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Team Trump believe they can flip Democrat strongholds of Virginia and Minnesota in November presidential election

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Team Trump believe they can flip Democrat strongholds of Virginia and Minnesota in November presidential election


Behind closed doors, top strategists for Donald Trump’s campaign told donors that they believe they can flip the Democratic strongholds Minnesota and Virginia red.

Trump’s team presented their plan to the former president’s financial backers at a Republican National Committee retreat on Saturday.

Availing themselves of internal surveys, pollster Tony Fabrizio – one of Trump’s favorites – and senior advisers Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles made their pitch to the donors.

According to two witnesses who were present at the meeting, which took place at the Four Seasons resort in Palm Beach, the presentation was centered around finances, messaging, and the political map.

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Trump’s top strategists told donors on Saturday that they believe the former president could eke out narrow victories in the Democratic strongholds of Minnesota and Virginia

Using internal polls, Trump's strategists demonstrated how tight the election is in the two states

Using internal polls, Trump’s strategists demonstrated how tight the election is in the two states

The upshot of Fabrizio’s polls showed Trump eking out narrow victories in critical swing states from 2020, including Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

But the politician’s top strategists didn’t stop there. They also discussed an ambitious plan to make further inroads into Democratic territory.

Trump’s team argued that the former president could defeat Biden in the Democratic strongholds of Minnesota and Virginia. 

Meanwhile, President Biden’s strategists harbor similar hopes, aspiring to flip North Carolina, where Republicans have won for the past three presidential elections.

Biden’s team also hopes to prevail in Florida, where Republicans have emerged victorious in the previous two presidential elections.

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In 2020, Biden nabbed the presidency by a margin of 74 electoral votes. Wins in critical states like Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia helped propel him to victory.

‘I think that the Biden campaign is deliberately playing a faux game by talking about [how] they’re going to expand the map in Florida and North Carolina,’ Trump adviser Chris LaCivita told NBC. 

‘But we have a real, real opportunity in expanding the map in Virginia and Minnesota.’

'We have a real, real opportunity in expanding the map in Virginia and Minnesota,' said Chris LaCivita (pictured0, a senior adviser for Trump

‘We have a real, real opportunity in expanding the map in Virginia and Minnesota,’ said Chris LaCivita (pictured0, a senior adviser for Trump

In a head-to-head matchup in Minnesota, Trump's team found that the former president would win with 49 percent to Biden's 46 percent

In a head-to-head matchup in Minnesota, Trump’s team found that the former president would win with 49 percent to Biden’s 46 percent

The internal polling conducted by Trump’s team is fairly consistent with the few public surveys that depict Biden with a narrow lead in Virginia.

However, the strategists’ polling that evinces a Trump win in Minnesota is at variance with the limited surveys that have been completed in that state.

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But both the state polls and the polls conducted by Trump’s campaign fall within their margins of error.

This means one thing: A tight race in Minnesota and Virginia.

LaCivita explained that they tested Trump’s success in three different scenarios: in a head-to-head matchup with Biden, and in four-way and six-way races.

In a six-way competition in Minnesota, the strategists found that Trump and Biden were locked at 40 percent each, while Robert F. Kennedy Jr., on the Independent ticket, scored 9 percent.

When the parameters were narrowed, and it became a race between four candidates, Trump beat Biden 46 percent to 41 percent.

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In a head-to-head election, Trump still defeated Biden 49 percent to 46 percent.

In 2020, Biden won the presidency with the help of key victories in critical states like Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia

In 2020, Biden won the presidency with the help of key victories in critical states like Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia 

Biden's team is also eyeing Republican territory, hoping to flip GOP bastions like North Carolina and Florida in November

Biden’s team is also eyeing Republican territory, hoping to flip GOP bastions like North Carolina and Florida in November

In 2020, Biden prevailed in Minnesota by about seven percentage points. The state has not gone to Republicans since Richard Nixon trounced George McGovern in 1972.

In Virginia, Trump’s top officials found that Biden pipped out a narrow victory over Trump in a six-way competition- Biden finished with 40 percent, Trump with 37 percent, and Kennedy with 8 percent.

In a four-candidate race, that margin narrowed even further, with Biden at 42 percent and Trump at 41 percent.

In a head-to-head matchup, Trump fared worse, finishing with 44 percent, while Biden scooped up 48 percent.

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Trump’s strategists have not yet made their full surveys, as well as their methodology, available to the public.

Campaigns traditionally make sweeping promises to donors- including winning in enemy territory- as an inducement for contributing larger sums of money.

Biden’s team issued a scathing statement in response to the meeting conducted by Trump’s pollster and top advisers.

In Virginia, Trump's advisers found that Trump would currently finish with 44 percent to Biden's 48 percent- a gap that they hope to narrow before November

In Virginia, Trump’s advisers found that Trump would currently finish with 44 percent to Biden’s 48 percent- a gap that they hope to narrow before November 

‘Trump’s team has so little campaign or infrastructure to speak of they’re resorting to leaking memos that say ”the polls we paid for show us winning, don’t ask us to show you the whole poll though,”’ Biden campaign spokesperson Lauren Hitt said.

‘While we have 150 offices open with hundreds of staff across key battlegrounds, the RNC is closing offices and hemorrhaging money on legal fees,’ Hitt continued.

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‘Joe Biden has hit every battleground at least once, while Trump’s in the courtroom or on the golf course.’

‘We’ll see how that translates in November.’ 



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Virginia governor signs paid leave law, first in the South – WTOP News

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Virginia governor signs paid leave law, first in the South – WTOP News


Virginia’s governor has signed the state’s Paid Family and Medical Leave Law, making the commonwealth one of more than a dozen states offering similar benefits and the first in the South to do so.

Virginia’s governor signed the state’s Paid Family and Medical Leave Law last month, making the commonwealth one of more than a dozen states offering similar benefits and the first in the South to do so.

Gov. Abigail Spanberger made it official, saying the law is designed to help smaller businesses retain employees who encounter difficult times.

“Whether you punch a timecard, swipe a badge or work primarily for tips, you will be able to take up to 12 weeks of paid leave to address serious health needs for you and your family,” she said.

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The program works similarly to unemployment insurance. Employees and employers will pay into it through payroll deductions starting in 2028. If needed, a person can receive up to 80% of their wages for up to 12 weeks. Benefits are expected to become available in December 2028.

The law is expected to apply to most workers across the state, including many who don’t currently have paid leave through their jobs.

“Three million Virginians who previously lacked access to paid family leave will have the ability to care for a loved one, to recover from a serious illness or to welcome a new child without sacrificing their pay or without ending that time with additional credit card debt. Because no one should have to choose between spending time with their newborn and paying their bills,” Spanberger said.

It also covers caring for a sick family member and can help someone dealing with domestic violence, sexual assault or stalking.

Speaking at the signing, Monica Jackson, who owns a childcare center in Springfield, said the program will help small businesses compete and better support working families.

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“Enabling programs like mine to remain open, to operate sustainably and to continue serving the families who rely on us for their financial stability,” Jackson said.

State Sen. Jennifer Boysko, the bill’s chief sponsor, said she worked on the policy for eight legislative sessions and is happy to see it officially become law.

“Virginia families are going to have the grace to care for themselves and their loved ones during these most serious events without going bankrupt,” Boysko said.

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Virginia Supreme Court voids voter-approved redistricting referendum

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Virginia Supreme Court voids voter-approved redistricting referendum

On May 8, the Virginia Supreme Court ruled that the General Assembly violated the state constitution when it tried to redraw congressional districts, nullifying the results of the April election in which Virginians narrowly approved redistricting.

Electoral maps are usually redrawn once every 10 years, but multiple states began redrawing them early after President Donald Trump urged Republicans to redraw district lines to ensure more favorable results for the party in the November 2026 elections. 

This started a nationwide political battle for control of the U.S. House of Representatives. Texas was the first of several states to redraw districts favoring Republicans, and Virginia Democrats had proposed a constitutional amendment to allow redistricting in order to favor Democrats. 

As of May 8, Republicans had initiated redistricting efforts in eight states; Democrats had led redistricting efforts in three states, including Virginia, the Washington Post reported.

In April, Virginia voters supported the redistricting amendment with 51.7% voting for it out of more than 3 million ballots cast. It could have given Democrats up to four extra seats in the U.S. House, according to the Washington Post (subscription required).

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But the Virginia Supreme Court, in a 4-3 ruling, found that there were procedural errors in how the Democratic legislature handled the process, nullifying the election results.

The Virginia Constitution says that proposed constitutional amendments must pass in the General Assembly twice before the public can vote on them: once before an election of the House of Delegates, and again after an election. According to the Virginia Supreme Court majority opinion written by Justice D. Arthur Kelsey, early voting for the general election had already been open for six weeks when the General Assembly cast its first vote on the amendment in October 2025, with more than 1.3 million voters having already cast their ballots.

“This violation irreparably undermines the integrity of the resulting referendum vote and renders it null and void,” the court majority opinion stated.

The court’s ruling means the state reverts to the old district maps adopted in 2021. Based on those maps, Virginia voters elected six Democrats and five Republicans to the U.S. House.

Following the court’s ruling, some Virginia Democrats who planned to run for the U.S. House told the New York Times that they have to abandon their campaigns, while others, such as Tom Perriello who is running for the 5th District, face much more difficult campaigns.

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Virginia Democrats on Friday asked the court to pause the nullification of the referendum results while they prepare their appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, according to VPM.

Get in touch if you’ve been impacted by the overturned redistricting results

If you’ve been impacted by the Virginia State Supreme Court’s decision to nullify the results of the April 21 special election on redistricting, we want to hear from you.

Send us a tip or question using our contact form. You can also call (434) 218-3649 and give us as much information as you can in your voice message. You can also reach our newsroom on Signal at (434) 218-3649 or @cvilletomorrow.05. Signal is a chat and voice app for your smartphone that has end-to-end encryption and is run by a nonprofit organization.

While we can’t cover every story that’s important to you, we do our best to be responsive to your needs. We use tips from readers to choose which stories to cover, to incorporate information into broader reports or to help us decide how to grow Charlottesville Tomorrow. Here’s where you can tell us what you think we should be covering.

2026 Central Virginia Voter Guide

View live results of Virginia’s redistricting referendum, a high-stakes vote on whether Democrats who control state government can redraw congressional maps ahead of this fall’s election.

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Virginia’s redistricting battle moves to the courts

Attorney General Jay Jones vows to appeal as early voting fast approaches.

What does a ‘yes’ or ‘no’ vote actually mean in Virginia’s special election on redistricting?

Voters are getting mixed messages. Here’s a clear breakdown.



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Virginia Heads To Knoxville Regional With Third Straight NCAA Bid

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Virginia Heads To Knoxville Regional With Third Straight NCAA Bid


CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. – The No. 23 Virginia softball team (38-13) earned its third consecutive NCAA Tournament berth on Sunday (May 10) and will play in the Knoxville Regional, it was announced during the NCAA Selection Show on ESPN2. The Cavaliers face Indiana (42-14) in the first game of the day. The Cavaliers are the seven-seed […]



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