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Biden needs a new approach to Black voters based on Georgia and Michigan, group of strategists says

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Biden needs a new approach to Black voters based on Georgia and Michigan, group of strategists says


ATLANTA (AP) — Some top Democrats are worried that a dip in Black voter turnout, along with other challenges, could doom President Joe Biden and his party in 2024.

A group of Democrats is offering a new analysis of the most recent campaigns in Georgia and Michigan, pitching those battlegrounds as models for drawing in more Black voters next year and beyond. They argue that Democratic power players need to think — and spend money — in new ways, going beyond efforts that can be last-minute or superficial as they try to reassemble Biden’s 2020 coalition.

“The days of the symbolic fish fry and one-time church visit are over,” wrote the authors of the analysis by strategists widely credited for helping flip Georgia and Michigan to Biden. “Black voters have always required an approach to voter engagement as diverse as the Black voting coalition.”

Biden has long depended on Black voters — first as a Delaware senator and most notably in the 2020 South Carolina primary, which delivered him a decisive win that led much of the Democratic field to consolidate behind him.

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But just 50% of Black adults said they approve of Biden in a December poll by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs. That is compared with 86% in July 2021, with the gap fueling concerns about his reelection prospects.

The new report, shared exclusively with The Associated Press and being presented privately to Democratic power players, contends as part of several recommendations that the left must regularly engage all Black voters, including the most reluctant, while amplifying arguments about abortion rights in Black communities.

Said Lauren Groh-Wargo, a leader of the push and longtime adviser to Georgia Democrat Stacey Abrams: “People need to see something different; they need to see you coming to them and asking for their vote in their cultural spaces.”

The authors include veterans of Abrams’ operation and Michigan’s efforts to approve an abortion-rights referendum and re-elect Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Abrams lost her second bid against Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, but Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock beat Herschel Walker to retain his Senate seat, bolstered in part by years of work by Abrams and other organizers.

The report explores why the two states’ 2022 electorates differed from other racially diverse battlegrounds. The contributors want to share their conclusions with the party’s biggest donors and top strategists, including those running Biden’s 2024 campaign. One of Biden’s top campaign aides managed Warnock’s campaign.

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Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are the seven states that will be critical in deciding the Electoral College next year. Across those states in 2022, Black turnout dropped, on average, about 22% from the 2018 midterms, according to multiple Democratic firms’ data analysis. Lagging Black support for Biden in any three of those states next fall could cut off his path to the required 270 electoral votes.

Michigan’s Black turnout in 2022 was about 90% of its 2018 totals, according to the analysis. But among Black voters under 35, the 2022 turnout was 96% of 2018 levels — notably outpacing other battlegrounds, Georgia included. That bolstered Whitmer’s nearly 11-point victory and the abortion rights referendum, which passed by 13 points. The analysis found Michigan’s Black voters supported the initiative by a higher proportion than any other race or ethnicity; that finding was repeated recently in Ohio’s abortion referendum, authors said.

“We were open to the research that showed us just how much this would resonate in Black communities,” said Michigan Democratic Chairwoman Lavora Barnes, the first Black woman to hold her post and a co-author of the report.

“We made it part of a broader message about rights and freedom,” she added, saying Black Americans, because of their historical experience with oppression, are especially attuned to “having our rights taken away.”

Whitmer, who embraced the nonpartisan abortion-rights campaign, said the lessons must carry forward as some Republicans propose national abortion restrictions.

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“My generation assumed that these rights would always be intact for us and our children,” the governor, 52, said recently. “Lo and behold, here we are having to fight over and over again to protect these rights.”

Black turnout in Georgia, meanwhile, was about 92% of 2018 levels; Black voters over 50 exceeded their 2018 marks.

If Georgia’s Black turnout had tracked the 2022 battleground average, the analysis calculates that about 175,000 fewer voters would have cast November ballots. With Warnock winning more than 9 out of 10 Black votes, that shortfall almost certainly would have meant his defeat to Walker, the only GOP statewide nominee who lost in Georgia last year.

And if Black turnout in other 2022 battlegrounds reflected Georgia’s, Democrats almost certainly would have defeated Republican Sen. Ron Johnson in Wisconsin and may have won a North Carolina Senate seat, expanding their narrow majority, the authors argue.

Some recommendations from Georgia are challenging and expensive. Abrams’ operation began a decade ago trying to expand voter participation in Georgia, focusing on Black and other nonwhite residents who rarely or never voted. Now Georgia’s political footprint involves hundreds of paid canvassers, sophisticated digital outreach, voter registration drives and door-knocking campaigns even in non-campaign years.

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The report argues that the investment over time creates so-called “super voters” who make the Democratic investment worth it. The document details tactics Georgia and Michigan Democrats have used and that the authors say can be scaled in other states.

The authors note that in 2018, when Abrams first ran for governor, Georgia had more than 1.1 million Black voters deemed “low propensity” and unlikely to vote. After the 2022 election, that has dropped to between 700,000 and 800,000.

Conversely, the “super voter” measure — defined as people who have cast three consecutive general election ballots — has climbed from about 525,000 Black Georgians after 2016 to more than 850,000 after 2022.

Donors and most campaigns, though, still gravitate to traditional turnout models aimed at regular or semi-regular voters. They see the Abrams approach as costing too much money per vote.

“We need other groups out there making contacts with inactive voters because most campaigns just aren’t cut out to do that,” said Preston Elliot, Whitmer’s 2022 campaign manager, who was not involved in the analysis. He complimented figures like Groh-Wargo, Abrams and Barnes but cautioned that the latest effort comes down to resources.

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“There are enough tasks out there for everyone to play their parts,” Elliot said. “But ultimately we’re talking about about finite money here.”

___

Associated Press writer Joey Cappelletti in Lansing, Michigan, contributed to this report.





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Georgia to Add Australian Tane Bidois at Mid-season

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Georgia to Add Australian Tane Bidois at Mid-season


Fitter and Faster Swim Camps is the proud sponsor of SwimSwam’s College Recruiting Channel and all commitment news. For many, swimming in college is a lifelong dream that is pursued with dedication and determination. Fitter and Faster is proud to honor these athletes and those who supported them on their journey.

Tane Bidois from Sydney, Australia, has signed a letter of intent to swim and study at the University of Georgia. He will arrive in Athens in the second half of the 2024-25 season.

“The team is like one big family. It’s definitely a move out of my comfort zone but having never swam in short course yards before, I’m looking forward to going fast and experiencing the NCAA hype.”

Bidois graduated from Knox Grammar School in December 2022. He had previously committed to Arizona for fall 2024 but requested a release from his NLI and will now begin at Georgia in January.

He swims year-round with the club team Knox Pymble Swim Club and specializes mainly in freestyle and backstroke. At the Australian Short Course Championships in September, he placed 6th in the 50 back, 21st in the 50 free, 21st in the 100 free, and 25th in the 100 back and updated his SCM times in the 50 free (22.02), 100 free (49.29), 50 back (24.78), and 100 back (54.04).

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In long course, Bidois qualified for Australian Olympic Trials in the 50 free, 100 free, and 100 back. He finaled in the 50 free (14th) and clocked a PB in the 100 back (56.25), coming in 17th in prelims. At the Australian Open Championships in April, he finaled in the 50 free (13th), 100 free (24th), 50 back (10th), 100 back (11th), and 50 fly (16th). He improved his best times in the 50 free (22.67), 100 free (50.10), 50 back (26.12), 100 back (56.43, which he lowered at Trials), and 50 fly (24.43).

Bidois represented Australia at the 9th World Aquatics Junior Championships in Netanya in September 2023, making the semi-finals in the 50 free and swimming a leg on the 4×100 free relay.

Describing his motivation for his decision, Bidois told SwimSwam, “I think for me my decision was based off the opportunity to swim and study in the one place, being surrounded by a super positive and uplifting culture. I perform well in the pool when I’m surrounded by people/coaches with the same goals and motivation as me so when I visited Georgia last month I felt right at home and knew that this was the right place for me. I like to live by the rule to never have any regrets – you never know until you try, so after visiting I knew it was a no brainer.”

Bidois will join the Bulldogs’ class of 2028 with divers Aiden Sadler and Bo Bridges and swimmers Drew Hitchcock (#5 in the class of 2024), Elliot Woodburn, Kyler Heffner, and Will Gavin.

Best LCM times (converted):

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  • 50 free – 22.67 (19.70)
  • 100 free – 50.10 (43.69)
  • 50 back – 26.12 (22.99)
  • 100 back – 56.25 (49.59)
  • 50 fly – 24.43 (21.37)

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Coastal Carolina offering free tickets to Georgia Southern game for military members, first responders

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Coastal Carolina offering free tickets to Georgia Southern game for military members, first responders


CONWAY, S.C. (WMBF) – Coastal Carolina is making a special gesture to those who serve our country and communities ahead of the football team’s home finale this weekend.

The Chanticleers will offer free tickets to military members and first responders for Saturday’s game against Georgia Southern at Brooks Stadium.

Those eligible for the free tickets can secure them through CCU’s website, contacting the Chanticeler Athletics Office by phone at 843-347-8499 or by email at tickets@coastal.edu and using the promo code: military.

“Coastal Carolina is proud to honor the men and women who serve our nation,” Coastal Carolina Vice President for Intercollegiate Athletics and University Recreation Chance Miller said in a statement. “Our Salute to Service game is an opportunity to show our gratitude to the military, their families, and first responders for their dedication and sacrifice. Providing complimentary tickets is a small way to thank them for their contributions to our country and our community.”

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Saturday’s game kicks off at 3:30 p.m. and will be televised on ESPN+

Stay with WMBF News for updates.



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In first meeting since Trump win, Georgia election board defers to Legislature to implement plans

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In first meeting since Trump win, Georgia election board defers to Legislature to implement plans


Georgia’s State Election Board voted Monday to request state lawmakers pass legislation next year making voter lists readily available to the public before and after elections. 

Board members have decided to forward their recommendations to the state Legislature rather than launch their own rulemaking process, which has recently resulted in several of their initiatives successfully challenged in courts. 

The controversial election board met for the first time since President-elect Donald Trump defeated Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris in Georgia and six other swing states on Nov. 5. Several of Georgia’s most outspoken critics of the way counties tally votes attended Monday’s meeting before the election board, which had become ground zero in the heated debates over election rules proposals pushed by Republicans and Trump’s allies.

Monday’s five-hour meeting was shorter, more sparsely attended, and less contentious than recent meetings before the election. Previously, three Republican board members had rushed to set up new election procedures in time for the 2024 general election. 

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Court orders prevented several rules from being enforced in this year’s election, a victory for critics who argued changes to certifying results and hand counting ballots could disrupt elections administration.

The Georgia Supreme Court has agreed to review the legality of the contested rules, including whether the State Election Board exceeded its authority by passing election law that should instead be passed by the state Legislature. 

On Monday, Georgia election board members Janelle King, Janice Johnston and Rick Jeffares, who were praised at an Atlanta rally by Trump as “pit bulls” for victory, asked state lawmakers to pass legislation which would require each county to make publicly available a list of all eligible voters during and after every election. 

Fulton County resident Lucia Frazier agreed to withdraw her two rules petitions in favor of having the board recommend that legislators take up the matter. 

She proposed mandating that counties make a publicly available updated registered voter list ahead of an election, which would be updated until Election Day.  

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Frazier said she also wants state and county election officials to create an accessible database of everyone who voted during an election. Those files should contain the names of every voter, a copy of their voter ID, precinct, and check-in time, and the records must be available for two years after the election to anyone who requests them.

Frazier said she saw that during early voting Georgia Tech students had to wait for poll workers to confirm their registration because their names had not been updated on electronic poll devices. 

Moreover, Frazier expressed frustration with the inability to obtain a prompt response to open records requests and the expense of getting lists of eligible voters from county and state election officials.

According to Frazier, in order to have a truly auditable election, a certified list of electors needs to be available before voting starts, and updated regularly throughout. 

King said she heard similar complaints about people’s names not showing up on the poll pads during this election cycle. She moved to recommend the Georgia Assembly pass legislation making voter lists public and providing funding to defray costs for people who request the records. 

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“I have to add that I have major concerns about the amount of money we’re charging for documents that’s supposed to be readily available to the public,” King said. “I feel like it disenfranchises candidates. It disenfranchises voters.”

Democratic Election Board member Sara Tindall Ghazal said that publishing supplemental lists of eligible voters during an election could impose an administrative burden on counties. She stressed the need for a better understanding of this burden before making legislative recommendations.

Johnston said two things are essential for election integrity: knowing who is eligible to vote and who voted.

“I think we all agree that these are the basics of holding an election and administering election,” Johnston said. “There’s nothing secret about this. There’s nothing proprietary about it. This should be available to the counties, to the superintendents, to the candidates, to the campaigns.”

Tindall Ghazal said that because Georgia’s voter registration deadline is based on when the paper application is postmarked in the mail, it led to some counties still processing thousands of voter registrations after early voting was underway. 

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“I think it’s a huge problem that there was such a large backlog in some of these counties to process the registrations,” she said. “I need to have a better understanding of the administrative burden that we’re adding to the counties for posting these lists on a daily basis on top of everything else that they’re doing during an election.”

This story was provided by WABE content sharing partner the Georgia Recorder.



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