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Alabama’s CFP Chances Boil Down to One Thing: All Things CW

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Alabama’s CFP Chances Boil Down to One Thing: All Things CW


The All Issues CW notes column by Christopher Walsh will seem in 5 elements this week, one every day. That is …

Take 2

This is not to make the case for the Alabama Crimson Tide to make the Faculty Soccer Playoff. Nick Saban did that on his personal Saturday evening after the 49-27 victory towards Auburn at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

“We’re a very good soccer crew and hopefully individuals will acknowledge that,” he stated. 

This additionally is not to counsel that the choice committee ought to have the Crimson Tide within the semifinals at this level. There are nonetheless convention championships to be performed, and if the 4 groups on the high of the rankings, which we assume might be Georgia, Michigan, TCU and Southern California, win, they need to all be in. 

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Nevertheless, the committee may have a tricky choice at No. 5 this week, which is able to designate the primary alternate ought to a number of of these groups stumble. The highest three is likely to be ok to nonetheless get in with a convention championship loss, however most likely not the Trojans. 

Each main polls have Ohio State at No. 5, and Alabama at No. 6. 

The computer systems that have been used for the BCS even have the Buckeyes at No. 4, however one would suppose {that a} potential Pac-12 title win might change that. 

So the committee may have Ohio State forward of Alabama, proper?

It is not that clear-cut of a choice, and it is due to the explanation we have been harping on for weeks.  

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Listed below are the rankings standards for the choice committee. The one on the high ought to bounce out at you. 

Rankings standards

  • Energy of schedule
  • Head-to-head recreation outcomes
  • Outcomes vs. groups in Prime 25 rankings
  • Outcomes vs. widespread opponents
  • Convention championships

Three of these aren’t an element between Alabama and Ohio State. The 2 which are are energy of schedule and outcomes vs. groups within the Prime 25 rankings. 

Each of these components favor the Crimson Tide.

2022 Ohio State Schedule, Outcomes

Sport, Date, (Rank) Opponent, Consequence

  1. Sep 3: (2) Ohio State (5) vs. Notre Dame, W 21-10 
  2. Sep 10: (3) Ohio State vs. Arkansas State, W 45-12 
  3. Sep 17: (3) Ohio State vs. Toledo, W 77-21
  4. Sep 24: (3) Ohio State vs. Wisconsin, W 52-21
  5. Oct 1: (3) Ohio State vs. Rutgers, W 49-10 
  6. Oct 8: (3) Ohio State at Michigan State, W 49-20
  7. Oct 22: (2) Ohio State vs. Iowa, W 54-10
  8. Oct 29: (2) Ohio State at (13) Penn State, W 44-31
  9. Nov 5: (2) Ohio State at Northwestern, W 21-7
  10. Nov 12: (2) Ohio State vs. Indiana, W 56-14
  11. Nov 19: (2) Ohio State at Maryland, W 43-30 
  12. Nov 26: (2) Ohio State vs. (3) Michigan, L 45-23

Ohio State performed its first 5 video games at dwelling, together with then-No. 5 Notre Dame in its opener. Nevertheless, the Preventing Irish had a brand new teaching employees and turned across the subsequent week and misplaced to Marshall. 

Scroll to Proceed

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Its 4 highway video games have been at Michigan State, Penn State, Northwestern and Maryland. Solely the Nittany Lions have been ranked on the time, No. 13. 

Their mixed information this season: 23-25. Granted, 11 of these losses have been by the Wildcats, however total that is nonetheless a mediocre schedule.  

There are 5 groups within the Large Ten that aren’t bowl eligible and Ohio State performed 4 of them. It additionally confronted Wisconsin, which fired its coach and is 6-6. 

Now evaluate that to Alabama. 

The Crimson Tide’s weakest highway opponent was at Texas, and the hype for that recreation was astronomical (each ESPN and Fox had their pregame reveals on website). The Longhorns weren’t ranked then, however at the moment are at No. 21. FYI, Notre Dame is at No 19, and keep in mind that Ohio State hosted the Irish.  

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Alabama’s different highway video games: No. 20 Arkansas, No. 6 Tennessee, No. 10 LSU, No. 11 Ole Miss. The worst document amongst these groups is 8-4. 

Their mixed information: 43-17. 

Will that be sufficient to get Alabama above Ohio State? We’ll see. This is the reason Crimson Tide followers ought to have been rooting towards Michigan final week as a result of the case would have been a lot simpler to make towards the Wolverines. They’ve performed precisely two ranked groups all season.  

CFP selectors can use a wide range of superior analytics to gauge groups, however these numbers do not play a proper function within the proceedings. A lot of them could also be asking themselves two issues: How a lot does a 22-point loss at dwelling damage in this sort of scenario? Would Alabama be favored in a recreation towards Ohio State? 

Each are good questions.

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How about this one: Is win over a non-bowl eligible crew higher than a last-play loss at Tennessee or LSU? As a result of that is the distinction between these groups on paper. 

Mainly it’s going to come down the judgement of the selectors. In the event that they suppose Alabama is deserving, Crimson Tide followers sweat out one other week hoping for upsets, figuring out {that a} playoff spot can be like enjoying with home cash. 

But when they suppose Ohio State is the higher crew, the Buckeyes will get the nod and Alabama can begin serious about its bowl recreation and subsequent season.  

Nevertheless, if that occurs the committee might be sending an unsettling message that energy of schedule is not that essential any extra, after its in any other case been thought-about an important cornerstone of the choice course of. The query then turns into did the committee ignore its personal tips. 

See Additionally:

Affect of Epic Weekend For Alabama May very well be Felt for Years

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The Additional Level: Lastly, A Season of “Parity” in Faculty Soccer

Why Energy of Schedule is Alabama’s Largest Playoff Asset

Get your Crimson Tide tickets from SI Tickets HERE.



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Alabama

3 Stars from Oklahoma's 24-3 upset win over the Alabama Crimson Tide

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3 Stars from Oklahoma's 24-3 upset win over the Alabama Crimson Tide


Oklahoma stunned their fanbase, the SEC, and the college football world on Saturday night putting a stamp on the 2024 season with an upset over the No. 7 Alabama Crimson Tide 24-3. It was Alabama’s first visit to Norman since 2002.

There have been very few things to be excited about this season for Oklahoma football. Oklahoma dominated Alabama along the line of scrimmage for three hours. The Sooners’ season could end on a high note, depending on how they fare in Baton Rouge against LSU and how the Sooners perform in their bowl game.

Saturday’s win was a masterclass in desire, toughness, and physicality. The Sooners were the aggressors from the opening snap, and it didn’t stop until the clock read 0:00.

Oklahoma needed heroic performances to pull off this upset, and we wanted to highlight the three stars we thought lost pivotal to the win.

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No. 1 Star – Jackson Arnold/Xavier Robinson

It would be a disservice to not include both Jackson Arnold and Xavier Robinson as the No. 1 star. The two combined for 43 carries, 238 yards, and two touchdowns. Robinson scored twice, but Arnold’s toughness as a runner showed the type of competitive fire we’ve come to expect from Oklahoma quarterbacks.

Robinson’s ability to run through contact as a freshman may be his best trait.  It looks even more impressive against a veteran Tide defense.

Joe Jon Finley routinely hit the right button for the offense and Arnold and Robinson rewarded his faith in the run game. With a dominant performance from the offensive line, the Sooners rode the run game to a monumental win.

No. 2 Star – Eli Bowen, Cornerback

The younger of the two Bowens, Eli, brother is entirely out of his five-star brother Peyton’s shadow. Eli has become one of the best freshman defensive players in the country.

Not only did he hold budding superstar freshman wide receiver Ryan Williams to two catches, but he did so by traveling with Williams most of the game. Wherever Williams lined up, Bowen was there, and the effectiveness never waned. When Bowen was in coverage on Williams, Alabama’s true freshman phenom had just one reception on four targets. The one catch went for 30 yards, but other than that, Bowen put the clamps on.

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He completely shut down an entire facet of Alabama’s offense, which made Jalen Milroe’s job even more complicated, considering the Sooners had bottled up the run game.

Did we mention Bowen’s incredible interception? He read the play before Milroe even threw it and blew up the screen while picking off the pass in the process. That’s the highlight that will stand out, but Bowen put together a complete performance in coverage and in run support for the Oklahoma Sooners defense.

No. 3 Star – The Offensive Line

Bill Bedenbaugh’s finest work this season was on display last night. Whatever was said, practiced, or reviewed leading up to the game was flawless. The Sooners had a plan, and they executed it to perfection.

Clearly, the offensive brain trust watched what Vanderbilt did to Alabama earlier this season, and they wondered if they could do the same. It started with the boys up front who just beat up on the Alabama defensive line for 60 minutes. Even though the Crimson Tide knew the Sooners weren’t going to ask their quarterback to drop back and throw it 40 times, Alabama still struggled to stop the Sooners rushing attack. 

Oklahoma started the game with this offensive line combination

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  • Left Tackle – Logan Howland
  • Left Guard – Heath Ozaeta
  • Center – Troy Everett
  • Right Guard – Febechi Nwaiwu
  • Right Tackle – Spencer Brown

The Sooners rotated in true freshman Eddy Pierre-Louis, too, and the aggression and movement they created didn’t drop off. Could this be the game that helps spark a massive step forward for the younger Sooners offensive linemen and something they can build on over the remainder of the season?

Contact/Follow us @SoonersWire on X, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Oklahoma news, notes, and opinions. You can also follow Bryant on X @thatmanbryant.





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Alabama

Paul Finebaum torches Kalen DeBoer, Alabama for loss to Oklahoma: ‘Simply inexcusable’

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Paul Finebaum torches Kalen DeBoer, Alabama for loss to Oklahoma: ‘Simply inexcusable’


https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/coaches/kalen-deboer/Paul Finebaum didn’t pull any punches when reacting to Alabama’s 24-3 loss to Oklahoma on Sunday morning.

Finebaum made his usual appearance on the Matt Barrie Show on Sunday morning and he was very clear about what he thought of the Tide’s performance in Norman.

“Let me cut to the chase,” Finebaum said. “It was simply inexcusable. And you can blame anyone you want, but you would be smart to start at the very top. Because that team did not look prepared. They didn’t look focused. They didn’t look like they had a clue what they were getting in to and I don’t know how that could be the case, because everyone who watched football knew that Brent Venables had an elite defense.”

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For Alabama, this is the third loss of the year for Kalen DeBoer in his first year in Tuscaloosa. That puts Alabama’s College Football Playoff hopes in serious jeopardy entering the final week of the regular season.

“I don’t understand how Alabama can be considered a legitimate Playoff team,” Finebaum said. “And I realize that there are probably schools in there that aren’t legitimate either. But they’ve lost to Vanderbilt, a 5-loss team. And now Oklahoma, a 5-loss team. If you were looking at a chart of the SEC, they’re probably 12th and 13th out of the 16 teams in the league.”

Finebaum also indicated that the fan base’s trust in DeBoer has been further eroded by this performance.

“In the middle of the night, I’m getting texts from old-line Alabama fans going, ‘what have we gotten ourselves into?’” Finebaum said. “It’s a worse Alabama team than we saw against Vanderbilt. I mean, this team was completely clueless.”

Alabama may still have a path to the College Football Playoff at 9-3 depending on how the rest of the season plays out. The Crimson Tide will finish out the regular season next weekend against Auburn.

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Alabama

Oklahoma DC Zac Alley Alabama Postgame

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Oklahoma DC Zac Alley Alabama Postgame


CARSON FIELD

Carson Field has worked full-time in the sports media industry since 2020 in Colorado, Texas and Wyoming as well as nationally, and he has earned degrees from Arizona State University and Texas A&M University. When he isn’t covering the Sooners, he’s likely golfing, fishing or doing something else outdoors.
Twitter: https://x.com/carsondfield



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