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Michigan vs. Illinois prediction: Week 8 CFB odds, picks, best bets

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Michigan vs. Illinois prediction: Week 8 CFB odds, picks, best bets


Michigan’s national title defense has been underwhelming this year and its 4-2 record is misleading.

The No. 24 Wolverines narrowly escaped against USC and Minnesota before losing to Washington.

Coming off a bye week, can coach Sheronne Moore right the ship with a road test against No. 22 Illinois?

We’ve seen a steady stream of Michigan money all week, moving this line from an opener of -1.5 for the Wolverines to the current -4.5.

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Let’s dive in and see if there’s any value left in Saturday’s Big Ten matchup.

Michigan vs. Illinois odds

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Michigan -4.5 (-108) -185 o44.5 (-108)
Illinois +4.5 (-112) +154 u44.5 (-112)
Odds via DraftKings

When Michigan has the ball

Moore won’t admit it publicly, but I fully believe he intended to name Jack Tuttle his starting quarterback this season. An offseason elbow injury, however, threw a wrench into those plans, and we didn’t see Tuttle until the second quarter against Washington. 

Tuttle had an interception and a fumble in the game but it was his first live reps in nearly a year, and he’s a better downfield passer than Alex Orji or Davis Warren.

With the benefit of a bye week to get up to speed in the offense, I expect Tuttle to play a much cleaner game this week. Tight end Colston Loveland’s return to full health after missing the USC game will also be pivotal.

However, I don’t expect Tuttle to need to do a ton in this game. The Wolverines will bully an Illini run defense that ranks 105th in defensive line yards. Expect Kalel Mullings and Donovan Edwards to churn out chunk yardage, keeping Tuttle out of obvious passing situations on third-and-long.

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When Illinois has the ball

Luke Altmyer has had a strong season under center for the Illini, averaging 8.6 yards per attempt and passing for 14 touchdowns to one interception.

However, according to Pro Football Focus, the former Ole Miss transfer is due for some negative regression with nine big-time throws to nine turnover-worthy plays.

Altmyer has especially struggled under pressure, with an 8.4% turnover-worthy play rate. According to PFF, Michigan has the best pass rush unit in the country and Illinois ranks just 93rd in pass-blocking.

Luke Altmyer is playing well for Illinois. Ron Johnson-Imagn Images

Elite defensive linemen Mason Graham, Kenneth Grant and Josaiah Stewart can take this game over on passing downs.

It will be difficult for the Illini to avoid those obvious passing situations, as Michigan ranks third in the country in rushing success rate allowed and Illinois ranks 105th in rushing success rate on offense.

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When the Illini faced Penn State, a similarly elite run defense, their running backs finished with 17 carries for just 62 yards (3.6 YPC). 

Michigan vs. Illinois pick

It has to be mentioned that Illinois almost lost to Purdue last week. The Illini escaped with a one-point win in overtime, but the Boilermakers had a 69% postgame win expectancy.

This was the same Purdue team that lost to Wisconsin by 46 points the week prior and had not played within 17 points of an FBS opponent all season.

Coming off a bye week with an opportunity to get its third starting quarterback of the year up to speed, this looks like a solid buy-low point for the Wolverines.


Betting on College Football?


Michigan’s defense is by far the best unit on the field in this game, and I’m banking on Wink Martindale’s group putting constant pressure on Altmyer, especially with Illinois’ struggling run game.

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I’d be surprised if Michigan’s passing attack performed on average for the rest of the season. Still, it might not need to this week, given the considerable advantage the Wolverines should have in the run game.

I’m backing Michigan as a road favorite in this spot against an overrated Illinois team primed to fall back down to earth.

Best bet: Michigan -3.5 (-115, BetMGM)


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Jacob Wayne handicaps college football and the NFL for the New York Post. He’s up 84.5 units across the two sports with a 6.27% ROI.

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UConn must overcome Michigan’s might to establish men’s basketball dynasty in national title game

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UConn must overcome Michigan’s might to establish men’s basketball dynasty in national title game


There’s a dynasty brewing in college basketball. And, in a perfectly fitting twist, UConn can cement that status by overcoming a Michigan powerhouse that is racking up historically impressive numbers, hoping to go down as one of the sport’s greatest teams itself.

Those are the stakes in Monday night’s title game between the Huskies and Wolverines.

Connecticut is trying to become the first program since John Wooden’s UCLA behemoth of the 1960s and ’70s to win three championships over a four-season span, while Michigan is trying to cap off a March Madness string of dominance, the likes of which were last seen by this very UConn program that won it all in 2023 and ’24.

“This run they’re on is one of the best — probably the best — since John Wooden,” Michigan coach Dusty May said. “If we think riding in on a wave is going to take care of UConn, then we’re going to be very disappointed at about 11 p.m. tomorrow night or whenever the game concludes.”

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The Wolverines (36-3), seeded first in the Midwest, are listed as a 6 1/2-point favorite by BetMGM Sportsbook. Even with his team’s front-runner pedigree, coach Dan Hurley of UConn (34-5), a No. 2 seed out of the East, is leaning into the underdog role, not fighting it.

“There’s been plenty of times in the history of this tournament where the best team hasn’t won it,” Hurley said. “You’ve just got to be better one night. The good thing for us, it’s not a seven-game series.”

In yet another twist with plot-shifting potential, the status of both Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg and UConn guard Solo Ball could play heavily into this game.

Ball was walking around in a boot Sunday after spraining his left foot in the first half of UConn’s 71-62 win over Illinois. Lendeborg tweaked his knee and ankle when he landed awkwardly on the foot of Arizona’s Motiejus Krivas in the first half of Michigan’s 91-73 semifinal beatdown of the Wildcats.

Both have vowed they won’t miss Monday’s game.

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“He played the second half like a 38-year-old at the YMCA — and a really good 38-year-old at the YMCA,” May said of his 15-point-per-game All-American. “Whatever version of Yaxel we get, it’s going to be somebody that helps us play better basketball.”

The Wolverines are the first team to score 90-plus points in five straight tournament games. They are trying to become the fifth team to win six tournament games by double digits. The other four: 2009 North Carolina, 2018 Villanova and both of the recent UConn teams.

“When you get to the Final Four and you know you have the best team, that was a different level of pressure than in ’23 where we weren’t really sure,” Hurley said of his ’24 squad. “But there’s also some pressure even if you’re — whatever — the underdog, because we’re one game away from having a national championship with this team.”

UConn, UM take different approaches to roster building 

The Wolverines roster is a reflection of what college hoops looks like in the transfer-portal era. Four of their starters came to Michigan this season, as May fashioned a quick rebuild in his second year in Ann Arbor. This is May’s second trip to the Final Four in four seasons. His first came with Florida Atlantic.

“What makes Dusty May special as a coach is obviously his eye for talent, his ability to construct a roster, the fact that he insulates himself with an excellent coaching staff, and his ability to build team and culture,” Hurley said. “He’s got a special eye for how to put together a great team.”

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UConn is built differently — with what Hurley would call judicious use of the transfer portal (Tarris Reed Jr., for instance, came from Michigan) combined with players who have become entrenched on a campus with 18 national basketball titles — six for the men and 12 for the women. The best example of that: Alex Karaban, who, with a title, could become the first player since the UCLA dynasty to win three national titles over his college career.

“You dream of being on this stage one time, and to be heading into it for a third time, it’s a blessing,” Karaban said.

At Michigan, the Fab Five is always front of mind 

UConn isn’t the only program with a deep history. Michigan redefined college basketball in the 1990s with the Fab Five. Juwan Howard, Chris Webber, Jalen Rose, Ray Jackson and Jimmy King came to the school together as freshmen in 1991. They made the title game twice and lost.

But they’re most remembered for bringing a baggy-shorts, mass-marketing brashness to the game, one underpinned by the question: Why are all these coaches and shoe companies raking in dough while we play for free?

“We got to college and started understanding the hypocrisy in the game, with the schools making millions and us sitting around poor as hell,” Jackson said in a 2023 interview with The Associated Press.

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In today’s NIL landscape, players are making money and nobody overlooks the Fab Five’s role in pushing things forward. What that group was missing, of course, was the national title. Michigan’s only championship came in 1989, a few years before the Fab Five arrived.

“Other than Michael Jordan, since I’ve been alive, I don’t think there’s ever been a group change the culture for the better in our sport than the Fab Five,” May said earlier in the week. They’re “just number one. We’re proud to represent those guys and carry the flag for the former players at the University of Michigan.”

Hurley looks for a title … and a tailor 

One key casualty of all this UConn success: Hurley’s sideline wear. He has worn the same blue suit at March Madness dating as far back as 2012 when he was coaching Rhode Island.

He also wears the same socks and underwear and eats eight M&Ms before games — but none of them green.

Anything to keep the good mojo going.

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“The pants are fine,” Hurley said. “It’s the jacket that is really — the lining is a problem. There’s like three holes. When I stick my arm in the right, there’s like three different places (you can stick your arm), and if you can see it, it’s like the lining is coming through.

“I’m going to have to get a tailor in the offseason.”



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Michigan vs UConn prediction, spread: Who is favored to win national championship?

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Michigan vs UConn prediction, spread: Who is favored to win national championship?


The 2026 men’s basketball national championship game is set with Michigan vs. UConn.

And while the Huskies are going for their third national title in four years, it’s the Wolverines who enter Monday night’s final as the heavy favorite.

Michigan blasted Arizona on Saturday in a matchup of the remaining No. 1 seeds in what many thought would be the best game of the NCAA Tournament. It didn’t turn out that way, even with Wolverines star Yaxel Lendeborg dealing with an injury.

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Michigan vs UConn spread, line: Who is favored to win national championship game?

Odds provided by BetMGM, as of 9:30 a.m., Sunday, April 5

  • Moneyline: Michigan (-325); UConn (+260)
  • Spread: Michigan (-7.5)
  • Total over/under: 144.5

Michigan UConn prediction: Who will win national championship?

  • Blake Toppmeyer: Michigan. The Wolverines’ total destruction of Arizona solidified that Michigan is the class of the tournament. UConn is playing well, but nobody is playing better than Michigan.
  • Jordan Mendoza: Michigan. The Huskies are able to make it a competitive game, but Michigan is just too stacked. The Wolverines pull away midway through the second half and party like it’s 1989.
  • Austin Curtright: Michigan. Michigan-Arizona was tabbed as one of the most-anticipated Final Four matchups in recent memory, and all the Wolverines did was dominate start to finish in a way no one has against the Wildcats this season. Michigan has defeated all of its 2026 Men’s NCAA Tournament opponents by double digits, and finds a way to do so again against the Huskies, even with a potentially limited version of Yaxel Lendeborg.
  • Ehsan Kassim: Michigan. Yes, this UConn team has been impressive in the past two rounds with a big comeback vs. Duke and then shut down Illinois’ offense. Michigan is another beast, as the Wolverines have been the most dominant team in the NCAA Tournament. They pull off the win to end a couple of droughts, even with Yaxel Lendeborg playing at less than 100%.

National championship game time

The national title game between Michigan and UConn is scheduled to tip at 8:50 p.m., Monday, April 6.

What channel will the national championship game be on? How to watch, streaming info?

Monday’s national title game is on TBS, TNT, truTV and available for streaming on HBO Max, which requires a subscription, or Sling TV, which carries TBS and truTV.



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Yaxel Lendeborg injury update: Michigan star hurt in Final Four

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Yaxel Lendeborg injury update: Michigan star hurt in Final Four


Indianapolis — If Michigan wants to play for a national championship, it might have to do so without its best player.

With 8:51 to play in the first half of a Final Four game against Arizona on Saturday night, Wolverines star Yaxel Lendeborg rolled his left ankle on a drive after he stepped on the foot of Arizona center Motiejus Krivas. After hitting two free throws, he subbed out of the game and headed down the tunnel with the help of a trainer.

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Lendeborg’s pain showed immediately. After he got up from falling, he walked down the court, wincing, squatting to collect himself. He tied his shoes tighter to boos from some Arizona fans before hitting his foul shots. Then he walked to the bench, down the stairs, past concerned teammates, before heading off to be evaluated.

Arizona went on a 9-0 run after Lendeborg left the game.

Lendeborg returned to the Michigan bench, walking gingerly, with about six minutes left in the first half, but did not immediately return to the game. He then returned to the locker room before the end of the half.

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Late in the first half, Tracy Wolfson on the TV broadcast reported that Lendeborg’s ankle would be iced with the Wolverines possibly getting their star back for the second half.

Lendeborg was the Big Ten Player of the Year and leads Michigan with 15.2 points per game, but he played just five minutes of the game against Arizona. In the span of 1:22, he picked up two defensive fouls and had to sub out, returning at 12:57 as the Wolverines led 19-10.

Lendeborg made a 3-pointer and hauled in a rebound before leaving the game with his injury.

cearegood@detroitnews.com

@ConnorEaregood

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