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US hedge funds far outperformed local rivals in China in 2023

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US hedge funds far outperformed local rivals in China in 2023

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Assets managed by the Chinese operations of Bridgewater and Two Sigma surged as the US hedge funds outperformed their local peers during the market turbulence of last year.

Bridgewater China Investment Management, the local arm of the world’s largest hedge fund, quadrupled its assets under management to more than Rmb40bn ($5.6bn) at the end of last year from two years ago, while Two Sigma China almost doubled its assets over the same period, according to people close to the companies.

The influx of local investors came as the global hedge funds reported double-digit returns in one of the world’s worst-performing markets while local asset managers struggled to make ends meet.

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Bridgewater’s flagship All Weather Strategy China Private Investment Fund, which targets wealthy individuals with a minimum investment of Rmb5mn ($700,000), yielded 10.2 per cent last year, according to a distributor of the fund. People close to Two Sigma said the quantitative trading giant’s three China funds reported a more than 16 per cent return over the same period.

In contrast, the benchmark CSI 300 index fell 11.7 per cent in 2023 as China’s post-pandemic economic recovery struggled to gain traction following an unprecedented real estate meltdown.

While many Chinese investment firms sought to emulate Bridgewater’s success by tapping alternative asset classes such as commodities and derivatives, they had limited success. Public records show China’s 771 locally owned multi-strategy hedge funds generated an average return of 2.8 per cent last year.

The outperformance of the likes of Bridgewater and Two Sigma in the Chinese market highlights the potential for global asset managers to profit from the world’s second-largest economy despite its lukewarm growth outlook and geopolitical tensions between Beijing and western capitals.

“Global hedge funds know how to navigate a bear market as they have been through numerous ups and downs,” said Zhang Zhongyu, vice-president at Shenzhen Rongzhi Investment Consultant, which reviews local hedge funds. “Most Chinese funds only know how to make money in a bull market.”

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In a roadshow this month with Chinese investors, Bridgewater said it beat the local market by diversifying into commodities and bonds whose resilient performance helped offset losses in its stock portfolio, according to minutes of the meeting seen by the Financial Times.

Public records show multiple Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed gold ETFs listed Bridgewater All Weather Strategy China Private Investment Fund as one of the top 10 investors in the first half of last year.

A BCIM executive said in the roadshow that the fund’s commodities investment, led by gold ETFs that generated double-digit returns last year against a slump in the equity market, was the biggest contributor to its overall performance.

In the meantime, most local asset managers, including industry heavyweights once critical of their western peers, have suffered heavily from the market meltdown. Li Bei’s flagship Banxia Macro Fund plunged 20.4 per cent over the past 12 months. The Shanghai-based hedge fund manager is known for her successful bets on commodities in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic outbreak and her dismissal last August of foreign investors as “a bunch of aimless flies” following a sharp sell-off.

Bridgewater China’s strong performance has prompted the fund to expand its footprint in one of the world’s largest wealth management markets just as other US asset management giants such as Vanguard are walking away.

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Public records show BCIM issued a record 56 investment products last year, up from 30 in 2022 and one in 2018, when the firm began business in China.

An official at China Merchants Securities, which handles sales of the All Weather Strategy funds, said demand was “so strong” that only existing clients could make additional purchases.

“It is difficult to find an investment product that did well in a bad market,” said the official.

Despite the headway made by hedge fund giants, traditional US asset managers had a hard time figuring out the Chinese market. Index fund manager Vanguard closed its China office last November after its partnership with Jack Ma’s Ant Group fell apart. BlackRock China made losses on all of its eight stock-focused funds last year as the world’s largest asset manager struggled to profit from a market driven by the whims of government policy.

“Certain funds that have a lot of money and are fairly aggressive can go in and try to make some money within the China market on a small scale,” said Andrew Collier, an analyst at GlobalSource Partners who advises US investors on Chinese investment. “That doesn’t mean other [US] funds with a more established approach could follow suit.”

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Map: 4.9-Magnitude Earthquake Shakes Louisiana

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Map: 4.9-Magnitude Earthquake Shakes Louisiana

Note: Map shows the area with a shake intensity of 4 or greater, which U.S.G.S. defines as “light,” though the earthquake may be felt outside the areas shown.  All times on the map are Central time. The New York Times

A light, 4.9-magnitude earthquake struck in Louisiana on Thursday, according to the United States Geological Survey.

The temblor happened at 5:30 a.m. Central time about 6 miles west of Edgefield, La., data from the agency shows.

U.S.G.S. data earlier reported that the magnitude was 4.4.

As seismologists review available data, they may revise the earthquake’s reported magnitude. Additional information collected about the earthquake may also prompt U.S.G.S. scientists to update the shake-severity map.

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Source: United States Geological Survey | Notes: Shaking categories are based on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale. When aftershock data is available, the corresponding maps and charts include earthquakes within 100 miles and seven days of the initial quake. All times above are Central time. Shake data is as of Thursday, March 5 at 8:40 a.m. Eastern. Aftershocks data is as of Thursday, March 5 at 10:46 a.m. Eastern.

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Donald Trump has no ‘phase two’ plan for Iran war, says US senator

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Donald Trump has no ‘phase two’ plan for Iran war, says US senator

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Man accused of plot to assassinate Trump testifies Iran pressured him, says Biden and Haley were other possible targets

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Man accused of plot to assassinate Trump testifies Iran pressured him, says Biden and Haley were other possible targets

The allegation sounded like the stuff of spy movies: A Pakistani businessman trying to hire hit men, even handing them $5,000 in cash, to kill a U.S. politician on behalf of Iran ‘s powerful paramilitary Revolutionary Guard.

It was true, and potential targets of the 2024 scheme included now-President Donald Trump, then-President Joe Biden and former presidential candidate and ex-U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, the man told jurors at his attempted terrorism trial in New York on Wednesday. But he insisted his actions were driven by fear for loved ones in Iran, and he figured he’d be apprehended before anything came of the scheme.

“My family was under threat, and I had to do this,” the defendant, Asif Merchant, testified through an Urdu interpreter. “I was not wanting to do this so willingly.”

Merchant said he had anticipated getting arrested before anyone was killed, intended to cooperate with the U.S. government and had hoped that would help him get a green card.

U.S. authorities were, indeed, on to him – the supposed hit men he paid were actually undercover FBI agents – and he was arrested on July 12, 2024, a day before an unrelated attempt on Trump’s life in Butler, Pennsylvania.  During a search, investigators said they found a handwritten note that contained the codewords for the various aspects of the plot, CBS News previously reported

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Merchant did sit for voluntary FBI interviews, but he ultimately ended up with a trial, not a cooperation deal.

“You traveled to the United States for the purpose of hiring Mafia members to kill a politician, correct?” Assistant U.S. Attorney Nina Gupta asked during her turn questioning Merchant Wednesday in a Brooklyn federal court.

“That’s right,” Merchant replied, his demeanor as matter-of-fact as his testimony was unusual.

The trial is unfolding amid the less than week-old Iran war, which killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a strike that Trump summed up as “I got him before he got me.” Jurors are instructed to ignore news pertaining to the case.

The Iranian government has denied plotting to kill Trump or other U.S. officials.

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Merchant, 47, had a roughly 20-year banking career in Pakistan before getting involved in an array of businesses: clothing, car sales, banana exports, insulation imports. He openly has two families, one in Pakistan and the other in Iran – where, he said, he was introduced around the end of 2022 to a Revolutionary Guard intelligence operative. They initially spoke about getting involved in a hawala, an informal money transfer system, Merchant said.

Merchant testified that his periodic visits to the U.S. for his garment business piqued the interest of his Revolutionary Guard contact, who trained him on countersurveillance techniques.

The U.S. deems the Revolutionary Guard a “foreign terrorist organization.” Formally called the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the force has been prominent in Iran under Khamenei.

Merchant said the handler told him to seek U.S. residents interested in working for Iran. Then came another assignment: Look for a criminal to arrange protests, steal things, do some money laundering, “and maybe have somebody murdered,” Merchant recalled.

“He did not tell me exactly who it is, but he told me – he named three people: Donald Trump, Joe Biden and Nikki Haley,” he added.

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In 2024, multiple sources familiar with the investigation told CBS News Merchant planned to assassinate current and former government officials across the political spectrum.

Merchant allegedly sketched out the plot on a napkin inside his New York hotel room, prosecutors said, and told the individual “that there would be ‘security all around’ the person” they were planning to kill.

“No other option”

After U.S. immigration agents pulled Merchant aside at the Houston airport in April 2024, searched his possessions and asked about his travels to Iran, he concluded that he was under surveillance. But still he researched Trump rally locations, sketched out a plot for a shooting at a political rally, lined up the supposed hit men and scrambled together $5,000 from a cousin to pay them a “token of appreciation.”

This image provided by the Justice Department, contained in the complaint supporting the arrest warrant, shows Asif Merchant. 

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AP


He even reported back to his Revolutionary Guard contact, sending observations – fake, Merchant said – tucked into a book that he shipped to Iran through a series of intermediaries.

Merchant said he “had no other option” than to play along because the handler had indicated that he knew who Merchant’s Iranian relatives were and where they lived.

In a court filing this week, prosecutors noted that Merchant didn’t seek out law enforcement to help with his purported predicament before he was arrested. He testified that he couldn’t turn to authorities because his handler had people watching him.

Prosecutors also said that in his FBI interviews, Merchant “neglected to mention any facts that could have supported” an argument that he acted under duress.

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Merchant told jurors Wednesday that he didn’t think agents would believe his story, because their questions suggested “they think that I’m some type of super-spy.”

“And are you a super-spy?” defense lawyer Avraham Moskowitz asked.

“No,” Merchant said. “Absolutely not.”

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