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Spread & Over/Under Predictions for WVU vs. Louisville

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Spread & Over/Under Predictions for WVU vs. Louisville


It’s day two in the Battle 4 Atlantis and we’ve got a surprising matchup in the winner’s bracket with West Virginia set to face Louisville.

The Mountaineers took down No. 3 Gonzaga in overtime in the opening round while the Cardinals pounded No. 14 Indiana to start the event.

Here are my picks for today’s game. Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

1 Star – Not very confident
2 Star – A little confident
3 Star – Fairly confident
4 Star – Very confident
5 Star – Should be a lock to happen

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2-star play on Louisville (-1.5): As thrilling as Wednesday’s win was for West Virginia, the odds are stacked against them here in this matchup, but not from a talent standpoint. They have the horses to be able to hang in there and potentially even win this game, but they had to exert a ton of energy to knock off Gonzaga in overtime.

Meanwhile, the Cards beat No. 14 Indiana by 38 in a game that was pretty much decided early on in the second half. Because they were able to get out to such a comfortable lead, they were able to rest their starters. Couple that with West Virginia playing an exhausting game with essentially a 7 or 8-man rotation, and you’d have to figure that the Mountaineers are at a slight disadvantage.

Put it this way: if these two squared off in the opening round, I’d tend to lean toward West Virginia. That being said, I’m not completely counting this Mountaineer squad out, especially after last night.

2-star play on the under: Playing on consecutive days can lead to high-scoring games because teams have tired legs, and that fatigue shows on defense or those tired legs show on the offensive end of the floor, resulting in a low-scoring affair. I’m going to go with the ladder here, partially because West Virginia is going to have to play stingy defense to win this game.

The Cardinals do a pretty good job of pushing the pace and scoring in the fastbreak, and playing in an up-and-down style of game just doesn’t seem ideal for the Mountaineers after yesterday. You could tell West Virginia began to lose some energy in the final few minutes in regulation by really slowing things down offensively. I expect that we’ll see a similar approach today, given the short turnaround. Darian DeVries probably doesn’t want this to be a game that’s settled in the 80s or 90s.

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ATS: 2-3 (40%)
O/U: 3-2 (60%)
Overall: 5-5 (50%)

Odds Disclaimer

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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West Virginia

Big day for Big 12 as West Virginia knocks off Gonzaga, five other teams including Iowa State all win

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Big day for Big 12 as West Virginia knocks off Gonzaga, five other teams including Iowa State all win


While taking plenty of hits in regards to their standing in the College Football Playoff, there is no doubting that the Big 12 Conference is No. 1 in college basketball.

On Wednesday, the league scored six wins in six games, none bigger than West Virginia’s 86-78 upset of No. 3 Gonzaga in overtime.

Fifth-ranked Iowa State, No. 17 Cincinnati, 17th-ranked Baylor, No. 24 Arizona and UCF were also victorious while sixth-rated Houston battled Notre Dame well past midnight at the Players Era Festival Impact Tournament.

Darian DeVries, who led Drake to incredible success, appears to have the Mountaineers (4-1) well on their way. Tucker DeVries, Darian’s son and the former Missouri Valley Conference player of the year, sank two free throws to tie it at 71-all and force overtime.

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From there, it was all WVU, as they outscored the Zags 15-7 in the extra session. Javon Small scored 31 points with seven rebounds, draining four 3-pointers, as Amani Hansberry had 19 and DeVries scored 16. 

West Virginia sank 11 triples and held a 42-36 edge on the glass. 

While West Virginia advanced at the Battle 4 Atlantis, fifth-ranked Iowa State locked up fifth place at the Maui Invitational with a 99-71 win over Colorado. The Buffaloes, ironically also part of the Big 12, had knocked off two-time defending national champion Connecticut to advance. 

Milan Momcilovic scored 24 points with six made 3-pointers, as Curtis Jones added 19 and Keshon Gilbert 15. 

Iowa State, always known for pressure defense under head coach TJ Otzelberger, continues to light up the scoreboard. They have reached the 81-point mark in all six games this season.

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Cincinnati, Baylor and Arizona all claimed wins over smaller schools, as the Bearcats topped Alabama State, 77-59, the Bears downed New Orleans, 91-60, and the Wildcats stifled Davidson, 104-71.

UCF picked up an 84-76 decision vs. Milwaukee,



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West Virginia men's basketball stuns No. 3 Gonzaga in overtime thriller

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West Virginia men's basketball stuns No. 3 Gonzaga in overtime thriller


West Virginia upset No. 3 Gonzaga 86-78 in overtime at the Battle 4 Atlantis, snapping the Mountaineers’ ten-game road losing streak in dramatic fashion.

Javon Small led the charge for West Virginia with a career-high 31 points, including clutch free throws in overtime, and seven rebounds and two assists. Tucker DeVries chipped in 16 points, while Amani Hansberry posted 19 points and eight boards.

Gonzaga built an eight-point halftime lead behind Khalif Battle’s 14 first-half points but struggled to close out the game. Ryan Nembhard’s 12 assists helped keep the Bulldogs afloat, while Braden Huff added 19 points off the bench. However, Gonzaga’s shooting woes in overtime — just 20% from the field — proved costly.

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The Mountaineers clawed back in the second half, fueled by a 17-2 scoring run and Small’s late-game heroics, including a pivotal three-pointer in the final minute. Gonzaga’s Khalif Battle missed a contested layup at the end of regulation, sending the game into overtime tied at 71. In the extra period, West Virginia capitalized on Gonzaga’s turnovers and controlled the boards, out-rebounding the Bulldogs 42-36 overall.

The victory sends West Virginia to the semifinals against Louisville, which upset No. 14 Indiana on Wednesday, while Gonzaga faces the Hoosiers in the consolation bracket. This statement win marks a turning point for the Mountaineers under new coach Darian DeVries, while Gonzaga must regroup after its first loss of the season.

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Behind Enemy Lines: Texas Tech

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Behind Enemy Lines: Texas Tech


In an effort to bring you in-depth insight on the opposing teams that West Virginia plays, WVSports.com goes Behind Enemy Lines for an in-depth look at the Big 12 conference match-up with Texas Tech.

What can you expect from the Red Raiders? Well we contacted an authority on the subject in RedRaiderSports.com writer Justin Apodaca.

1. What’s the pulse on this Texas Tech team at 7-4? Has this been about what was expected?

This Texas Tech team had the air come out of the bubble on two occasions, and the coaching staff is pretty frustrated by these now with the jumbled mess atop the conference, but first the loss in Fort Worth against TCU where Tech had a 13-point lead midway through the fourth quarter and saw it slip away.

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The second was the loss earlier this month against Colorado where Tech was in it despite the offensive line having tons of issues run blocking but ultimately fell short at home in front of a sold-out crowd. Tech gets one of those, we’re talking about a completely different season. Tech has a chance to win eight regular season games for the first time since 2009 on Saturday, meaning progress under McGuire, but it’s not been fast enough for some.

2. What’s the situation at quarterback with Behren Morton and how has he played this season? Strengths/weaknesses?

Morton has been a rollercoaster this season. While being very productive when you look at the box score, Morton’s numbers are a touch deceiving, but he is coming off an excellent showing against Oklahoma State.

Morton can get flustered under pressure, understandably so with his injury history and a lack of trust in the O-line, and it’s bit Tech this season. It bit Tech last weekend in Stillwater. Just a bit up and down at times and we will see how he handles a different defensive look than Tech has seen this season from WVU.

3. What type of offense will the Red Raiders use and who are the playmakers to watch? Still playing with a lot of tempo?

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Tech’s offense is very balanced on the whole. OC Zach Kittley has been able to engineer quick starts lately but hasn’t been able to sustain it, leading to Tech’s tendency to not put teams away. The tempo is game-dependent, and Tech used it the most all year against OSU en route to seven offensive touchdowns, mostly leaning on tempo to pass concepts. The playmakers have a couple of familiar faces, but Tech has overhauled the receiver room, and for very good measure.

RB Tahj Brooks is still the bell-cow back, he is now Tech’s all-time leading rusher, but the offense has been opened up because of slot receiver Washington State transfer Josh Kelly, who has 873 yards on 80 receptions this year. Florida transfer Caleb Douglas is also a major factor as a deep ball threat, posting 715 yards on 52 receptions this year. Tech also utilizes its tight ends a ton, a trio of guys who play is led by 6-foot-9 Mason Tharp and complimented by Arizona State transfer Jalin Conyers and Elon transfer Johncarlos Miller II.

4. Same on defense?

Defensively, it’s been a very, very tough year for Tech. DC Tim DeRuyter’s unit has taken a step back and was a major reason for those setbacks. This is one of the youngest units in the nation with a true sophomore starting at free safety and nickel (or STAR). Tech’s linebackers are the best unit on the team but still have had their issues in coverage this season.

That group is led by Jacob Rodriguez who is the team leader in tackles (112), TFLs (8.5), and sacks (4). That sack number should be telling, Tech has not been able to impact the passer all year, stemming from a youthful room that lost it’s two best to knee injuries in the pre-season, but it’s not much of an excuse and it’s been abysmal.

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5. Any injuries of note? Keys to this game and how do you see it playing out?

Tech is a bit banged up on the interior defensive line coming out of Stillwater. Look for De’Braylon Caroll (52) and Quincy Ledet Jr. (5), Tech’s two eldest defensive tackles, in pre-game. Both are listed as questionable for the contest and are dealing with ankle issues. My biggest key for Tech will be handling the WVU run game.

I have enjoyed watching the WVU tape this year with all of the motions and misdirection they use in the run game with two very contrasting backs in Donaldson and White. Eye discipline and angles have been a struggle for this Tech defense, so I really see this one being relatively higher scoring than most would anticipate, but I’ll lean to the Red Raiders here.



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