Connect with us

News

Russia says its military is regrouping. A ramped-up assault on eastern Ukraine could be next

Published

on

Russia says its military is regrouping. A ramped-up assault on eastern Ukraine could be next

Is that this regrouping of forces a feint — permitting battered Russian forces to regroup after struggling severe losses by the hands of Ukrainian defenders — or a easy face-saving measure? Is Russia really transferring troops and tools to focus on Ukraine’s east, the place Moscow has acknowledged two separatist republics?

On paper, that appears to be the case. Russian Ministry of Protection spokesperson Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov mentioned a “deliberate regrouping of troops” was underway round Kyiv and Chernihiv, sooner or later after Russian negotiators mentioned Moscow’s forces would take steps towards de-escalation round these two cities. He mentioned Russian forces have been regrouping in an effort to “intensify operations in precedence areas and, above all, to finish the operation for the entire liberation of Donbas.”

US officers and army analysts have rightly been skeptical of Russia’s claims of de-escalation, and a few observers have recommended Russia’s shifting army goals are supposed to conceal large setbacks on the battlefield. However there may be proof that Russian army exercise is ramping up within the east: Ukrainian officers on Thursday reported heavy shelling of plenty of Ukrainian cities, notably within the Luhansk and Donetsk areas of the Donbas and across the northeastern metropolis of Kharkiv.

In a press release on Telegram, Oleh Synyehubov, the top of the Kharkiv area army administration, mentioned: “Over the previous day, Russian troops have struck 47 occasions with artillery, mortar, tank, and strikes within the areas of Piatihatky, Oleksiyivka, and the residential space of the Kharkiv Traсtor Plant district. About 380 shellings from Grad and Smerch [rocket artillery] have been recorded. In Saltivka, the enemy broken the gasoline pipeline, there was a serious hearth, and rescuers have labored to localize it.”

Synyehubov mentioned Russian forces had inflicted heavy hearth on Derhachi, northwest of town of Kharkiv, killing one individual and injuring three others, and destroying a metropolis council constructing.

Advertisement

“The fiercest level [in Kharkiv region] stays Izium, the place preventing and fixed shelling proceed,” he mentioned. “We’re working on daily basis to open ‘inexperienced’ [humanitarian] corridors. However to this point Russia doesn’t give us such a possibility.”

Ukrainian army governors within the Luhansk and Donetsk areas additionally reported heavy shelling Thursday amid an obvious shift by the Russian army to redirect army efforts to the Donbas area.

“We clearly really feel that the switch of [military] know-how in our course is starting now,” mentioned Serhiy Haidai, Head of Luhansk area army administration, in televised remarks. “And because the tools and personnel are being turned over, our enemies are merely firing extra densely, powerfully. Every thing is already concerned right here: plane, artillery, heavy-caliber weapons, mortars — all settlements are being shelled.”

Pavlo Kyrylenko, Head of Donetsk area army administration, mentioned on Telegram that Russian forces in a single day continued shelling within the central a part of the area.

“In Maryinka, Krasnohorivka and Novomykhailivka, the enemy once more used white phosphorous shells,” he mentioned, referring to munitions which are both banned or circumscribed beneath worldwide regulation in populated areas. “Eleven wounded civilians from the Maryinka group, together with 4 youngsters, have been taken to the Kurakhiv Metropolis Hospital.”

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov mentioned Russia by no means violates worldwide conventions when requested to touch upon a declare by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky relating to the alleged use of phosphorus bombs by Russian forces, Russian media reported.

Advertisement

Questions on Russian troop morale

Ukraine’s Common Employees mentioned in a press release Thursday that Russian forces could certainly be regrouping on the territory of Belarus, which has been a staging space for the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

The assertion mentioned the motion of Russian army tools had been noticed in Belarus, “most likely for regrouping items, in addition to making a reserve to replenish losses in manpower, weapons and tools of teams working in Ukraine.”

Outdoors evaluation means that Russian troops have seen severe tools losses and heavy casualties. The Russian army mentioned practically per week in the past that 1,351 army personnel had been killed in Ukraine and three,825 had been wounded, casualty figures that the US, Ukraine and NATO say signify a severe underreporting of troop losses.

A far-right battalion has a key role in Ukraine's resistance. Its neo-Nazi history has been exploited by Putin

Jeremy Fleming, Director of Authorities Communications Headquarters (GCHQ), the UK spy company talking throughout a visit to Canberra, Australia, recommended that Russian troop morale was critically plummeting and that Russian President Vladimir Putin — who lives in an data bubble in addition to in bodily isolation — might not be conscious of the extent of the issue for his army.

“We have seen Russian troopers — in need of weapons and morale — refusing to hold out orders, sabotaging their very own tools and even by accident taking pictures down their very own plane. And regardless that we imagine Putin’s advisers are afraid to inform him the reality, what is going on on and the extent of those misjudgments should be crystal clear to the regime.”

Advertisement

Putin on Thursday signed a decree to draft 134,500 Russians into the army to interchange conscripts who’re rotating out of service.

The Russian army has a combined manpower system that has draftees in addition to contract servicemembers, and the nation has a twice-annual call-up for conscription.

Putin initially claimed that conscripts wouldn’t participate within the warfare, however the Russian protection ministry subsequently acknowledged that draftees have been preventing in Ukraine — and Ukrainian forces declare to have taken a substantial variety of Russian conscripts prisoner.

An intensifying humanitarian disaster

The humanitarian state of affairs stays grave in lots of Ukrainian cities, notably within the besieged southeastern port metropolis of Mariupol.

Advertisement

On Thursday, hopes have been raised of the chance that busloads of residents of Mariupol — which has been beneath weeks of relentless shelling and bombing by Russian forces — would possibly have the ability to go away via a so-called humanitarian hall.

However the convoy was held up at a Russian checkpoint in Vasylivka, a metropolis between the Ukrainian-held metropolis of Zaporizhzhia and the Russian-held metropolis of Berdiansk, in response to Iryna Vereshchuk, the Ukrainian minister for Reintegration of Quickly Occupied Territories.

Vereshchuk mentioned about 100,000 individuals requiring quick evacuation stay within the metropolis, out of a pre-war inhabitants of over 400,000.

“That’s, one other 100,000 girls, youngsters, the aged, and folks with disabilities who want our and the world’s assist,” she mentioned.

Ukrainian officers say round 90% of the buildings within the metropolis have been broken or left uninhabitable after weeks of bombardment.

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

News

Donald Trump says he discussed TikTok in first call with Xi Jinping since 2021

Published

on

Donald Trump says he discussed TikTok in first call with Xi Jinping since 2021

Unlock the White House Watch newsletter for free

Donald Trump has held his first call with China’s President Xi Jinping since leaving the White House in 2021, with the two leaders discussing the fate of TikTok just before the Supreme Court upheld a law to ban the app in the US.

The conversation between the leaders was their first in four years and came just two days before the law is due to take effect, forcing app stores to stop offering it to users.

“I just spoke to Chairman Xi Jinping of China. The call was a very good one for both China and the U.S.A.,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social media platform on Friday. “We discussed balancing Trade, Fentanyl, TikTok, and many other subjects. President Xi and I will do everything possible to make the World more peaceful and safe!”

Advertisement

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said the two leaders agreed to “set up a channel of strategic communication to keep in regular touch on major issues of shared interest”.

While it painted a positive picture of the call, the ministry said Xi warned Trump that the US should approach the “Taiwan question” with “prudence”.  

Beijing claims sovereignty over Taiwan and has refused to rule out using force to occupy the island.

Trump’s incoming national security team has been in contact with Beijing, but the call between the Chinese leader and incoming US president marks the first direct conversation between the men in four years.

The call comes three days before Trump is inaugurated at a ceremony that will be attended by China’s vice-president Han Zheng, marking the first time a top Chinese official has attended a US inauguration.

Advertisement

The Financial Times reported last week that Xi would send an envoy to Washington after Trump invited the Chinese leader to attend the event.

Some Trump advisers had hoped Beijing would send Cai Qi, a member of the Politburo Standing Committee who is very close to Xi and wields much more power than Han, who sometimes stands in for Xi in ceremonial roles.

Washington and Beijing are waiting to see what kind of China policy Trump will unveil at the start of his administration. He has threatened to impose tariffs on imports from China and many other countries but it is unclear whether he will do so to gain leverage for negotiations with Beijing or whether he will start negotiations over a possible trade deal with China and apply tariffs if the talks are not successful.

The conversation comes two days before US app stores are obliged to stop carrying TikTok, the video-sharing app that has been downloaded by more than 170mn Americans. The law — upheld in a Supreme Court ruling on Friday morning — bans the app unless its Chinese owner ByteDance sells the platform.

Trump has expressed support for TikTok, raising questions about whether his administration will prosecute companies that violate the law.

Advertisement

US-China relations plummeted to their lowest point since the two countries established diplomatic relations in 1979 during the Biden administration over issues ranging from US export controls to differences over Taiwan.

While Biden and Xi succeeded in partially stabilising relations over the past year, the countries remain at loggerheads over a range of issues, including Chinese support for Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Trump has named several vocal China hawks to serve in his administration, including Mike Waltz as US national security adviser and Marco Rubio as secretary of state.

Scott Bessent, the nominee for Treasury secretary, this week said Trump would push China to buy more US agricultural produce, such as corn and soyabeans which were part of a narrow trade deal he did with China last time.

Bessent said Trump would also be aggressive in imposing export controls that would affect China. Beijing has frequently slammed the Biden administration for introducing tough export controls on chips and technology related to artificial intelligence in an effort to slow down the modernisation of the People’s Liberation Army.

Advertisement

But China experts are watching closely to see if some of the technology billionaires in Trump’s orbit, such as Elon Musk, will attempt to convince the incoming president to take a less tough stance on the issue.

Additional reporting by Joe Leahy in Beijing

Continue Reading

News

A California fifth grader interviews his firefighter father

Published

on

A California fifth grader interviews his firefighter father

Old photo of fire captain Shane Lawlor and his two sons at a Santa Monica Fire Station. Lawlor has been a firefighter for 17 years. He was dispatched last week to the Pacific Palisades and is still fighting the fires there.

Jaleh Lawlor


hide caption

toggle caption

Advertisement

Jaleh Lawlor

When the fires in Los Angeles broke out just over one week ago, fire captain Shane Lawlor was quickly dispatched to the Palisades. He has been at work ever since. On his first day, Lawlor was on his team’s fireline for 20 hours straight with no breaks for food or sleep. He’s still working the fireline and has been sleeping on-site or at his station in Santa Monica when he’s not on duty.

Back at his home in Carlsbad, Calif., Lawlor’s son, Cian Lawlor, is a fifth grader and budding journalist at Magnolia Elementary School. The 11-year-old has a new podcasting kit that his family recently got him for Christmas.

Earlier this week, NPR asked Cian to interview his dad over Zoom. It was the first rest day since the fires began for Lawlor, who took the call from his post at the Santa Monica Fire Department Station 2. Cian was at their home in Carlsbad, a few hours south of L.A. This was also the first time the father and son had connected in a week.

Advertisement

“I’m glad he gets to do this and help people in need,” Cian says about his dad’s job. “He puts out his heart for the greater good.”

This interview was prepared and conducted by Cian, with help from Magnolia Elementary’s broadcasting club, MagTV’s director, Andrew Luria. The photos were taken by Cian’s friend and fellow Magnolia student journalist, Eivan Wheyland. NPR sat in on their conversation.

This interview has been edited for length and clarity.

Cian Lawlor, 11, interviews his dad, Shane Lawlor, over Zoom. Cian is a budding journalist and member of his school's broadcasting club, MagTV. He came up with his own questions for this interview.

Cian Lawlor, 11, interviews his dad, Shane Lawlor, over Zoom. Cian is a budding journalist and member of his school’s broadcasting club, MagTV. He came up with his own questions for this interview.

Eivan Wheyland


hide caption

Advertisement

toggle caption

Eivan Wheyland

Cian Lawlor: What goes through your mind when you’re fighting fires such as this one? Were you scared?

Advertisement

Shane Lawlor: Scared? Not so much. But definitely, you have to take care of yourself. You have to understand your surroundings. It is so fast-moving, and there’s so much going on that hearing important radio traffic that could be very important is very difficult. Making sure that you know when you are in the wrong place and you’ve got to get out of there is very, very important.

Cian: How did this fire compare in its size and damage to the other fires you have fought?

Lawlor: There’ve been big fires in California in the past that I’ve been on, but nothing like this for pretty much everyone.

I used to live in Santa Monica before, so I do know a lot of the neighborhoods that have been affected and those neighborhoods are all gone. They’re not even there anymore.

In terms of the size of the fire, I haven’t seen anything bigger in my career. I don’t think very many people have. And in terms of the scope of the damage, it has been obviously just utterly devastating.

Advertisement

Cian: What were the winds like and how did they affect the fire and the job you were doing?

Lawlor: The wind makes you think that you are doing a good job on one side of a nice house, but then you go around the corner and the wind has caused the fire to start on the other side of the house. So you are kind of wasting your time and you need to redirect. So it just makes it very challenging.

The biggest effect on me was what we call embercasting. And that’s just small, tiny little bits of embers that blow off a tree or a building when they’re burning and they kind of whip around you. They can come up behind you. They’re all over and when they’re blowing it makes it very difficult to do your job.

Those embers are what start other fires. So you’re constantly protecting yourself from those hot embers in that wind and you’re constantly chasing the new fires that they’re starting. So that makes it very, very difficult.

Cian: When you look at the destruction and all the homes lost in the fires, what is your reaction?

Advertisement

Lawlor: It starts with a sense of disappointment that you couldn’t have saved a lot or more of these homes. And then it moves on to sympathy for the folks who have lost those homes.

And then you also kind of get a sense of appreciation for the fact that we still have a home to go to. We have to appreciate what we have, because there’s plenty of families who don’t have a home or anything like that anymore.

Screengrab from the video chat between Cian and his father.

Screengrab from the video chat between Cian and his father.

NPR


hide caption

Advertisement

toggle caption

NPR

Cian: Tell me something that happened that made you really proud.

Lawlor: I’m very proud of the crews that were around me. They really did everything in their capabilities to save each and every home. They were working so hard all day and all night. No food, no anything for hours and hours, no sleep just to try and save whatever they could. That’s a big sense of pride.

Advertisement

Cian: What is the morale like at the department now?

Lawlor: There’s definitely fatigue, physical fatigue, and there’s definitely mental fatigue from it. But we’re doing okay. Everyone is very appreciative of all the support we’ve been shown. There is so much food and so many well-wishers coming to our fire stations that it really gives us a boost every day to keep going, knowing that we’re hopefully making just a little difference in someone’s life.

Cian: Are you still currently fighting fire? What does your job look like on a daily basis now?

Lawlor: Yes, I am. I’m currently assigned to the Palisades Fire. We started on 12-hour shifts, and now we’re working full 24-hour shifts. So you’re talking to me on my rest day. It’s as much a physical rest as it is a mental break. And then I will be reporting back for my 24-hour shift at 6 a.m. tomorrow, and I’ll be there for another 24 hours. So we are still directly engaged on the fire line, which is literally the very edge of the fire, where if the fire is going to kick up again, that’s where it will start.

You have people who hike in and they use tools to put in hoseline along the entire perimeter of this fire. And if anything comes up, now there’s a hoseline in place and they can fight it. Does that answer your question buddy?

Advertisement
Cian sits for a portrait at his home in Carlsbad, Calif. His friend and fellow Magnolia student journalist, Eivan Wheyland, took the photos.

Cian sits for a portrait at his home in Carlsbad, Calif. His friend and fellow Magnolia student journalist, Eivan Wheyland, took the photos.

Eivan Wheyland


hide caption

toggle caption

Eivan Wheyland

Advertisement

Cian: Got it. Do you have any questions for me?

Lawlor: What would you want to tell a ten-year-old boy whose home is now gone or has been affected by the fire?

Cian: I would tell them, I’m glad you’re safe. Look on the bright side. Everything’s going to be okay. How can we help you with your needs?

Special thanks to Cian’s mom, Jaleh Lawlor, Magnolia Elementary School’s broadcasting club, MagTV, and the club’s director, Andrew Luria.

Advertisement

MagTV is a 2024 fourth-grade winner in the NPR Student Podcast Challenge, which you can learn more about here.

Continue Reading

News

Who Are the Millions of Immigrants Trump Wants to Deport?

Published

on

Who Are the Millions of Immigrants Trump Wants to Deport?

President-elect Trump has promised to deport millions of people who are living in the United States without permission. This population is commonly referred to as “undocumented,” “unauthorized” or “illegal.” But these terms are not entirely accurate. A significant number are in the country with temporary permissions — though many are set to expire during Mr. Trump’s term.

For the last decade, the best estimates put this population at around 11 million. But the number of people crossing U.S. borders reached a record level in 2022 before falling last year. More recent estimates put the number of people without legal status or with temporary protection from deportation at almost 14 million in 2024.

Many of them have permission to be here, at least for now.

“It’s true that immigration is high, but it’s hard to sort out who is an undocumented immigrant,” said Robert Warren, a demographer and the former statistics director at what was then the U.S. Immigration and Naturalization Service. “Most of the public looks at everyone as undocumented — asylum-seekers, T.P.S., DACA — but it’s important to really figure out who is included.”

The New York Times compared estimates from several research organizations and the federal government, as well as more recent administrative data, to better understand who these immigrants are, how they got here, and which of them may be most vulnerable to deportation under Mr. Trump.

Advertisement

Those with permission fall under the protection of many different programs.

What is perhaps most surprising — or misleading — about terms like “undocumented” and “unauthorized” is that as many as 40 percent of the people in this group do have some current authorization to live or work legally in the United States, according to one estimate by FWD.us, an immigration advocacy group that hired a demographer to study the population.

In an effort to deter illegal crossings, the Biden administration created a way for migrants to make an appointment to cross the southern border through a smartphone app called CBP One. The administration also created special pathways for people fleeing humanitarian crises in Afghanistan, Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, Ukraine and Venezuela and extended temporary protection from deportation for people from certain countries through a program known as Temporary Protected Status.

Immigrants who enter the country through these programs are following the current rules, but Mr. Trump and other Republicans have attacked them and said the programs are illegal.

Millions more people have applied for asylum and are allowed to remain in the country while their cases wend through immigration court — though very few asylum claims are ultimately granted. An Obama-era program known as DACA protects from deportation about 540,000 undocumented people brought to the country as children.

Advertisement

The Biden administration also deferred deportation for other groups of people, like those who have applied for protection because they were victims of or witnesses to a crime.

Trump has limited power to immediately remove these groups.

Many of the permissions offering humanitarian relief are set to expire during the Trump administration, including some that Mr. Biden recently extended. If the incoming administration were to try to end these protections sooner, it would likely face lawsuits.

Mr. Trump could immediately stop accepting new applications for humanitarian parole. It may be harder to cancel the status of those who are already here.

Nor can Mr. Trump easily deport the 2.6 million people who are awaiting a hearing or a decision on an asylum claim. He could try to hire more immigration judges to decide these cases, but even with a significant infusion of new funds, it would take years to work through the backlog.

Advertisement

DACA is no longer accepting new applications, and the future of the program is uncertain because of a lawsuit filed by several Republican state attorneys general.

People can have more than one status, and many of these groups overlap.

Many people in the country with temporary permission fall under overlapping programs.

For example, the bulk of the people who arrived through one of the Biden-era humanitarian pathways were granted parole for two years. Many of them now also have Temporary Protected Status. Along with those who used the CBP One app to cross the southern border, they can also apply for asylum within the first year they are in the United States.

These immigrants come from all over the world.

Advertisement

Note: Not all countries are shown. Data as of 2022. The growth shown for select countries is based on administrative data.

Source: Pew Research Center.

More than half of those who are in the United States without authorization have been here for 10 years or more.

Mexicans remain by far the largest group of people living in the country without authorization, but their share has declined significantly since the 1990s, according to data from the Pew Research Center.

Advertisement

An influx of people fleeing humanitarian and economic crises came from Central America during Mr. Trump’s first term, and many of them are still in the country.

Mexican officials and other leaders in the region say they have not been able to meet with the incoming administration about its deportation plans.

Few immigrants can be swiftly removed. Even fewer are in custody.

Out of all those who are unauthorized, Mr. Trump has said the top priority for deportation will be criminals. There are around 655,000 noncitizens living in the U.S. with criminal convictions or pending charges, according to data from Immigration and Customs Enforcement, though many of these charges are for minor offenses such as traffic violations.

There were about 39,000 immigrants in ICE custody at the end of December, near capacity for holding facilities.

Advertisement

The Trump administration may also focus its enforcement efforts on the nearly 1.4 million people whom an immigration judge has already ordered to be removed from the country.

Many of the rest have been living in the country for years and have developed ties to their communities, including having children born in the United States. It would require a significant amount of time and resources to locate and remove them.

Methodology and sources

There is no direct measure of the population living in the United States without authorization, as no major government survey collects information on immigration status.

In order to estimate the size of the unauthorized population, most researchers rely on a method that starts with survey data from the Census Bureau and then adjusts it using administrative records and other data to subtract the number of immigrants who are legally in the country from the total number of foreign-born residents.

Advertisement

Recent estimates of the unauthorized population

The number of people waiting for an asylum claim comes from the Pew Research Center as of 2023. The number of people with Temporary Protected Status comes from the Congressional Research Service as of September 2024. The number of DACA recipients comes from U.S.C.I.S. as of September 2024. Figures for the number of people who have entered through humanitarian parole from specific countries and through a CBP One appointment at the southern border are from C.B.P as of December 2024. Many people may be counted in more than one of these groups.

Figures for the number of ICE cases pending and paused are for the national docket and come from the agency’s annual report as of September 2024. The number of noncitizens with a criminal charge or conviction comes from ICE, as of Jan. 8.

All numbers are rounded.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending