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Steve Kerr and Doc Rivers talk about what JJ Redick might face if he coaches Lakers

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Steve Kerr and Doc Rivers talk about what JJ Redick might face if he coaches Lakers

On Sept. 30, 2014, Steve Kerr presided over his first practice as the head coach of an NBA team. Kerr was now the man in charge of the Golden State Warriors, a job he took without the benefit of any previous coaching experience.

Kerr looked out before him and saw the faces of stars Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green staring back at him, waiting for the newbie to put his coaching plan in place on that initial day.

“It was a little bit of a s— show, to be honest. I had these plans with the coaching staff beforehand, but it was like the first day of school, only I was a brand new teacher,” Kerr, laughing, recalled about his first day coaching the Warriors. “You have to get through the bumps in the road and iron things out. But I remember the first two days were a little chaotic. I was trying to do a lot of things. I quickly realized that you don’t have nearly as enough time as you thought you would to address every issue. And that’s a big part of it.”

If JJ Redick gets the Lakers’ head coaching job that seems destined to become his, according to people not authorized to speak publicly on the matter, having the right staff will be beneficial since he has no coaching experience.

Kerr won five NBA championships as a player. He became a minority owner of the Suns upon retiring, then the president of basketball operations and general manager of the team. He left that post and to join TNT as an analyst until leaving that job in 2014 to become coach of the Warriors.

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What he quickly learned during the early practice sessions and in games throughout his maiden voyage as a coach was to lean on his highly capable and experienced staff.

Kerr turned to former coach Alvin Gentry and Ron Adams, considered the savant of assistant coaches at the time in the NBA, for advice.

“I was lucky I had Ron Adams and Alvin Gentry with me. Although I shouldn’t call it luck. I purposely hired them because I knew I would need their expertise,” said Kerr, who won the first of his four NBA championships in that rookie season. “And they were great, they were fantastic and helped me through that transition process.”

The Times spoke to five former players who became head coaches without having been on the bench in that role and each was adamant the sage assistants are important to have for guidance.

Redick, who played 15 seasons in the NBA, is an analyst for ABC/ESPN and has his “Mind the Game” podcast with Lakers superstar LeBron James.

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“If JJ does get the job, JJ has been out of the game for a few years and had an opportunity to be around guys in other settings,” said Derek Fisher, the Crespi High coach who won five NBA titles with the Lakers before he became a first-time coach with the New York Knicks in 2014.

“Like, he has a podcast with LeBron. That didn’t necessarily exist when I was making that transition. But it’s a good example of how different that is for even a guy that may not have previous experience coaching. It’s really the relationships with players that drive your success to a large degree anyway. So, if you’re in a position where you have that to lean on, it does help cushion the experience part. That’s something that the collection of individuals on the staff can help offset the lack of coaching experience.”

The pull to become a coach for Doc Rivers came after 13 years in the NBA as a player and three years working for TNT after his retirement, calls from legendary coaches Pat Riley and Chuck Daly sparking his interest.

Doc Rivers said he made sure when he took his first head coaching job that he hired two former NBA coaches as his assistants.

(Darron Cummings / Associated Press)

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So Rivers, currently the coach of Milwaukee, took the job with the Orlando Magic in 1999 without any experience. But he had former head coaches Dave Wohl and Johnny Davis by his side.

Rivers recalled how a few games into his first season he wanted to change his offense.

Wohl and Davis told Rivers that “you can’t do that,” because they had installed a new offense in training camp.

Still, Rivers was insistent.

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“I said, ‘Yeah, I’m going to do it.’ And they were all against it, and I did it,” said Rivers, who was selected coach of the year in his first season. “It changed our team because it fit what we were. It took guts. So, that taught me a lot. You are going to be wrong sometimes, but you got to be willingly wrong and you got to be willing to take chances. I thought that was the biggest lesson that year.”

Mark Jackson was a point guard in the NBA for 17 seasons before he joined ESPN as an analyst. Yet, Jackson yearned to be an NBA coach, figuring his time as a point guard made him a coach on the court that would translate even if he lacked any experience on the bench.

“I wouldn’t say learn as you go along,” said Jackson, who took over the Warriors in 2011. “There are certain things that you have to learn that you didn’t do as a player. Now you’re making the decisions, decisions that you never thought about making like, ‘Do we stay overnight? Do we leave after the game? What time is practice? How long do we practice?’ I was fortunate to have good people around me, as far as my staff, particularly Mike Malone and Pete Myers, guys that had been assistants for a long time. They made life easier for me.”

Warriors head coach Mark Jackson hugs guard Stephen Curry after he was taken out of a playoff game against the Clippers.

Warriors head coach Mark Jackson, hugging guard Stephen Curry after he was taken out of playoff game against the Clippers, said becoming an NBA coach with no experience brings many decisions you never thought about aside from games.

(Mark J. Terrill / Associated Press)

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When Vinny Del Negro became a first-time coach with the Chicago Bulls in 2008, he hired former head coaches Del Harris and Bernie Bickerstaff to show him the ins and outs of being the man in charge.

Del Negro also took another approach to help in his learning curve.

“When I got the Chicago job, I went and coached the team in the summer league,” he said. “I just jumped right in. I needed that. Everyday you do it, every game, you get a little bit more comfortable and you understand things a little bit better and you’re learning your players, and you know things you can do better every game. That’s what you are doing on a daily basis.”

As he began to think about coaching, Kerr said he spent years preparing how to interview for jobs and what kind of coaching philosophy he wanted to develop.

Kerr said some of the best advice he got about becoming a coach was from Jeff Van Gundy, a former Knicks and Rockets coach.

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“I asked his advice and I said, ‘If you were me and just getting started and wanted to prepare for an interview and prepare to become a coach, what would you do?’” Kerr said. “And he said, ‘Everytime you stop and think about what kind of coach you want to be, write it down. Whatever you are thinking, write it down.

“Before long, you are going to collect your thoughts, you’re going to have them on paper, you’re going to be able to look at them and think about them and adapt them and put together a philosophy that you can present to somebody.’ And it was the best advice anybody gave me.”

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MLB offense is nearing all-time lows — hitters have theories: 'Pitching is out of control'

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MLB offense is nearing all-time lows — hitters have theories: 'Pitching is out of control'

Here’s a thought that defines baseball in 2024: What if the whole sport suddenly turned into Bruce Bochy?

No, not Bruce Bochy, the future Hall of Fame manager. We’re talking about Bruce Bochy, the one-time roving backup catcher from the 1970s and ’80s.

We make this important observation because, as offense in MLB approaches historic lows these days, that Bruce Bochy comes to mind.

BATTING AVERAGE
2024 league AVG — .241
Bochy career AVG — .239

SLUGGING
2024 league SLUG — .390
Bochy career SLUG — .388

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After stumbling upon this fascinating revelation, how could we not ask Bochy himself what he thinks this says about offense in 2024?

“I’d say the league is now seeing through my lens how hard hitting is!” the Rangers’ manager deadpanned, in that self-deprecating but dead-on way of his.

Well, isn’t that the truth? Perhaps you hadn’t noticed this trend. So take a look at the state of offense this season. It’s not a pretty picture. If baseball keeps up this pace, it would lead to …

• 39,404 hits — more than 1,400 fewer than last year.

• 21,078 runs — more than 1,300 fewer than last year.

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• 5,079 home runs — almost 800 fewer than last year.

• 7,628 doubles — exactly 600 fewer than last year.

But let’s put that in better perspective. At this pace, we would also be heading toward …

• The fewest doubles in a season since before the 1993 expansion. That’s two expansions ago!

• The fewest homers since 2015, just before the baseball got noticeably livelier.

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• The fewest hits per game (in a full season) since 1968.

• The lowest batting average on balls in play (.288) since 1992.

So here is what that means as you try to measure what a good offense or good hitter looks like in 2024:

The average hitter now has a Bochy-esque slash line of .241/.311/.390.

Only 25 hitters in the sport are on pace to hit 30 home runs. As recently as 2019, there were 58 of them.

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The average lineup now gets just 8.1 hits per game. Yikes! We’ve seen only five full seasons worse than that in the modern era (1901-present) — and four of them were 1906-07-08-09! The other was 1968.


“I’d say the league is now seeing through my lens how hard hitting is!” said Bruce Bochy, pictured in 1987, the final season of his playing career. (Stephen Dunn / Getty Images)

Maybe it’s just early. Maybe it will change when the weather starts to sizzle. Maybe we’re making too much of a small sample. But you would have a hard time convincing most hitters of that.

“This league is so hard right now, man,” Mariners first baseman Ty France said. “Pitchers are throwing hard with command and have three fastballs now: sink; cut; fade. Everything.”

So are the hitters onto something here? Are pitchers really more unhittable than ever? Or is this about the array of unhittable, unpredictable stuff being designed in pitching labs all over baseball?

Or is it about the way defense is being played these days, especially in the outfield, where elite athletes, armed with more information than ever before, are playing deeper than ever and regularly snatching doubles out of the sky?

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Or is it the baseball, the humidor, the bats or some other mysterious force that seems to be causing balls to fly differently in 2024 than they did as recently as last year?

Or is it possible it’s all of that — a powerful lineup of offense-depressing forces, all aligning in this moment, to drive the numbers toward historic lows?

It seems like the answer is yes, yes, yes and also yes. So we dug into what’s really happening, because, in the words of the Brewers’ Christian Yelich, “It’s all of that. It’s not just one thing.”

A moment of silence for the meatball

Should we start with technology? Sure. Let’s blame technology. The hitters definitely are.

“With the technology now,” Yelich said, “with the analytics and the high-speed cameras and the TrackMan data and all that stuff, you can tell, as a pitcher, if your pitches are good or bad, and how they work, and which kind of pitches you should throw in the biggest spots.”

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Does that seem like anything new? Not to you, the reader, maybe. But to the hitters? They miss those days when hitting was about working their way into a hitter’s count and waiting for that meatball they knew was coming when a pitcher was desperate to get back into the count.

“I think in the past, guys would throw pitches that sucked, and they honestly didn’t know,” Yelich said. “Seriously. There would be no way for you to tell them otherwise, other than relaying info from your catcher to the pitcher that ‘I don’t really like this pitch. This one’s not working.’ So they wouldn’t know it wasn’t good or why it wasn’t good. So they’d still throw it all the time.”

But now, those days feel as ancient as when the fielders played with no gloves. Pitchers head into the pitching lab and see what works and what doesn’t. Then those meatball pitches get tossed right into the dumpster, never to return.

Either that or they get redesigned with shapes, angles and tunneling that make them more effective. That work is being done on every pitch thrown by every pitcher.

We don’t have a pitching lab in our house. But we do have access to Stuff+ — a metric that is publicly available and has been proliferating inside front offices across the game. So as those Stuff+ models improve in their ability to predict a pitch’s effectiveness, teams are employing them more than ever to ensure their pitchers are optimizing their pitch mixes.

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“The pitchers are so much better,” the Blue Jays’ George Springer said. “Spin is at its all-time high. Velocity is at an all-time high. They’re throwing over 100 (mph), with 60 percent sliders. There’s never an ‘AB’ when you’re like, ‘I’m cool. This guy throws 92. I’m good.’ They just throw good pitches and really really good pitches now.”

You can see for yourself. Look at the slider-effectiveness leaderboard on FanGraphs for Stuff+ (created by Eno Sarris and Max Bay). It works on a scale of 100, with 100 being an average pitch. But the modern slider is now such a devastating pitch, 29 of the 30 teams have a Stuff+ of more than 100 — and seven teams are at 120 or higher. Whoa.

But what if that FanGraphs Stuff+ model didn’t readjust every year? What if it didn’t keep reclassifying the average pitch back to a grade of 100 every year, even though the unhittability of that pitch gets better every year?

Here is a graph, from Owen McGrattan at Pitching+, that shows how pitch quality has improved (in terms of expected run value allowed) just over the past three years; it also demonstrates how more and more teams are using virtually the same models to narrow the gap between clubs.

So do you feel sorry for the hitters yet? The pitchers don’t. We do.

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“I’m just amazed now,” said the Cardinals’ Nolan Arenado, “by how guys that you’ve faced in the past, who would challenge you a certain way, don’t do that anymore. You face them now, and all of a sudden, they have more (velocity) in there. Or they have different types of pitches now. … Pitching right now is just out of control.”

How many pitches can one man throw?

Have we ever seen a pitcher who throws eight pitches before? Well, we have now. Behold the current repertoire of the Royals’ surprise ace, Seth Lugo.

1. Four-seam fastball
2. Two-seam fastball
3. Cut fastball
4. Slider
5. Sweeper
6. Curve
7. Changeup
8. Slurve

According to Statcast, Lugo threw “only” five pitches when he first arrived in the big leagues with the Mets in 2016. That number grew to six when he added a cutter in 2017. He eventually dropped the cutter, but last year in San Diego he incorporated a sweeper and slurve, swelling his pitch mix to seven. Then this year in Kansas City, he brought back the cutter, for pitch No. 8.

So we asked him why he rediscovered that cutter and keeps adding pitches.

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“If this guy hammers four-seams and two-seams, what’s the chance he also handles cutters?” Lugo replied. “Slim. And if he’s covering all three fastballs, he won’t hit the breaking balls. Having all that mix and going pitch to pitch and swing to swing, I feel like I’m not predictable.”

Unpredictability is every pitcher’s goal. But here’s the part that’s triggering a volcanic eruption of exasperation from hitters everywhere: Seth Lugo isn’t the only one. In Toronto, Chris Bassitt also throws eight pitches. And Statcast tells us that the Braves’ Max Fried and the Padres’ Joe Musgrove have seven different pitches in their toolbox.

There are 15 more pitchers who throw six different pitches. And the group with five is way too long to mention. You should know that to get a pitch listed on this leaderboard, a pitcher must have used it at least 10 times this season. So this is a realistic depiction of the weaponry pitchers break out nightly.

And have you asked yourself why this is happening? It isn’t because pitchers these days love fiddling with different pitches, just for the cool factor. It’s all by design, literally.

We now live in an age where pitching coaches are pretty much inventing new pitches, shapes and ways of disguising them every few months in a pitching lab near you. Why? To drive hitters wacky, of course. How can those hitters guess what’s coming when that multiple-choice quiz they’re taking has so many different options?

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“From a pitching standpoint, it is how do we create different looks?” Dodgers pitching coach Mark Prior told The Athletic’s Fabian Ardaya for a recent story about how guys in their organization are throwing more sinkers. “How do we create doubt in a hitter’s mind? So that it’s not so predictable?”

Well, if doubt is the goal, it’s working.

“These guys are unbelievable now,” Arenado said. “It just seems like guys have more in their repertoire now than ever before. I remember there used to be starters out there who you’d say, like, ‘OK, he’s a heavy sinkerballer.’ But now you face guys that are like, four-seamer, sinker, slider, change. They have two fastballs. They have a slider and a sweeper. And it just seems like they’re building this repertoire of different types of fastballs. I’m just amazed by what we see now.”

It’s those pitchers with two, three, or even four fastballs who are truly making hitters mumble. Imagine one of those smokeballs roaring toward you at 97 mph — and having no way to read the spin and guess which of four different ways it might move at the last second?

“Multiple fastballs is hard,” said Seattle’s Mitch Haniger, “because you can’t put the same swing on each fastball — and so often, you won’t know you had the wrong swing on it until too late.”

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Seth Lugo, who has an eight-pitch arsenal, is among the American League leaders in ERA. (Jesse Johnson / USA Today)

As far back as 2021, Rangers offensive coordinator Donnie Ecker told us: “Multiple fastballs is a cheat code.” That, he said, was because they didn’t allow his hitters to “keyhole” a pitcher’s hardest offerings, or anticipate a certain shape on the fastest pitch they would see.

Do the hitters even want to know how hot the multiple-fastball craze has gotten? Since 2021, the number of pitchers with two primary fastballs has jumped 20 percent. And the number with three primary fastballs has jumped 39 percent. Pitchers are on pace to throw nearly 8,000 more sinkers and cutters this year than last year.

And how’s that working out? League batting average against those pitches has dropped 15 points (.292 to .277) in the past 15 years — and the total number of whiffs against sinkers and cutters is on pace to rise by more than 1,500 this season. But that doesn’t capture the biggest impact of those multiple fastballs. What they really do is make the four-seam fastball even more unhittable.

Batting average against four-seamers 15 years ago: .277
Batting average against four-seamers in 2024: .245

(Source: Baseball Savant / Statcast)

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Any more questions?

Is it even possible to hit a double anymore?


Orioles outfielder Cedric Mullins makes a diving catch in April. (Mitchell Layton / Getty Images)

It was only a year ago that the league essentially sent a box of chocolates to hitters by finally reining in The Shift in infields across North America. Those hitters appreciate the gesture, of course. But now they have one more request:

How about reining in outfielders, too?

“I can tell you, from a hitter’s standpoint, that there are times where I’ve felt like there’s one big glove in the outfield,” the Brewers’ Rhys Hoskins said. “We’ve got guys out there now that run all over the place. Plus, they know where I’m going to hit it. I think that’s a big part of this.”

He couldn’t be more right. We don’t talk much about how outfield defense has evolved over the past few years. But it’s about time we did.

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LEAGUEWIDE SLUG PCT ON BALLS TO THE OUTFIELD

2023 — .952
2024 — .892

(Source: Baseball Reference / Stathead)

An .892 slugging percentage might sound like it’s still impressive enough. But is it? As recently as 2019, the league slugged 1.011 on all balls hit to the outfield! And only once in the past 30 seasons (in the 2014 “dead-ball” mini-era) has leaguewide slugging been lower than it is so far this year.

So how does that play out on the field every day? MLB is on pace for 2,600 fewer extra-base hits this year than in 2019 — and nearly 1,000 fewer doubles. Does anyone miss those gappers? Hmmm, was that the sight of several hundred hitters raising their hands?

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“It just seems like some of this has to do with where teams are positioning, especially the outfielders, for (robbing) extra-base hits,” the Cardinals’ Paul Goldschmidt said. “It seems like they’re always going where you’re squaring the ball up.

“I know we took away shifts,” he went on. “And that probably has helped, especially lefties. (Note: It has.) But on the whole, all 30 teams, if not close to all of them, just seem like they’re positioned where we’re all hitting the ball most of the time.”

It’s gotten so tough, Goldschmidt said, that hitters are almost resigned to watching their one-time extra-base hits disappear. Remember those days of yesteryear — by which we mean, like, 2022 — when they rocketed a ball toward the gap and then spiked their helmet at the shock of seeing another Andruw Jones disciple track it down? Now, they ask themselves: What’s the point?

“There’s just not a time now,” Goldschmidt said matter of factly, “when you say, ‘Oh, why is that guy standing there? I normally hit the ball there.’ You just don’t say that anymore.”

The Statcast data backs up that theory, by clearly showing that outfielders now play deeper than at any time since baseball started recording this data. Compared with 2015, the first year of tracking, center fielders set up 11 feet deeper on average. Left fielders: 5 feet deeper. Right fielders: 3 feet deeper.

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Why? Because teams fear the double. So if a bloop single drops in there somewhere, they’ll live with that risk.

Plus, outfielders’ defensive skills are prioritized now more than ever before. You may have heard the grousing that OPS by outfielders this year has plunged to its lowest levels in the expansion era (1961-present). But is that a glitch or a trend? There’s growing sentiment that it’s merely a reflection of what teams value now.

“I think there’s more of an emphasis on defense in the game,” Yelich said, “because, once again, you can quantify that now, right? — and understand how big of an impact that is.”

None of this is a deep secret inside the sport, by the way. The league is well aware of how many extra-base hits are vanishing because of these profound changes in outfield defense. As far back as late 2022, Baseball Prospectus documented how these outfield alignments are working better than the infield shift ever did.

So the question is whether — or when — the league will view this as a serious enough problem to think about limiting how deep outfielders can play, the way it concluded last year it was time to limit where infielders could set up.

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MLB did experiment with outfield depth limits a couple of years ago in the Florida Complex League. It went as far as drawing circles in the outfield to place boundaries on where the Rookie-ball outfielders could stand before the ball was hit.

Is it time to take that experiment to higher levels in the minors, just to see how it works? The league hasn’t shown much interest in that — yet. But one front office executive we spoke with said we’ve reached the point where it’s time … to do something.

“Balls in play in the outfield used to be among the most exciting plays in baseball — and now they’re one of the most boring,” the exec said, “because these guys just play so deep. So it’s either a little blooper that falls for a single, or it’s caught, or it’s a homer.”


Alec Bohm, who’s leading the majors in doubles, stands on second base after hitting one. Doubles are down across the league this year. (Eric Hartline / USA Today)

So what else could it be?

“Round up the usual suspects.”

Claude Rains, in “Casablanca”

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What’s good enough for Claude Rains is good enough for us. So what else could be stifling offense in 2024? Let’s round up the usual suspects.

IT MUST BE THE BASEBALL! Did we hear the annual grumbling that something is up with the latest batch of baseballs? Of course we did — but we get it. The scientific evidence is there. The ball has not been carrying this year the way it has in years past.

So far this season, according to Statcast, the average distance of a pulled “barrel” — the hardest-hit balls in this sport — was 4 feet shorter than last year, and 12 feet shorter than in 2018. That average distance of those pulled barrels (378 feet) was also the shortest of the Statcast era.

Slugging percentage on pulled barrels is down nearly 150 points from last year — and almost 400 points since 2017. 

So is that enough evidence to ask questions? Why not? The sample now consists of more than 330,000 total batted balls and more than 2,000 pulled barrels. But does that mean the baseball itself is now “dead”? We couldn’t find evidence of that.

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If the ball was “dead,” the drag coefficient data would be noticeably different, like it was in 2019 when home run records were broken. But the drag data is actually pretty normal. So let’s look at the other usual suspects.

IT MUST BE THE HUMIDOR! It’s not just a Coors Field thing anymore. Since 2022, baseball has required all 30 teams to store baseballs in a humidor. The idea is to have every ball used in a game stored under virtually the same conditions — namely, “average” humidity.

But that means different things in different climates. So you should know that the humidor can have different impacts in different parks and at different times of the year. And that has led to widespread confusion among players and staff about whether humidors help offense, hurt offense or even both — and about whether all teams are actually storing balls the same way.

So what’s the answer to those questions? Sorry. No idea. No publicly available humidor data is out there anywhere. So players will just have to keep wondering what that humidor is up to.

IT MUST BE THE BATS! One hitting coach we spoke with brought this up. He said all the velocity increases from pitchers are making hitters search for any possible way to increase bat speed. And that search has led some hitters to try using bats as light as 30 ounces, an almost unheard-of bat weight in modern times.

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“Everybody’s throwing so hard, these guys think you’ve just got to touch the ball with the bat and it’ll go,” he said. “But I’m not sure that’s working.”

IT MUST BE THE WEATHER! When we first spotted those messy offensive numbers in late April, we decided to look the other way — because, well, April! In two-thirds of the country, it’s closer to skiing weather than baseball weather. So nothing to see here — yet.

But then came May, and … the weather? It got better. The offense? It got worse.

MONTH AVG OPS AVG TEMP

MARCH/APRIL

.240

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.699

63.1

MAY

.239

.695

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69.6

(Source: STATS Perform)

Now in June, we should point out, the weather has finally warmed up — and so has offense.

MONTH AVG OPS AVG TEMP

JUNE

.246

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.716

75.3

But the more we delved into the offensive data, the weather does not seem to explain it. The early-season month-by-month temperatures last season were actually colder, but the offensive numbers were higher. And according to FanGraphs, the number of games played at 70 degrees or warmer is going to be similar to last year. But check out how different the offense was under those conditions, at roughly the same stage:

YEAR AVG OPS

2023

.253

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.742

2024

.246

.717

(Source: FanGraphs)

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So it’s always fun to blame the weather — for pretty much everything. But is that it? We don’t see it. So …

Is it possible it’s just early?

OK, maybe we’re overreacting. Not just us, of course … but every hitter in the sport. Maybe this is the same stuff we say every year before summer really kicks in … and then the numbers all “normalize” during Hitting Weather.

Is offense clearly down compared to last year … or 2019, when the baseballs were flying like NASA projectiles? Absolutely. Down significantly.

But what about other years? Take 2022: That was the only other year since 2015 when offense declined in a significant way. So why don’t we compare 2024 and 2022, when baseball was emerging from the lockout and coming off an abbreviated spring?

We looked at the numbers through June 19 of both seasons. Turns out, they were incredibly similar.

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YEAR AVG SLUG OPS

2022

.311

.392

.703

2024

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.311

.390

.702

Hits per game were identical: 8.1 per game. Runs per game were identical: 4.3 per game. Extra-base hits per game were identical: 2.8 per game. So how’d that season turn out?

Offense barely heated up with the summer. The final leaguewide slash line wound up at .243/.312/.395/.706. So there was just enough of an uptick that 2022 didn’t turn into a historically awful season. But …

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It was still rough enough that the league needed to change the rules last year to get offense back to “normal.”

But what about this year? Are there any rule changes coming to rescue the hitters after this year? Doesn’t look like it. And remember, this downturn came despite the fact that last year’s rule changes were still doing what they do — limiting shifts, incentivizing base stealing and still largely working as intended. So …

Now what?


Don’t blink: Ryan Helsley, the Cardinals’ flame-throwing closer, delivers. (Jeff Curry / USA Today)

Right. Now what? After pitching took over the baseball earth in 1968, the league lowered the mound and restored balance in the sport. Well, this just in: Not this time.

The next wave of rule changes is probably years away. But the lethal combination of technology and supersonic velocity won’t be taking any vacations between now and then. So wherever the numbers land at the end of this season, what are we supposed to tell the hitters, other than … hang in there and try to steal a lot of bases?

“As an industry, we have to do something,” said the same executive who was quoted earlier. “It’s time. Things change fast. A year is a long time to wait. And teams continue to innovate a lot quicker on the pitching side than the hitting side. You could talk all day about hot pitching coaches and trends. But there are no hot hitting coaches. There’s nothing equivalent on the hitting side.

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“So I don’t think what we’re seeing is anything new. It’s just moving faster than any efforts anyone has made to suppress it.”

If offense ever plummeted this far in football, the NFL would probably change 12 rules the next offseason. But it’s baseball. Change comes hard, and change is slow. So maybe the question we should be asking is not: Why is this happening? In truth, we already know that. No, what baseball should be asking itself is this:

Is this the kind of sport we want — where pitchers and defenses rule … and offenses just try to survive? How can that answer be yes?

“Offense is a huge part of the game,” Yelich said. “As a fan, you don’t want to come to the game and just watch guys get mowed down for nine straight innings. At the same time, I think it’s still possible — that you can still play offense. It just might not be how it used to be.”

So is offense dead? Not quite. But here’s our message for hitters everywhere: Good luck!

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(Top photo of Christian Yelich after a strikeout: Stacy Revere / Getty Images)

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Oilers join rare company by forcing Game 7 in Stanley Cup Final after trailing 3-0

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Oilers join rare company by forcing Game 7 in Stanley Cup Final after trailing 3-0

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The Edmonton Oilers became the 211th team to trail 3-0 in a playoff series in NHL history last week. Now, they’re just one win away from becoming the fifth to ever complete the comeback.

The Oilers on Friday became the 10th team in NHL history to force a Game 7 after trailing a series three games to none after beating the Florida Panthers, 5-1.

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Shortly after nearly 20,000 fans belted the Canadian national anthem at the top of their lungs, Warren Foegele somehow got them to scream even louder, finding the back of the net and giving the Oilers a 1-0 lead. 

As for Florida, they had just two shots on goal in the first period, one of which came from 170 feet away. It was the fewest shots they had in a period all year.

Edmonton Oilers left wing Zach Hyman (18) celebrates his goal with teammates against the Florida Panthers during the second period in game six of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final at Rogers Place.  (Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports)

Edmonton started the second frame with Adam Henrique scoring just 46 seconds into the period on a 2-on-1 following an ice-length pass. Florida’s Aleksander Barkov thought he’d answered back just 10 seconds later, but Edmonton successfully challenged that the Panthers were offside, leaving it a 2–0 Oilers lead.

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With 1:40 remaining in the second period, Zach Hyman lit the lamp to make it 3-0. The Oilers scored twice in the middle frame, despite Florida outshooting them, 11-4.

Florida got on the board early in the third with a Barkov goal, but it was too little too late, and the Oilers scored not one, but two empty-netters for good measure.

Afterward, the crowd chanted, very loudly, “We Want the Cup.”

Edmonton has outscored Florida, 18-5, in the last three games — in the first three, they had only scored four to Florida’s 11.

This is just the third time that the Stanley Cup will see a seventh game after a team owned a 3-0 lead, and the first since 1945 – the Toronto Maple Leafs won both of those instances, completing the comeback in 1942, and then saving themselves from embarrassment three years later.

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Oilers after scoring

Edmonton Oilers left wing Zach Hyman (18) celebrates his goal with teammates against the Florida Panthers during the second period in game six of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final at Rogers Place. (Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports)

PANTHERS GM LAUNCHES WATER BOTTLE IN FRUSTRATION AS TEAM FAILS TO FINISH OFF OILERS IN STANLEY CUP FINAL

It’s the first 3-0 comeback in the league since the Los Angeles Kings did so in the first round of the 2014 playoffs – they won that Game 7, and eventually won the Cup, winning two more Game 7s in the process.

The last team in the Big 4 leagues to force a Game 7 after trailing 3-0 was last year’s Boston Celtics – they lost to the eighth-seeded Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals, but got their revenge earlier this week by winning their first NBA title since 2008. They were the fourth NBA team to tie the series, but none have won it after facing a three-game deficit.

Only the 2004 Boston Red Sox have completed the comeback in Major League Baseball – the 2020 Houston Astros almost joined them, but lost Game 7 of the ALCS to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Oilers light the lamp

Edmonton Oilers center Adam Henrique (19) celebrates his goal with teammates against the Florida Panthers during the second period in game six of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final at Rogers Place.  (Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports)

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This series’ Game 7 will be back in Sunrise, Fla., where just about everyone will be in full-blown panic on Monday night. 

With a win, it’ll be the Oilers’ first Cup since 1990, and Canada’s first since 1993. 

That would also mark the second year in a row the Panthers would lose in the Final, having fallen to the Vegas Golden Knights last year.

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Shohei Ohtani's 455-foot home run can't save Dodgers in 10-inning loss to Angels

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Shohei Ohtani's 455-foot home run can't save Dodgers in 10-inning loss to Angels

Shohei Ohtani was on the losing end of a Freeway Series game for the 11th consecutive time Friday night.

This one just happened to be his first defeat in the rivalry while wearing Dodger blue.

Despite a mammoth two-run home run from Ohtani that opened the scoring in the fifth inning, the Dodgers couldn’t muster anything else in Ohtani’s first regular-season game against his former team, falling to the Angels 3-2 in 10 innings.

“This is certainly the hottest I think we’ve seen him,” manager Dave Roberts said of Ohtani, who now has seven home runs and a .400 batting average in his last 11 games. “Tonight we just couldn’t support him.”

The Angels, who made a habit of wasting big games from Ohtani during his six seasons in Anaheim, are eerily familiar with the feeling.

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Playing without Mookie Betts (hand fracture) and Will Smith (planned day off) Friday night, the Dodgers’ lineup was entirely Ohtani-reliant.

He reached base in all four trips to plate, with two hits, two walks and two RBIs on his fifth-inning blast. The rest of the lineup, however, managed only three more knocks, including none from fellow stars Freddie Freeman or Teoscar Hernández.

Even after a third-inning forearm injury to Patrick Sandoval forced the Angels to dip into their bullpen early, the Dodgers (47-31) barely threatened in the latter half of the game, failing to even put a runner in scoring position until an automatic runner took second in the 10th.

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By then, the Angels (30-45) had erased the two-run deficit, scoring twice off reliever Ryan Yarbrough in the sixth after the left-hander hit three batters in the inning, including one with the bases loaded.

“I think this year, in particular, his surface is good as far as ERA,” Roberts said of Yarbrough, who has a 3.28 ERA in his long relief role. “But the walks are certainly up there, the hit batsmen are up there. I don’t know if it’s a mechanical thing, but it’s very uncharacteristic.”

That inning denied rookie right-hander Landon Knack, recalled earlier in the day for a spot start, a potential win in his fifth start of the year. Knack spun five scoreless innings to lower his ERA to 2.10. But whether he remains in a short-handed Dodgers rotation moving forward is unclear.

Dodgers pitcher Landon Knack delivers in the first inning against the Angels on Friday.

Dodgers pitcher Landon Knack delivers in the first inning against the Angels on Friday.

(Wally Skalij / Los Angeles Times)

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With three off days on the horizon in the next two weeks, the Dodgers — who placed Walker Buehler on the injured list Wednesday — could try to get by with a four-man rotation for the time being.

“I feel comfortable now, whenever I get to come up and make a start,” Knack said. “Whenever they need me, I always try to be ready. So yeah, definitely feeling comfortable now.”

In the top of the 10th, they finally took the lead on an RBI single from Taylor Ward, who lined a two-out, two-strike slider from Evan Phillips through the left side of the infield.

The Dodgers couldn’t respond in the bottom half of the inning, stranding their automatic runner at third base to snap a 10-game winning streak against the Angels — a Freeway Series record — that dated back to 2021.

In each of those games, Ohtani was on the losing side, providing one of the lone bright spots for an Angels club that never made the postseason during his time with the team.

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Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani, left, greets Angels infielders Michael Stefanic, center, and Mickey Moniak before Friday's game.

Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani, left, greets Angels infielders Michael Stefanic, center, and Mickey Moniak before Friday’s game.

(Wally Skalij / Los Angeles Times)

This season, in the first of the 10-year, $700-million contract he signed with the Dodgers last December, Ohtani has been the best player on a contending club that is not only cruising toward October, but is currently holding the best betting odds in all of MLB to win the World Series.

His 455-foot blast Friday was his National League-leading 22nd of the season, and seventh in his last 11 games (three of those have been 450 feet or more). In addition to his two walks and eighth-inning single, it also helped raise his OPS to 1.026, trailing only Aaron Judge for the major league lead.

“My stance is stabilized and I have a good read of the strike zone,” Ohtani said in Japanese of his recent streak at the plate. “I think that leads to me hitting hittable pitches.”

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Friday, nonetheless, was a reminder that the Dodgers — just like the Angels for the last half a dozen years — still need more than just Ohtani on any given night.

Whatever personal revenge he exacted in his first meeting with his former team ultimately didn’t matter.

In yet another Freeway Series game, Ohtani was on the losing end again.

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