California
California has ‘been quiet for a while,’ but threat of a catastrophic earthquake is real
This week’s catastrophic earthquake in Turkey and Syria is simply the newest warning of the potential dangers for California and different seismically lively areas.
Some California cities have retrofitted or demolished drawback buildings following quakes within the Eighties and Nineteen Nineties. However many buildings within the state haven’t endured the identical form of intense shaking skilled in Turkey and Syria.
The magnitude 7.8 earthquake struck southeastern Turkey at 4:17 a.m. native time Monday on the East Anatolian fault. Aftershocks have rippled all through the southeast a part of the nation and Syria. A strong magnitude 7.5 aftershock on a unique fault struck 9 hours later, with an epicenter 60 miles to the northeast, producing one other spherical of devastation.
The San Andreas fault is able to related exercise.
“We’ve had 7.8 earthquakes in our historic previous. We’ve had an amazing run with out them, nevertheless it’s vital to be ready for these prospects sooner or later,” stated U.S. Geological Survey analysis geophysicist Kate Scharer.
Two of these have occurred on the San Andreas: the 1906 earthquake that destroyed a lot of San Francisco and the 1857 quake that ruptured a size of the fault from Monterey County by means of Los Angeles County and into the Cajon Cross.
“There might be 7.8s in our future. Completely. Now we have the faults, we’ve seen it up to now, it can occur once more,” stated seismologist Lucy Jones, a analysis affiliate at Caltech. “The timing of them, so far as we will inform, is random. And there’s no solution to say when it’s going to be occurring. … In comparison with the long-term common, we’ve been quiet for some time.”
The dimensions of the constructing collapses in Turkey and Syria, some captured on video, could possibly be attributed to a lot of elements. A few of the buildings could have been constructed earlier than the arrival of recent constructing codes. The collapses is also resulting from corruption in security inspections or incompetence in design practices — points which have come up in Mexico, Taiwan and New Zealand.
However structural engineers have stated {that a} massive quake in California would even be devastating, if not on the identical scale. They’ve lengthy warned in regards to the threat of brittle, concrete buildings collapsing, as occurred throughout the 1971 Sylmar and 1994 Northridge quakes. When the concrete Veterans Administration Hospital in San Fernando pancaked within the 1971 earthquake, 49 folks have been killed.
Minimal development necessities have been strengthened within the years after the Sylmar quake, however these guidelines affected solely new development. Extra concrete buildings suffered vital harm within the 1994 Northridge quake.
David Cocke, president of the Earthquake Engineering Analysis Institute and a structural engineer with Gardena-based Structural Focus, stated among the collapsed buildings he has seen in information footage from Turkey seem to have been constructed from non-ductile concrete, through which insufficient metal reinforcing bars enable concrete to blow up from columns when shaken.
Related movies emerged after a magnitude 7.1 earthquake in 2017 struck Mexico. One confirmed a constructing wobbling, adopted by concrete falling out of a ground-floor column; the columns then flexed, and the higher flooring crashed down, sinking right into a cloud of mud.
A concrete faculty in Mexico Metropolis that collapsed in that quake killed 19 college students and 7 adults.
Movies and images from Turkey and Syria present constructing of assorted eras — some outdated, some trendy — collapsing. However in addition they present that many others survived the shaking. Specialists say new buildings in Turkey — when correctly constructed to native codes — are akin to California’s requirements.
A few of the collapses in Turkey occurred many hours after the predawn mainshock. The magnitude 7.5 aftershock occurred round 1:24 p.m.
Whether or not from one quake or two, “the longer the length [of shaking], the higher the prospect a constructing goes to break down,” Cocke stated.
Scharer traveled to the location of a magnitude 7.1 earthquake in 2011 in jap Turkey, which produced intense shaking underneath town of Van; a subsequent, less-powerful quake triggered further harm.
“We frequently name them a doublet,” Scharer stated. The preliminary indicators of constructing weak spot will be noticed when massive diagonal cracks, trying just like the letter X, are seen within the constructing.
“So the constructing will get weakened by the primary earthquake,” she stated. “After which when you’ve gotten a major aftershock come by means of, then they really collapsed. So it’s form of a one-two punch.”
In California, a magnitude 7.8 quake would produce harm way more widespread than was attributable to the tremblors of the previous century. A U.S. Geological Survey simulation of a magnitude 7.8 earthquake in Southern California led researchers to find out that it was believable such a quake might trigger almost 1,800 deaths and 50,000 accidents, and destroy main utilities carrying gasoline, energy and water. In Northern California, a simulation of a magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward fault east of San Francisco confirmed that there could possibly be no less than 800 deaths from the quake, plus a whole bunch extra from fires afterward.
Both state of affairs would outcome within the deadliest earthquakes to hit California in additional than 100 years. A magnitude 7.5 quake on the Puente Hills fault — which runs beneath extremely populated areas of L.A. and Orange counties — might kill 3,000 to 18,000 folks, in accordance with the USGS and Southern California Earthquake Heart.
Of the world’s lively seismic zones, California and Turkey, together with New Zealand, are in a class of their very own. These three areas have lengthy, mature faults and are on land, versus Japan, the place the most important faults are underneath the ocean.
In Turkey, the East Anatolian and North Anatolian faults are of an identical sort to the San Andreas — comparatively extra prone to rupture in a single human’s lifetime than others.
The land beneath central Turkey is seismically lively as it’s squeezed between the Arabian plate, which is pushing northward, and Europe, stated Ross Stein, a geophysics lecturer at Stanford College and chief govt of Temblor, which produces earthquake threat fashions. “And so it’s squeezed out to the west.”
The East Anatolian, just like the San Andreas, is a strike-slip fault — one which runs vertically, and the bottom strikes sideways throughout the rupture.
“You get very sturdy shaking proper alongside the fault, a lot stronger than you see even not too far-off,” Jones stated.
The truth that the epicenters of the 2 main Turkey quakes have been 60 miles aside reveals that follow-ups can happen at a distance from the mainshock.
“A number of aftershocks are on different faults,” Jones stated.
California
Another batch of raw milk from a trendy California brand just tested positive for bird flu
- Two batches of raw milk from a trendy California brand have tested positive for bird flu this week.
- Bird flu has been spreading rapidly among cattle in the US.
- Experts say drinking raw milk is dangerous, and can cause food poisoning.
Another batch of raw milk just tested positive for bird flu in California.
Last Sunday, Fresno-based Raw Farm voluntarily recalled a first batch of cream top whole raw milk with a “best by” date of November 27. By Wednesday, the California Department of Public Health announced that a second batch of Raw Farm cream top, with a “best by” date of December 7 had also tested positive for bird flu, based on retail sampling.
“We’re not making a big deal about it, because it’s not a big deal,” Kaleigh Stanziani, Raw Farm’s vice president of marketing, said in a short video posted on YouTube after the farm’s first voluntary recall was announced earlier this week.
She said there had only been an indication that there might be a “trace element of something possible,” emphasizing that there had been no reported illnesses of Raw Farms cows or positive tests from the cattle.
Raw Farm owner Mark McAfee later told the LA Times that the California Department of Food and Agriculture had requested that his company “hold delivery of further products” until Friday, after conducting thorough testing of two Raw Farms and one creamery on Wednesday. (McAfee could not immediately be reached for comment by Business Insider during the Thanksgiving holiday.)
Raw milk may be helping bird flu spread — but not in the way you might think
Scientists suspect that cross-contamination of raw milk between animals may be one reason the H5N1 virus is spreading rapidly among cows in the US — and could even contribute to the human spread of the virus. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention cautions that dairy workers might be able to contract bird flu by infected raw milk splashed into their eyes.
There is no definitive evidence yet that humans can get bird flu from drinking contaminated raw milk. Instead, health authorities generally recommend avoiding raw milk because of other serious health risks, including food poisoning with bacteria like Salmonella, E.coli, or Listeria.
There are no known health benefits of drinking raw milk. Instead, all evidence suggests that pasteurized milk is just as nutritious, and is safer to consume.
Still, raw milk has become a trendy product among some influencers. Gwenyth Paltrow says she has it in her coffee in the morning.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., President-elect Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services secretary, says he wants the US Food and Drug Administration to stop its “war” against raw milk.
Over the summer, “Carnivore MD” Paul Saladino released a raw milk smoothie in partnership with the elite Los Angeles health foods store Erewhon featuring unpasteurized (raw) kefir from Raw Farms, and powdered beef organs.
California has some of the loosest rules around raw milk in the country; it’s generally fine for California retailers like health foods stores and grocers to sell it, raw milk products just can’t be transported across state lines, per FDA rules.
Michael Payne, a researcher at the Western Institute of Food Safety and Security, told The Guardian that people consuming Dr. Paul’s $19 smoothie were “playing Russian roulette with their health,” and ignoring pasteurization, “the single most important food safety firewall in history.”
California dairy farms have been seeing an uptick in bird flu cases since August. The state has reported 29 confirmed human cases of bird flu, and all but one of those was sourced back to cows.
Last week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported the first confirmed case of bird flu in a California child from Alameda County. The child had no known contact with infected farm animals, but may have been exposed to wild birds, the California health department said in a statement.
The child had mild symptoms and is recovering well after receiving antiviral drugs.
California
10 of 15 Southern California industries slow their hiring pace
Southern California’s bosses added 80,700 workers in the past year to a record 8.06 million jobs – but that hiring pace is roughly half of the pre-pandemic job market’s gains.
My trusty spreadsheet – filled with state job figures for Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties – compared employment changes for the region and 15 industries in the year ended in October with the average yearly hiring pace before coronavirus upended the economy.
Yes, there have never been more Southern Californians employed. However, the recent hirings that created the all-time high staffing are far below the average job creation of 159,600 a year in 2015-19.
This is one of many signals of cooler business trends. It’s a chill significantly tied to the Federal Reserve’s attempts to slow what was once an overheated economy.
But Southern California bosses have another challenge – a shortage of workers. The region’s workforce, a measure of labor supply, is basically flat comparing 2024 to 2015-19. Fewer choices of workers have added difficulty for local businesses trying to meet their staffing needs.
Think of that when you learn that among the 15 Southern California business sectors tracked – hiring in 10 industries is below pre-pandemic years compared with five industries with improvements.
The downs
First, contemplate the 10 industries where the hiring pace has weakened, ranked by the size of the decline …
Professional-business services: 1.14 million workers in October – down 4,600 in a year vs. 24,100 annual gains in 2015-19. This net downturn of 28,700 jobs is unnerving because this white-collar work typically pays above-average salaries.
Construction: 378,700 workers – down 3,100 in a year vs. 16,200 annual gains in 2015-19. A building slowdown due to lofty mortgage rates created this 19,300 reversal.
Logistics-utilities: 820,800 workers – up 6,800 in a year vs. 25,800 annual gains in 2015-19. What’s at least a temporary oversupply of warehouses in the region may be behind this 19,000 slowdown.
Manufacturing: 558,400 workers – down 15,300 in a year vs. 4,100 annual cuts in 2015-19. This 11,200 drop is continued losses of local factory work tied to high cost of doing business in the region.
Fast-food restaurants: 359,400 workers – up 3,400 in a year vs. 12,400 annual gains in 2015-19. Weaker consumer spending and a hike in the industry’s minimum wage contribute to this 9,000 drop.
Hotels/entertainment/recreation: 268,300 workers – up 3,400 in a year vs. 9,600 annual gains in 2015-19. This 6,200 cooling reflects worker shortages.
Full-service eateries/food service: 339,100 workers – up 1,600 in a year vs. 6,600 annual gains in 2015-19. Inflation making shoppers pickier is part of this 5,000 cooling.
Information: 214,200 workers – down 100 in a year vs. 3,700 annual gains in 2015-19. Weakness in tech businesses and Hollywood productions created the 3,800 net downturn.
Personal services: 266,600 workers – up 500 in a year vs. 3,200 annual gains in 2015-19. Again, it is hard to find people to do this work. Thus, a 2,700 cooling.
Government: 1.03 million workers – up 11,600 in a year vs. 12,500 annual gains in 2015-19. This 900 dip is status quo.
The ups
Ponder the five industries where the hiring pace rose in the past year, ranked by the size of the gains …
Social assistance: 512,300 workers – up 28,200 in a year vs. 18,300 annual gains in 2015-19. The 9,900 addition comes as more folks need help at home for healthcare and child care.
Healthcare: 836,700 workers – up 30,100 in a year vs. 20,900 annual gains in 2015-19. The 9,200 growth parallels the region’s aging population and its need for medical services.
Retailing: 748,300 workers – up 8,300 in a year vs. 300 annual cuts in 2015-19. This somewhat surprising 8,600 improvement may be consumers tiring of online commerce and wanting to get out to shop.
Financial: 364,100 workers – up 4,400 in a year vs. 3,900 annual gains in 2015-19. The minor 500 improvement is a return to normalcy. Super-heated hiring came in the pandemic days thanks to a brief drop in mortgage rates to historic lows.
Private education: 215,700 workers – up 5,500 in a year vs. 5,100 annual gains in 2015-19. This 400 uptick reflects the growing interest in alternatives to public schooling.
Bottom line
While it’s rare for all industries to be growing at the same time – minus, say, just after an economic downturn – this 2024 edition of the winners vs. losers list raises an important issue.
It appears much of the past year’s job creation is coming from industries that historically pay meager wages. That’s an especially worrisome trend in high-cost Southern California.
Jonathan Lansner is the business columnist for the Southern California News Group. He can be reached at jlansner@scng.com
California
California Lottery Powerball, Daily 3 Midday winning numbers for Nov. 27, 2024
The California Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big. Here’s a look at Nov. 27, 2024, results for each game:
Powerball
01-06-07-13-40, Powerball: 05, Power Play: 5
Check Powerball payouts and previous drawings here.
Daily 3
Midday: 7-1-0
Evening: 4-9-6
Check Daily 3 payouts and previous drawings here.
Daily Derby
1st:11 Money Bags-2nd:3 Hot Shot-3rd:8 Gorgeous George, Race Time: 1:47.44
Check Daily Derby payouts and previous drawings here.
Fantasy 5
03-10-12-29-33
Check Fantasy 5 payouts and previous drawings here.
Daily 4
6-1-3-2
Check Daily 4 payouts and previous drawings here.
SuperLotto Plus
03-05-15-16-42, Mega Ball: 24
Check SuperLotto Plus payouts and previous drawings here.
Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results
This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Desert Sun producer. You can send feedback using this form.
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