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Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers: Who has the edge?

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Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers: Who has the edge?


Here’s a look at how the Miami Dolphins (4-1) and Carolina Panthers (0-5) match up in six key areas ahead of Sunday’s Week 6 game at Hard Rock Stadium (1 p.m., CBS):

When the Dolphins run: We now know the Miami run game will be without rookie sensation De’Von Achane for at least the next four games because of his knee injury. That’s 12.1 yards per carry that are vacated and a big home run threat gone from the backfield. But fear not. Raheem Mostert is still averaging 5.4 yards per attempt in his own right. The Dolphins could also be working Jeff Wilson Jr. back to returning, and Salvon Ahmed was actually the No. 2 behind Mostert in Weeks 1 and 2 when Miami won at Los Angeles and New England.

The Dolphins’ top-ranked rushing offense has continued churning even with left tackle Terron Armstead out of the lineup. Center Connor Williams’ return in last Sunday’s 31-16 win over the Giants was huge. They go against a Panthers run defense that ranks 26th in the NFL. Derrick Brown usually gets a good push on the line. Middle linebacker Shaq Thompson is on injured reserve, but Frankie Luvu has done a sound job in the linebacker corps. Safety Vonn Bell, after coming over from the Cincinnati Bengals, has been strong in run support and leads Carolina in tackles. But the Panthers just surrendered a season-high 159 yards on the ground to the Detroit Lions. Edge: Dolphins

When the Panthers run: Carolina doesn’t run the ball too well offensively either, ranking 21st in the NFL. The team was off to a hot start with 154 rushing yards in its opener against the Atlanta Falcons but has had 100 or fewer in every game since. On top of that, tailback Miles Sanders missed practice early in the week with a shoulder injury. It could be Chuba Hubbard leading the ground game Sunday.

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The Miami run defense has rebounded strongly from allowing 233 rushing yards to the Chargers in the opener, holding three of the next four opponents under 100 yards on the ground. It’s got the Dolphins run defense back up to No. 18. Zach Sieler has played a big role in that. Linebackers David Long Jr. and Jerome Baker combined for 17 tackles against the Giants. Edge: Dolphins

When the Dolphins pass: The Miami pass game also ranks tops in the league, and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is actually on a record pace in passing yards if he maintains his current clip over 17 regular-season games. What Tagovailoa is trying to avoid against Carolina is careless interceptions, like the two that kept New York in last Sunday’s game longer than that team should have been. One of them was a 102-yard pick-six when the Dolphins were trying to go up 21-3 and instead had their lead shrunk to 14-10.

Star wide receiver Tyreek Hill has 651 yards through five games. That puts him on pace to eclipse 2,000 yards on the season if he keeps it up. He caught a long touchdown vs. the Giants, and Jaylen Waddle finally got into the end zone this season against New York. After Cedrick Wilson Jr. got his highest snap count of the season, it’ll be interesting to see if he continues to see an increased workload — or if newcomer Chase Claypool can get incorporated quickly into the offense.

The Panthers’ secondary has Bell off to a decent start to the season, and they start Miami Columbus High product C.J. Henderson at one cornerback spot. Donte Jackson could be coming back after missing the Lions game for what is the league’s fifth-ranked pass defense. Former American Heritage High standout Brian Burns leads Carolina with four sacks and is a premium pass rusher. Left tackle Kendall Lamm will have to hold it down in pass protection while Armstead remains out. Edge: Dolphins

When the Panthers pass: The No. 1 draft pick, Bryce Young, will be coming to town. The rookie quarterback, in four starts, has thrown five touchdowns to four interceptions, completing 63.9 percent of passes for 5.2 yards per attempt. He has not been as proficient as the No. 2 pick in Houston, C.J. Stroud, as the two will be compared for the rest of their careers after the Panthers traded up in the draft with the Bears for Young.

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Veteran receiver Adam Thielen is in Carolina to ease the pro transition for Young, and he has 38 receptions for 394 yards and three touchdowns, leading the team in all categories. Tight end Hayden Hurst has not been used extensively, with just 13 catches for 100 yards, and Sanders is known as a receiving threat out of the backfield but has only collected 81 receiving yards through five games.

Expect Dolphins defensive coordinator Vic Fangio to play his standard zone coverages but also mix in some exotic blitzes that could stun the inexperienced passer. The Dolphins secondary should be looking for an interception after it didn’t come up with one against the Giants and Daniel Jones. The pass rush can expand on seven sacks against the Giants, with Sieler, Emmanuel Ogbah, Andrew Van Ginkel and Baker among those getting in on the act, along with Bradley Chubb with some pressures. Jaelan Phillips could also be returning from his oblique injury. Edge: Dolphins

Special teams: The Dolphins have strung together a pair of decent games on special teams, Jake Bailey’s shanked punt notwithstanding. Bailey barely has to punt, though, so there’s that. Jason Sanders hasn’t missed since Week 2 in New England, and Braxton Berrios has had some decent returns.

The Panthers have Miami Sunset High grad Eddy Pineiro 9 of 10 on field goals. Johnny Hekker has a net punt average of 43.1. Carolina hasn’t been too dangerous in the return game between Laviska Shenault Jr. on kick returns and Ihmir Smith-Marsette on punt returns. Edge: Even

Intangibles: The Dolphins know they should cruise but had enough things go wrong in an otherwise-dominant outing against the Giants that they’ll look to correct. Coach Mike McDaniel has the turnover margin, losing 3-0, that he can point, and he is not one to take any opponent lightly, noting this past week how eager a team on a five-game losing streak — like the Dolphins were toward the end of last year — can be. Miami can also play inspired with Hall of Fame linebacker Zach Thomas an honorary captain. Edge: Dolphins

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PREDICTION: Dolphins 38, Panthers 10



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Miami, FL

Ewin, Bowen lead FSU's second-half charge in road rout of Miami

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Ewin, Bowen lead FSU's second-half charge in road rout of Miami


There were some too-close-for-comfort moments in the second half. But in the end, Florida State picked up its first road win of the season with an emphatic finish at Miami.

Malique Ewin scored 20 points and pulled down 10 rebounds, while Taylor Bol Bowen had 16 points and six rebounds in FSU’s 80-65 win on Wednesday in Coral Gables.

FSU has won 15 of the last 16 games in the series vs. Miami. The Seminoles have won each game at Coral Gables since Jan. 2019.

Ewin shot 10 of 14 from the floor, dazzling with an array of post moves and delivering thunderous dunks. It was his third double-double of the season, but it was his first in an ACC game.

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Bowen shot 6 of 6 from the floor, drilling all four of his 3-pointers. He added three assists.

Daquan Davis had nine points and 10 assists. The Seminoles had a season-best 26 assists.

The Seminoles were stingy on the defensive end of the court. Justin Thomas had three of FSU’s eight steals. Chandler Jackson had three of FSU’s seven blocks.

“I thought everybody contributed,” FSU coach Leonard Hamilton said. “There wasn’t anybody that came into the game that didn’t have an affect.”

The Seminoles (11-4, 2-2 ACC) have won back-to-back league games going into a matchup on Saturday at Clemson — which is 4-0 in conference games.

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Former FSU guard Matthew Cleveland struggled in the first half, scoring three points. But he finished with 16 points on 6 of 12 shooting for Miami (4-11, 0-4).

FSU shot 32 of 64 (50 percent) from the floor and 10 of 24 (41.7 percent) from 3-point range.



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Dolphins Final 2024 Regular Season Power Rankings Roundup

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Dolphins Final 2024 Regular Season Power Rankings Roundup


The Miami Dolphins concluded their disappointing 2024 season with a 32-20 loss against the New York Jets, though they already knew before the end of the game they had been eliminated from playoff contention.

The Dolphins finished with an 8-9 record, one of 16 teams around the league to finish with a losing record. That puts them pretty much as a middle-of-the-pack team at the end of the regular season.

Our weekly survey of NFL power rankings is down to nine national outlets — Sports Illustrated, Pro Football Talk, CBS Sports, NFL.com, The Ringer, Pro Football Network, The Athletic, Yahoo! Sports, and Bleacher Report — because USA Today only ranked the playoff teams, and this is the first time in three years Miami is not part of the postseason party.

The Dolphins’ average ranking this week was at 18.4, up from 17.9 after the Week 17 victory against the Cleveland Browns.

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The Dolphins rankings ranged from 17 to 20. The only movement involving more than one spot this week came from PFT, which dropped them from 18 to 20.

Here’s the breakdown of the Dolphins’ nine power rankings spots following the end of the 2024 regular season, along with the associated commentary.

Sports Illustrated

Ranking: 17

Last Week: 16

Analysis: While there seems to be a bit of an exodus afoot in Miami with both Tyreek Hill and Jalen Ramsey perhaps pushing for the exits, sometimes we’ve seen this become a blessing in disguise. Tua Tagovailoa needs legitimate competition on the roster, but allowing Mike McDaniel to cook with a younger roster full of malleable parts doesn’t sound too bad to me. 

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Pro Football Talk

Ranking: 20

Last Week: 18

Analysis: Tua’s big contract is looking like a massive mistake.

CBS Sports

Ranking: 18

Last Week: 18

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Analysis: The Tua Tagovailoa injuries killed this team’s chances of making the playoffs, but isn’t that a pattern? Now Tyreek Hill might want out? Not good.

NFL.com

Ranking: 18

Last Week: 18

Analysis:  Head coach Mike McDaniel and GM Chris Grier will return next season, owner Stephen Ross announced, but the future of Tyreek Hill in Miami is suddenly much murkier after the star wide receiver’s comments on Sunday. Perhaps moving on from Hill — who is due nearly $28 million next season, per OverTheCap — is best for the Dolphins spiritually, but it would leave a big hole in their offense, even with Hill coming off his most difficult season in years. The Dolphins suffered right alongside him for their first losing season since 2019. Even if you can split Miami’s 2024 campaign into two parts — with and without Tua Tagovailoa — it’s worth noting the Dolphins were 6-5 with Tagovailoa starting and 2-4 with others at QB. That suggests there is far more to address than just the Hill situation, and trading him for draft assets won’t ensure a quick fix. The AFC East remains a cloudy division, but the three teams that missed the playoffs are still looking (way) up at the Bills for now.

The Ringer

Ranking: 17

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Last Week: 18

Analysis: The Dolphins may convince themselves that injuries were the reason they missed the postseason, but quarterback Tua Tagovailoa wouldn’t have been good enough to get them out of the wild-card round even if they were perfectly healthy. This offense needs to find cheap yards on early downs to keep Tagovailoa away from difficult third-down situations, and it’s unrealistic to expect that approach to be viable in a playoff field that features Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Justin Herbert. Tagovailoa is now an expensive player and his top receiver, Tyreek Hill, wants out of Miami. Things are getting messy, and the window to improve is getting tighter. Until the Dolphins can clear out some contracts, expect this team to be average.

Pro Football Network

Ranking: 19

Last Week: 20

Analysis: Entering Week 18, the Dolphins needed a win over the Jets and a Broncos loss to make the playoffs, but neither ended up happening. New York managed to upset Miami (and Denver beat Kansas City), so the Dolphins’ season is over. One has to wonder how Miami’s season would have turned out if Tua Tagovailoa stayed healthy, as the offense completely fell apart without him under center.

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The Athletic

Ranking: 19

Last Week: 19

Analysis on the lesson learned, run the ball: Coach Mike McDaniel is a great run-game play designer, and the Dolphins’ backfield was one of the deepest in the league (De’Von Achane, Raheem Mostert, Jaylen Wright and Jeff Wilson). So why was this team just 21st in run percentage this season at 41.4 percent? Miami finished 27th in rushing success rate (36 percent) and missed the playoffs for the first time under McDaniel. In the coach’s fourth season, the Dolphins need to get less cute and tougher on the ground.

Yahoo! Sports

Ranking: 17

Last Week: 16

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Analysis: Tyreek Hill not going back in the game, and his rant afterward might be an exit ramp for the Dolphins. Hill played in all 17 games and didn’t hit 1,000 yards at age 30. Is it going to get a lot better at age 31, with a $28.7 million salary-cap hit? Maybe this is best for the Dolphins.

Bleacher Report

Ranking: 18

Last Week: 18

Analysis: There’s been some buzz that the Dolphins could fire GM Chris Grier in the offseason—another report suggests he may retire. Neither outcome would surprise me because poor roster building was Miami’s biggest issue in 2024. Despite having a top-10 overall defense and a surplus of speedy offensive playmakers, the Dolphins fell short of the playoffs/squeaked in as a wild-card team. An unreliable offensive line and a lack of offensive physicality meant Miami largely had to win with finesse. This simply wasn’t a team built to win without Tua Tagovailoa, and, to make matters worse, the Dolphins failed to invest in a strong backup plan at quarterback. Those early losses while Tagovailoa was sidelined burned Miami in a big way.



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Was Miami’s 2024 season a success? 8 thoughts on the Hurricanes’ present and future

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Was Miami’s 2024 season a success? 8 thoughts on the Hurricanes’ present and future


Miami wrapped up its third season under Mario Cristobal by losing three of its last four games, firing defensive coordinator Lance Guidry and entering the offseason with a big question mark at quarterback.

Where did things go wrong? What should we take away from it all? And what needs to happen next for the Hurricanes to avoid tumbling back to mediocrity with Heisman finalist Cam Ward off to the NFL?

Here are eight thoughts on 2024 and what’s ahead in 2025.

1. It’s hard to categorize Cristobal’s third season as anything other than a golden opportunity missed.

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Yes, there was significant progress, and that can’t be ignored. Miami won 10 games for only the second time since joining the ACC in 2004 and had the No. 1 scoring offense in the country (43.9 points per game). At this point last year, most Miami fans would’ve considered that a successful season after 5-7 and 7-6 campaigns in Cristobal’s first two years on the job.

But players like Ward are special. Six Miami quarterbacks have been invited to the Heisman Trophy ceremony dating to 1984: Bernie Kosar, Vinny Testaverde, Steve Walsh, Gino Torretta, Ken Dorsey and Ward. The first five won national championships at Miami. With Ward, the Hurricanes failed to make an expanded 12-team College Football Playoff or even qualify for the ACC Championship Game. That’s going to sting for a while.


Cam Ward averaged 331.8 passing yards per game in 2024. (Brett Davis / Imagn Images)

2. Miami’s downfall was its defense. Cristobal was confident he had acquired enough talent before the season to complement Ward and what he expected to be an elite offense. The problem was Cristobal failed to correctly assess that his secondary was in bad need of upgrades. Miami, instead, spent most of its name, image and likeness funds on acquiring veteran defensive linemen, several of whom didn’t exactly pan out.

Washington transfer Mishael Powell, a former Huskies walk-on, wasn’t the problem in the secondary. Powell made the biggest play in Miami’s only win over its last four games with a pick six against Wake Forest. The issue was the Hurricanes didn’t develop enough of their own recruits in the defensive backfield. Guidry, who was fired after his second season in Miami, coached the safeties and hired former Marshall assistant Chevis Jackson to handle the cornerbacks this year.

Miami’s secondary was a collective mess when it was needed most. Go back and watch the defense on third-and-long in the second half at Georgia Tech against a backup quarterback and against Syracuse in the regular-season finale.

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Guidry deserves some blame, obviously. Miami played more man coverage than anyone in the ACC (46.7 percent of snaps), according to TruMedia, and allowed 12 touchdowns while in man (tied for third most in the league). The Canes weren’t good in zone coverage either. There were far too many instances of receivers going in motion before the snap that resulted in someone being left uncovered. You expect freshmen like O.J. Frederique to make those mistakes. But it happened to veterans, too, which makes you question what they were or were not learning in the film room.

3. Let’s not make this all doom and gloom, though. Miami had some other positive moments in 2024 aside from Ward.

Homegrown receiver Xavier Restrepo topped the 1,000-yard mark for the second consecutive season. Miami has had one other 1,000-yard receiver (Charleston Rambo) since 2015. It helps in recruiting when you can point to significant achievements like that.

Miami led the ACC with 5.7 yards per carry, up significantly from when Cristobal first took over in 2022 and the team ranked ninth in the league (3.7). Damien Martinez became the program’s first 1,000-yard rusher since Mark Walton in 2016.

If you need proof Cristobal has significantly improved Miami’s offensive line in his three years on the job, look no further than those numbers. There’s a standard to maintain, and that standard should be held up with four starting linemen back in 2025.

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4. The big questions: Who replaces Ward at quarterback and whom will Cristobal hire to remedy the defense?

There’s no doubt quarterback is the most important position on the field. It always will be. But having an elite defense matters, too. National semifinalists Ohio State, Notre Dame, Texas and Penn State rank Nos. 1, 2, 4 and 7 in scoring defense. All four allow fewer than 16 points per game.

Last year, national champion Michigan led the country in scoring defense at 10.4 points per game. In 2022, national champion Georgia finished fifth (14.3 ppg).

Here’s how Miami has ranked in scoring defense over the last nine years:

  • 68th in 2024 (25.3 ppg)
  • 44th in 2023 (22.8 ppg)
  • 67th in 2022 (26.8 ppg)
  • 84th in 2021 (28.4 ppg)
  • 51st in 2020 (27.0 ppg)
  • 23rd in 2019 (20.2 ppg)
  • 18th in 2018 (19.5 ppg)
  • 28th in 2017 (21.0 ppg)
  • 12th in 2016 (18.5 ppg)

Having a great quarterback is cool. But building a championship defense with talents like Vince Wilfork, Jonathan Vilma, Antrel Rolle and Ed Reed is probably more important.

5. Landing a quality starting quarterback out of the transfer portal, though, is necessary if Miami is going to have any realistic shot of contending for a Playoff spot. Sophomore Emory Williams inspired very little confidence with his performance in the Pop-Tarts Bowl.

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The problem is most of the top quarterbacks are off the board. Miami native Fernando Mendoza — the No. 4 prospect in our QB portal rankings — left Cal to join his younger brother at Indiana. Ex-Washington State starter John Mateer followed his offensive coordinator to Oklahoma. I’m not sure Miami really was in line to land either, but they were the biggest names the Canes showed an interest in.

The best-case scenario at this point for Miami is that someone like Georgia’s Carson Beck or Texas’ Quinn Ewers — both NFL prospects — decides to come back to college for one more season and follow Ward’s example of doing so in Coral Gables.

6. Otherwise, the 2025 season will be about the program Cristobal has been building through his high school recruiting and portal efforts.

But many of his imports have already left via the portal or exhausted their eligibility.

Only five of the 15 high school recruits Cristobal signed in the Class of 2022 are still at Miami — linebacker Wesley Bissainthe, safety Markeith Williams, left guard Matthew McCoy, defensive tackle Ahmad Moten and right guard Anez Cooper.

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Only half of Miami’s 26-member 2023 recruiting class still calls Coral Gables home. That’s a group of mostly backups to this point, anchored by starting right tackle Francis Mauigoa, defensive lineman Rueben Bain Jr. and running back Mark Fletcher.

That puts a lot of pressure on Cristobal’s 2024 class — which ranked No. 4 in the 247Sports Composite — to deliver next year. Frederique, tight end Elija Lofton, running back Jordan Lyle and receiver Joshisa Trader definitely flashed as first-year freshmen.

But now Cristobal and his staff have to show what they can do with all of those players serving as the foundation.

7. The majority of Miami’s additions through the portal have been productive contributors under Cristobal in the past, which is why you should be fairly optimistic about the eight transfers he’s landed since the end of the season.

Miami hit the secondary hard and probably isn’t done yet. All four defensive backs acquired — Ethan O’Connor (Washington State), Emmanuel Karnley (Arizona), Charles Brantley (Michigan State) and Zechariah Poyser (Jacksonville State) — started at least half of their team’s games last season, and three (Karnley, O’Connor and Poyser) have three seasons of eligibility left.

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Miami lost talented second-year tight end Riley Williams, who returned home to Oregon State, and replaced him with Alex Bauman, a 25-game starter at Tulane.

Starting center Zach Carpenter has been replaced by TCU’s James Brockermeyer — making it three former starting centers from Power 4 programs acquired via the portal in the last three offseasons.

Defensive lineman David Blay, a first-team All-Conference USA selection at Louisiana Tech, helps make up for the loss of Simeon Barrow inside and will team with returning veterans Akheem Mesidor, Bain and Moten.

CJ Daniels, meanwhile, comes over from LSU and provides a veteran presence (30 career starts) to a really, really, really young group of wide receivers.

8. Do I believe the 2025 team — as it’s currently constructed — will be as good as the 2024 Hurricanes? No. But at this time last year, Ward was headed to the NFL and we had no idea who was going to be the starting quarterback.

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The transfer portal remains open for graduate students and for players on teams still in the Playoff. It also reopens again for everyone in April.

Few imagined Florida State would finish 2-10 after going 13-1 in 2023.

Few believed SMU would play for the ACC title and make the Playoff in its first year in the league.

All I’m counting on is for more of the unexpected.

(Photo of Mario Cristobal: Rich Barnes / Imagn Images)

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