Crypto
Bears, Bulls and Regulations Shape Crypto’s 2025 Aspirations | PYMNTS.com
The global cryptocurrency market is capitalized at over $3 trillion. Much of that value is concentrated at the top, among a few key digital tokens.
Bitcoin, as the first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, plays a central role in the sector’s valuation, commanding a substantial share. At its highest, bitcoin’s market capitalization has approached $2 trillion, representing roughly two-thirds of the landscape’s overall market value.
Bitcoin topped $100,000 as 2024 came to a close, but has skidded down double digits from its peak of over $108,000 around two weeks ago.
This concentration of value at the top has implications for the overall market’s volatility, innovation and the evolution of altcoins, with bitcoin often setting the tone for broader market trends. It also raises questions about the future of crypto market dynamics as new technologies and use cases continue to emerge.
With the news that the Tether stablecoin’s (USDT) market cap fell more than 1% to $137.24 billion this week, the largest decline since the crash of the FTX exchange in November 2022, understanding the impact of regulations on the marketplace is becoming crucial for businesses looking to capture efficiencies and advantages from the use of tokens such as stablecoins.
After all, USDT is supposed to maintain a stable, flat value of $1. As of reporting, the stablecoin is a smidge below that value, sitting at $0.9993. The decline comes after several European Union-based crypto exchanges removed USDT due to compliance issues with the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation that took full effect on Dec. 30 (the actual law around stablecoins kicked in six months ago).
Per the MiCA regulations, stablecoin issuers must hold an e-money license in at least one EU member state in order to operate across the 27-nation bloc. Tether, which has faced controversy throughout its history, has yet to apply for an e-money license.
Read more: What Was Crypto’s Biggest 2024 Story? Hint: It Wasn’t Named Elon
The Role of Institutional Adoption
In 2025, the cryptocurrency market may find itself at a crossroads. If the bulls are right, the industry could see substantial growth, with more institutional investment, regulatory clarity and real-world use cases for cryptocurrencies. However, if the bears prevail, we may witness a volatile market, regulatory crackdowns and a continued struggle to overcome the technology’s shortcomings.
The bullish optimism surrounding institutional adoption is one of the strongest driving forces. In 2025, financial institutions, banks and even central banks are expected to play a significant role in legitimizing cryptocurrencies. Global financial giants are already eyeing blockchain for solutions like cross-border payments and settlement systems, providing liquidity for crypto markets and solidifying their utility in traditional finance.
Stablecoins — digital currencies pegged to traditional assets like the U.S. dollar — are likely to become a common mode of transaction. With major players in FinTech, like PayPal and Visa, already integrating cryptocurrencies into their platforms and experimenting with stablecoins, real-world use cases could soon be as easy as tapping a credit card.
Read also: Why Banks Might Want to Have a Blockchain Strategy
The Bearish Argument: Volatility, Regulatory Shadows
Perhaps the biggest concern for crypto’s future is government regulation. The lack of clear rules around cryptocurrencies has been a major deterrent for mainstream adoption.
PYMNTS covered on Nov. 25 how cryptocurrencies, and more specifically their underlying blockchain technologies, have gone from a solution in search of a problem to a solution in hopes of some regulatory clarity. Of course, that clarity may come when cryptocurrency companies and other firms embrace and invest in, rather than resist, appropriate guardrails for their industries.
The dynamic situation at home in the U.S. has even led to people like venture capitalist Marc Andreessen arguing that banks are cutting ties with customers on the political right, or with industries such as the cryptocurrency sector.
Writing about the issue earlier this month, PYMNTS argued that while Andreessen’s claims might resonate with the frustrations held by many corners of the cryptocurrency and FinTech sectors, the reality could be far more nuanced than a political assault on those industries.
“After all, innovation typically moves faster than regulation, and the growing strain between traditional banks and future-fit FinTech and crypto firms can also be in part chalked up to the inevitable consequence of outdated regulatory frameworks, stricter know your customer (KYC) and anti-money laundering (AML) standards, as well as heightened fraud risks,” that report said.
Crypto
Wisconsin bill targets cryptocurrency kiosk scams
MILWAUKEE – The Wisconsin Assembly passed a bill that aims to rein in cryptocurrency scams, creating new consumer protections around kiosks that can be found at gas stations and convenience stores.
What they’re saying:
Criminals are known to trick victims into depositing money into the kiosks under the guise of protecting their money or paying a fine. Once the money is sent, it’s almost impossible to get back.
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The amended bill that passed Thursday sets a daily transaction limit of $1,000 per person. AARP Wisconsin said the bill protects against large-scale losses.
“We know these are essentially major scam machines, and while they look like a regular bank ATM, they are not,” said AARP’s Erin Fabrizius. “People are being directed there under duress.”
What’s next:
The bill now heads to the Wisconsin Senate.
The Source: FOX6 News reviewed the bill and referenced information from AARP Wisconsin.
Crypto
After $3T crypto volume in 2025, CME plans 24/7 regulated trading
“Client demand for risk management in the digital asset market is at an all-time high, driving a record
Beginning Friday, May 29 at 4:00 p.m. CT, CME Group Cryptocurrency futures and options will trade continuously on CME Globex with at least a two-hour weekly maintenance period over the weekend. All holiday or weekend trading from Friday evening through Sunday evening will have a trade date of the following business day, with clearing, settlement and regulatory reporting processed the following business day as well.
Cryptocurrency futures and options continue to reach record volumes at CME Group in 2026. Year-to-date highlights include:
- Average daily volume (ADV) of 407,200 contracts, up
46% year-over-year, and average daily open interest of 335,400 contracts, up7% year-over-year - Futures ADV of 403,900 contracts, up
47% year-over-year
As the world’s leading derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com) enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data – empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, cryptocurrencies, energy, agricultural products and metals. The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates one of the world’s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing.
CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT and
CME-G
View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/cme-group-to-launch-247-cryptocurrency-futures-and-options-trading-on-may-29-302692346.html
SOURCE CME Group
Crypto
Crypto Demand Hits Underwriting
A growing share of young, affluent investors now hold part of their net worth in cryptocurrency — and many are reluctant to liquidate those positions to buy a home. Non-QM lenders are beginning to adjust.
Newrez has formally integrated eligible cryptocurrency holdings into its non-agency underwriting framework, allowing borrowers to use digital assets for qualification without selling them. The move places crypto alongside traditional securities accounts within the company’s Smart Series product suite, reflecting a shift in how borrowers structure their wealth.
Other non-QM lenders are moving in the same direction. Newfi Lending recently expanded its Sequoia DSCR program to allow borrowers to count a portion of Bitcoin and Ethereum toward reserve requirements without liquidation. Under Newfi’s guidelines, up to 25% of Bitcoin and Ethereum held in a Coinbase account and up to 50% of crypto ETFs or mutual funds held at institutions such as Fidelity or Schwab may be applied toward reserves, with total crypto capped at 50% of required reserves.
How It Works
Under the updated framework, eligible cryptocurrency holdings may be considered as part of the asset analysis when qualifying a borrower. Crypto is not accepted as currency for down payments, and borrowers must still close in U.S. dollars.
“The suitability is the same,” said Baron Silverstein, president of Newrez. “All we’re doing is accepting crypto assets to qualify, so it would be no different from looking at somebody’s securities account.”
Silverstein described the rollout as a measured first step within the non-agency channel, structured around established underwriting discipline rather than a new risk model. “We felt that, at least in the non-agency space, that this was an appropriate first move for us,” he said.
He noted that the approach mirrors how the GSEs treat other volatile assets held in securities accounts. “The GSEs are very prescriptive about the haircuts that they allow or require for assets in an individual’s securities portfolio account,” Silverstein said, pointing to holdings such as gold futures that also fluctuate in value.
Newrez evaluated crypto using a similar framework. Silverstein emphasized that the program does not alter core underwriting standards. “When you benchmark it in that manner, it really just becomes evaluating a price regression analysis and then what haircuts you feel are appropriate from a risk perspective on consumer-owned crypto,” he said.
Why Now?
Silverstein said demand among younger investors, ages 18 to 40, helped drive the decision, noting that borrower balance sheets increasingly include digital assets. “When we have conversations with clients — you hear it more and more — customers say they have crypto as part of their investment strategy,” he said.
The company’s press release cited the expanding global cryptocurrency market and noted that an estimated 45% of Gen Z and Millennial investors (also considered future homebuyers) own crypto.
Survey data from Coinbase shows nearly half of young investors own cryptocurrencies and rank crypto second only to real estate as a top growth opportunity. A YouGov investment trends report found Millennial and Gen Z investors are more likely to own crypto than a retirement account and are as likely to own cryptocurrency as they are to own real estate.
“My kids own crypto; I don’t,” Silverstein said. “I’m an old dog, and they have grown up in the digital age. They’re a lot more comfortable with the digital experience and using digital tools with what they do every single day.”
At the same time, Silverstein acknowledged that traditional agency programs have not yet adapted to recognize crypto assets for mortgage qualification. He framed Newrez’s move as a response to generational change.
“I think that the new customer is likely going to have crypto as part of their investment,” he continued. “That’s why I felt like this was a really good first step into the approval process for when they decide to buy a home.”
What It Means for Loan Officers
For loan officers, the update expands the range of borrowers who may qualify without restructuring their balance sheets.
“I think this will be a really big benefit for loan officers to support their customers,” Silverstein said. “If a customer comes to them and says, ‘look, 50% of my assets are in crypto,’ then they absolutely will have an option to say, ‘yeah, that can work for this type of mortgage.’”
Reaching those borrowers may require different referral strategies. A November survey from crypto infrastructure company Zerohash found that 35% of wealthy young Americans earning between $100,000 and $1 million annually had moved money away from advisors who do not offer crypto exposure. More than half of those reallocations involved between $250,000 and $1 million. The study found many younger investors rely on friends, family and online platforms such as YouTube for financial information.
Silverstein said he expects both advisors and competing lenders to adapt. “I would be surprised if you don’t see others follow suit,” he said. “That’s just my guidance and gauge on how competitive our industry is.”
The Bottom Line
Crypto is no longer a fringe conversation. For a growing segment of borrowers, it’s a meaningful line item on the balance sheet.
For loan officers, that shifts the initial discovery conversation. Instead of asking whether assets exist, the better question may be where they are held — brokerage account, retirement fund, or digital wallet. Borrowers who appear liquidity-constrained on paper may be asset-strong, but unwilling to trigger a taxable event or exit a volatile position to qualify.
Non-QM lenders are beginning to structure policy around that reality. Originators who understand which investors will recognize crypto, how haircuts are applied, and where caps apply can turn what looks like a declined file into a viable approval.
The opportunity remains limited by volatility and investor overlays. But as more wealth migrates into digital assets, the ability to navigate crypto within underwriting guidelines may become a competitive advantage rather than a niche skill.
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