Connecticut
Is CT’s economy ‘growing’? It depends on how you define it
“We have more people employed” is one of the many things Gov. Ned Lamont touted earlier this week in response to a claim that Connecticut’s economy is continuously weakening.
The criticism came from Fred Carstensen, a professor and economist at the University of Connecticut who heads the Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, and it was asked during a one-on-one interview on Tuesday between The Connecticut Mirror and Lamont.
“Right now, we have the fastest growing economy in the northeast by a little bit,” Lamont continued.
But what makes an economy “grow” and be “fast”? It depends on whom you ask, and it’s often more complicated than looking at one single measure. One might consider inflation, income distribution, cost-of-living, total output, exports and many other factors, each of which paints a different picture of the state’s economy.
One common way to look at it, though, is by considering employment — how many people are working, how many are eligible, how many are looking to work and so forth.
Lamont said that there are more people employed now than before. Is that true? According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, it depends on the time frame. The average number of people employed in 2023 in Connecticut was 1.822 million, which is a:
• 0.63% decrease from the 2022 average (1.833 million → 1.822)
• 2.16% decrease from 2019 (1.862 million → 1.822)
• 6% increase from 2013 (1.718 million → 1.822)
• 5.7% increase since 2000 (1.723 million → 1.822)
More people are employed in Connecticut than decades ago, but that’s normal of any state that’s seeing an increase in population.
While the number of employed people grew in the state by 5.7% since 2000, the 16-and-over population increased by 12% — a difference not unexpected, as Connecticut’s population is aging, along with other factors.
Another measure that shows this relationship is the employment to population ratio. In 2000, the ratio of employed people to the total population was 65%. In 2023, it was 61.8%. Decreases were seen for every other New England state as well.
Shorter-term, there were fewer people employed last year than before the pandemic in 2019, when Connecticut saw a record number of workers at 1.862 million. All New England states except Rhode Island experienced a decrease in the number of workers since 2019.
The portion of the population that isn’t working could be either not part of the labor force or unemployed. The number of people that are unemployed or looking for a job out of the entire labor force makes up the unemployment rate.
The 2023 unemployment rate for Connecticut was 3.8%, the highest in New England, but any “unemployment rate around 4% would be considered low by historic standards,” writes a researcher from the state’s Department of Labor in the March 2024 edition of the Connecticut Economic Digest.
The unemployment rate has been falling since 2020, a sign of recovery from the pandemic, but the rate is still slightly higher than before the pandemic, a trend also seen for Massachusetts but not for any other New England state. In 2019, the unemployment rate in Connecticut was 3.6% while in 2023 it was 3.8%.
The 2023 unemployment rate is not as low as levels seen in 2000, when it reached 2.1%, but it’s still lower than the 4.9% rate seen in 1990.
Some argue that an increasing unemployment rate can be a good thing, despite its negative connotation. In a September 2022 national analysis, a time when the unemployment rate rose, the chief economist at the U.S. Department of Labor at the time wrote that, “The unemployment rate rose for a positive reason — more unemployed workers began seeking jobs.”
If more people are joining the labor force by looking for a job, the unemployment rate will go up, since there will be more people classified as “unemployed.”
There’s also a measure known as the labor force participation rate, which combines both measures discussed above: The employed plus the unemployed as a share of the total working age population.
In 1990, Connecticut’s labor force participation rate was 70.6%, but last year it sat at 64.2%. This decades-long decreasing trend is also seen for other New England states and is associated with an aging population and a decrease in participation from certain groups of men, as explained by researchers from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
In recent years though, the 2023 participation rate has recovered from a historic low in 2021, but it is not yet back to levels seen in 2019 before the pandemic, where the rate was 66.3%, just 2.1 percentage points higher than last year’s rate.
So what does this all mean? Lamont was right in that there are more workers now than decades ago, but that’s expected if the population of a state is growing. But when taking that into account, the number of workers is not increasing as fast as the 16-and-older population. As of last year, employment numbers and labor force participation rates for the state are still not at pre-pandemic levels, and the unemployment rate is higher, although decreasing.
And among New England states, Connecticut last year had the highest unemployment rate and the third-lowest labor force participation rate, but it wasn’t the only New England state to see decreases.
Connecticut
Florida High School State Bronze Medalist Dajah German Verbals To Connecticut For Fall 2027
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Florida high school state bronze medalist Dajah German has announced her verbal commitment to swim and study at the University of Connecticut beginning in the fall of 2027. She publicized the news on SwimCloud, writing:
I am so excited to announce my verbal commitment to continue my academic and athletic career at the University of Connecticut! I’m incredibly grateful for everyone who has supported me throughout this journey, my family, coaches, teammates, and friends who have pushed me to be my best throughout the years. And a very special thank you to Coach Chris and Coach Nicole for believing in me and giving me this opportunity. I’m so excited for what’s ahead. GO HUSKIES!
A rising senior at Fort Lauderdale High School in Florida, German trains year-round with Swim Fort Lauderdale and primarily specializes in the sprint and middle-distance freestyle events.
German has improved each year of her high school career, most recently dropping from 23.78, 51.39, and 1:50.56 in the 50/100/200 free to 23.54, 51.35, and 1:49.69 during the 2025-26 short course season.
German’s top meet of the season was the Florida Senior Championships in March, where she recorded her current PBs in both the 50 and 200 free. She finished second in the 500 free (4:55.94) and 1650 free (17:02.78), third in both the 50 free and 200 free, and fifth in the 100 free (51.43). She set her current 100 free PB at a smaller holiday meet in December. In the 500 free, she clocked a season-best 4:55.21 at the Speedo Cup in January, with her lifetime best of 4:53.19 coming at the 2025 Florida Senior Championships.
German has qualified for the FHSAA (Florida High School Athletic Association) State Championships for the past three years, with her top performance coming at the 2025 iteration in November. She placed third in the 50 free (23.96), fifth in the 500 free (5:01.12), and helped Fort Lauderdale to fourth place in both the 200 free relay (24.64 leadoff) and 400 free relay (53.08 anchor).
Top SCY Times:
- 50 Freestyle: 23.54
- 100 Freestyle: 51.35
- 200 Freestyle: 1:49.69
- 500 Freestyle: 4:53.19
A Division I Mid-Major program, Connecticut competes in the Big East, with the women’s team placing second out of seven teams at this past season’s conference championships. German’s current lifetime bests would have placed third in the 200 free, fourth in the 500 free, eighth in the 50 free, and ninth in the 100 free, setting her up as an immediate contributor with two full seasons of training still ahead before her first conference meet.
German joins Anna Mumford, Lyla Devlin, Lena Brown, and Louisa Holda in committing to the Huskies’ class of 2031 so far.
If you have a commitment to report, please send an email with a photo (landscape, or horizontal, looks best) and a quote to [email protected].
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Here are the forecast details for northern Connecticut via the National Weather Service:
Today: Sunny, with a high near 80. Light west wind increasing to 6 to 11 mph in the morning.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday: A chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 76. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 59. Southeast wind around 8 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
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