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Business confidence in Massachusetts falls despite signals of interest rate relief, index shows

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Business confidence in Massachusetts falls despite signals of interest rate relief, index shows


Business confidence slipped toward pessimism last month, with employers concerned about sticky inflation and the Federal Reserve’s plans for rate cuts amid rising unemployment numbers, according to the Associated Industries of Massachusetts.

Confidence among the state’s employers slipped from 52 points in July to 51 points in August, down 1.4 points from the same period last year and “marginally optimistic but cautious,” AIM said in their latest Business Confidence Index report.

Sara Johnson, Chair of the AIM Board of Economic Advisors, said “the good news is that 12-month inflation, measured by the personal consumption deflator, held steady in July and consumer spending was robust.”

“At the same time, employers in Massachusetts and across the country have turned more cautious amid concerns about the slowing economy and federal tax, spending, and regulatory policies after the November elections,” she said.

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Survey authors note the news comes as inflation remains high but lower than it’s been in years, while the labor market continues to cool. This could be a sign the Fed will follow through with plans announced by Chairman Jerome Powell to move forward with rate cuts.

“Inflation remained steady at 2.5 percent in July, paving the way for the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates later this month. The labor market, meanwhile, continued to cool, driving the Massachusetts unemployment rate to its highest level in four years at 4.6 percent,” AIM wrote.

Just last month, Powell signaled that the time has come for the central bank to ease up on the gas.

“The time has come for policy to adjust,” Powell said in his keynote speech at the Fed’s annual economic conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. “The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.”

AIM’s business confidence index showed pessimistic feelings in July, when it fell to 49.8 points, and in September of 2023, when it was again at 49.8 points. Employers have otherwise been generally optimistic about the state of the economy in Massachusetts through the last year.

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That’s not to say there aren’t pain points, according to Suzanne Dwyer, President of the Massachusetts Capital Resource Company and a member of AIM’s board of economic advisors. An employer’s feelings at the moment are entirely reflective of their industry, she said.

“The shifts in the economy appear to be segmenting business confidence by industry, geography and company size. Confidence among manufacturers, for example, continues to be weaker than the overall outlook, and layoffs in the technology sector have eroded confidence in that area as well,” Dwyer said.

AIM surveys more than 140 Bay State businesses to produce their monthly index, the first of which was published in July of 1991. According to AIM, business confidence hit historic highs in 1997 and 1998, with two months in either year showing 68.5% confidence, and hit a low in February of 2009, when it was 33.3%.

Herald wire services contributed to this report.

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Former Emmanuel College Admissions Director Sentenced In Sex Trafficking Case

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Former Emmanuel College Admissions Director Sentenced In Sex Trafficking Case


Federal prosecutors said Henriques victimized numerous girls and young women online between the ages of 12 and 18. According to court records, Henriques met or spoke with at least eight admitted or prospective students before later contacting them using information obtained through the college’s admissions system.

The case centered on a 17-year-old prospective student whom Henriques met during a campus tour. Prosecutors said Henriques reviewed the student’s tour registration form, which included her date of birth, and learned she was still in high school. Within hours of the tour, Henriques began texting the student using the phone number she had provided on her admissions form.





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Joyous occasion: Boston celebrates new beginnings, local pride

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Joyous occasion: Boston celebrates new beginnings, local pride


Half of the city turned out this weekend to celebrate what’s great about Boston — its people.

On sunny or snowy days, Bostonians will help you out. The Tartan Army from Scotland and Norwegian soccer fans witnessed that last week.

This time, the surprise was all local.

“I’m the luckiest guy in the world,” said George Regan, as he gazed at nearly 300 people who showed up for the christening of his son, George Kenneth Regan IV.

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“Teach number four to be a really wonderful person and he’ll teach it to number five,” said former Gov. Charlie Baker, who said that’s the secret to life. Baker himself is the fourth Charlie, with a son the fifth. We all stand on those who came before us, the former governor added.

Work will come around soon enough, but Saturday was a celebration that started at St. Gregory Parish in Dorchester and finished with a reception at Davio’s in the Seaport.

Regan, founder and CEO of the Regan Communications Group, welcomed everyone alongside his wife, Elizabeth, and their new baby boy.

Former Mayor Ray Flynn said it best: Reagan has “stood up for people who needed you.”

There’s not enough ink in this paper to chronicle how connections keep Boston thriving. That’s the space where Regan’s PR firm operates. There are plenty of other similar agencies; it’s just that George Regan has been at the helm of his group since he left former Mayor Kevin White’s office.

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Maybe that’s what makes dealing with him so rewarding. Kevin White loved Boston, and that rubbed off on everyone who worked for him.

Former police commissioners Bill Bratton and William “Willie” Gross both spoke as did UMass President Marty Meehan, Denella J. Clark, president and CEO of Boston Arts Academy Foundation, Steve DiFillippo, Davio’s owner, and more.

Former Herald editor Ken Chandler, newly reelected Teamsters President Sean O’Brien, and car magnate Herb Chambers were some of the notables in the crowd.

“Elizabeth and I are honored to welcome our miracle child into the faith alongside the remarkable circle of friends, mentors, and partners who have stood with us through every chapter,” said Regan, who was just recently sick.

But, like Boston, you can’t keep a good man down.

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Howie Carr: Meet another Massachusetts ‘resident’ lugged by the feds

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Howie Carr: Meet another Massachusetts ‘resident’ lugged by the feds


When Massachusetts Gov. Maura Healey is informed of the latest scandal, indictment, or attempted billion-dollar bid-rigging etc., she inevitably claims to be as astonished as everyone else.


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