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ESPN predicts every game outcome on Alabama 2024 schedule

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ESPN predicts every game outcome on Alabama 2024 schedule


The Kalen DeBoer era will officially kick off when the Alabama Crimson Tide take the field against Western Kentucky in their season opener on Aug. 31.

The much-anticipated debut for the first-year Alabama head coach comes after he took Washington to the national championship game this past season. Replacing Nick Saban is a tall task for any coach, but DeBoer’s past success speaks for itself with only 12 losses on his head coaching record. Still, many are curious to see how Alabama fares during his first season leading the program.

Before his inaugural season as the Crimson Tide head coach, ESPN analystics has predicted the outcome of every Alabama game this season, via its matchup predictor.

Aug. 31: Alabama vs. Western Kentucky – 97.4% chance of win

Head coach Kalen DeBoer (Courtesy of UA Athletics)

DeBoer’s first mission as Crimson Tide head coach will be to topple the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers inside Bryant-Denny Stadium in front of what is likely to be a curious Crimson Tide fanbase. ESPN is predicting a win heavily in Alabama’s favor, as they’re 31-point betting favorites, per ESPN Bet.

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He only gets one shot at a first impression — we’ll see if he can make the most of it.

Sept 7: Alabama vs. South Florida – 96.2% chance of win

Alabama vs. South Florida
Alabama vs. South Florida (Nathan Ray Seebeck / USA TODAY Sports)

Last season’s matchup against USF was a bit of a fever dream. Now Notre Dame walk-on wide receiver Tyler Buchner started at quarterback for the Crimson Tide defeated the Bulls 17-3 on neutral territory.

2024’s edition of this matchup will happen on the Crimson Tide’s home turf. This time, the final score is not expected to be so close according to the matchup predictor.

Sept. 14: Alabama at Wisconsin – 81.3% chance of win

Oregon B1G Schedule
(Photo by: Tom Hauck/Getty Images)

DeBoer’s first road trip as Alabama’s head coach, the Crimson Tide are still heavily favored in front of a crowd packed full of Wisconsin faithful.

Alabama hasn’t played in Camp Randall Stadium since November of 1928. However, the Tide won the most recent bout in Sept. 2015, which saw the Badgers fall 35-17 in Dallas as Derrick Henry rushed for 147 yards and three touchdowns.

Sept. 28: Alabama vs. Georgia – 40.9% chance of win

Alabama vs. Georgia
Alabama vs. Georgia

Arguably the biggest blockbuster game of the regular season, preseason No. 5 Alabama will take on preseason No. 1 Georgia in Tuscaloosa for the first time since 2020. This matchup will not only have implications for the SEC Championship race, but could play a hand in the how the playoff committee handles the CFP seedings.

Alabama is 23-13-4 all-time against the Bulldogs at home and have won seven on the last eight games in the rivalry overall. This is the only game that ESPN’s matchup predictor does not favor the Tide.

Oct. 5: Alabama at Vanderbilt – 89.8% chance of win

Vanderbilt warms up before a game against Alabama A&M at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023.

According to ESPN’s matchup predictor, Alabama’s game against Vanderbilt in October is the easiest road game on their schedule, giving the Crimson Tide a near 90 percent chance to defeat the Commodores at home.

Alabama hasn’t lost to Vanderbilt since 1984.

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Oct. 12: Alabama vs. South Carolina – 86.2% chance of win

new-alabama-crimson-tide-head-coach-kalen-deboer-describes-enviroment-he-wants
Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News / USA TODAY NETWORK

The midway point in the season, DeBoer should be settled into his role by this point. How his team performs remains to be seen — but a strong performance against South Carolina could set the Crimson Tide up nicely for the upcoming rough patch in their schedule.

However, Alabama can’t get caught looking ahead at what’s next. Any matchup against an SEC opponent could be considered a trap game down the stretch.

Oct. 19: Alabama at Tennessee – 58% chance of win

Tennessee Football (Field Storming vs. Alabama - 2022)
Jamar Coach | USA TODAY NETWORK

DeBoer might not have been around for 2022’s loss to Tennessee inside Neyland Stadium, but he doesn’t want Alabama fans to relive it, either. The 52-49 loss, which resulted in uprooted goal poasts during the postgame field-storming, was Nick Saban’s final trip to Knoxville.

Alabama bounced back last season to dispatch of the Vols last year 34-20 and have won 16 of the last 17 matchups in the rivalry.

Oct. 26: Alabama vs. Missouri – 70% chance of win

joel-klatt-believes-missouri-sec-championship-appearence-win-over-alabama
Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Missouri‘s Luther Burden might be the most dynamic offensive weapon the Crimson Tide are scheduled to face this season. Proving to be an elite performer at the wide receiver position, Alabama defensive backs may have their work cut out for them. Afterall, Missouri won 11 games last season and capped it with a bowl win over Ohio State.

If the Crimson Tide aren’t careful, Eli Drinkwitz and company could make a massive statement in Tuscaloosa come late October as ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Alabama a 70% chance of winning the game at home — the lowest mark at home since Georgia.

Nov. 9: Alabama at LSU – 63.3% chance of win

LSU
Nov 4, 2023; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) stiff arms LSU Tigers safety Major Burns (8) as he runs the ball at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN’s matchup predictor predicts this game to be similar to the Tennessee road game, but gives Alabama a slight edge with a 63.3% chance of leaving Death Valley with a win.

LSU also knocked off Alabama during that 2022 season, which the Crimson Tide avenged last year as well. Still, coming off a tough stretch of schedule LSU could give Alabama all they can handle on the road.

Nov. 16: Alabama vs. Mercer – 99% chance of win

Alabama QB Jalen Milroe
Jalen Milroe (John David Mercer / USA TODAY Sports)

Coming off consecutive matchups against Tennessee, Missouri and LSU, Alabama gets to enjoy a home game against Mercer. This is the game they’re most likely to win this season, according to ESPN’s percentage data.

Two weeks before the Iron Bowl — this one could get ugly.

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Nov. 23: Alabama at Oklahoma – 51.2% chance of win

Oklahoma-SEC
© BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK

Alabama will play Oklahoma in Norman for the first time since 1970 later this year. ESPN analytics believe the Crimson Tide will narrowly escape with a victory in this season’s matchup.

How Texas and OU will adapt to their new SEC environment in year one remains to be seen — but a matchup against Alabama at home in Novemeber is the ultimate way to test yourself against a team that is expected to be one of the best the conference has to offer. Despite this, Alabama is the favorite, even if by a couple of percentage points.

Nov. 30: Alabama vs. Auburn – 80.1% chance of win

The Iron Bowl gave college football fans one of its most memorable moments of the 2023 season when Jalen Milroe hit Isaiah Bond in the back of the end zone for the game-winning touchdown on the road, stunning the Auburn fans inside Jordan-Hare Satdium.

This time around, they’re in Tuscaloosa where the Crimson Tide are heavily favored against their in-state rival as DeBoer and company look to ride into the postseason on a high note.



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Alabama

Chris Blankenship op-ed: Alabama’s outdoors is key to our state’s economic growth – Innovate Alabama is a key partner in that growth

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Chris Blankenship op-ed: Alabama’s outdoors is key to our state’s economic growth – Innovate Alabama is a key partner in that growth


From the mountains of the Tennessee Valley to the shores of the Gulf Coast, and everything in- between, our state is second to none in the country when it comes to beautiful outdoors and recreation.

Whether it’s camping and hiking across Alabama’s state parks, fishing our streams, rivers, coastlines and bays, or hunting in our state’s sprawling forests – there is truly something for everyone who has a love and appreciation for the outdoors.

But Alabama’s natural beauty is about more than just recreation. It is a powerful economic asset – and one that is increasingly central to our state’s ability to compete for talent in a rapidly changing economy. Today, when individuals and families are deciding where to live, one of the first questions they ask is simple: What is the quality of life? And a major part of that answer is access to outdoor recreation.

People want to know if they can bike on scenic trails, paddle down clean rivers, hike through preserved lands, or spend weekends hunting and fishing. They want to live in places that allow them to unplug, recharge, and connect with nature.

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Alabama is uniquely positioned to meet that demand. We have the natural resources that people across the country are searching for – but we must be intentional about leveraging them. Each year, Alabama produces more talented graduates than ever before. Yet too many of those young people leave our state in search of opportunities and lifestyles they believe they cannot find here.

If we are serious about retaining that talent, and attracting new talent from outside our borders, we must fully embrace and promote what makes Alabama special. That is exactly what we are doing through Innovate Alabama, a statewide public-private
partnership focused on entrepreneurship and economic growth.

As Chairman of the Council on Outdoor Recreation, I have seen firsthand how our natural assets are becoming one of our strongest tools in this effort. Innovate Alabama recognizes that talent drives economic development. And talent today is
mobile. Young professionals, entrepreneurs, and innovators are choosing where to live based not only on job opportunities, but on lifestyle.

By elevating outdoor recreation as a central part of our value proposition, we are showing that Alabama offers both. And it is working.

We are hearing directly from entrepreneurs and young professionals who have launched businesses through Innovate Alabama programs that access to our outdoors, and the quality of life it creates, has been one of the most compelling reasons they chose to build their future here.

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They are finding that in Alabama, they do not have to choose between career success and a high quality of life. They can have both.

That is a powerful message, and one we must continue to amplify.

We have been blessed with incredible natural resources. Now, we must continue to invest in them, protect them, and ensure access to them. By doing so, we are not only preserving our heritage, but we are building our future.

At the Alabama Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, we are committed to expanding access to outdoor recreation opportunities across the state. Since 2017, we have invested more than $500 million in outdoor recreation access improvements! Whether it is improving our state parks, enhancing trails and waterways access, or conserving critical habitats, our work is directly tied to Alabama’s long-term economic success.

By working in partnership with Innovate Alabama, we will continue to position our outdoors as a cornerstone of our growth strategy, helping us retain the talented young people who might otherwise leave, while attracting new individuals and businesses who are looking for a place to thrive.

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Alabama’s great outdoors are more than a point of pride. They are a competitive advantage. And if we continue to lean into that advantage, we will ensure that our state remains not only a beautiful place to visit, but one of the best places in the country to live, work, and build a future.

Chris Blankenship is the Alabama Department of Conservation and Natural Resources Commissioner and Chairman of the Innovate Alabama Outdoor Recreation Committee.



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Alabama Defeated By Birmingham

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Alabama Defeated By Birmingham


The 13th ranked Alabama Crimson Tide took a bad loss to the Birmingham Blazers on Tuesday night at Sewell-Thomas Field. The Blazers scored seven times in the top of the 1st and coasted to an 11-2 victory. The teams played last Tuesday at Regions Park in Birmingham with the Tide winning that contest 12-6. With the loss Alabama is 28-14 while the Blazers improved to 26-15. Casey Dunn’s squad is much improved this year and carries an RPI of 33. Alabama entered the game 4th in the nation in RPI. Bama did not help themselves by committing five errors. The Tide is now 60-29 all-time in matchups with the Blazers, including 32-13 in Tuscaloosa.

Freshman left hander Luke Smyers started on the mound for Bama and had a short lived appearance. Lead off man Kevin Hall tried to bunt and popped out to Alabama first baseman Luke Vaughn. That was the only batter retired by Smyers. JP Head followed with a walk and Smyers hit Landon Beaver and Max Price to load the bases. Brady Waugh looped a soft single into short left field to score a run. Andrew Hunt singled up the middle to score another and when Bama centerfielder Bryce Fowler fumbled the ball for an error, another run scored. Wesley Helms singled to chase Smyers in favor of JT Blackwood. Alex DuPay greeted Blackwood with a two run single. Two more runs came in on an error by Bama third baseman Jason Torres on a bunt by Baylor Roberts. By the time the dust settled and the inning ended, the Tide had put themselves in a 7-0 hole.

The Tide went down in order in the bottom half of the first against starter Isaac Warrick. Blackwood allowed two singled to begin the top of the 2nd, but a strikeout and double play held the deficit to seven. Eric Hines was hit by a pitch leading off in the bottom half but a pop out and two strikeouts kept Bama at bay. Blackwood had a perfect third with a ground out, fly out, and pop out. Alabama finally had a scoring opportunity in the in the bottom of the third, but could not capitalize.

Torres led off with a walk but was foreced out at second on a ground ball by Fowler. Justin LeBron shot a single to the right side to move Fowler to third base. LeBron then swiped second base for his 33rd stolen base of the year in 33 chances. Brady Neal walked to load the bases with two outs for Hines. Hines struck out to end the uprising. Blackwood walked Roberts to led off the top of the 4th, followed by a single by Hall. Head singled to right to drive in one run, and when Neal fumbled the ball in right, another run followed. Connor Lehman replaced Blackwood and walked the first two batters he faced to load the bases. A strikeout and a double play prevented further damage, but the score was now 9-0.

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In the bottom of the 4th Bama got their second hit of the game with one out when Hall couldn’t find a pop up by Vaughn that fell in for a double. A strikeout and ground out ended the inning. Owen Sarna replaced Lehman and had a quick top of the 5th with a ground out and two strikeouts. Bama went down easily in the bottom half of the fifth. Sarna was back in the 6th and despite a walk and a single kept the Blazers from adding to their lead. Alabama final broke through in the bottom of the frame. Neal led off with a single and was forced out at second on a ground ball hit by Hines, Tide catcher Johnny Lemm crushed a 408 foot home run into the visitors bullpen to cut the lead to 9-2. A strikeout and a long fly out by Will Plattner ended the inning.

Austin Morris replaced Sarna in the top of the seventh. Hunt singled to lead off the inning and a one out double by Dupuy scored Hunt. DuPay reached third when Neal misplayed the ball in right field. Roberts put down a perfect squeeze bunt to score DuPay. Hall struck out to end the inning with the 11-2 score. The Tide went down in order in the bottom of the inning. Joe Chiardo tossed the 8th for Bama and had a perfect inning with a fly out, ground out, and strikeout.

The Tide went down in order in the 8th and Zach Kittrell made his season debut on the mound for Bama in the ninth. Kittrell walked Waugh to lead off the inning. Waugh was cut down trying to steal (in a 11-2 game in the ninth?) by Lemm. The runner was initially called safe but the call was overturned upon review. Kittrell retired the next two on a strikeout and fly ball to left field that Hines made a sliding catch on. Plattner singled with two outs in the 9th for Bama, but a strikeout of Evan Taylor ended the game with the Tide on the short end of the 11-2 score.

Alabama’s offensive woes continued with a 5-32 night at the plate with two walks, one hit batter, one double, one home run, a stolen base, nine strikeouts, and left six on base. The five hits were divided among five players. Smyers fell to o-1 with the loss.

Birmingham hit 11-33 in the game with six walks, two hit batters, one double, one stolen base, nine strikeouts, and left five men on base. Head, Beaver, Hunt, and Dupay all had two hits apiece. Riley Miller was the winning pitcher and is 3-0 on the season. Warrick left the game in the third inning with what appeared to be a shoulder injury.

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No sugar coating this one. Just a stinker all the way around. The loss gave the Tide a 2-6 record in their last eight games. There were a couple of bright spots. Lemm hit a much needed home run after struggling the last 8-10 games. Sarna was impressive in his two innings, Chiardo was sharp in his inning, and Kittrell showed some velocity with his 94 mile an hour fastball. LeBron now has a 10 game hitting streak and is still yet to be caught stealing. Bama now has only 20 hits in their last four games with seven runs scored.

Next up is a road trip to Knoxville to take on the struggling Tennessee Volunteers in a Thursday- Saturday series.
Roll Tide



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New Alabama Privacy Law Adds to Compliance Challenges for Businesses | PYMNTS.com

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New Alabama Privacy Law Adds to Compliance Challenges for Businesses | PYMNTS.com


Alabama has become the latest state to enact a comprehensive consumer privacy regime, adding further complexity to an already fragmented U.S. regulatory landscape and raising new compliance imperatives for businesses operating across state lines.

Signed into law by Governor Kay Ivey on April 16, the Alabama Personal Data Protection Act (APDPA) will take effect on May 1, 2027, and establishes a broad framework governing the collection, use and sale of personal data. The law places Alabama alongside 20 other states that have adopted similar statutes and increasing pressure on companies to harmonize compliance programs nationwide.

The APDPA applies to businesses operating in Alabama or targeting its residents that either process the personal data of more than 25,000 consumers or derive more than 25% of revenue from the sale of personal data. According to an analysis of the statute by the Fisher Phillips law firm, those thresholds are comparatively low, meaning the law may reach a broader set of entities than similar statutes in other states.

At the same time, Alabama diverges from its peers by including extensive exemptions. Small businesses with fewer than 500 employees—provided they do not sell personal data—are carved out, as are nonprofits under 100 employees, higher education institutions, and certain regulated sectors such as financial institutions and HIPAA-covered entities.

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Like most state privacy laws, the APDPA excludes employment-related data from coverage—aligning with states such as Virginia and Colorado, but diverging from California’s broader definition of “consumer,” which includes employees and job applicants.

For covered entities, compliance hinges on the distinction between “controllers” and “processors,” a model borrowed from other state laws and the EU’s GDPR. Controllers—those determining the purposes and means of data processing—bear the primary compliance burden.

Controllers must enable and respond to a suite of consumer rights, including access, correction, deletion and data portability, as well as opt-outs for targeted advertising, data sales and certain profiling activities. Businesses must respond to authenticated consumer requests within 45 days and provide at least one free response annually.

The law also imposes baseline governance requirements, including data minimization, purpose limitation, and the implementation of “reasonable” administrative, technical and physical security safeguards. Controllers must also publish compliant privacy notices and obtain consent before processing sensitive data.

However, Alabama stops short of adopting some of the more stringent features seen elsewhere. Unlike laws in California and Colorado, the APDPA does not mandate data protection impact assessments or require recognition of universal opt-out signals.

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One area where Alabama aligns with a growing cohort of states is its broad definition of “sale.” The APDPA includes not only monetary exchanges but also transfers involving “other valuable consideration” that materially benefits the controller.

Read more: House GOP Rushing to Advance Federal Privacy Law Before Midterms

The law invests enforcement authority exclusively with the Alabama attorney general, providing no private right of action. Businesses benefit from a 45-day cure period following notice of violation, but failure to remediate can result in penalties of up to $15,000 per violation.

The Fisher Phillips analysis outlines several immediate steps for businesses ahead of the 2027 effective date. These include conducting data mapping exercises, reviewing and updating privacy notices, implementing systems to handle consumer rights requests, and assessing relationships with third-party data processors.

Companies are also advised to evaluate data practices involving minors and align Alabama compliance efforts with existing programs developed for other state regimes—an increasingly critical strategy as organizations contend with overlapping and sometimes inconsistent requirements.

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In structure, the APDPA closely tracks the now-standard U.S. state privacy framework, emphasizing consumer rights, controller obligations and attorney general enforcement. But its broader exemptions and lighter compliance requirements in certain areas underscore the continued divergence among state laws.

For businesses, Alabama’s entry into the privacy landscape reinforces the need for scalable, multi-jurisdictional compliance architectures rather than state-by-state fixes. As more states adopt similar but not identical rules, operational complexity will continue to rise in the absence of federal preemption.



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