Connect with us

Connecticut

Is CT’s economy ‘growing’? It depends on how you define it

Published

on

Is CT’s economy ‘growing’? It depends on how you define it


“We have more people employed” is one of the many things Gov. Ned Lamont touted earlier this week in response to a claim that Connecticut’s economy is continuously weakening.

The criticism came from Fred Carstensen, a professor and economist at the University of Connecticut who heads the Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, and it was asked during a one-on-one interview on Tuesday between The Connecticut Mirror and Lamont.

“Right now, we have the fastest growing economy in the northeast by a little bit,” Lamont continued.

But what makes an economy “grow” and be “fast”? It depends on whom you ask, and it’s often more complicated than looking at one single measure. One might consider inflation, income distribution, cost-of-living, total output, exports and many other factors, each of which paints a different picture of the state’s economy.

Advertisement

One common way to look at it, though, is by considering employment — how many people are working, how many are eligible, how many are looking to work and so forth.

Lamont said that there are more people employed now than before. Is that true? According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, it depends on the time frame. The average number of people employed in 2023 in Connecticut was 1.822 million, which is a:

• 0.63% decrease from the 2022 average (1.833 million → 1.822)

• 2.16% decrease from 2019 (1.862 million → 1.822)

• 6% increase from 2013 (1.718 million → 1.822)

Advertisement

• 5.7% increase since 2000 (1.723 million → 1.822)

More people are employed in Connecticut than decades ago, but that’s normal of any state that’s seeing an increase in population.

While the number of employed people grew in the state by 5.7% since 2000, the 16-and-over population increased by 12% — a difference not unexpected, as Connecticut’s population is aging, along with other factors.

Another measure that shows this relationship is the employment to population ratio. In 2000, the ratio of employed people to the total population was 65%. In 2023, it was 61.8%. Decreases were seen for every other New England state as well.

Shorter-term, there were fewer people employed last year than before the pandemic in 2019, when Connecticut saw a record number of workers at 1.862 million. All New England states except Rhode Island experienced a decrease in the number of workers since 2019.

Advertisement

The portion of the population that isn’t working could be either not part of the labor force or unemployed. The number of people that are unemployed or looking for a job out of the entire labor force makes up the unemployment rate.

The 2023 unemployment rate for Connecticut was 3.8%, the highest in New England, but any “unemployment rate around 4% would be considered low by historic standards,” writes a researcher from the state’s Department of Labor in the March 2024 edition of the Connecticut Economic Digest.

The unemployment rate has been falling since 2020, a sign of recovery from the pandemic, but the rate is still slightly higher than before the pandemic, a trend also seen for Massachusetts but not for any other New England state. In 2019, the unemployment rate in Connecticut was 3.6% while in 2023 it was 3.8%.

The 2023 unemployment rate is not as low as levels seen in 2000, when it reached 2.1%, but it’s still lower than the 4.9% rate seen in 1990.

Some argue that an increasing unemployment rate can be a good thing, despite its negative connotation. In a September 2022 national analysis, a time when the unemployment rate rose, the chief economist at the U.S. Department of Labor at the time wrote that, “The unemployment rate rose for a positive reason — more unemployed workers began seeking jobs.”

Advertisement

If more people are joining the labor force by looking for a job, the unemployment rate will go up, since there will be more people classified as “unemployed.”

There’s also a measure known as the labor force participation rate, which combines both measures discussed above: The employed plus the unemployed as a share of the total working age population.

In 1990, Connecticut’s labor force participation rate was 70.6%, but last year it sat at 64.2%. This decades-long decreasing trend is also seen for other New England states and is associated with an aging population and a decrease in participation from certain groups of men, as explained by researchers from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

In recent years though, the 2023 participation rate has recovered from a historic low in 2021, but it is not yet back to levels seen in 2019 before the pandemic, where the rate was 66.3%, just 2.1 percentage points higher than last year’s rate.

So what does this all mean? Lamont was right in that there are more workers now than decades ago, but that’s expected if the population of a state is growing. But when taking that into account, the number of workers is not increasing as fast as the 16-and-older population. As of last year, employment numbers and labor force participation rates for the state are still not at pre-pandemic levels, and the unemployment rate is higher, although decreasing.

Advertisement

And among New England states, Connecticut last year had the highest unemployment rate and the third-lowest labor force participation rate, but it wasn’t the only New England state to see decreases.



Source link

Connecticut

National trust in the federal government is low. CT residents agree

Published

on

National trust in the federal government is low. CT residents agree


National trust in the federal government is at some of its lowest levels in nearly seven decades, and many Connecticut residents fall in line with that belief, a survey found.

New data from the Pew Research Center found only 17% of Americans believe that what the government does is right either “just about always” or “most of the time,” hitting one of the lowest points Pew has seen since first asking this question in 1958. And according to a DataHaven survey, Connecticut residents trust the federal government less than state or local institutions.

While these are some of the lowest polling numbers seen in American history, national trust in the federal government has been on the decline for decades. Public trust initially dropped in the 1960s and ’70s during the Vietnam War from a near 80% but began rising again in the 1980s into the early ’90s. Trust peaked again after 9/11 before falling.

Advertisement

The DataHaven survey found that of all Connecticut residents surveyed, only 9% trust the federal government “a great deal” to look out for the best interests of them and their family. About 28% trust the federal government “a fair amount.”

Federal government trust among Connecticut residents was at its highest in 2021 during the COVID-19 pandemic, when the federal stimulus programs and child tax credit were active.

The DataHaven survey also asked about trust in local and state government. Connecticut residents generally trust these institutions more than they trust the federal government, the survey found.

Trust in the local governments was higher than trust in both state and federal, with 67% of residents surveyed trusting their local government “a great deal” or “a fair amount.”

Advertisement

And when it came to state government, 61% of residents trust the state “a great deal” or “a fair amount.”



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Connecticut

Was Connecticut State Police short 300 troopers in 2025?

Published

on

Was Connecticut State Police short 300 troopers in 2025?


Yes.

As of early 2025, the Connecticut State Police was facing a staffing shortage of roughly 300 troopers compared to the more than 1,200 troopers the department had in its ranks over a decade ago. This is due largely to retirements, resignations and a shrinking applicant pool.

Recent academy classes are helping slowly rebuild staffing, but Gov. Ned Lamont and police leadership say Connecticut still needs substantially more troopers to meet public safety demands. More recently, news outlets reported the department had 938 troopers.

This spring, troopers negotiated a 4.5% wage hike with state officials. Troopers’ base pay is on average about $116,000 per year, but that rises to $175,000 per year once overtime is included. 

This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.

Advertisement

CT Mirror partners with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims.

Sources

Advertisement

Avatar photo

Reginald David is the Community Engagement Reporter for CT Mirror. He builds relationships across Connecticut to elevate community voices and deepen public dialogue around local issues. Previously, he was a producer at KCUR 89.3, Kansas City’s NPR station, where he created community-centered programming, led live event coverage for major events like the NFL Draft, the Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Parade, and Royals Opening Day, and launched KC Soundcheck, a music series spotlighting local and national artists. Reginald has also hosted special segments, including an in-depth interview with civil rights leader Alvin Brooks and live community coverage on issues like racial segregation and neighborhood development. He began his public media career as an ‘Integrity in News’ intern at WNPR in Hartford.

More by Reginald David

Advertisement



Source link

Continue Reading

Connecticut

CT Weather: Initial Snow Accumulation Estimates Released: Here’s When, How Much To Expect

Published

on

CT Weather: Initial Snow Accumulation Estimates Released: Here’s When, How Much To Expect


Meteorologists are predicting the next storm system in Connecticut could bring a couple inches of snow this weekend.

WTNH reports snow will start late Saturday night and continue into Sunday morning.

“There is pretty good agreement with light snow amounts statewide with up to around 2″ expected,” WTNH says.

Find out what’s happening in Across Connecticutfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

WFSB reports long-range models have been “all over the place with the development of a coastal storm.”

Advertisement

According to WFSB, some show the system moving to the south of Connecticut, which would make the impact on weekend plans “minimal.” Another model, however, shows a greater impact on Connecticut, which could mean a “coating to an inch” of snow, WFSB reports.

Find out what’s happening in Across Connecticutfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

WFSB as of Thursday also predicts the timing would be late Saturday night through Sunday morning.

The National Weather Service as of Thursday has increased the odds of snow in this weekend timeframe to 50 percent, up from 30 percent.

In the short term, it is going to be very windy today.

The National Weather Service has advisories for northern and southern parts of Connecticut due to high winds, with possible gusts of up to 50 miles per hour.

Advertisement

Today, Friday and daytime Saturday will be clear and dry, according to the National Weather Service, with high temperatures starting in the low to mid-30s and gradually warming.

“Saturday is the pick of the weekend, as it will be dry and relatively milder,” WFSB reports. “While we could start bright, cloud cover will be on the increase with temps that peak between 35 and 40. Sunday will be colder as temps only reach the upper 20s and lower 30s.”

The National Weather Service indicates the chance for snow begins around midnight Saturday.

Read More:

Here are the forecast details for northern Connecticut via the National Weather Service:

Advertisement

Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. West wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 32. West wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 16. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light southwest in the evening.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning.

Advertisement

Saturday Night: A chance of snow, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sunday: A chance of snow before 1 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Northwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Here are the forecast details for southern Connecticut via the National Weather Service:

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Wind chill values between 20 and 25. West wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 22. Wind chill values between 10 and 15. West wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph.

Advertisement

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 34. Wind chill values between 10 and 20. West wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Light west wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.

Saturday Night: Snow likely after 1 a.m. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sunday: A 50 percent chance of snow before 1 p.m. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 33.

Advertisement

Get more local news delivered straight to your inbox. Sign up for free Patch newsletters and alerts.



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending