pied-à-terre tax would apply to 13,000 homes, a number that her staff pulled from a 2023 report by the city comptroller. Now, aides to Ms. Hochul are saying that the 13,000 figure was an early estimate requiring more analysis and was subject to change.
The governor’s team had first said the tax would be based on second homes with an assessed value of $5 million or more. But there is very little correlation between a property’s assessed value — a specific and complex measure calculated as part of the property valuation process — and actual market value.
The city does not use sales comparisons or recent listings to value condos and co-ops. Under a state law passed in the 1980s, the city is required to compare the units to rentals of similar size and age, assessed on the potential income that rental might bring in. There are not great rental comparisons for the highest-end condos and co-ops, dragging down their assessments; in some cases, these condo buildings are even compared to rental buildings with rent-regulated units.
An analysis of city records conducted by Marketproof, a real estate data analysis firm, found just three residential properties in New York City with assessed values of $5 million or more.
One of the three was the notoriously expensive penthouse bought in 2019 by the billionaire financier Kenneth Griffin for $238 million.Its assessed value, according to city records, is just under $7 million. Another condo, on the 57th floor of another Midtown luxury building, sold in December for more than $21 million, but it has an assessed value of around $1.3 million.
Jennifer Goodman, a spokeswoman for the governor, declined to offer specifics about the pied-à-terre tax proposal, saying this week that they were still being negotiated. The governor’s office said that they had wrongly described at first how the tax might work, and it is not going to be based solely on the assessed value of properties.
Instead, Ms. Goodman said, apartments subject to the tax would be determined by “a model that captures properties worth over $5 million through the use of various mechanisms such as comparable sales data where applicable.”
That raises another set of problems, as there is no official and consistent measure of how much properties in New York City may actually be worth on the market.
Building that kind of information is possible, but has not typically been done before by the city, said Kael Goodman, the president and chief executive of Marketproof.
“To get from doable on a technical basis, to doable on a practical basis — those two things are not the same,” Mr. Goodman said.
To demonstrate how such a tax could work, Marketproof created its own model analyzing more than 1.14 million tax parcels. Since there’s currently no official way to tell if a particular unit is a pied-à-terre, the company used a proxy: the subset of properties where the property tax bill was sent to a different address, indicating the owner didn’t live in the unit.
Then it looked at transactions recorded in city property records to find the units with market values over $5 million.
Marketproof estimates about 6,380 properties would be affected.
That analysis shows that certain well-known features of the city skyline, many clustered around Central Park — Central Park Tower, 432 Park Avenue, One57, 220 Central Park South, 15 Central Park West — would be potentially subject to the tax surcharge, representing huge sources of revenue for the city. The 280 units in just those five buildings might owe more than $100 million in taxes annually.
Still, it may be challenging to make this all work. Unlike many suburban cities and neighborhoods, where it is relatively easy to find the market value of single-family homes based on comparable sales on any given street, it’s difficult to compare values across condos and co-ops.
“That would be crossing a gap not previously crossed,” Mr. Goodman said. “That would be opening up a conversation among property owners that previous government officials have been unable to have a successful conversation about. They’ve just been unsuccessful in doing it because it’s way too complicated.”
It’s not clear whether the state or the city would have the capacity to come up with these valuations every year, and how public officials would deal with the expected legal challenges to any valuations.
A report about the tax released on Thursday by the New York City comptroller, Mark Levine, found that the city Finance Department would most likely have to audit property owners’ claims about who lives or doesn’t live in any apartment. The report noted that “lapses” in the auditing capacity and accuracy “would reduce revenues and multiply taxpayers’ appeals and lawsuits.”
The report also said that it might be difficult to categorize condos and co-ops that were owned by out-of-towners but were being rented out to city residents, or units that were owned by limited liability companies or trusts, among other potential pitfalls.
“Each of these decisions can shift collections by tens of millions of dollars,” the report said.
So far, those details remain murky, even with senior city administration officials meet daily with state leaders, according to City Hall.
A senior aide to the governor said that state officials were not overly concerned about the complexities of determining market values. Negotiations were continuing over how much of the specific methodology would be written into the legislation, or decided later by the city.
A bigger concern, the aide said, was how officials would determine whether any given property was being used as a second home.
The negotiations come as Mr. Mamdani and other elected officials clamor for Ms. Hochul to increase taxes to fund an expanded safety net and help the city close a multibillion-dollar deficit. A coalition of powerful unions, including several that endorsed the governor’s re-election campaign, has also signed on, sending a letter last week to her and legislative leaders pleading for tax hikes on the wealthy.
On Tuesday, Mr. Mamdani and his sometimes political adversary, Council Speaker Julie Menin, said they would delay announcing an update to the city budget so they could jointly push for the state to reduce a tax credit that primarily benefits wealthy business owners, which they said could end up raising a billion dollars in revenue for the city.
Both this plan and the second-home tax proposal would need to be included in the state budget, which is still be negotiated and is now a month overdue. Ms. Hochul remains committed to the tax on second homes, but appeared unlikely to support other new taxes.
“Hochul is running out of excuses to not tax the rich in her final budget,” said Grace Mausser, a co-chair of the New York chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America.
The D.S.A. is a close ally of Mr. Mamdani, who is a member, and both have aggressively called on the city’s wealthiest businesses and residents to shoulder a heavier burden. They have even named specific billionaires like Mr. Griffin, who they say are a drain on the city and its finances.
Mr. Griffin, who has spent close to $95 million on real estate purchases in the city since the beginning of 2025, pushed back on these assertions, saying his companies and activity creates tens of thousands of jobs for the city.
“You can win political points by making an example of Ken Griffin, and they seem to have done that. Kudos to them for winning some political points,” Mr. Goodman said. “But achieving the tax goals is a different thing.”
Boston, MA
Boston May Fair 2026 opening times as ‘iconic’ attraction returns
A fair that attracts thousands of visitors every year will officially open later in Boston.
The May Fair is “one of the country’s most iconic and historic street fairs”, Boston Borough Council said.
The event, featuring attractions, rides and games, will be held in the town centre until 9 May.
Dale Broughton, leader of the council, said: “The Boston May Fair is one of our town’s most treasured traditions, and welcoming it back once again is something we look forward to all year.”
Pittsburg, PA
Who has the Best NFL City in America? Voting now underway until May 11
Which Pittsburgh Steelers draft picks do fans love, hate?
Steelers fans in attendance shared their thoughts on the team’s 2026 NFL Draft selections.
Pittsburgh has another opportunity to prove its passion for football, now that the 2026 NFL Draft is over.
The Steel City is among the nominees for “Best NFL City” in the USA Today Sports Readers’ Choice Awards, a new nationwide contest modeled after the media company’s successful 10BEST Readers’ Choice Awards program.
Public voting will decide who gets the bragging rights from the slate of 20 nominees, which also includes Philadelphia, Baltimore and Cincinnati, by the way.
In addition to choosing the Best NFL City, voters can select their favorites in three other categories: Best College Baseball Stadium, Best Local Sports Bar and Best Sports Bar.
One vote per person, per day will be accepted in each category, and voting ends at noon on May 11. The top 10 winners in each category will be announced on May 20.
USA Today, the Beaver County Times and the Somerset Daily American are owned by the USA Today Co. media company.
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