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How Democrats Will Choose a Nominee

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How Democrats Will Choose a Nominee

The Democratic Party is just weeks away from formally naming a nominee for president, and with some Democrats questioning President Biden’s candidacy, there are a few ways the nomination process could unfold. If Mr. Biden stays in the race, he is almost certain to be the nominee. If he drops out before the party’s convention or after, things get more complicated.

If Biden Stays in the Race

President Biden has dismissed calls for him to step aside, and there is little time for any challenger to gather support. The party plans to hold a virtual vote to choose a nominee in the weeks before the convention. No other candidate is currently eligible to receive the nomination.


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A party committee meets to finalize rules for the virtual call and the convention.

The party holds the virtual vote.

A simple majority of delegates is required to win.

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Nearly all of the roughly 4,000 Democratic

delegates are already pledged to Mr. Biden.

It’s technically possible but unlikely that a

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challenger could petition to get on the ballot.

Biden wins the nomination.

Democratic National Convention

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Biden accepts the nomination.

States finalize their ballots

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Late August through September

Biden appears on the ballot nationwide.

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A party committee meets to finalize rules for the virtual call and the convention.

The party holds the virtual vote.

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A simple majority of delegates is required to win.

Nearly all of the roughly 4,000 Democratic delegates are already pledged to Mr. Biden.

It’s technically possible but unlikely that a challenger could petition to get on the
ballot.

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Biden wins the nomination.

Democratic National Convention

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Biden accepts the nomination.

States finalize their ballots

Late August through September

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Biden appears on the ballot nationwide.


If Biden Drops Out Before the Convention

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Donors, business leaders and some members of his party have urged Mr. Biden to leave the race. If he does, the party may keep the planned virtual vote or push the nomination to the in-person convention. Mr. Biden could endorse a replacement, but the delegates would vote in an open convention.


His pledged delegates are released

to vote for another candidate.

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Candidates vie for support.

A candidate needs signatures from at least 300

delegates to appear on the convention ballot.

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Democratic National Convention

A candidate needs a simple majority of about 4,000 delegates to win the nomination.

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If no candidate reaches a majority in the first round, about 700 so-called superdelegates
can also vote in subsequent rounds.

Winner accepts the nomination.

States finalize their ballots

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Late August through September

The first mail-in ballots are sent starting Sept. 6, and early voting begins in some states
on Sept. 20.

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His pledged delegates are released

to vote for another candidate.

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Candidates vie for support.

A candidate needs signatures from at least 300

delegates to appear on the convention ballot.

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Democratic National Convention

A candidate needs a simple majority of about 4,000 delegates to win the nomination.

If no candidate reaches a majority in the first round, about 700 so-called superdelegates
can also vote in subsequent rounds.

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Winner accepts the nomination.

States finalize their ballots

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Late August through September

The first mail-in ballots are sent starting Sept. 6, and early voting begins in some states
on Sept. 20.

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If Biden Drops Out After the Convention

If Biden withdraws after the convention in August, or is unable to run, the party has a process for naming an alternate nominee. At least one conservative group has pointed to the potential for lawsuits challenging the substitution of a nominee so close to the election.


Democratic National Committee

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chooses a new nominee.

The committee, which includes state party leaders and members allocated by state

population, will meet to select a replacement.

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States finalize their ballots

Late August through September

Lawsuits over ballot changes could arise.

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The first mail-in ballots are sent starting Sept. 6, and early voting begins in some states
on Sept. 20.

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Democratic National Committee chooses a new nominee.

The committee, which includes state party leaders and members allocated by state population,
will meet to select a replacement.

States finalize their ballots

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Late August through September

Lawsuits over ballot changes could arise.

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The first mail-in ballots are sent starting Sept. 6, and early voting begins in some states
on Sept. 20.


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US journalist Evan Gershkovich released in Russia prisoner swap

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US journalist Evan Gershkovich released in Russia prisoner swap

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Russia, the US and a series of other countries exchanged 26 prisoners including the Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich on Thursday in the largest swap since the cold war, according to Turkish security officials.

Thursday’s exchange in Ankara involving seven countries was the culmination of many months of painstaking diplomacy after president Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine plunged US-Russia relations to their lowest level in decades. The talks also drew in Germany, Norway, Poland, Slovenia, and Belarus.

Russia agreed to release 16 prisoners including Gershkovich, who had been convicted on spying charges, and Paul Whelan, a former US marine serving a sentence for espionage, as well as other individuals including prominent political prisoner Ilya Yashin, the Turkish officials said.

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In return, a total of 10 people, including two children, were transferred to Russia, including Vadim Krasikov, a hitman convicted of a murder in broad daylight in Berlin in 2021, they said.

This is a developing story

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Trump’s comments about Harris’ race kicks off a new – yet familiar – chapter in the 2024 presidential campaign | CNN Politics

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Trump’s comments about Harris’ race kicks off a new – yet familiar – chapter in the 2024 presidential campaign | CNN Politics



CNN
 — 

Meet the new Donald Trump, same as the old Donald Trump.

The former president’s rant about likely Democratic nominee Kamala Harris’ racial identity, headlined by the false and offensive claim that the first Black woman elected vice president “happened to turn Black” only recently, as an act of political expedience, kicked off a fresh yet disturbingly familiar chapter in this increasingly bitter presidential campaign.

Not three weeks ago, Trump and some hopeful allies suggested that his narrow escape from a would-be assassin’s bullet would set about a renaissance in the 78-year-old’s worldview. In his scripted remarks at the Republican convention a few days later, Trump declared, “The discord and division in our society must be healed.” That high-minded rhetoric lasted a few minutes. Ditching the teleprompter and diving back into his typical fare, the GOP nominee delivered a historically long and often petty acceptance speech.

Wednesday’s interview-turned-confrontation with reporters at a convention of Black journalists in Chicago made perfectly clear that nothing has changed. Alongside his comments about Harris, Trump berated one of the journalists onstage, ABC News senior congressional correspondent Rachel Scott, and belittled his own running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, saying his pick was unlikely to “have any impact” on the election.

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After President Joe Biden announced, 10 days earlier, that he would stand down and effectively pass the Democratic nomination to Harris, Trump’s rivals – and some of his supporters – wondered aloud how a man with a history of making racist and sexist remarks would handle running against a Black woman.

His appearances Wednesday made that answer clear.

Trump’s social media posts and remarks at a Wednesday night rally in central Pennsylvania, where the crowd roared in anger at the mention of Obama, doubled down on his comments from Chicago.

“Crazy Kamala is saying she’s Indian, not Black. This is a big deal. Stone cold phony. She uses everybody, including her racial identity!” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

Alina Habba, a Trump lawyer who introduced him in Harrisburg, gave another, unsavory taste of what’s to come.

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“Unlike you, Kamala,” she said, boisterously mispronouncing the vice president’s name. “I know who my roots are and where I come from.”

The questions for the coming days and weeks are more fraught. What will Trump – a leader of the racist “birther” conspiracy movement against former President Barack Obama and someone who saw “very fine people” among the neo-Nazis and White supremacists who marched on Charlottesville, Virginia, in 2017 – say or do if Harris maintains or even accelerates the momentum driving her candidacy.

Harris – the daughter of a Jamaican father and an Indian mother who was raised in Oakland and attended a historically Black university – would be the first woman, the first woman of color, the first Black woman and the first Indian American elected president if she triumphs in November.

She first responded to Trump’s remarks with a blistering statement from her spokesman, who described the episode as “a taste of the chaos and division that has been a hallmark of Trump’s MAGA rallies this entire campaign.”

The candidate, addressing a historically Black sorority event in Houston hours after Trump comments on the panel, ticked off her usual talking points from the top. Then, with a wry smile, she pivoted to her highly anticipated rejoinder.

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“This afternoon,” she said, pausing to let the buzz heighten, “Donald Trump spoke at the annual meeting of the National Association of Black Journalists and it was the same old show, the divisiveness and the disrespect. Let me just say, the American people deserve better.”

She continued, “The American people deserve a leader who tells the truth. A leader who does not respond with hostility and anger when confronted with the facts. We deserve a leader who understands that our differences do not divide us. They are an essential source of our strength.”

Moments later, Harris was back on message, warning of a “full-on attack on hard fought hard won fundamental freedoms and rights” by Trump-aligned Republicans, who have danced around questions but not uniformly rejected a federal abortion ban. (Trump has said the decision, per the 2022 Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade, should be made by the states.)

Harris speaks more – and more comfortably – about abortion rights than Biden before her. With 96 days until the election, she is poised to press Democrats’ advantage on that issue and, if Wednesday night’s remarks were any indication, mostly leave Trump to his own devices.

Other Democrats, including Harris’ husband, the second gentleman Doug Emhoff, offered harsher verdicts. Trump’s remarks, he told donors in Maine Wednesday, put on display “a worse version of an already horrible person.”

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But he also cautioned against focusing too narrowly on the former president’s words.

“We can’t get distracted by Hannibal Lecter,” Emhoff said of Trump, according to the Washington Post. “Even the insults hurled at myself and my wife … that’s to distract us and get us talking about that.”

Harris supporters, led by a handful of potential running mates, praised the tone and content of her response.

“This guy (Trump) is a homophobe, a xenophobe, he’s a racist and misogynist. But here was just a perfect example of it for the American public to see,” Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker told CNN’s Anderson Cooper late Wednesday. Harris “doesn’t need to take him on directly. The rest of us can see it for ourselves and we’re going to talk about it.”

Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly, one of the leading contenders to be her vice presidential pick, told reporters on Capitol Hill that Trump’s comments in Chicago were those ”of a desperate, scared old man who is, over the last week, especially, is having his butt kicked by an experienced prosecutor.”

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“He’s done this before, he’s not going to change,” Kelly said of Trump. “Pretty obvious to me why he’s doing this.”

Meanwhile, Vance, less than two weeks after officially becoming the GOP vice presidential nominee, defended his new boss, telling supporters at a rally in Arizona that Harris is a “phony” who “caters to whatever audience is in front of her.”

“President Trump showed up and took some tough questions (at the NABJ event),” Vance said. “The press, however, treated him the same way they have since he came down that escalator in 2015. They were rude. They cut him off. And they didn’t want to hear – much less report – the truth.”

To that point, the ultimately abbreviated interview was broadcast live, and the questions posed to Trump were lean, direct and fairly simple. His reaction – his attack on Harris – was largely unprompted and strayed from the reporters’ line of questioning. Trump went where he went by choice, on his own.

Like Vance, Trump-friendly Republicans on Capitol Hill blamed the media.

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Asked for his take, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio held up a screenshot of an Associated Press article headlined, “California’s Kamala Harris becomes first Indian-American US senator,” before insisting he’s heard Harris identify “multiple times” as Indian-American, not as Black.

“I don’t care what someone’s background is,” Rubio added. “I care about the fact that she’s a leftist.”

Others, while stopping short of condemning Trump’s lie, sought to nudge him in a similar direction.

North Dakota Sen. Kevin Cramer took a different tack, dismissing Trump’s remarks as “satire,” but also suggesting  it was “not wise” politically to raise the issue.

“It was President Biden who referenced her racial identity when he nominated her,” Cramer said. “I mean, that was said, that’s the reason. He promised he’s gonna have a woman of color.”

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Biden pledged to choose a woman as his running mate in 2020, not a woman of color. But that, of course, is what he did. Whether Trump can channel his disdain for Harris into other, less noxious lines of attack is, just a few months out from the voting, an open question. How voters react is a better, more important one.

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Rolls-Royce to reinstate dividend for first time since pandemic

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Rolls-Royce to reinstate dividend for first time since pandemic

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Rolls-Royce has raised its profit forecast and plans to pay a dividend for the first time since the pandemic as chief executive Tufan Erginbilgiç’s efforts to restore the UK engineering group’s fortunes pay off.

Shareholders in the FTSE 100 company, whose engines power civil aircraft, submarines and military jets, last received a payout in 2020, shortly before the pandemic.

Announcing its first-half results on Thursday, Rolls-Royce said it would resume payouts at its full-year results. Payments will start at a 30 per cent payout ratio of underlying profit and then shift to a ratio of between 30 per cent and 40 per cent a year.

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Shares in Rolls-Royce surged 10 per cent in early trading after the announcement, taking their gains this year to over 60 per cent.

Since taking over as chief executive in early 2023, Erginbilgiç has focused on rebuilding the group’s balance sheet and improving its profitability.

Rolls-Royce is also benefiting from the rebound in international travel as the company makes most of its money maintaining and servicing its engines when they are flying.

Alongside the resumption of the dividend, Rolls-Royce increased its forecast for underlying operating profit this year to between £2.1bn and £2.3bn. It is targeting free cash flow of between £2.1bn and £2.2bn, higher than its previous guidance of £1.7bn to £1.9bn.

The company is “expanding the earnings and cash potential of the business in a challenging supply chain environment, which we are proactively managing”, Erginbilgiç said on Thursday.

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Revenues in the first six months of the year rose to £8.1bn, up from £6.9bn a year ago. Underlying operating profit surged to £1.15bn from £673mn.

Despite the strong results, Erginbilgiç warned that the supply chain environment remained difficult. The industry has struggled with a shortage of skilled labour and key components coming out of the pandemic, which has hampered plans by Airbus and Boeing to ramp up production of aircraft.

Erginbilgiç said he expected the supply chain challenges to last for another 18 to 24 months.

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