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The US House may not have a speaker when it convenes. Here’s why

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The US House may not have a speaker when it convenes. Here’s why

Washington, DC – The election of the Speaker of the USA Home of Representatives — often a formality — is a nail-biter this yr.

Though Republicans narrowly gained the Home in November’s midterm elections, GOP chief Kevin McCarthy doesn’t have an assured majority to take the gavel amid opposition from just a few members of his personal caucus.

So when the incoming Congress meets for the primary time on Tuesday, a majority could fail to materialise in assist of a brand new Home Speaker. And that, in flip, would virtually make the chamber nonfunctional.

The Home Speaker performs a crucial position within the US authorities. Not solely does the Speaker preside over the decrease chamber of Congress, however additionally they stand second in line to the presidency, prepared to guide the nation if each the president and vp are unable to serve.

The final time a Speaker was not elected within the first roll name was precisely 100 years in the past. Ought to that occur once more on Tuesday, Home legislators will maintain additional rounds of voting till a candidate can safe the wanted votes.

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Whoever is elected Speaker holds “large affect over what kinds of payments and amendments get voted on in Congress”, mentioned Christian Fong, a political science professor on the College of Michigan. That “provides them an amazing quantity of management over what turns into regulation”.

Whereas there was vocal opposition by legislators of each events to the rising energy of the Speaker, Fong foresees a very tough path to the gavel for McCarthy.

“It’s a really skinny [Republican] majority, so it solely takes a small group of decided representatives to essentially get collectively and pose a reputable risk to stop the Speaker from being elected,” Fong instructed Al Jazeera.

How we obtained right here

Republicans have 222 seats within the incoming Home — a tiny majority within the 435-member chamber. With Democrats all however sure to vote towards McCarthy, a handful of Republicans can make sure that he doesn’t get to the 218 votes he wants to switch outgoing Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

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A number of far-right Republicans have already promised to not again McCarthy, portray him as a profession politician who doesn’t share their populist beliefs.

Pelosi herself confronted inner opposition when she was up for reelection as Speaker in 2021, with Home Democrats likewise holding a slim majority on the time. Nonetheless, she managed to maintain the gavel although two centrist members of her caucus nominated different candidates and three others voted “current” as a type of protest.

“One purpose why you don’t see extra opposition to the Speaker within the trendy period is that the Speaker controls every kind of useful sources that members of the Home of Representatives really need,” Fong mentioned.

“Committee assignments is one good instance,” he defined. “Marketing campaign funds is one other.”

However McCarthy faces the problem that a lot of his right-wing Republican opponents merely “will not be very ” within the perks that the Speaker can supply, Fong mentioned.

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Lots of McCarthy’s Republican critics come from so-called “protected districts”, the place they face few severe challengers throughout election season. And a number of other of them have robust political bases, making them much less reliant on the Speaker for fundraising, media attain and different help.

The early bother for McCarthy underscores a significant concern he could face as Speaker: Members with outsized energy who can threaten to successfully wipe out the Republican majority if they don’t get their method.

McCarthy’s agenda

McCarthy has been negotiating with the politicians who oppose his bid for Speaker, providing concessions which will dilute his personal energy. He has promised to centre right-wing priorities, together with investigating the enterprise practices of President Joe Biden’s son, Hunter Biden — a difficulty that Democrats dismiss as a conspiracy idea.

McCarthy, a California Republican, has additionally known as on Division of Homeland Safety (DHS) Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas to resign over his dealing with of migration on the southern border and threatened to analyze and impeach him.

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Furthermore, he promised to revive the committee assignments of Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, who was kicked off congressional panels in 2021 over anti-Semitic and Islamophobic feedback.

Greene has been one of many few far-right firebrands backing his bid for the speakership.

“If Kevin McCarthy turns into Speaker of the Home, it’s as a result of he’s handed over the reins of his caucus to Marjorie Taylor Greene and probably the most MAGA Republicans,” the Democratic Get together wrote on Twitter on Monday, utilizing the acronym for former President Donald Trump’s “Make America Nice Once more” slogan.

Nonetheless, different conservative Republicans will not be displaying indicators of budging.

“The occasions name for radical departure from the established order — not a continuation of previous and ongoing Republican failures,” a gaggle of 9 ultraconservative Home members mentioned in a press release on Sunday.

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“For somebody with a 14-year presence in senior Home Republican management, Mr. McCarthy bears squarely the burden to appropriate the dysfunction he now explicitly admits throughout that lengthy tenure.”

Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz has been serving to lead the right-wing dissent towards McCarthy, and he accused the Republican chief of “caving to liberals” and contributing to his get together’s underwhelming efficiency in November’s elections.

“In sports activities, when the group loses video games it’s presupposed to win, the coach will get fired. In enterprise, when earnings vastly miss projections, the CEO is changed,” Gaetz wrote within the conservative publication The Each day Caller final month.

“In Republican politics, a promotion shouldn’t be failure’s chaser.”

By Monday, politicians within the so-called “by no means Kevin” camp appeared assured they may thwart McCarthy’s speakership bid. “I don’t imagine he’ll ever get to 218 votes, and I refuse to help him in his effort to get these votes,” Republican Congressman Andy Biggs wrote on Twitter.

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What the GOP rebels need

McCarthy nonetheless has hours to safe the votes needed, and his GOP critics wouldn’t have a viable alternative to take the gavel.

So what are McCarthy’s opponents after?

Fong, the political science professor, mentioned the right-wing legislators see a possibility to strengthen their positions and divert energy away from the eventual Speaker, permitting them to have an even bigger say within the legislative course of.

“They see that they’ve some actual leverage to attempt to get some guidelines adjustments by. They’ve staked out a very robust bargaining place for themselves,” he mentioned.

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Brendan Buck, a communications advisor who beforehand labored for Republican audio system Paul Ryan and John Boehner, additionally believes that the GOP politicians opposing McCarthy need to weaken — not select — the following speaker.

“The embarrassment certainly stands out as the level,” Buck wrote in an essay revealed within the New York Instances on Monday. “The dissident members imagine a weak speaker would make them extra highly effective. In fact, it could profit nobody.”

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Earth bids farewell to its temporary 'mini moon' that is possibly a chunk of our actual moon

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Earth bids farewell to its temporary 'mini moon' that is possibly a chunk of our actual moon

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. (AP) — Planet Earth is parting company with an asteroid that’s been tagging along as a “mini moon” for the past two months.

The harmless space rock will peel away on Monday, overcome by the stronger tug of the sun’s gravity. But it will zip closer for a quick visit in January.

NASA will use a radar antenna to observe the 33-foot (10-meter) asteroid then. That should deepen scientists’ understanding of the object known as 2024 PT5, quite possibly a boulder that was blasted off the moon by an impacting, crater-forming asteroid.

While not technically a moon — NASA stresses it was never captured by Earth’s gravity and fully in orbit — it’s “an interesting object” worthy of study.

The astrophysicist brothers who identified the asteroid’s “mini moon behavior,” Raul and Carlos de la Fuente Marcos of Complutense University of Madrid, have collaborated with telescopes in the Canary Islands for hundreds of observations so far.

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Currently more than 2 million miles (3.5 million kilometers) away, the object is too small and faint to see without a powerful telescope. It will pass as close as 1.1 million miles (1.8 million kilometers) of Earth in January, maintaining a safe distance before it zooms farther into the solar system while orbiting the sun, not to return until 2055. That’s almost five times farther than the moon.

First spotted in August, the asteroid began its semi jog around Earth in late September, after coming under the grips of Earth’s gravity and following a horseshoe-shaped path. By the time it returns next year, it will be moving too fast — more than double its speed from September — to hang around, said Raul de la Fuente Marcos.

NASA will track the asteroid for more than a week in January using the Goldstone solar system radar antenna in California’s Mojave Desert, part of the Deep Space Network.

Current data suggest that during its 2055 visit, the sun-circling asteroid will once again make a temporary and partial lap around Earth.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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Israel confirms death of missing Abu Dhabi rabbi: 'Abhorrent act of antisemitic terrorism’

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Israel confirms death of missing Abu Dhabi rabbi: 'Abhorrent act of antisemitic terrorism’

Israeli officials on Sunday confirmed the death of an Abu Dhabi rabbi who had been missing since Thursday. 

“The UAE intelligence and security authorities have located the body of Zvi Kogan, who has been missing since Thursday, 21 November 2024,” the Israeli Prime Minister’s Office and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a statement on X. “The Israeli mission in Abu Dhabi has been in contact with the family from the start of the event and is continuing to assist it at this difficult time; his family in Israel has also been updated.” 

“The murder of Zvi Kogan, of blessed memory, is an abhorrent act of antisemitic terrorism. The State of Israel will use all means and will deal with the criminals responsible for his death to the fullest extent of the law,” the statement added. 

RABBI FEARED KIDNAPPED, KILLED BY TERRORISTS AFTER GOING MISSING, PROMPTING INVESTIGATION

Rabbi Zvi Kogan, a Chabad emissary, had been missing since Thursday. (Chabad.org via X)

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Rabbi Zvi Kogan was an emissary of the Chabad Lubavitch movement, a prominent and highly observant branch of Hasidic Judaism based in Brooklyn’s Crown Heights neighborhood in New York City.

The 28-year-old was a resident of Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates when he went missing Thursday. He is a citizen of both Moldova and Israel.

According to his LinkedIn, Kogan worked as a recruiter and was “passionate about volunteering and serving [his] community.”

Rabbi Zvi Kogan's grocery store

A man walks past Rimon Market, a Kosher grocery store managed by the late Rabbi Zvi Kogan, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Sunday, Nov. 24, 2024.  (AP Photo/Jon Gambrell)

‘CHEERLEADING FOR TERRORISM’: TWITCH STAR CALLED FOR NEW 9/11, DISMISSED HORROR OF OCT 7

The Israeli Prime Minister’s Office announced its investigation into the unusual disappearance on Saturday. At the time, the statement said the disappearance appeared to be related to “a terrorist incident” but did not elaborate.

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The United Arab Emirates’ Ministry of Interior had confirmed it was investigating Kogan’s disappearance, but described his citizenship solely as a “Moldovan national.” 

Jew praying in UAE

Rabbi Levi Duchman performs morning prayers on the roof of the Jewish Community Center of the UAE on March 22, 2021, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.  (Andrea DiCenzo/Getty Images)

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The Rimon Market, a Kosher grocery store that Kogan managed on Dubai’s busy Al Wasl Road, was shut Sunday, according to the Associated Press. It had been a target of anti-Israel protests. 

Kogan’s wife, Rivky, is a U.S. citizen who lived with him in the UAE. She is the niece of Rabbi Gavriel Holtzberg, who was killed in the 2008 Mumbai attacks.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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‘Optical illusion’: Key takeaways from COP29

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‘Optical illusion’: Key takeaways from COP29

Rich countries have pledged to contribute $300bn a year by 2035 to help poorer nations combat the effects of climate change after two weeks of intense negotiations at the United Nations climate summit (COP29) in Azerbaijan’s capital, Baku.

While this marks a significant increase from the previous $100bn pledge, the deal has been sharply criticised by developing nations as woefully insufficient to address the scale of the climate crisis.

This year’s summit, hosted by the oil and gas-rich former Soviet republic, unfolded against the backdrop of a looming political shift in the United States as a climate-sceptic Donald Trump administration takes office in January. Faced with this uncertainty, many countries deemed the failure to secure a new financial agreement in Baku an unacceptable risk.

Here are the key takeaways from this year’s summit:

‘No real money on the table’: $300bn climate finance fund slammed

While a broader target of $1.3 trillion annually by 2035 was adopted, only $300bn annually was designated for grants and low-interest loans from developed nations to aid the developing world in transitioning to low-carbon economies and preparing for climate change effects.

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Under the deal, the majority of the funding is expected to come from private investment and alternative sources, such as proposed levies on fossil fuels and frequent flyers – which remain under discussion.

“The rich world staged a great escape in Baku,” said Mohamed Adow, the Kenyan director of Power Shift Africa, a think tank.

“With no real money on the table, and vague and unaccountable promises of funds to be mobilised, they are trying to shirk their climate finance obligations,” he added, explaining that “poor countries needed to see clear, grant-based, climate finance” which “was sorely lacking”.

The deal states that developed nations would be “taking the lead” in providing the $300bn – implying that others could join.

The US and the European Union want newly wealthy emerging economies like China – currently the world’s largest emitter – to chip in. But the deal only “encourages” emerging economies to make voluntary contributions.

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Failure to explicitly repeat the call for a transition away from fossil fuels

A call to “transition away” from coal, oil, and gas made during last year’s COP28 summit in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates, was touted as groundbreaking – the first time that 200 countries, including top oil and gas producers like Saudi Arabia and the US, acknowledged the need to phase down fossil fuels. But the latest talks only referred to the Dubai deal, without explicitly repeating the call for a transition away from fossil fuels.

Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev referred to fossil fuel resources as a “gift from God” during his keynote opening speech.

New carbon credit trading rules approved

New rules allowing wealthy, high-emission countries to buy carbon-cutting “offsets” from developing nations were approved this week.

The initiative, known as Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, establishes frameworks for both direct country-to-country carbon trading and a UN-regulated marketplace.

Proponents believe this could channel vital investment into developing nations, where many carbon credits are generated through activities like reforestation, protecting carbon sinks, and transitioning to clean energy.

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However, critics warn that without strict safeguards, these systems could be exploited to greenwash climate targets, allowing leading polluters to delay meaningful emissions reductions. The unregulated carbon market has previously faced scandals, raising concerns about the effectiveness and integrity of these credits.

Disagreements within the developing world

The negotiations were also the scene of disagreements within the developing world.

The Least Developed Countries (LDCs) bloc had asked that it receive $220bn per year, while the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) wanted $39bn – demands that were opposed by other developing nations.

The figures did not appear in the final deal. Instead, it calls for tripling other public funds they receive by 2030.

The next COP, in Brazil in 2025, is expected to issue a report on how to boost climate finance for these countries.

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Who said what?

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen hailed the deal in Baku as marking “a new era for climate cooperation and finance”.

She said the $300bn agreement after marathon talks “will drive investments in the clean transition, bringing down emissions and building resilience to climate change”.

US President Joe Biden cast the agreement reached in Baku as a “historic outcome”, while EU climate envoy Wopke Hoekstra said it would be remembered as “the start of a new era for climate finance”.

But others fully disagreed. India, a vociferous critic of rich countries’ stance in climate negotiations, called it “a paltry sum”.

“This document is little more than an optical illusion,” India’s delegate Chandni Raina said.

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Sierra Leone’s Environment Minister Jiwoh Abdulai said the deal showed a “lack of goodwill” from rich countries to stand by the world’s poorest as they confront rising seas and harsher droughts. Nigeria’s envoy Nkiruka Maduekwe called it “an insult”.

Is the COP process in doubt?

Despite years of celebrated climate agreements, greenhouse gas emissions and global temperatures continue to rise, with 2024 on track to be the hottest year recorded. The intensifying effects of extreme weather highlight the insufficient pace of action to avert a full-blown climate crisis.

The COP29 finance deal has drawn criticism as inadequate.

Adding to the unease, Trump’s presidential election victory loomed over the talks, with his pledges to withdraw the US from global climate efforts and appoint a climate sceptic as energy secretary further dampening optimism.

‘No longer fit for purpose’

The Kick the Big Polluters Out (KBPO) coalition of NGOs analysed accreditations at the summit, calculating that more than 1,700 people linked to fossil fuel interests attended.

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A group of leading climate activists and scientists, including former UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, warned earlier this month that the COP process was “no longer fit for purpose”.

They urged smaller, more frequent meetings, strict criteria for host countries and rules to ensure companies showed clear climate commitments before being allowed to send lobbyists to the talks.

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