Northeast
Democratic strategist sounds warning for Biden after poll shows single-digit lead over Trump in New York
A new poll that shows former President Trump down by only single digits to President Biden in deep blue New York should set off alarm bells, according to longtime Democratic strategist Hank Sheinkopf.
“What it tells you is that people are generally dissatisfied,” Sheinkopf told Fox News Digital in an interview Friday. “We’re now under five months away from the election. They’re not happy about taxes. They’re not happy about crime. They’re not happy about the state of disorder. And generally, when there is disorder, the out party tends to benefit, whether it be Republicans or Democrats.”
Sheinkopf, who has worked on more than 700 political campaigns, said the results from the recent Siena College poll that showed an eight percentage-point spread between Biden and Trump in New York, 47%-39%, point to how a significant number of voters dislike both candidates.
“People are not worried about the former president’s convictions,” he said of Trump, who was found guilty of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records last month in New York court.
TRUMP PULLS WITHIN SINGLE DIGITS IN DEEP BLUE STATE BIDEN WON BY 23 POINTS IN 2020
A Siena College statewide poll of New York found President Biden, left, with just an eight percentage-point lead over former President Trump. (Getty Images)
“What they’re worried about is the present set of circumstances. They’re not happy about Trump. Frankly, if you look at the ‘hating them both’ kind of grouping, which appears in polls all the time, they’re not happy about Biden. They don’t know what to do, so they’re not making a decision. That’s why they’re locked in the center in so many places, and they’re locked in close numbers when they shouldn’t be in states that Biden should be winning handily.”
If the election results in November are anywhere close to the snapshot in the Siena College poll, it would be a historic showing for a GOP presidential candidate in New York and a sign of deep trouble for Biden, who won the state by 23 points in 2020.
“While Biden maintains the support of three-quarters of Democrats, Trump has support from 85% of Republicans and leads Biden 45%-28% with independents,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement.
“A gender gap has reopened as men support Trump 46%-42% and women favor Biden 51%-33%. White voters are evenly divided. And while Biden has a commanding lead with non-White voters, Trump garners support from 29% of Black and 26% of Latino voters,” he added.
WHAT THE LAST FOX NEWS NATIONAL POLL SHOWS IN THE 2024 BIDEN-TRUMP REMATCH
People gather for an election rally for former President Trump at Crotona Park in the South Bronx in New York City on May 23. The Bronx borough, home to a large Latino community, has been a Democratic base for generations of voters, and the rally comes as Trump looks to attract more non-White voters. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
The survey of registered voters in New York showed Biden’s job approval rating at 45% approve to 53% disapprove, and his favorability underwater at 42% favorable to 53% unfavorable, his lowest numbers yet recorded by Siena College.
While the numbers aren’t good for Biden, they’re even lower for Trump, a native New Yorker. The former president stands at 37% favorable and 59% unfavorable, according to the survey.
Even so, the closer-than-expected gap between a Democratic incumbent and Republican challenger echoes the surprisingly strong showing by New York Republicans in 2022’s gubernatorial contest, when Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul defeated former GOP Rep. Lee Zeldin by just 6.4 percentage points, the closest margin since 1994.
Zeldin told Fox News Digital that the Siena College poll is consistent with other recent polls that show Biden trending down in the Empire State. An Emerson College/The Hill/PIX11 poll last month showed Biden with just a seven percentage-point lead over Trump, 48%-41%.
“If New York is polling this close, that bodes well for polling in other states that have a much closer party registration between Republicans and Democrats,” Zeldin said.
TRUMP HOLDS LARGE LEAD OVER BIDEN IN STATE OBAMA WON TWICE
Former President Trump holds a rally in the historically Democratic South Bronx in New York City on May 23. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
He said issues that New Yorkers care about, including immigration and the economy, have trended to the right since he ran for governor.
“The border crisis was in the top three issues for many New Yorkers who now have that issue as their number one issue. [New York City Mayor] Eric Adams’ numbers are worse. Kathy Hochul’s numbers are worse. Joe Biden’s numbers are worse. So as far as the Democratic brand and profile of Democratic elected officials, that is also very helpful for the Trump campaign,” said Zeldin.
But could New York really be in play for Trump? The presumptive Republican nominee has insisted he will win the state, but Sheinkopf remains skeptical.
“Trump has to somehow convince people that he’s not reckless. And Biden has to somehow convince people that he steered the ship well, that the economy isn’t as bad as people might think. In fact, it’s really not. Inflation is down, jobs are up, but people feel insecure,” he said.
Biden and Trump will each have the opportunity to make their respective cases at the CNN Presidential Debate in Atlanta on Thursday. Sheinkopf said that for Biden to perform well, he will need to speak clearly and appear strong.
“Every word that he says will be parsed. He is the President of the United States, the most powerful man on the planet, versus Trump, who was the most powerful man on the planet, who somehow continues to function, raising lots of money and being credible even though he’s a convicted felon.
“We’ve never had anything like this before. [If] the president can’t show strength, it won’t matter whether Trump’s been a convicted felon or not. That is what’s so extraordinary.”
Fox News Digital’s Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.
Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.
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New York
With Homicides and Other Violent Crimes at Record Lows, Funding for Prevention Falls
Derrick Sanders feared that if he did not return to the corners of Atlanta’s English Avenue neighborhood, more bodies would drop.
Mr. Sanders had been a street outreach worker for the Offender Alumni Association. But he was laid off in late 2025 after the organization lost $1.5 million in federal funds and was disbanded. Then, murders surged.
There were four killings the next month, Mr. Sanders said — all deaths he believes were preventable. One of the victims had been a participant in the Offender Alumni Association, the program where Mr. Sanders worked to de-escalate conflicts and mentor people at risk of committing violence. He had engaged regularly with two of the other victims in the community.
“When we were there to mediate situations, they would listen — we come to an agreement,” he said. “But when we left, that agreement left with us.”
After violent crime worsened alongside Covid-19, the federal government passed legislation including hundreds of millions of dollars in funding for community violence interventions. Community leaders and experts on crime nationwide gave some credit to these programs for helping bring homicides to historic lows in the years since. But the Trump administration withheld much of this funding upon taking office in 2025, leaving many programs scrambling to find alternative sources of support and community leaders uncertain if they can sustain the progress.
Violence prevention programs began taking root in America after lethal violence skyrocketed in the early 1990s. A new idea began to take shape in cities around the country: Treat violence like a disease, and combat it with public health techniques.
“The first step is to interrupt the transmission,” said Kwame Thompson, a violence interrupter with Stand Up to Violence in the Bronx for 11 years. Then, intervene with people in the community who are at high risk of perpetuating violence. “We identify them,” Mr. Thompson said, “and we work to help change their norms.”
Local governments and philanthropists funded pilots in cities such as Chicago and Boston, which were largely led by grass-roots organizations focused on providing resources to vulnerable individuals.
Throughout the 2000s and 2010s, homicide rates nationwide gradually but significantly fell from their heights in the 1990s.
Then, violence surged again during the Covid-19 pandemic. Community groups pushed to get relief funds for violence prevention and intervention strategies. With the passage of the American Rescue Plan and the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, programs around the country could apply for federal funds. By 2023, the Biden administration had created a national Office of Gun Violence Prevention and invested more than $42 billion, according to Gregory Jackson, a former deputy director of the office.
With the federal support, states and municipalities established violence prevention offices, augmenting the work of police departments with programs focused on street outreach, hospitals, schools and other community pillars.
“The goal was truly to build out the prevention work,” said Rob Wilcox, a former deputy director of the White House’s now-shuttered Office of Gun Violence Prevention, adding that the funds would also help law enforcement personnel solve homicides and provide support for victim services. “That’s such a new and expansive way to think about how we address this crisis.”
Since 2022, the steep drop in homicides across the country gave credence to the effectiveness of the newly robust violence prevention paradigm. In 2025, Baltimore experienced its lowest homicide rate in 50 years. Los Angeles experienced a nearly 20 percent drop in homicides, which Mayor Karen Bass said was driven by the city’s “comprehensive approach to public safety.”
But researchers have struggled to empirically tie these improvements directly to the programs.
“The community violence intervention is so much about developing relationships with people who understandably distrust almost anybody coming to knock at the door,” said Shani A.L. Buggs, advisory chair at the Black & Brown Collective for Community Solutions to Gun Violence. “How you measure that kind of change is challenging, and that’s something that the field is still figuring out.”
Despite the constraints, some research supports the idea that these approaches can be cost-effective. A study by the University of California, Berkeley, found that for every dollar a prevention program called Advance Peace spent on intervention, cities in California that implemented the program saved more than $18 in spending on law enforcement, emergency services and other shooting-related costs. Another study produced by the Center for Gun Violence Solutions and the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health linked Baltimore’s Safe Streets program to a 32 percent reduction in homicides, finding that every dollar invested in the program had averted $7 to $19 in costs.
“I do believe that a lot of these programs have an effect, but we have to contend with the fact that the evidence is really weak for these programs on their own,” said Ben Struhl, executive director of the Crime and Justice Policy Lab at the University of Pennsylvania. “The evidence is strong for citywide strategies that contain these programs.”
Interventions can also be victims of their own success — less violence can mean less urgency to spend money on preventing it.
“You got to have support from local officials,” said Rodney McIntosh, a violence prevention worker in Fort Worth. “We know we save lives, but yet we have to fight every year just to be a part of the public safety ecosystem.”
Now, sweeping funding cuts at the federal level are hindering support for community violence interventions. A spokeswoman for the Department of Justice said the department is “committed to directly supporting law enforcement and victims to improve public safety and ensure the efficient use of taxpayer dollars.”
Some federal funds are still available, but they are scarce and require recipients to work with immigration enforcement officers, conditions that are deal breakers for some.
“Programs that were actively preventing shootings are now paused or dismantled,” said Monique Williams, chief executive officer of Cure Violence Global. “You have trained staff who are now laid off and trusted relationships in neighborhoods that are now broken.”
Programs that have managed to overcome cuts are leaning more heavily on local resources for support. Some cities and states have stepped in to make up for the shortfall, but the amount of federal funding that was lost is difficult to match.
With the funding cuts have come fears that violence could surge again.
“Violence prevention is important because of the human costs,” said Elinore Kaufman, a professor of surgery at the University of Pennsylvania and the medical director of a hospital-based violence intervention program. “I do expect that we’ll see increases in harm, increase in injury, increase in death, because we are taking away these essential supports that have proven beneficial.”
In Atlanta, Mr. Sanders and his team used to be a visible force in the English Avenue neighborhood, easily spotted in their purple T-shirts.
After the spate of violence that followed his program’s closure, Mr. Sanders stopped searching for another full-time job, took on part-time work and spent his free time with one of his former co-workers, trying to prevent more fighting. He said he would rather continue his intervention work unpaid than step away from the neighborhood.
“We were a daily reminder of ‘Hey, man, you don’t got to do it like that’ — it don’t take a gun to settle every situation,” Mr. Sanders said. “But now that reminder is gone.”
The Headway initiative is funded through grants from the Ford Foundation, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation and the Stavros Niarchos Foundation (SNF), with Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors serving as a fiscal sponsor. The Woodcock Foundation is a funder of Headway’s public square. Funders have no control over the selection, focus of stories or the editing process and do not review stories before publication. The Times retains full editorial control of the Headway initiative.
Boston, MA
PICK IS IN: WR Lewis Bond from Boston College drafted at No. 204 overall
Two offensive picks bookend a linebacker and a safety on Day 3 as the Texans selected WR Lewis Bond out of Boston College with pick No. 204 in the 6th round of the draft.
At just over 5-10 and 190 pounds, Bond hauled in 213 receptions during his time at BC.
In 2025 he was fourth in the nation with 7.3 receptions per game and finished with 993 yards.
Former BC QB Thomas Castellanos called Bond an unbelievable receiver who can do it all. Castellanos described Bond as a very physical receiver who can make plays in space and break tackles, adding that he was open a lot and could have been targeted even more.
Pittsburg, PA
Pittsburgh Steelers 2026 NFL Draft grades: TE Riley Nowakowski
The Pittsburgh Steelers selected Indiana tight end Riley Nowakowski in the fifth round of the 2026 NFL Draft. Our staff weighs in with their thoughts on the pick.
Ryland Bickley: Here’s your TE3/FB for Mike McCarthy. Nowakowski probably would’ve been a “my guy” in this draft class if I had been able to watch him more. He’s an extremely high-effort run blocker with solid mobility who should be able to find a role on offense right away. Nowakowski is a bit undersized for a tight end and his testing is just OK, but as a fullback I like the pick. We can quibble a bit with taking a returner and fullback with the team’s latest two picks, but in the fifth round you can’t complain about good football players. Grade: B+
Mike Nicastro: Nowakowski is a perfect replacement for Connor Heyward because of his versatility. He’ll play tight end, fullback, and can contribute on special teams. He played a pivotal role on Indiana’s National Championship run – the guy just feels like a winner. Although it still feels like a pick based more on need opposed to value, I like this one much better than Wetjen. Grade: B+
Alex Hanczar: Pittsburgh adds yet another big school player in the form of 2026 National Champion Riley Nowakowski. The departures of Jonnu Smith and Connor Heyward led many to believe the Steelers would add depth at the position and here it is. Aside from solely playing TE, Nowakowksi will likely fill the Heyward role at the FB position. At 6-foot-two 250 pounds, I would not be surprised to see the former Hoosier lineup under center for the ‘tush push’ for the black and gold. Grade: B
Joey Bray: Welcome back Connor Heyward. In all seriousness, Riley Nowakowski is an interesting pick for the Steelers. They needed to take another tight end, but Nowakowski is more of a fullback type. He played a blocking role for Indiana last year when he did line up a tight end, although he’s 32 catches last season were more than he had in his previous four collegiate seasons combined. Nowakowski isn’t particularly fast or dynamic and doesn’t have the size to be a legit receiving threat. He is a good football player and it makes sense that Mike McCarthy would take a fullback, but taking a return man and fullback back-to-back in the mid rounds is an curious use of resources. Grade: C-
Ryan Parish: As harsh as I was on using a 4th rounder on a kick returner-only player, I’m to the moon for this selection. I highlighted Nowakowski in my Tight End draft gems list as a perfect fit for the John Kuhn/Hunter Luepke FB role in Mike McCarthy’s offense. Nowakowski is short for a tight end but perfect for a blocker for a power run scheme. He’s also gotta decent hands and tackle-breaking ability for underneath routes that should make Aaron Rodgers happy. This was a meat and potatoes pick, and yet another sign that the Steelers are veering into a gap/power running scheme. Phenomenal fit. Grade: A++
Jarrett Bailey: The Steelers were always going to take a tight end, being that they released Jonnu Smith and didn’t bring back Connor Heyward. Nowakowski will play that Heyward role. Special teams and No. 3 tight end/fullback. Not great. Not abysmal. Fine. Grade: C
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